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Not Investment Advice

EPM AMEX

Evolution Petroleum Corporation
1W: +1.7% 1M: -2.5% 3M: +1.7% YTD: -1.6% 1Y: -24.5% 3Y: -37.0% 5Y: -6.3%
$3.58
+0.01 (+0.28%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.4%
$3 $3 $4 $4 $4
AMEX · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Tech Score Sell · Power 36 · $128.2M mcap · 31M float · 1.47% daily turnover · Short 63% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
26.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 2.5%  ·  5Y Avg: 18.5%
Cost Advantage
33
Intangibles
14
Switching Cost
33
Network Effect
19
Scale ★
38
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. EPM has No discernible competitive edge (26.9/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 2.5% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$4
Low
$4
Avg Target
$4
High
Based on 1 analyst since Sep 15, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 3Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$4.75
Analysts3
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-09-02 consensus Hold Buy
2026-05-21 consensus Buy Hold
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-09-17 Northland Securities — $4 $4 +0 +18.2% $3.60
2026-08-25 Industrial Alliance Securities — Initiated $6 — +72.9% $3.47
2026-07-23 Northland Securities — $4 $4 -0 +0.9% $3.96
2026-05-13 Northland Securities Jeff Grampp Initiated $4 — +3.0% $4.37
2025-12-23 Loop Capital Markets Sergey Pigarev Initiated $5 — +50.8% $3.52
2025-12-04 Roth Capital Nick Pope Initiated $5 — +21.1% $4.13

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

D+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. EPM receives an overall rating of D+. Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 C- D+
2026-09-21 C+ C-
2026-09-18 C C+
2026-07-25 C- C
2026-07-01 C C-
2026-05-12 B- C
2026-02-11 C B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 25 Grade D
Profitability
24
Balance Sheet
46
Earnings Quality
38
Growth
33
Value
31
Momentum
35
Safety
30
Cash Flow
56
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. EPM scores highest in Cash Flow (56/100) and lowest in Profitability (24/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.28
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
78.70
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.90
Bankruptcy prob: 0.7%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 35.6/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -9.68x
Accruals: -15.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. EPM scores 1.28, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. EPM scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. EPM's score of 78.70 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. EPM's implied 0.7% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. EPM receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 35.6/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-48.25x
PEG
-0.17x
P/S
1.49x
P/B
2.08x
P/FCF
8.92x
P/OCF
5.52x
EV/EBITDA
6.88x
EV/Revenue
2.09x
EV/EBIT
260.94x
EV/FCF
12.41x
Earnings Yield
-1.87%
FCF Yield
11.21%
Shareholder Yield
13.23%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. EPM currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.772
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-4.548
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.008
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.525
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.488
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-3.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. EPM's ROE of -3.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.525), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$3.58
Median 1Y
$3.08
5th Pctile
$1.17
95th Pctile
$8.08
Ann. Volatility
54.3%
Analyst Target
$4.75
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Kelly W. Loyd
President & Chief Executive Officer
$375,000 $534,672 $1,315,704
J. Mark Bunch
Chief Operating Officer
$305,000 $289,914 $860,382
Ryan Stash President,
e President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer
$292,200 $277,747 $828,749

CEO Pay Ratio

1:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $1,315,704
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $885,909
Employees: 11

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
11
0.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$7,849,364
Rev: $86,343,000
Profit / Employee
$-220,818
NI: $-2,429,000
SGA / Employee
$885,909
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE -6.6% 26.8% 33.7% 50.2% 54.5% 55.1% 62.3% 42.0% 30.2% 18.9% 3.4% 4.7% 5.5% 2.2% -0.9% 1.9% 0.3% 4.3% -5.6% -3.7% -3.67%
ROA -4.9% 20.4% 22.1% 28.9% 33.6% 38.1% 39.3% 25.1% 19.4% 12.9% 2.0% 2.8% 3.3% 1.2% -0.4% 0.9% 0.1% 1.9% -2.2% -1.5% -1.48%
ROIC -7.6% 29.6% 31.1% 40.7% 50.2% 52.6% 65.8% 43.2% 31.1% 20.6% 3.3% 5.1% 5.1% 4.3% 4.1% 3.1% 2.5% 3.7% 1.9% 2.5% 2.47%
ROCE -7.0% 25.0% 26.3% 35.4% 42.2% 47.9% 53.5% 37.0% 28.5% 19.3% 3.2% 4.7% 6.0% 3.7% 1.6% 3.5% 2.1% 5.3% -0.2% 0.5% 0.47%
Gross Margin 46.8% 47.2% 46.2% 50.9% 42.9% 45.1% 54.0% 13.9% 21.6% 19.3% 19.5% 28.1% 20.0% 10.1% 18.4% 18.6% 38.5% 15.7% 9.5% -0.6% -0.58%
Operating Margin 35.9% 38.6% 40.3% 46.7% 36.7% 37.4% 47.9% 1.4% 9.0% 7.4% 9.1% 11.3% 8.5% -3.0% 7.0% 6.3% -0.4% 3.2% -2.8% 14.3% 14.31%
Net Margin 27.6% 30.6% 22.2% 35.4% 26.9% 30.8% 37.9% 0.9% 7.2% 5.1% 1.3% 5.8% 9.4% -9.0% -9.7% 16.2% 3.9% 5.2% -44.3% 19.1% 19.06%
EBITDA Margin 44.1% 44.1% 37.0% 52.6% 44.2% 47.7% 57.0% 22.5% 30.2% 29.8% 29.8% 36.1% 43.1% 18.1% 12.6% 51.6% 37.8% 42.7% -25.3% 59.8% 59.85%
FCF Margin -21.4% -2.7% -17.9% -2.2% 6.1% 6.4% 28.2% 34.5% 28.6% 26.0% -49.0% -31.3% -28.4% -24.4% 28.9% 13.3% -7.1% 15.3% 9.4% 16.9% 16.85%
OCF Margin 20.0% 27.8% 38.3% 48.2% 49.5% 47.0% 49.5% 39.9% 35.0% 36.1% 17.3% 26.5% 29.8% 30.9% 35.6% 38.5% 39.0% 36.1% 32.6% 27.2% 27.24%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.02%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 16.90%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.66%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.56%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.38%
Cash ROA snapshot only 13.94%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 21.15%
CROIC snapshot only 13.09%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 3.18%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -3.64%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 11.29%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 2.03%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio -33.09 7.92 8.38 4.19 4.62 4.68 3.31 6.03 7.07 9.53 56.85 36.78 33.07 88.31 -227.95 102.11 685.40 38.55 -42.86 -53.42 -48.248
P/S Ratio 2.94 1.96 2.08 1.26 1.36 1.38 1.08 1.65 1.68 1.64 2.07 1.75 1.77 1.80 1.87 1.75 1.87 1.41 1.87 1.50 1.485
P/B Ratio 2.35 1.97 2.58 1.81 2.14 2.19 1.73 2.31 2.04 1.82 2.05 1.85 1.94 2.04 2.24 2.09 2.30 1.78 2.66 2.15 2.079
P/FCF -13.75 -71.58 -11.62 -56.70 22.39 21.50 3.84 4.80 5.87 6.33 -4.22 -5.58 -6.23 -7.39 6.46 13.18 -26.14 9.16 19.80 8.92 8.917
P/OCF 14.73 7.03 5.42 2.61 2.74 2.94 2.19 4.14 4.81 4.56 11.97 6.60 5.94 5.84 5.25 4.55 4.78 3.89 5.73 5.52 5.518
EV/EBITDA 780.37 4.60 5.44 3.01 3.01 2.93 1.91 3.43 3.68 4.00 8.99 6.78 6.19 6.65 8.07 6.91 8.30 3.82 6.77 6.88 6.876
EV/Revenue 2.85 1.80 2.16 1.38 1.37 1.36 0.96 1.57 1.60 1.56 2.54 2.13 2.15 2.13 2.22 2.16 2.48 1.37 1.84 2.09 2.091
EV/EBIT -25.66 5.81 6.64 3.59 3.63 3.62 2.34 4.53 5.37 6.99 43.35 26.35 21.52 34.97 89.46 38.33 65.51 14.80 -452.44 260.94 260.944
EV/FCF -13.36 -66.00 -12.09 -62.08 22.59 21.11 3.42 4.55 5.58 6.00 -5.20 -6.81 -7.55 -8.72 7.67 16.25 -34.74 8.91 19.51 12.41 12.408
Earnings Yield -3.0% 12.6% 11.9% 23.8% 21.6% 21.4% 30.2% 16.6% 14.1% 10.5% 1.8% 2.7% 3.0% 1.1% -0.4% 1.0% 0.1% 2.6% -2.3% -1.9% -1.87%
FCF Yield -7.3% -1.4% -8.6% -1.8% 4.5% 4.7% 26.1% 20.8% 17.0% 15.8% -23.7% -17.9% -16.0% -13.5% 15.5% 7.6% -3.8% 10.9% 5.1% 11.2% 11.21%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.148
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.678
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 13.654
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 51.889
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 13.23%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.22 3.35 1.92 1.20 1.26 1.14 1.53 1.73 1.69 1.46 1.49 1.37 1.69 1.64 0.88 0.81 0.70 0.90 0.61 0.92 0.918
Quick Ratio 2.22 3.35 1.92 1.20 1.26 1.14 1.53 1.73 1.69 1.46 1.49 1.40 1.69 1.64 0.88 0.81 0.70 0.90 0.61 0.92 0.918
Debt/Equity 0.07 0.07 0.31 0.28 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.49 0.50 0.52 0.50 0.52 0.77 0.01 0.01 0.94 0.943
Net Debt/Equity -0.07 -0.15 0.10 0.17 0.02 -0.04 -0.19 -0.12 -0.10 -0.09 0.47 0.41 0.41 0.37 0.42 0.49 0.76 -0.05 -0.04 0.84 0.841
Debt/Assets 0.05 0.05 0.17 0.14 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.23 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.338
Debt/EBITDA 24.20 0.17 0.63 0.43 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.82 1.47 1.31 1.43 1.51 1.40 2.08 0.01 0.02 2.17 2.169
Net Debt/EBITDA -23.09 -0.39 0.21 0.26 0.03 -0.05 -0.24 -0.18 -0.19 -0.22 1.69 1.23 1.08 1.01 1.27 1.31 2.06 -0.11 -0.10 1.93 1.935
Interest Coverage -38.89 119.20 83.26 72.94 64.02 62.80 89.18 97.18 131.46 141.74 7.62 4.77 3.86 1.76 0.67 1.63 1.05 2.39 -0.10 0.36 0.362
Equity Multiplier 1.49 1.40 1.79 1.96 1.71 1.48 1.44 1.44 1.41 1.44 2.00 2.01 1.98 2.10 2.18 2.23 2.45 2.51 2.91 2.79 2.793
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.275
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 13.742
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.108
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.256
Defensive Interval snapshot only 647.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.55 0.82 0.89 0.96 1.14 1.29 1.20 0.92 0.81 0.75 0.54 0.58 0.61 0.60 0.53 0.53 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.52 0.525
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 5.00 8.28 8.55 6.66 7.39 9.17 12.10 8.05 7.44 6.82 7.13 9.18 8.17 8.31 7.14 7.94 8.84 8.56 8.24 8.27 8.265
Payables Turnover 4.66 6.89 5.61 6.73 6.75 8.28 7.16 7.02 7.84 7.17 7.99 9.42 9.31 7.32 6.91 6.73 7.15 6.06 5.37 5.47 5.473
DSO 73 44 43 55 49 40 30 45 49 53 51 40 45 44 51 46 41 43 44 44 44.2 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 78 53 65 54 54 44 51 52 47 51 46 39 39 50 53 54 51 60 68 67 66.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -5 -9 -22 1 -5 -4 -21 -7 3 3 6 0 6 -6 -2 -9 -10 -18 -24 -23 -22.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 14.069
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.954
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue 76.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.3% 1.8% 1.3% 89.0% 18.0% -15.8% -31.5% -45.6% -33.2% -20.3% -10.6% 3.8% -0.0% -2.2% -0.9% -3.2% 0.6% 0.59%
Net Income -2.3% 1.8% 2.0% 3.0% 10.3% 1.7% 1.5% 7.9% -31.8% -60.0% -94.0% -88.4% -82.0% -89.4% -1.2% -63.9% -95.0% 77.0% -4.2% -2.6% -2.65%
EPS -1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 3.0% 10.3% 1.7% 1.5% 9.8% -31.1% -59.4% -93.9% -88.4% -82.0% -89.4% -1.2% -64.8% -95.2% 71.4% -4.1% -2.6% -2.58%
FCF -3.5% -1.4% -7.6% 82.8% 1.8% 6.3% 4.0% 19.4% 3.0% 1.8% -1.9% -1.6% -1.8% -1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 75.5% 1.6% -68.4% 27.5% 27.55%
EBITDA 1.1% 2.1% 2.5% 4.1% 350.1% 1.7% 1.4% 18.1% -19.7% -42.3% -69.5% -54.0% -36.3% -26.6% 0.6% -0.7% -15.8% 10.9% -4.0% -2.1% -2.13%
Op. Income 42.9% 1.7% 2.1% 3.1% 11.3% 1.9% 1.2% -0.6% -39.2% -62.7% -91.1% -82.5% -75.6% -73.1% -9.1% -47.2% -71.7% -39.0% -74.1% -16.6% -16.65%
OCF Growth snapshot only -28.85%
Asset Growth snapshot only 5.27%
Equity Growth snapshot only -15.89%
Debt Growth snapshot only 51.59%
Shares Change snapshot only 4.56%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -0.88%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 0.7% 11.6% 22.1% 36.1% 48.0% 54.3% 60.8% 63.1% 61.3% 62.7% 54.7% 38.0% 23.8% 11.4% 2.2% -7.6% -13.1% -15.3% -18.2% -12.4% -12.42%
Revenue 5Y 11.6% 17.1% 19.6% 25.9% 29.7% 30.0% 31.5% 25.5% 19.4% 16.5% 13.3% 14.7% 16.8% 17.6% 18.6% 23.7% 26.8% 30.7% 30.1% 21.4% 21.43%
EPS 3Y — -3.8% 6.1% 28.2% 45.2% 59.0% 62.7% 81.1% — — — — — -51.3% — -64.5% -81.9% -58.1% — — —
EPS 5Y — -9.2% -6.3% 32.1% 35.3% 21.0% 24.7% 12.6% 2.3% -0.6% -28.8% -23.1% -17.6% -29.6% — -24.7% — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — -3.7% 6.3% 28.5% 45.5% 59.7% 62.9% 81.0% — — — — — -51.5% — -64.4% -81.7% -57.8% — — —
Net Income 5Y — -9.1% -6.1% 32.3% 35.4% 21.2% 24.7% 12.4% 2.2% -0.7% -29.0% -23.3% -17.7% -29.6% — -24.3% — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y -81.6% -3.0% 6.7% 25.4% 40.5% 51.8% 67.0% 82.8% — — — — 4.6% 4.0% -9.6% -18.6% -24.5% -22.3% -33.4% -23.6% -23.56%
EBITDA 5Y -55.3% 16.0% 14.7% 21.6% 25.7% 26.3% 31.0% 21.3% 11.9% 7.0% -2.3% 1.4% 7.2% 8.1% 7.4% 22.7% — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y -11.6% 1.9% 14.0% 32.2% 44.7% 54.4% 66.0% 73.5% 76.4% 79.0% 37.8% 19.4% 1.4% -14.7% -22.9% -34.9% -33.0% -33.2% -38.3% -37.7% -37.70%
Gross Profit 5Y 7.8% 13.4% 14.8% 24.0% 27.5% 27.2% 29.7% 18.8% 9.9% 3.7% -8.6% -3.5% -1.2% -1.0% 0.6% 6.7% 19.0% 29.3% 23.8% 3.5% 3.46%
Op. Income 3Y — -0.3% 15.1% 37.0% 52.8% 66.3% 83.5% 1.3% — — — — — -33.4% -43.3% -54.9% -65.2% -60.6% -72.4% -57.4% -57.43%
Op. Income 5Y — 23.8% 20.6% 28.6% 33.2% 32.8% 36.5% 22.7% 10.5% 1.7% -21.1% -14.8% -11.9% -14.3% -12.9% 2.5% — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — -23.0% 15.0% 84.2% 2.2% — 75.8% — — — — — — — 13.1% -43.3% -31.0% -30.99%
FCF 5Y — — — — -10.0% -11.3% 19.1% 21.3% 12.1% 7.1% — — — — 29.3% 53.6% — 23.2% 29.4% — —
OCF 3Y -27.4% -12.1% 8.2% 29.7% 44.1% 54.2% 61.4% 60.5% 65.1% 85.7% 73.8% 68.7% 41.5% 15.3% -0.3% -14.3% -19.7% -22.4% -28.9% -22.9% -22.88%
OCF 5Y -21.0% -11.5% -3.2% 26.0% 27.3% 27.4% 30.9% 20.1% 9.8% 6.4% -10.1% -1.1% 3.9% 8.1% 11.2% 21.7% 31.4% 41.5% 58.4% 37.8% 37.80%
Assets 3Y -4.0% -3.3% 6.8% 15.6% 14.3% 11.6% 13.5% 12.9% 15.8% 24.9% 36.9% 27.8% 22.6% 22.5% 10.4% 2.7% 6.2% 8.7% 7.2% 8.3% 8.34%
Assets 5Y -1.6% 0.0% 5.8% 10.9% 9.8% 7.7% 8.5% 7.2% 5.6% 5.5% 11.8% 11.2% 10.8% 11.1% 10.7% 11.7% 15.6% 21.2% 21.2% 16.7% 16.69%
Equity 3Y -10.4% -8.3% -6.8% -2.0% 1.6% 5.1% 7.5% 7.5% 10.6% 18.0% 15.8% 14.1% 11.5% 7.1% 3.4% -1.7% -5.7% -8.8% -15.2% -13.1% -13.12%
Book Value 3Y -10.4% -8.4% -7.0% -2.2% 1.4% 4.6% 7.4% 7.6% 10.6% 18.2% 15.9% 14.9% 11.8% 7.4% 3.4% -1.9% -6.3% -9.4% -15.8% -15.1% -15.11%
Dividend 3Y -9.9% 10.1% 42.2% 39.2% 29.9% 23.8% 15.2% 11.0% 6.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% -1.1% -1.12%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.16 0.22 0.24 0.36 0.44 0.48 0.54 0.61 0.55 0.49 0.40 0.47 0.44 0.35 0.23 0.27 0.21 0.17 0.11 0.20 0.196
Earnings Stability 0.65 0.31 0.24 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.12 0.09 0.08 0.12 0.04 0.05 0.09 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.020
Margin Stability 0.76 0.72 0.74 0.80 0.79 0.75 0.77 0.79 0.75 0.68 0.60 0.70 0.72 0.69 0.58 0.60 0.65 0.63 0.53 0.55 0.552
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — 0.08 0.14 0.92 0.62 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 0.06 0.00 0.44 — — —
ROE Trend -0.12 0.36 0.43 0.54 0.53 0.52 0.56 0.32 0.09 -0.17 -0.38 -0.36 -0.32 -0.31 -0.29 -0.20 -0.17 -0.06 -0.08 -0.08 -0.076
Gross Margin Trend -0.00 0.08 0.10 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.01 -0.05 -0.13 -0.28 -0.23 -0.21 -0.20 -0.14 -0.15 -0.09 -0.03 0.02 -0.04 -0.042
FCF Margin Trend -0.39 -0.21 -0.32 0.17 0.21 -0.03 0.32 0.57 0.36 0.24 -0.54 -0.47 -0.46 -0.41 0.39 0.12 -0.07 0.15 0.19 0.26 0.259
Sustainable Growth Rate — 13.4% 16.7% 32.0% 35.5% 35.5% 42.9% 22.8% 11.5% 0.7% -14.5% -13.8% -13.4% -17.5% — -19.5% -21.8% -18.7% — — —
Internal Growth Rate — 11.3% 12.2% 22.6% 28.0% 32.5% 37.2% 15.8% 8.0% 0.5% — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -2.25 1.13 1.55 1.61 1.69 1.59 1.51 1.46 1.47 2.09 4.75 5.57 5.57 15.13 -43.44 22.44 143.29 9.91 -7.48 -9.68 -9.682
FCF/OCF -1.07 -0.10 -0.47 -0.05 0.12 0.14 0.57 0.86 0.82 0.72 -2.84 -1.18 -0.95 -0.79 0.81 0.35 -0.18 0.42 0.29 0.62 0.619
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -5.991
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.896
CapEx/Revenue 41.3% 30.6% 56.1% 50.4% 43.4% 40.6% 21.3% 5.4% 6.3% 10.1% 66.2% 57.8% 58.3% 55.3% 6.7% 25.2% 46.1% 20.8% 23.2% 10.4% 10.38%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.394
Accruals Ratio -0.16 -0.03 -0.12 -0.18 -0.23 -0.23 -0.20 -0.11 -0.09 -0.14 -0.07 -0.13 -0.15 -0.17 -0.19 -0.20 -0.20 -0.17 -0.19 -0.16 -0.158
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.125
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.908
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield 4.5% 6.3% 6.0% 8.6% 7.5% 7.6% 9.4% 7.6% 8.8% 10.1% 9.4% 10.7% 10.4% 10.3% 10.1% 10.9% 10.4% 13.8% 10.8% 13.1% 13.41%
Dividend/Share $0.18 $0.23 $0.30 $0.35 $0.40 $0.44 $0.47 $0.49 $0.49 $0.49 $0.49 $0.49 $0.49 $0.49 $0.49 $0.48 $0.48 $0.49 $0.49 $0.48 $0.48
Payout Ratio — 50.0% 50.6% 36.2% 34.9% 35.6% 31.0% 45.7% 61.9% 96.3% 5.3% 3.9% 3.4% 9.1% — 11.1% 71.0% 5.3% — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — 1.7% 1.6% 36.0% 36.4% 51.4% 64.0% — — — — 65.3% 1.4% — 1.3% 2.1% 1.2% 1.16%
Total Payout Ratio — 50.0% 50.7% 36.3% 35.1% 35.9% 39.0% 57.6% 78.3% 1.2% 5.7% 4.2% 3.7% 9.8% — 11.4% 73.1% 5.5% — — —
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number -0.22 0.40 1.95 1.80 1.28 1.00 0.63 0.44 0.30 0.18 0.13 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.17 0.14 0.17 0.167
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 2.4% 2.0% 2.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.17%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 2.4% 2.0% 2.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% -0.7% -1.8% -2.2% -2.2% -1.9% -3.1% -4.3% -4.32%
Total Shareholder Return 4.5% 6.3% 6.1% 8.7% 7.6% 7.7% 11.8% 9.5% 11.1% 12.8% 10.1% 11.5% 11.1% 9.6% 8.3% 8.7% 8.1% 11.9% 7.6% 8.7% 8.73%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.78 0.80 0.77 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.77 0.70 0.74 0.72 0.78 0.68 0.79 1.35 0.68 0.93 0.77 0.772
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.03 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.01 0.89 0.79 0.74 0.43 -0.49 0.39 0.05 0.58 11.47 -4.55 -4.548
EBIT Margin -0.11 0.31 0.32 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.41 0.35 0.30 0.22 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.06 0.02 0.06 0.04 0.09 -0.00 0.01 0.008
Asset Turnover 0.55 0.82 0.89 0.96 1.14 1.29 1.20 0.92 0.81 0.75 0.54 0.58 0.61 0.60 0.53 0.53 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.52 0.525
Equity Multiplier 1.35 1.32 1.53 1.74 1.62 1.45 1.58 1.67 1.56 1.46 1.70 1.71 1.68 1.75 2.08 2.11 2.20 2.29 2.51 2.49 2.488
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.12 $0.46 $0.60 $0.98 $1.14 $1.25 $1.51 $1.07 $0.79 $0.51 $0.09 $0.12 $0.14 $0.05 $-0.02 $0.04 $0.01 $0.09 $-0.11 $-0.07 $-0.07
Book Value/Share $1.74 $1.87 $1.94 $2.26 $2.47 $2.67 $2.88 $2.80 $2.73 $2.66 $2.54 $2.47 $2.42 $2.32 $2.14 $2.13 $2.03 $1.99 $1.72 $1.71 $1.72
Tangible Book/Share $1.74 $1.87 $1.94 $2.26 $2.47 $2.67 $2.88 $2.80 $2.73 $2.66 $2.54 $2.47 $2.42 $2.32 $2.14 $2.13 $2.03 $1.99 $1.72 $1.71 $1.71
Revenue/Share $1.39 $1.88 $2.41 $3.26 $3.90 $4.23 $4.60 $3.91 $3.31 $2.94 $2.52 $2.62 $2.65 $2.62 $2.57 $2.55 $2.51 $2.52 $2.45 $2.45 $2.46
FCF/Share $-0.30 $-0.05 $-0.43 $-0.07 $0.24 $0.27 $1.30 $1.35 $0.95 $0.76 $-1.23 $-0.82 $-0.75 $-0.64 $0.74 $0.34 $-0.18 $0.39 $0.23 $0.41 $0.41
OCF/Share $0.28 $0.52 $0.92 $1.57 $1.93 $1.99 $2.28 $1.56 $1.16 $1.06 $0.44 $0.69 $0.79 $0.81 $0.91 $0.98 $0.98 $0.91 $0.80 $0.67 $0.67
Cash/Share $0.24 $0.41 $0.40 $0.25 $0.32 $0.11 $0.55 $0.34 $0.29 $0.26 $0.09 $0.20 $0.21 $0.35 $0.17 $0.07 $0.02 $0.11 $0.08 $0.17 $0.17
EBITDA/Share $0.01 $0.74 $0.96 $1.49 $1.77 $1.95 $2.32 $1.79 $1.44 $1.14 $0.71 $0.82 $0.92 $0.84 $0.71 $0.80 $0.75 $0.90 $0.67 $0.74 $0.74
Debt/Share $0.12 $0.12 $0.60 $0.64 $0.37 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $1.30 $1.21 $1.21 $1.20 $1.06 $1.11 $1.56 $0.01 $0.01 $1.61 $1.61
Net Debt/Share $-0.12 $-0.29 $0.20 $0.39 $0.05 $-0.10 $-0.55 $-0.33 $-0.28 $-0.25 $1.21 $1.01 $0.99 $0.85 $0.90 $1.04 $1.54 $-0.10 $-0.07 $1.44 $1.44
Per Employee
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Employee Count snapshot only 11
Revenue/Employee snapshot only $7849363.64
Income/Employee snapshot only $-220818.18
EBITDA/Employee snapshot only $2387272.73
FCF/Employee snapshot only $1323000.00
Assets/Employee snapshot only $15336181.82
Market Cap/Employee snapshot only $11796741.82
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.279
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.326
Piotroski F-Score 4 6 6 7 5 6 8 8 6 6 4 5 4 4 4 5 4 6 3 3 3
Beneish M-Score -0.35 -0.19 -0.60 -1.59 -2.51 -2.79 -3.64 -1.13 -2.96 -2.98 -0.82 -3.17 -2.99 -2.62 -3.02 -3.42 -3.95 -3.66 -3.07 78.70 78.699
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.903
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.49
EVA snapshot only $-8372100.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 56.63 94.33 87.66 81.97 97.52 97.55 97.09 97.54 97.58 97.71 64.59 57.65 61.59 53.60 57.13 57.20 33.48 60.98 50.37 35.65 35.645
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -21.557
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 28
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 25

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