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Not Investment Advice

ECOM NYSE

ChannelAdvisor Corporation
1W: +0.1% 1M: +1.0% 3M: +45.5% 1Y: -14.0% 3Y: +156.6% 5Y: +171.7%
$23.09
Last traded 2022-11-14 — delisted
NYSE · Technology · Software - Application

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
53.1 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 46.3%  ·  5Y Avg: 452.7%
Cost Advantage ★
66
Intangibles
45
Switching Cost
52
Network Effect
44
Scale
60
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. ECOM shows a Weak competitive edge (53.1/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 46.3% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 10Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 63 Grade A
Profitability
59
Balance Sheet
96
Earnings Quality
66
Growth
64
Value
55
Momentum
75
Safety
100
Cash Flow
53
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ECOM scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (53/100). An overall grade of A places ECOM among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
8.61
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.18
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.84
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AAA
Score: 95.5/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
50/100
OCF/NI: 0.80x
Accruals: 3.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ECOM scores 8.61, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ECOM scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ECOM's score of -2.18 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ECOM's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ECOM receives an estimated rating of AAA (score: 95.5/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). ECOM's score of 50/100 is moderate — some divergence between reported earnings and underlying cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
15.39x
PEG
0.18x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
3.87x
P/FCF
29.93x
P/OCF
22.82x
EV/EBITDA
44.85x
EV/Revenue
3.42x
EV/EBIT
42.90x
EV/FCF
26.25x
Earnings Yield
5.48%
FCF Yield
3.34%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$12.57
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 15.4x earnings, ECOM trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 5.5% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $12.57 per share, 84% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
2.730
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.983
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.080
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.813
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.337
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
23.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ECOM's ROE of 23.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.813), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 2.73 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$47.85
Price/Value
0.47x
Margin of Safety
52.64%
Premium
-52.64%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with ECOM's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. ECOM trades at a -53% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $47.85, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 15.4x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$23.09
Median 1Y
$22.29
5th Pctile
$9.87
95th Pctile
$50.95
Ann. Volatility
53.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
ROE -19.6% -13.9% -12.6% -10.5% -8.9% -7.7% -6.1% -1.5% 3.7% 8.1% 15.8% 17.1% 16.4% 18.3% 15.2% 14.5% 29.7% 26.3% 25.8% 23.3% 23.27%
ROA -11.8% -8.5% -7.6% -6.5% -5.5% -4.7% -3.7% -1.0% 2.5% 5.3% 10.6% 11.5% 11.5% 13.2% 11.0% 10.4% 22.4% 20.2% 19.3% 17.4% 17.40%
ROIC -45.0% -28.1% -22.3% -17.2% -13.5% -9.5% -8.0% -1.9% 5.5% 13.6% 27.5% 29.8% 29.2% 36.3% 33.7% 36.0% 55.8% 53.6% 47.8% 46.3% 46.33%
ROCE -18.0% -11.8% -10.4% -8.3% -6.8% -5.2% -3.8% 0.2% 4.5% 8.2% 14.3% 14.5% 14.1% 15.5% 12.7% 12.5% 9.4% 8.1% 8.6% 7.9% 7.93%
Gross Margin 82.3% 76.6% 78.6% 76.5% 78.2% 76.2% 77.8% 77.1% 79.5% 78.0% 81.2% 78.2% 78.8% 78.5% 77.1% 75.7% 77.6% 75.5% 75.7% 76.4% 76.38%
Operating Margin -1.3% -10.0% -8.4% -6.9% 1.8% -7.3% -4.4% 5.6% 16.5% 6.5% 19.2% 9.4% 16.0% 14.6% 9.9% 8.5% 12.3% 7.8% 8.3% 5.0% 5.00%
Net Margin -1.4% -10.0% -8.5% -7.1% 1.7% -7.4% -4.2% 5.5% 15.6% 6.3% 18.7% 10.5% 15.2% 13.9% 11.0% 8.5% 74.1% 4.3% 4.3% -0.2% -0.23%
EBITDA Margin 3.6% -4.6% -3.2% -1.3% -10.2% -1.3% 2.0% 12.0% 20.8% 12.0% 23.8% 14.1% 20.4% 18.8% 13.7% 12.1% -0.3% 11.2% 11.8% 8.4% 8.44%
FCF Margin -5.0% -3.6% -4.0% -1.8% -1.3% -1.9% 0.9% 3.2% 7.2% 10.2% 13.1% 19.5% 20.4% 21.2% 21.5% 18.2% 17.4% 16.3% 14.2% 13.0% 13.03%
OCF Margin -2.4% -1.1% -1.5% 0.2% 0.9% 0.5% 3.6% 5.9% 10.0% 13.3% 16.1% 22.6% 23.6% 24.3% 24.6% 21.4% 20.4% 19.8% 17.7% 17.1% 17.09%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 16.69%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.73%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.28%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 92.60%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 23.34%
Cash ROA snapshot only 13.45%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 34.63%
CROIC snapshot only 26.40%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 22.87%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 7.84%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 12.51%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 55.75%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 7.06%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
P/E Ratio -14.45 -20.87 -36.59 -39.20 -42.90 -49.44 -45.75 -201.56 75.10 26.97 29.14 24.30 26.43 32.92 38.78 40.38 16.60 12.04 11.03 18.23 15.393
P/S Ratio 1.95 1.94 2.98 2.60 2.49 2.55 1.87 2.06 2.01 1.62 3.46 3.16 3.43 4.82 4.92 4.88 4.67 3.07 2.62 3.90 0.000
P/B Ratio 2.92 2.79 4.42 3.91 3.64 3.74 2.72 2.92 2.62 2.05 4.11 3.65 3.82 5.24 5.23 5.26 4.16 2.74 2.67 4.01 3.865
P/FCF -39.36 -54.04 -73.52 -148.58 -190.81 -134.92 205.05 64.79 28.11 15.87 26.46 16.19 16.83 22.74 22.93 26.77 26.79 18.82 18.46 29.93 29.928
P/OCF — — — 1096.17 265.12 493.90 51.74 35.11 20.10 12.17 21.45 13.99 14.50 19.85 20.02 22.82 22.88 15.52 14.83 22.82 22.821
EV/EBITDA -19.68 -40.14 -92.22 -173.08 -43.28 -55.27 -55.11 485.58 19.49 10.52 17.41 15.24 16.62 22.22 26.00 26.57 38.14 27.34 25.35 44.85 44.853
EV/Revenue 1.52 1.50 2.59 2.24 2.14 2.29 1.59 1.77 1.69 1.25 3.05 2.73 2.97 4.30 4.36 4.30 4.08 2.45 2.16 3.42 3.422
EV/EBIT -11.62 -17.12 -34.26 -37.79 -43.28 -54.61 -52.56 1295.80 44.57 17.66 23.54 20.26 22.19 28.97 35.44 36.06 38.14 26.70 24.49 42.90 42.904
EV/FCF -30.67 -41.95 -64.02 -127.82 -164.03 -121.26 173.92 55.70 23.60 12.27 23.28 13.99 14.59 20.31 20.33 23.56 23.39 15.02 15.21 26.25 26.254
Earnings Yield -6.9% -4.8% -2.7% -2.6% -2.3% -2.0% -2.2% -0.5% 1.3% 3.7% 3.4% 4.1% 3.8% 3.0% 2.6% 2.5% 6.0% 8.3% 9.1% 5.5% 5.48%
FCF Yield -2.5% -1.9% -1.4% -0.7% -0.5% -0.7% 0.5% 1.5% 3.6% 6.3% 3.8% 6.2% 5.9% 4.4% 4.4% 3.7% 3.7% 5.3% 5.4% 3.3% 3.34%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.184
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 4.893
EV/OCF snapshot only 20.020
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.485
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 40.844
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $12.57
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Current Ratio 1.89 1.87 1.83 1.93 2.06 1.92 1.85 2.02 2.32 2.52 2.74 2.34 2.56 2.70 2.65 2.63 2.97 3.06 2.76 2.79 2.793
Quick Ratio 1.89 1.87 1.83 1.93 2.06 1.92 1.85 2.02 2.32 2.52 2.74 2.34 2.56 2.70 2.65 2.63 2.97 3.06 2.76 2.79 2.793
Debt/Equity 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.16 0.13 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.028
Net Debt/Equity -0.64 -0.62 -0.57 -0.55 -0.51 -0.38 -0.41 -0.41 -0.42 -0.46 -0.49 -0.50 -0.51 -0.56 -0.59 -0.63 -0.53 -0.55 -0.47 -0.49 -0.492
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.022
Debt/EBITDA -0.07 -0.06 -0.43 -0.83 -0.22 -2.66 -3.16 22.31 0.87 0.55 0.31 0.26 0.21 0.14 0.11 0.06 0.07 0.05 0.35 0.36 0.361
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.57 11.57 13.69 28.11 7.07 6.23 9.86 -79.22 -3.73 -3.08 -2.37 -2.40 -2.55 -2.65 -3.33 -3.62 -5.54 -6.93 -5.40 -6.28 -6.277
Interest Coverage -72.30 -34.58 -26.16 -18.24 -12.70 -9.70 -5.87 0.23 6.53 13.25 30.80 51.45 79.36 262.92 601.62 317.70 141.24 237.44 1264.17 50.29 50.286
Equity Multiplier 1.72 1.64 1.62 1.54 1.50 1.64 1.63 1.55 1.47 1.43 1.39 1.43 1.39 1.36 1.37 1.37 1.28 1.27 1.31 1.31 1.307
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.914
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 48.101
Cash to Debt snapshot only 18.407
FCF to Debt snapshot only 4.738
Defensive Interval snapshot only 349.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Asset Turnover 0.88 0.91 0.94 0.98 0.96 0.91 0.91 0.94 0.92 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.87 0.86 0.80 0.79 0.81 0.81 0.813
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 5.23 6.49 5.97 6.07 5.16 6.11 5.96 6.04 5.70 6.01 5.85 6.47 6.20 6.46 6.36 6.91 6.26 6.48 6.70 6.84 6.836
Payables Turnover 4.34 9.23 7.19 10.36 6.67 11.66 9.01 18.36 28.91 23.96 26.80 30.72 107.07 38.49 56.08 63.19 47.35 71.73 48.30 49.40 49.405
DSO 70 56 61 60 71 60 61 60 64 61 62 56 59 56 57 53 58 56 55 53 53.4 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 84 40 51 35 55 31 41 20 13 15 14 12 3 9 7 6 8 5 8 7 7.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -14 17 10 25 16 28 21 41 51 45 49 45 56 47 51 47 51 51 47 46 46.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 12.099
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.975
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.271
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Revenue 8.2% 9.1% 8.7% 8.6% 7.1% 4.5% 1.8% -0.4% -1.0% -0.7% 4.1% 7.4% 11.6% 16.7% 15.0% 16.5% 15.6% 12.3% 10.1% 7.0% 7.03%
Net Income -1.1% -1.4% -19.2% 15.5% 54.1% 41.9% 48.8% 84.6% 1.5% 2.2% 4.0% 14.6% 4.4% 1.8% 23.0% 8.5% 1.5% 95.7% 1.1% 89.3% 89.32%
EPS -1.1% 1.2% -15.7% 18.2% 57.5% 43.5% 50.1% 85.4% 1.5% 2.1% 3.8% 13.9% 4.0% 1.7% 16.3% 4.9% 1.5% 92.5% 1.1% 98.9% 98.92%
FCF -1.6% -1.6% -2.5% 34.6% 71.9% 44.9% 1.2% 2.8% 6.4% 6.4% 13.9% 5.6% 2.2% 1.4% 88.7% 9.1% -1.1% -13.6% -27.2% -23.5% -23.54%
EBITDA 30.7% 72.9% 75.5% 89.7% 31.6% -15.7% -4.4% 1.3% 2.7% 3.8% 7.3% 51.6% 1.3% 90.2% 10.4% 5.4% -30.9% -48.1% -44.2% -49.5% -49.52%
Op. Income -19.8% 32.3% 27.9% 46.2% 54.7% 43.0% 48.9% 84.7% 1.5% 2.2% 4.1% 15.0% 4.0% 1.8% 16.8% 8.1% -0.7% -27.2% -18.7% -26.5% -26.52%
OCF Growth snapshot only -14.53%
Asset Growth snapshot only 6.89%
Equity Growth snapshot only 12.20%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.83%
Shares Change snapshot only -4.83%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Revenue 3Y 13.0% 12.5% 11.9% 11.2% 9.3% 8.0% 6.8% 5.4% 4.7% 4.2% 4.8% 5.1% 5.8% 6.6% 6.8% 7.6% 8.5% 9.2% 9.6% 10.2% 10.22%
Revenue 5Y — — 51.7% 32.0% 19.8% 12.6% 11.1% 9.8% 8.9% 8.1% 8.2% 8.0% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 8.0% 8.2% 8.2% 7.8% 7.7% 7.68%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.0% 2.03%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y 16.8% 16.2% 15.0% 13.7% 10.8% 9.2% 7.8% 6.4% 5.7% 5.1% 5.7% 5.9% 5.9% 6.7% 6.4% 7.1% 8.4% 8.7% 9.1% 9.7% 9.72%
Gross Profit 5Y — — 54.5% 34.2% 21.2% 14.1% 12.7% 11.5% 10.7% 10.0% 10.0% 9.6% 8.9% 9.1% 8.7% 8.6% 8.6% 8.3% 7.6% 7.3% 7.32%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — -47.6% -27.7% -1.1% 20.7% 71.4% — — — — — — — 1.7% 76.3% 76.27%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 79.1% 32.2% 22.1% 24.9% 29.8% 47.2% — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — -50.0% -23.6% -15.6% 4.0% 23.5% 60.4% 30.6% — — — 3.8% 2.0% 2.7% 85.9% 57.3% 57.30%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 46.8% 29.4% 22.3% 24.2% 29.7% 41.7% 6.8% 6.85%
Assets 3Y 3.4% 5.1% 5.0% 3.5% 0.8% 4.8% 4.9% 3.9% 1.8% 3.7% 6.0% 9.3% 8.7% 9.9% 12.7% 15.5% 21.4% 18.2% 14.8% 15.9% 15.94%
Assets 5Y — — 1.6% 0.8% -2.0% 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 2.9% 3.6% 5.5% 7.4% 6.6% 8.4% 9.7% 10.3% 11.5% 12.8% 10.6% 10.9% 10.86%
Equity 3Y -4.4% 0.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 4.6% 5.2% 4.6% 8.6% 12.8% 15.3% 16.7% 17.0% 19.4% 20.2% 28.0% 28.8% 23.5% 22.6% 22.63%
Book Value 3Y -6.4% -2.1% -1.5% -0.8% -2.2% 0.1% 1.5% 1.4% 3.0% 4.7% 8.4% 10.0% 10.7% 11.3% 13.8% 14.6% 23.9% 22.9% 19.4% 21.0% 20.97%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Revenue Stability 0.99 0.99 0.90 0.92 0.94 0.97 0.95 0.93 0.91 0.89 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.91 0.93 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.92 0.91 0.913
Earnings Stability 0.23 0.72 0.07 0.19 0.41 0.79 0.88 0.93 0.82 0.88 0.86 0.90 0.80 0.86 0.86 0.90 0.80 0.89 0.89 0.94 0.936
Margin Stability 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.986
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.99 0.92 0.94 0.50 0.83 0.80 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.04 0.79 0.92 0.14 0.35 0.31 0.38 0.383
ROE Trend -0.03 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.10 0.18 0.18 0.23 0.21 0.17 0.16 0.09 0.06 0.16 0.11 0.10 0.08 0.080
Gross Margin Trend 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.021
FCF Margin Trend -0.06 -0.08 -0.09 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 0.01 0.06 0.10 0.13 0.15 0.19 0.17 0.17 0.14 0.07 0.04 0.01 -0.03 -0.06 -0.058
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — 3.7% 8.1% 15.8% 17.1% 16.4% 18.3% 15.2% 14.5% 29.7% 26.3% 25.8% 23.3% 23.27%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — 2.5% 5.6% 11.8% 13.0% 13.0% 15.2% 12.4% 11.6% 28.9% 25.2% 24.0% 21.1% 21.06%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.18 0.12 0.18 -0.04 -0.16 -0.10 -0.88 -5.74 3.74 2.22 1.36 1.74 1.82 1.66 1.94 1.77 0.73 0.78 0.74 0.80 0.799
FCF/OCF 2.03 3.27 2.78 -7.38 -1.39 -3.66 0.25 0.54 0.72 0.77 0.81 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.85 0.85 0.82 0.80 0.76 0.763
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.609
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 2.240
CapEx/Revenue 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.3% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.0% 3.5% 3.5% 4.1% 4.06%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.184
Accruals Ratio -0.10 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.04 -0.08 -0.09 -0.09 -0.10 -0.08 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.035
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.040
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 4.211
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.500
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -0.6% -0.6% -0.4% -0.4% -0.3% -0.3% -0.5% -0.4% -0.4% -0.5% -0.2% -0.2% -0.8% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -0.7% -1.1% -1.3% -0.8% -0.85%
Total Shareholder Return -0.6% -0.6% -0.4% -0.4% -0.3% -0.3% -0.5% -0.4% -0.4% -0.5% -0.2% -0.2% -0.8% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -0.7% -1.1% -1.3% -0.8% -0.85%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.06 1.09 1.11 1.16 2.29 0.83 0.92 0.95 0.98 0.98 0.99 1.03 1.01 2.61 2.76 2.69 2.73 2.730
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.01 1.03 1.04 1.05 1.08 1.10 1.17 -3.26 0.85 0.92 0.97 0.98 0.99 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.00 0.98 0.983
EBIT Margin -0.13 -0.09 -0.08 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.080
Asset Turnover 0.88 0.91 0.94 0.98 0.96 0.91 0.91 0.94 0.92 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.87 0.86 0.80 0.79 0.81 0.81 0.813
Equity Multiplier 1.66 1.64 1.65 1.61 1.60 1.64 1.63 1.55 1.49 1.53 1.49 1.48 1.43 1.39 1.38 1.40 1.32 1.31 1.34 1.34 1.337
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.62 $-0.44 $-0.38 $-0.32 $-0.26 $-0.25 $-0.19 $-0.05 $0.12 $0.27 $0.54 $0.60 $0.60 $0.72 $0.63 $0.62 $1.49 $1.38 $1.32 $1.24 $1.24
Book Value/Share $3.08 $3.26 $3.18 $3.18 $3.12 $3.25 $3.22 $3.19 $3.44 $3.55 $3.85 $3.96 $4.18 $4.50 $4.69 $4.79 $5.93 $6.04 $5.47 $5.65 $5.97
Tangible Book/Share $2.10 $2.30 $2.23 $2.25 $2.24 $2.34 $2.32 $2.32 $2.59 $2.70 $3.03 $2.80 $3.05 $3.38 $3.59 $3.73 $4.88 $5.01 $4.45 $4.63 $4.63
Revenue/Share $4.61 $4.70 $4.72 $4.78 $4.57 $4.78 $4.68 $4.52 $4.49 $4.49 $4.58 $4.58 $4.66 $4.89 $4.98 $5.17 $5.28 $5.40 $5.57 $5.81 $5.32
FCF/Share $-0.23 $-0.17 $-0.19 $-0.08 $-0.06 $-0.09 $0.04 $0.14 $0.32 $0.46 $0.60 $0.89 $0.95 $1.04 $1.07 $0.94 $0.92 $0.88 $0.79 $0.76 $0.93
OCF/Share $-0.11 $-0.05 $-0.07 $0.01 $0.04 $0.02 $0.17 $0.27 $0.45 $0.60 $0.74 $1.03 $1.10 $1.19 $1.22 $1.11 $1.08 $1.07 $0.98 $0.99 $1.09
Cash/Share $2.01 $2.05 $1.87 $1.79 $1.64 $1.76 $1.76 $1.68 $1.79 $1.94 $2.15 $2.18 $2.30 $2.65 $2.88 $3.08 $3.17 $3.38 $2.73 $2.94 $3.19
EBITDA/Share $-0.36 $-0.18 $-0.13 $-0.06 $-0.23 $-0.20 $-0.13 $0.02 $0.39 $0.53 $0.80 $0.82 $0.83 $0.95 $0.84 $0.84 $0.57 $0.48 $0.47 $0.44 $0.44
Debt/Share $0.02 $0.01 $0.06 $0.05 $0.05 $0.53 $0.43 $0.37 $0.34 $0.29 $0.25 $0.21 $0.17 $0.13 $0.09 $0.05 $0.04 $0.03 $0.16 $0.16 $0.16
Net Debt/Share $-1.99 $-2.04 $-1.82 $-1.74 $-1.59 $-1.23 $-1.33 $-1.31 $-1.45 $-1.65 $-1.90 $-1.97 $-2.12 $-2.51 $-2.78 $-3.03 $-3.13 $-3.35 $-2.56 $-2.78 $-2.78
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 8.612
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 15.027
Piotroski F-Score 5 5 3 4 5 5 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 6 5 5 6 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.59 -2.51 -2.68 -2.63 -2.74 -2.65 -2.72 -2.78 -2.83 -2.81 -2.58 -2.74 -2.69 -2.55 -2.74 -2.66 -1.92 -2.09 -2.07 -2.18 -2.184
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.840
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 14.32%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $2.56
EVA snapshot only $31209878.94
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AAA
Credit Score 34.74 40.66 49.47 54.08 58.82 46.51 46.73 49.88 79.29 79.73 96.09 95.48 95.40 95.20 95.55 95.30 95.27 95.36 95.78 95.48 95.477
Credit Grade snapshot only 1
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.176
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 50.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 90
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 88

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