EHC NYSE
Encompass Health Corporation
1W: +2.0%
1M: +0.7%
3M: +7.0%
YTD: +16.7%
1Y: -1.8%
3Y: +98.7%
5Y: +138.2%
$121.48
-2.62 (-2.11%)
After Hours: $122.98 (+1.50, +1.24%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.4%
$113
$119
$124
$130
$135
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 76% of companies Debt: 18.8% of company value Bonds: $205.7M held by 204 funds, 110 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.70 (down 99%), Encompass Health Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.84B against a stock market value of $12.24B.
Distance to default 8.76 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.33B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 29.3%; Altman Z'' 2.57. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.70 (down 99%), Encompass Health Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.84B against a stock market value of $12.24B.
Distance to default 8.76 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.33B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 29.3%; Altman Z'' 2.57. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+10.5% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+11.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+10.5%
Day 205 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+11.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+16.7%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
40%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛅
+2.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.7%
60% win
32% vol
Feb
20yr
🌫️
+1.5%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.0%
60% win
33% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+4.5%
Midterm
⛅
+5.0%
75% win
37% vol
Apr
20yr
⛅
+9.2%
Midterm
☀️
+6.0%
90% win
34% vol
May
20yr
⛅
+9.9%
Midterm
⛅
+4.1%
50% win
25% vol
Jun
20yr
☁️
+9.8%
Midterm
☁️
+0.9%
45% win
27% vol
Jul
20yr
☀️
+11.3%
Midterm
☀️
+7.0%
50% win
28% vol
Aug
20yr
⛅
+13.1%
Midterm
☀️
+11.0%
55% win
31% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+11.5%
Midterm
☀️
+10.7%
60% win
30% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+8.8%
Midterm
☀️
+11.6%
38% win
40% vol
Now:
+2.3%
Nov
20yr
💨
+12.7%
Midterm
☀️
+13.3%
65% win
38% vol
Dec
20yr
🌫️
+0.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.2%
45% win
33% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +16.7%