— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 0ID0.L (LSE)

DRE NYSE

Duke Realty Corporation
1W: -6.3% 1M: -18.1% 3M: -14.2% 1Y: +0.7% 3Y: +43.2% 5Y: +66.5%
$48.20
Last traded 2022-09-30 — delisted
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
42.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 10.3%  ·  5Y Avg: 6.7%
Cost Advantage
34
Intangibles
55
Switching Cost
21
Network Effect
40
Scale ★
68
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. DRE shows a Weak competitive edge (42.0/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 10.3% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$64
Low
$64
Avg Target
$64
High
Based on 1 analyst since Jul 27, 2022 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 13Hold: 10Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2022-08-11 Wells Fargo — $56 $64 +8 +0.8% $63.49
2022-07-14 Robert W. Baird David Rodgers Initiated $74 — +33.1% $55.59
2022-06-06 Wells Fargo — Initiated $56 — +5.1% $53.27
2022-05-17 Mizuho Securities — Initiated $58 — +7.1% $54.17
2021-11-02 J.P. Morgan Michael Mueller Initiated $62 — +11.2% $55.74
2021-11-01 Goldman Sachs Caitlin Burrows Initiated $61 — +9.8% $55.54
2021-04-20 Credit Suisse Omotayo Okusanya Initiated $49 — +9.5% $44.74

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 69 Grade B
Profitability
82
Balance Sheet
64
Earnings Quality
57
Growth
58
Value
61
Momentum
68
Safety
80
Cash Flow
74
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. DRE scores highest in Profitability (82/100) and lowest in Earnings Quality (57/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.23
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.37
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.88
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 83.6/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
50/100
OCF/NI: 0.69x
Accruals: 2.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. DRE scores 3.23, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. DRE scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. DRE's score of -2.37 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. DRE's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. DRE receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 83.6/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). DRE's score of 50/100 is moderate — some divergence between reported earnings and underlying cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
21.42x
PEG
0.24x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
3.06x
P/FCF
32.47x
P/OCF
32.47x
EV/EBITDA
27.47x
EV/Revenue
22.76x
EV/EBIT
29.48x
EV/FCF
38.31x
Earnings Yield
4.46%
FCF Yield
3.08%
Shareholder Yield
1.96%
Graham Number
$29.88
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 21.4x earnings, DRE commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $29.88 per share, 61% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.978
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.140
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.772
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.107
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.774
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
16.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. DRE's ROE of 16.3% is driven by EBIT Margin (0.772) as the dominant factor. A tax burden ratio of 0.98 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$94.37
Price/Value
0.58x
Margin of Safety
41.77%
Premium
-41.77%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with DRE's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. DRE actually compounded EPS at 56.4% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. DRE trades at a -42% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $94.37, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 21.4x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$48.20
Median 1Y
$52.71
5th Pctile
$33.69
95th Pctile
$82.45
Ann. Volatility
25.9%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
ROE 36.5% 40.9% 40.9% 13.4% 10.8% 8.4% 7.8% 5.0% 8.4% 8.9% 8.4% 7.7% 4.4% 5.9% 7.1% 9.5% 16.8% 15.2% 18.0% 16.3% 16.27%
ROA 21.1% 23.1% 22.8% 8.4% 6.7% 5.1% 4.6% 3.0% 5.0% 5.3% 4.9% 4.5% 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 5.4% 9.8% 8.7% 10.3% 9.2% 9.17%
ROIC 6.1% 5.8% 5.6% 6.4% 6.2% 6.2% 5.7% 4.1% 6.4% 6.6% 6.4% 6.2% 4.2% 5.0% 5.3% 6.4% 11.0% 9.9% 11.4% 10.3% 10.30%
ROCE 6.7% 6.9% 6.5% 7.4% 7.3% 8.0% 7.8% 6.3% 4.9% 3.5% 5.4% 4.9% 5.9% 5.2% 3.6% 4.9% 3.7% 4.8% 9.0% 8.0% 7.98%
Gross Margin 64.9% 62.7% 60.8% 70.0% 64.2% 57.9% 60.1% 69.1% 69.1% 72.5% 72.6% 72.9% 68.8% 71.8% 65.9% 72.8% 71.9% 76.6% 74.6% 75.9% 75.92%
Operating Margin 37.7% 32.7% 42.4% 99.2% 30.1% 30.4% 23.5% 41.8% 1.0% 49.9% 26.3% 32.0% 35.0% 71.5% 37.2% 74.1% 1.9% 48.2% 99.0% 42.7% 42.66%
Net Margin 84.8% 87.4% 31.1% 92.1% 22.9% 23.6% 16.8% 30.0% 93.9% 37.7% 8.6% 16.7% 27.4% 63.4% 27.4% 64.7% 1.8% 39.3% 90.4% 36.3% 36.35%
EBITDA Margin 52.8% 5.8% 90.4% 1.3% 42.9% 91.9% 48.9% 72.0% 31.0% 78.4% 1.3% 56.5% 64.8% 39.0% 64.3% 1.0% -32.8% 95.2% 2.0% 70.8% 70.84%
FCF Margin -37.3% -64.6% -52.7% -59.2% -12.5% 14.4% 8.6% 26.3% 22.8% 30.4% 39.8% 43.5% 49.8% 27.0% 28.8% 29.3% 29.2% 58.1% 58.0% 59.4% 59.42%
OCF Margin 55.4% 54.2% 54.1% 52.3% 51.5% 51.1% 49.7% 50.9% 51.0% 52.0% 54.1% 54.4% 56.5% 57.0% 57.0% 56.7% 56.1% 58.1% 58.0% 59.4% 59.42%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.58%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 10.01%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.03%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.91%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 10.28%
Cash ROA snapshot only 6.01%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 6.49%
CROIC snapshot only 6.49%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 94.28%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 88.01%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.30%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only -0.65%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
P/E Ratio 6.99 5.94 5.83 16.97 20.17 24.47 31.19 49.34 30.72 29.76 29.81 35.38 63.48 49.45 44.02 36.44 20.04 29.56 21.95 22.42 21.422
P/S Ratio 12.48 11.74 11.44 12.31 11.49 9.91 11.33 11.42 12.30 13.11 12.88 14.08 14.45 14.93 15.00 16.59 16.62 22.83 20.57 19.30 0.000
P/B Ratio 2.22 2.14 2.11 2.26 2.19 2.02 2.40 2.47 2.52 2.54 2.43 2.64 2.76 2.87 3.06 3.33 3.09 4.18 3.62 3.39 3.058
P/FCF -33.43 -18.16 -21.70 -20.78 -92.06 68.89 131.27 43.42 54.00 43.17 32.39 32.38 28.99 55.30 52.13 56.64 56.93 39.30 35.49 32.47 32.473
P/OCF 22.53 21.66 21.14 23.54 22.33 19.38 22.81 22.42 24.14 25.23 23.80 25.89 25.58 26.19 26.31 29.28 29.62 39.30 35.49 32.47 32.473
EV/EBITDA 7.29 4.28 4.15 6.98 6.94 14.37 18.41 22.06 24.24 28.02 20.99 23.91 21.94 26.13 32.57 29.45 45.53 46.11 26.26 27.47 27.466
EV/Revenue 15.00 14.58 14.24 15.03 14.29 12.69 14.20 14.24 14.91 15.99 16.04 17.33 17.73 18.34 18.33 19.99 19.64 26.10 23.90 22.76 22.764
EV/EBIT 26.48 24.05 24.96 23.68 23.03 19.81 22.98 29.03 38.41 53.29 33.38 39.54 33.90 39.09 59.41 46.78 60.43 59.38 27.98 29.48 29.482
EV/FCF -40.17 -22.57 -27.02 -25.38 -114.51 88.26 164.57 54.14 65.46 52.66 40.35 39.86 35.57 67.89 63.73 68.26 67.28 44.93 41.23 38.31 38.311
Earnings Yield 14.3% 16.8% 17.2% 5.9% 5.0% 4.1% 3.2% 2.0% 3.3% 3.4% 3.4% 2.8% 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 2.7% 5.0% 3.4% 4.6% 4.5% 4.46%
FCF Yield -3.0% -5.5% -4.6% -4.8% -1.1% 1.5% 0.8% 2.3% 1.9% 2.3% 3.1% 3.1% 3.4% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 3.08%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.242
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 3.394
EV/OCF snapshot only 38.311
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 30.463
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 23.735
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.96%
Graham Number snapshot only $29.88
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Current Ratio 7.42 6.67 6.13 4.40 4.28 3.51 3.67 3.31 4.25 4.24 3.20 2.33 2.27 3.50 2.66 4.18 3.92 3.73 2.85 2.67 2.671
Quick Ratio 7.07 6.55 5.98 4.40 4.03 3.50 3.66 3.19 4.12 4.12 3.20 2.33 2.27 3.09 2.66 2.47 3.24 3.05 2.85 2.67 2.671
Debt/Equity 0.45 0.53 0.55 0.52 0.56 0.57 0.61 0.61 0.56 0.58 0.63 0.62 0.63 0.66 0.68 0.68 0.56 0.61 0.59 0.62 0.617
Net Debt/Equity 0.45 0.52 0.52 0.50 0.54 0.57 0.61 0.61 0.53 0.56 0.60 0.61 0.63 0.65 0.68 0.68 0.56 0.60 0.58 0.61 0.610
Debt/Assets 0.29 0.33 0.34 0.32 0.34 0.34 0.36 0.35 0.33 0.35 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.33 0.35 0.34 0.35 0.355
Debt/EBITDA 1.24 0.86 0.87 1.31 1.43 3.18 3.75 4.38 4.44 5.25 4.40 4.53 4.07 4.86 5.94 5.02 7.02 5.89 3.66 4.23 4.233
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.22 0.84 0.82 1.27 1.36 3.15 3.73 4.36 4.24 5.05 4.14 4.49 4.06 4.85 5.93 5.01 7.00 5.78 3.66 4.19 4.185
Interest Coverage 4.51 5.30 5.66 6.54 6.61 7.15 6.94 5.48 4.32 3.26 4.93 4.54 5.51 4.99 3.53 5.13 4.11 5.73 11.36 10.70 10.698
Equity Multiplier 1.55 1.63 1.64 1.61 1.67 1.68 1.72 1.73 1.67 1.68 1.73 1.72 1.74 1.76 1.79 1.81 1.69 1.73 1.70 1.74 1.739
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.189
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 11.483
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.011
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.169
Defensive Interval snapshot only 226.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.107
Inventory Turnover 6.65 8.04 5.90 2.85 5.43 37.81 30.91 36.73 9.50 32.40 281.56 25.86 22.92 6.57 — 1.51 3.28 2.95 — 1.29 1.286
Receivables Turnover 2.38 2.37 2.52 1.80 1.82 1.92 2.14 2.82 2.78 2.69 3.27 3.64 3.82 4.10 5.47 5.00 4.65 5.00 4.95 4.72 4.718
Payables Turnover 4.46 5.13 5.06 3.64 3.73 4.80 5.64 4.68 4.31 3.93 3.29 2.96 3.55 4.33 3.59 2.75 2.71 3.70 3.03 2.22 2.225
DSO 153 154 145 203 201 191 171 130 131 135 111 100 95 89 67 73 78 73 74 77 77.4 days
DIO 55 45 62 128 67 10 12 10 38 11 1 14 16 56 0 241 111 124 0 284 283.8 days
DPO 82 71 72 100 98 76 65 78 85 93 111 123 103 84 102 133 134 99 120 164 164.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 126 129 135 231 170 124 118 62 85 54 2 -9 9 60 -35 181 55 98 -47 197 197.1 days
Operating Cycle snapshot only 361.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 25.080
Capital Intensity snapshot only 9.887
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Revenue -7.0% -8.3% -7.8% -1.4% 6.8% 14.6% 17.2% 17.4% 13.6% 2.7% -4.4% -6.8% -5.6% 2.0% 12.9% 16.3% 15.7% 11.3% 3.7% 1.8% 1.75%
Net Income 4.2% 4.2% 3.8% -56.9% -66.0% -76.5% -78.3% -62.5% -20.1% 11.8% 13.7% 60.3% -46.3% -30.1% -10.9% 33.1% 3.2% 1.8% 1.9% 92.4% 92.40%
EPS 4.1% 4.2% 3.8% -57.0% -65.9% -76.9% -78.4% -62.5% -21.4% 10.1% 10.8% 56.1% -47.4% -30.6% -12.3% 29.9% 3.1% 1.7% 1.8% 88.7% 88.66%
FCF -1.7% -2.8% -3.0% -6.2% 64.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 3.1% 1.2% 3.4% 54.1% 1.1% -9.3% -18.3% -21.7% -32.2% 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 1.06%
EBITDA 63.5% 2.9% 2.8% 0.7% 6.8% -70.3% -73.6% -64.8% -66.1% -33.6% -5.3% 4.7% 24.0% 25.4% -16.8% 8.9% -38.2% -10.2% 67.6% 24.2% 24.23%
Op. Income -3.0% -16.1% -20.7% -10.6% 5.2% 15.0% 6.6% -30.7% 9.7% 14.0% 23.3% 59.2% -30.4% -20.4% -10.7% 18.4% 2.0% 1.3% 1.5% 79.9% 79.88%
OCF Growth snapshot only 6.70%
Asset Growth snapshot only 11.32%
Equity Growth snapshot only 16.13%
Debt Growth snapshot only 4.70%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.99%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 9.87%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Revenue 3Y -9.8% -10.8% -9.9% -6.9% -3.9% -0.1% 2.6% 3.4% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 2.6% 4.6% 6.3% 8.2% 8.4% 7.5% 5.3% 3.8% 3.3% 3.33%
Revenue 5Y -3.7% -5.7% -5.5% -5.1% -4.1% -2.7% -2.5% -2.5% -2.3% -3.5% -3.9% -2.5% -1.0% 0.9% 3.1% 3.7% 4.3% 4.2% 3.9% 5.0% 5.02%
EPS 3Y 66.7% 86.4% 77.4% -0.1% -6.4% -15.9% -16.7% -3.5% 11.2% 9.9% 4.9% -36.9% -48.0% -43.9% -40.6% -8.8% 19.3% 28.0% 39.2% 56.4% 56.40%
EPS 5Y 1.8% — — 50.2% 37.9% 12.9% 13.6% -2.0% 4.4% 10.5% 6.0% -10.2% -19.5% -14.6% -10.9% 12.7% 24.3% 20.4% 23.0% -9.2% -9.24%
Net Income 3Y 69.3% 88.6% 79.4% 1.2% -5.6% -14.6% -15.7% -2.8% 12.1% 11.2% 6.0% -36.3% -47.4% -43.2% -39.7% -7.2% 21.8% 30.6% 42.4% 60.1% 60.09%
Net Income 5Y 1.9% — — 53.3% 40.8% 15.0% 15.6% -0.5% 5.7% 12.0% 7.3% -9.0% -18.4% -13.4% -9.5% 14.4% 26.1% 22.3% 24.8% -7.9% -7.91%
EBITDA 3Y 28.2% 52.8% 51.7% 18.5% 19.0% -15.8% -17.8% -14.0% -16.0% -8.2% -1.3% -28.1% -23.4% -37.2% -40.8% -26.2% -36.2% -9.2% 9.7% 12.3% 12.31%
EBITDA 5Y 29.6% 45.4% 41.7% 25.5% 24.7% 3.5% 2.0% -2.8% -5.3% -6.8% -2.7% -9.3% -6.6% -13.0% -15.3% -6.2% -14.6% -2.7% 6.0% -12.9% -12.87%
Gross Profit 3Y -4.4% -6.3% -7.0% -4.7% -2.3% 0.2% 1.6% 2.4% 3.1% 3.3% 2.6% 4.5% 6.7% 8.9% 11.6% 11.3% 10.8% 10.0% 9.8% 9.6% 9.62%
Gross Profit 5Y 2.2% -1.4% -2.6% -2.2% -1.8% -1.0% -0.6% -0.3% 0.0% -0.3% 0.1% 1.1% 2.1% 3.7% 4.7% 5.3% 5.8% 5.9% 5.7% 7.0% 7.04%
Op. Income 3Y -4.4% -3.4% -5.2% -0.4% -0.4% 0.9% -1.2% -8.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% -0.4% -7.1% 1.4% 5.5% 9.3% 32.3% 28.4% 39.2% 50.2% 50.24%
Op. Income 5Y 28.4% 20.0% 12.7% 15.1% 14.6% 9.1% 9.5% -5.3% 0.1% 3.4% 2.3% 1.7% -5.5% -1.4% 1.2% 7.8% 18.7% 15.4% 17.9% 16.0% 16.03%
FCF 3Y — — — — — -27.0% -39.2% -12.0% -19.8% 0.0% 18.3% 60.7% — — — — — 67.7% 95.9% 35.6% 35.59%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — 1.5% -3.2% -1.5% 3.1% 2.8% 6.9% -5.2% -4.1% -3.8% -6.3% 16.8% 23.1% 46.3% 46.34%
OCF 3Y 1.8% 0.3% 1.8% 2.4% 4.6% 8.5% 6.4% 9.0% 4.8% 4.0% 0.8% 1.3% 5.3% 8.1% 10.1% 11.3% 10.6% 9.9% 9.3% 8.8% 8.78%
OCF 5Y 9.5% 8.4% 5.4% 4.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 3.0% 3.3% 2.6% 3.4% 4.1% 6.1% 8.3% 8.3% 9.3% 6.7% 7.4% 5.2% 6.1% 6.08%
Assets 3Y -2.5% -1.6% -1.3% 1.8% 3.1% 4.1% 4.9% 5.3% 6.4% 7.5% 7.2% 5.4% 6.2% 7.2% 7.8% 9.5% 8.7% 10.2% 10.0% 11.0% 10.99%
Assets 5Y 0.3% -0.5% -1.0% -1.0% -0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 3.8% 4.1% 5.7% 6.2% 7.5% 7.9% 9.1% 8.8% 8.4% 8.41%
Equity 3Y 13.7% 16.6% 16.4% 12.6% 12.4% 13.5% 13.4% 11.9% 12.5% 13.1% 12.7% 2.6% 2.1% 4.4% 4.6% 5.2% 8.4% 9.1% 10.5% 10.7% 10.73%
Book Value 3Y 12.0% 15.2% 15.1% 11.2% 11.5% 11.8% 12.1% 11.0% 11.7% 11.8% 11.5% 1.6% 1.0% 3.1% 2.9% 3.4% 6.2% 6.9% 8.0% 8.2% 8.18%
Dividend 3Y -6.8% 29.7% 29.2% 28.4% 28.5% -21.6% -20.9% -20.3% -19.9% 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.9% 1.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.47%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Revenue Stability 0.48 0.75 0.76 0.90 0.83 0.56 0.39 0.31 0.22 0.31 0.35 0.11 0.00 0.20 0.47 0.50 0.65 0.84 0.79 0.80 0.802
Earnings Stability 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.42 0.33 0.22 0.22 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.09 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.10 0.103
Margin Stability 0.88 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.935
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.95 0.95 0.50 0.81 0.88 0.96 0.87 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.78 0.89 0.87 0.54 0.40 0.65 0.88 0.72 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.37 0.368
ROE Trend 0.18 0.22 0.22 -0.06 -0.09 -0.14 -0.15 -0.17 -0.13 -0.14 -0.14 -0.02 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 0.03 0.09 0.07 0.09 0.07 0.068
Gross Margin Trend 0.04 0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.02 0.03 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.040
FCF Margin Trend -0.79 -0.99 -0.86 -0.86 -0.19 0.30 0.23 0.50 0.48 0.55 0.62 0.60 0.45 0.05 0.05 -0.06 -0.07 0.29 0.24 0.23 0.230
Sustainable Growth Rate 29.9% 26.4% 26.4% 0.8% -1.7% 2.0% 1.3% -1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% -2.6% -1.1% -0.1% 2.4% 9.8% 8.2% 10.9% 9.1% 9.14%
Internal Growth Rate 20.9% 17.6% 17.2% 0.5% — 1.2% 0.8% — 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% — — — 1.3% 6.1% 4.9% 6.6% 5.4% 5.43%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.31 0.27 0.28 0.72 0.90 1.26 1.37 2.20 1.27 1.18 1.25 1.37 2.48 1.89 1.67 1.24 0.68 0.75 0.62 0.69 0.690
FCF/OCF -0.67 -1.19 -0.97 -1.13 -0.24 0.28 0.17 0.52 0.45 0.58 0.73 0.80 0.88 0.47 0.50 0.52 0.52 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.690
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.717
CapEx/Revenue 92.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 63.9% 36.7% 41.0% 24.6% 28.2% 21.6% 14.3% 10.9% 6.6% 30.0% 28.2% 27.4% 26.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio 0.15 0.17 0.16 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.028
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.070
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.575
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.500
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Dividend Yield 2.6% 5.9% 6.1% 5.6% 5.7% 3.1% 2.7% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.32%
Dividend/Share $0.75 $1.62 $1.61 $1.61 $1.63 $0.80 $0.82 $0.84 $0.84 $0.87 $0.88 $0.91 $0.93 $0.96 $0.96 $0.98 $0.99 $1.03 $1.05 $1.07 $1.12
Payout Ratio 18.1% 35.3% 35.5% 94.2% 1.2% 76.0% 83.7% 1.3% 76.2% 74.3% 81.2% 90.5% 1.6% 1.2% 1.0% 75.3% 41.6% 46.2% 39.6% 43.8% 43.84%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — 2.1% 3.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 88.2% 82.8% 72.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 61.4% 64.0% 63.5% 63.50%
Total Payout Ratio 18.1% 35.3% 35.5% 94.2% 1.2% 76.0% 83.7% 1.3% 76.2% 74.3% 81.2% 90.5% 1.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.5% 83.2% 90.9% 76.8% 43.8% 43.84%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number -0.13 1.32 1.29 1.25 1.24 -0.46 -0.46 -0.45 -0.45 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.140
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 2.1% 1.5% 1.7% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.4% -0.4% -0.3% -0.7% -1.8% -2.1% -2.3% -2.3% -1.2% -1.3% -1.3% 0.5% 0.0% -0.1% -0.2% -1.6% -1.57%
Total Shareholder Return 2.5% 5.8% 5.9% 5.4% 5.4% 2.7% 2.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 2.5% 2.1% 1.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.39%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 5.21 5.55 5.36 1.66 1.33 0.98 1.01 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.99 0.99 1.01 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.978
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.61 0.59 0.64 0.69 0.69 0.65 0.58 0.48 1.05 1.51 0.92 0.92 0.44 0.64 1.11 1.08 2.61 1.81 1.13 1.14 1.140
EBIT Margin 0.57 0.61 0.57 0.63 0.62 0.64 0.62 0.49 0.39 0.30 0.48 0.44 0.52 0.47 0.31 0.43 0.33 0.44 0.85 0.77 0.772
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.107
Equity Multiplier 1.73 1.77 1.80 1.60 1.61 1.65 1.68 1.67 1.67 1.68 1.73 1.72 1.70 1.72 1.76 1.77 1.71 1.75 1.74 1.77 1.774
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $4.13 $4.58 $4.54 $1.71 $1.41 $1.06 $0.98 $0.64 $1.11 $1.17 $1.09 $1.00 $0.58 $0.81 $0.95 $1.30 $2.39 $2.22 $2.65 $2.45 $2.45
Book Value/Share $13.01 $12.71 $12.58 $12.85 $12.93 $12.85 $12.75 $12.79 $13.50 $13.63 $13.34 $13.39 $13.39 $13.91 $13.72 $14.22 $15.47 $15.71 $16.05 $16.19 $16.01
Tangible Book/Share $13.01 $12.46 $12.58 $12.85 $12.93 $12.55 $12.75 $12.79 $13.50 $13.37 $13.34 $13.39 $13.39 $13.67 $13.72 $14.22 $15.47 $15.49 $16.05 $16.19 $16.19
Revenue/Share $2.31 $2.32 $2.32 $2.36 $2.47 $2.61 $2.70 $2.77 $2.76 $2.64 $2.51 $2.51 $2.55 $2.68 $2.80 $2.85 $2.88 $2.88 $2.82 $2.85 $2.88
FCF/Share $-0.86 $-1.50 $-1.22 $-1.40 $-0.31 $0.38 $0.23 $0.73 $0.63 $0.80 $1.00 $1.09 $1.27 $0.72 $0.80 $0.84 $0.84 $1.67 $1.64 $1.69 $1.68
OCF/Share $1.28 $1.26 $1.25 $1.23 $1.27 $1.34 $1.34 $1.41 $1.41 $1.37 $1.36 $1.37 $1.44 $1.53 $1.59 $1.62 $1.62 $1.67 $1.64 $1.69 $1.68
Cash/Share $0.08 $0.19 $0.45 $0.24 $0.37 $0.05 $0.04 $0.02 $0.33 $0.30 $0.50 $0.08 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.03 $0.18 $0.02 $0.11 $0.18
EBITDA/Share $4.75 $7.90 $7.94 $5.08 $5.09 $2.31 $2.08 $1.79 $1.70 $1.51 $1.92 $1.82 $2.06 $1.88 $1.57 $1.94 $1.24 $1.63 $2.57 $2.36 $2.36
Debt/Share $5.89 $6.79 $6.93 $6.66 $7.29 $7.33 $7.80 $7.82 $7.54 $7.92 $8.46 $8.25 $8.39 $9.12 $9.35 $9.73 $8.72 $9.59 $9.41 $9.99 $9.99
Net Debt/Share $5.81 $6.60 $6.48 $6.43 $6.92 $7.28 $7.76 $7.80 $7.21 $7.62 $7.96 $8.17 $8.38 $9.11 $9.33 $9.71 $8.70 $9.41 $9.39 $9.88 $9.88
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.229
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.712
Piotroski F-Score 5 5 6 3 4 4 4 4 6 6 5 5 3 3 4 6 7 7 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score 0.96 0.94 0.78 -2.52 -2.49 -2.52 -2.69 -2.77 -2.91 -2.97 -3.18 -2.85 -2.83 -2.83 -2.34 -2.44 -2.09 -2.18 -2.19 -2.37 -2.365
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.883
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 2.19%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-10.09
EVA snapshot only $30498455.01
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 73.26 71.90 72.70 74.64 71.82 72.54 70.05 68.41 69.66 68.88 66.43 64.01 73.43 69.79 68.40 71.02 74.04 78.39 86.93 83.63 83.629
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only 12.606
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 95
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 88

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms