DUK NYSE
Duke Energy Corporation
1W: +4.4%
1M: +9.8%
3M: -2.8%
YTD: +8.8%
1Y: +1.2%
3Y: +58.7%
5Y: +51.1%
$124.80
+0.36 (+0.29%)
After Hours: $124.73 (-0.06, -0.05%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.8%
$118
$121
$125
$128
$132
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 81% of companies Debt: 48.5% of company value Bonds: $1.64B held by 866 funds, 77 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $4.33 (down 97%), Duke Energy Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $91.24B against a stock market value of $97.04B.
Distance to default 9.94 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $50.12B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 16.5%; Altman Z'' 0.60. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $4.33 (down 97%), Duke Energy Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $91.24B against a stock market value of $97.04B.
Distance to default 9.94 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $50.12B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 16.5%; Altman Z'' 0.60. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+8.5% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+9.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Tracking typical
20yr Avg YTD
+8.5%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+9.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+9.0%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
26%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛅
+1.7%
Midterm
☁️
-0.2%
70% win
16% vol
Feb
20yr
🌧️
-0.1%
Midterm
☁️
-1.0%
45% win
19% vol
Mar
20yr
⛅
+2.4%
Midterm
⛅
+2.3%
80% win
30% vol
Apr
20yr
☀️
+4.0%
Midterm
⛅
+4.0%
80% win
19% vol
May
20yr
🌧️
+2.9%
Midterm
⛅
+2.2%
50% win
17% vol
Jun
20yr
☁️
+3.2%
Midterm
⛅
+4.1%
60% win
18% vol
Jul
20yr
☀️
+5.9%
Midterm
☀️
+7.0%
65% win
16% vol
Aug
20yr
☁️
+5.7%
Midterm
☀️
+6.8%
60% win
19% vol
Sep
20yr
☁️
+5.9%
Midterm
☀️
+5.3%
65% win
19% vol
Oct
20yr
☀️
+8.4%
Midterm
☀️
+9.6%
71% win
26% vol
Now:
+9.5%
Nov
20yr
⛅
+9.0%
Midterm
☀️
+12.5%
55% win
20% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+1.1%
Midterm
☀️
+2.0%
60% win
16% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +9.0%