— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: EREGL.IS (IST) · $vol 109M

ERELY OTC

Eregli Demir ve Çelik Fabrikalari T.A.S.
1W: -10.9% 1M: -10.9% 3M: -10.9% YTD: +42.5% 1Y: +42.5% 3Y: +3.9% 5Y: -6.5%
$8.02
-0.98 (-10.89%)
 
OTC · Basic Materials · Steel · Tech Score Sell · Power 43 · $1.1B mcap · 136M float · 0.0000% daily turnover · Short 96% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 01, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ERELY receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROA (5/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-29 None ADDED
2026-09-27 EXISTED None
2026-09-23 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-09-19 None ADDED
2026-09-19 EXISTED None
2026-09-15 None ADDED
2026-09-13 EXISTED None
2026-09-09 None ADDED
2026-09-05 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
19
Balance Sheet
70
Earnings Quality
81
Growth
72
Value
—
Momentum
98
Safety
—
Cash Flow
47

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.50
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-10.21
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 45.8/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 4.02x
Accruals: -4.2%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ERELY scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ERELY's score of -2.50 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ERELY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ERELY receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 45.8/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). ERELY's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
32.36x
PEG
0.65x
P/S
1.04x
P/B
0.78x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$1750.10
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 32.4x earnings, ERELY commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1750.10 per share, suggesting a potential 21722% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
2.161
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.237
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.062
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.440
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.865
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
2.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ERELY's ROE of 2.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.440), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 2.16 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$2203.93
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with ERELY's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. ERELY actually compounded EPS at 177.6% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. ERELY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $2203.93, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 32.4x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$8.02
Median 1Y
$7.68
5th Pctile
$3.52
95th Pctile
$16.89
Ann. Volatility
48.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 27.4% 25.4% 30.4% 30.4% 23.9% 18.2% 12.5% 1.4% -0.5% 2.7% 5.8% 9.7% 9.6% 6.4% 3.6% 2.2% 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 2.6% 2.63%
ROA 17.9% 16.8% 18.7% 19.0% 15.3% 12.0% 7.8% 0.9% -0.3% 1.7% 3.6% 5.9% 5.5% 3.7% 2.1% 1.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 1.4% 1.41%
ROIC 25.2% 22.1% 23.2% 21.7% 17.0% 15.0% 10.9% 1.8% -0.5% 3.0% 5.5% 9.0% 10.2% 7.3% 5.3% 4.7% 4.6% 0.6% 0.5% -9.7% -9.65%
ROCE 29.2% 23.7% 28.4% 27.4% 22.7% 17.3% 11.2% 4.6% 5.0% 6.5% 8.9% 9.4% 7.0% 7.1% 5.0% 3.9% 3.7% 3.0% 3.3% 3.3% 3.32%
Gross Margin 39.6% 36.7% 32.4% 30.4% 13.7% 2.1% 4.3% 9.7% 12.9% 9.9% 14.1% 12.1% 8.9% 4.4% 7.1% 9.3% 8.0% 10.9% 8.1% 9.1% 9.06%
Operating Margin 38.3% 36.8% 30.4% 29.0% 12.0% -1.4% 3.7% 8.6% 16.1% 7.8% 17.7% 9.0% 5.1% 9.4% 3.5% 4.4% 4.1% 6.8% 3.5% 4.3% 4.33%
Net Margin 27.4% 18.8% 19.3% 19.2% 7.0% 11.7% 0.3% -10.7% 0.1% 16.8% 11.3% 8.7% 1.6% 4.9% 0.8% 3.2% 1.2% -3.1% 0.6% 13.2% 13.18%
EBITDA Margin 41.6% 33.3% 33.6% 31.9% 15.8% 3.2% 7.8% 10.4% 20.1% 13.2% 21.7% 15.9% 11.7% 16.7% 10.0% 6.8% 11.7% 12.3% 8.3% 10.2% 10.21%
FCF Margin 9.2% 2.7% 2.8% -3.8% -5.9% -1.9% -3.1% -0.1% -3.4% -7.4% -8.5% -9.3% -7.4% -2.8% 2.3% 13.6% 19.4% 22.4% 18.3% 8.9% 8.88%
OCF Margin 14.9% 8.4% 7.9% 1.5% 0.1% 7.0% 7.5% 6.7% 12.2% 8.3% 6.3% 10.3% 8.2% 14.4% 22.1% 21.2% 24.1% 22.7% 13.4% 12.9% 12.85%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.22%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.23%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.43%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -22.74%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -7.28%
Cash ROA snapshot only 5.15%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.61%
CROIC snapshot only 5.94%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -14.41%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.48%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.15%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 2.80%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 32.360
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.043
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.781
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.647
Graham Number snapshot only $1750.10
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.62 2.80 2.10 2.35 2.41 2.25 2.04 1.80 1.58 1.51 1.49 1.64 2.17 2.40 2.62 2.35 2.24 2.14 2.03 1.78 1.784
Quick Ratio 1.41 1.56 0.97 0.91 0.94 1.02 0.97 0.77 0.77 0.75 0.73 0.75 1.12 1.36 1.57 1.42 1.39 1.38 1.33 1.12 1.115
Debt/Equity 0.21 0.20 0.28 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.31 0.32 0.37 0.36 0.39 0.42 0.54 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.55 0.53 0.51 0.505
Net Debt/Equity -0.04 -0.08 0.08 0.12 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.21 0.24 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.30 0.27 0.22 0.19 0.18 0.15 0.11 0.12 0.124
Debt/Assets 0.14 0.13 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.27 0.27 0.269
Debt/EBITDA 0.54 0.63 0.71 0.67 0.79 1.07 1.83 3.92 4.16 3.45 2.84 2.81 3.94 3.59 4.53 5.86 6.21 7.20 7.16 6.33 6.332
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.09 -0.25 0.20 0.33 0.46 0.50 0.75 2.58 2.68 2.14 1.92 1.90 2.23 1.91 1.99 2.22 2.08 1.98 1.45 1.55 1.553
Interest Coverage 44.89 51.77 46.08 38.38 22.62 11.97 5.73 2.21 2.19 2.64 3.23 3.14 2.28 2.19 1.66 1.78 1.73 1.61 1.58 1.17 1.168
Equity Multiplier 1.54 1.54 1.67 1.61 1.57 1.51 1.56 1.62 1.72 1.67 1.68 1.68 1.79 1.79 1.80 1.85 1.87 1.94 1.95 1.88 1.880
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.817
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.987
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.755
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.132
Defensive Interval snapshot only 5209.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.75 0.74 0.88 0.93 0.98 0.85 0.78 0.63 0.57 0.61 0.64 0.60 0.57 0.56 0.52 0.46 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.44 0.440
Inventory Turnover 2.36 2.19 2.26 2.16 2.58 2.80 2.66 2.13 2.05 2.40 2.47 2.26 2.33 2.52 2.48 2.21 2.18 2.28 2.40 2.38 2.375
Receivables Turnover 10.01 8.95 9.85 10.22 10.34 9.46 9.91 8.17 7.24 8.23 9.65 9.18 9.42 8.72 8.52 7.85 8.14 7.83 8.23 9.23 9.227
Payables Turnover 8.46 8.14 7.85 8.06 11.38 11.39 10.36 9.12 8.25 7.71 8.67 8.96 8.43 6.89 6.79 5.04 4.53 3.89 3.67 3.32 3.320
DSO 36 41 37 36 35 39 37 45 50 44 38 40 39 42 43 46 45 47 44 40 39.6 days
DIO 155 167 161 169 141 131 137 171 178 152 148 161 157 145 147 165 168 160 152 154 153.7 days
DPO 43 45 46 45 32 32 35 40 44 47 42 41 43 53 54 72 81 94 99 110 109.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 148 163 152 159 145 137 139 176 184 149 144 160 152 134 136 139 132 113 97 83 83.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.778
Operating Cycle snapshot only 193.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.973
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.498
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 87.3% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 87.3% 43.6% 19.0% 2.0% 15.7% 37.3% 44.6% 52.7% 38.0% 21.3% 7.8% 4.2% 3.4% 4.5% 21.0% 21.03%
Net Income 6.6% 3.7% 2.3% 1.7% 54.4% 16.0% -32.9% -91.8% -1.0% -77.7% -23.3% 8.9% 27.1% 2.4% -13.0% -70.8% -72.8% -96.3% -94.5% 47.2% 47.22%
EPS 6.5% 3.7% 2.3% 1.7% 54.4% 19.6% -30.7% -91.5% -1.0% -77.6% -22.6% 9.0% 27.2% 2.4% 3.3% 40.0% 36.2% -81.6% -94.5% 53.3% 53.27%
FCF -3.7% -64.1% -52.3% -1.7% -2.5% -2.3% -2.6% 97.9% 40.8% -3.5% -2.8% -201.5% -2.3% 48.2% 1.3% 2.6% 3.7% 9.3% 7.3% -21.2% -21.24%
EBITDA 2.5% 2.5% 1.9% 1.4% 69.4% 4.5% -37.5% -65.8% -59.2% -28.7% 43.5% 1.6% 1.1% 71.8% -0.4% -29.0% -22.9% -34.5% -23.2% 10.5% 10.46%
Op. Income 3.6% 3.5% 2.7% 1.9% 83.5% -7.8% -50.3% -76.6% -69.8% -39.5% 44.3% 1.8% 98.1% 51.7% -34.8% -50.4% -42.8% -51.7% -26.6% -0.7% -0.72%
OCF Growth snapshot only -26.46%
Asset Growth snapshot only 22.08%
Equity Growth snapshot only 19.97%
Debt Growth snapshot only 19.44%
Shares Change snapshot only -3.95%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 36955.86%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 28.9% 36.2% 44.6% 52.9% 63.8% 66.9% 67.2% 68.5% 65.3% 66.5% 68.0% 62.4% 54.4% 44.1% 33.7% 22.8% 17.5% 18.2% 20.3% 23.5% 23.55%
Revenue 5Y 37.2% 42.4% 45.7% 47.7% 49.3% 47.0% 44.4% 42.9% 38.9% 40.5% 42.9% 43.8% 46.9% 49.3% 50.7% 49.5% 48.4% 45.8% 43.1% 41.1% 41.07%
EPS 3Y 35.3% 40.5% 49.6% 60.4% 60.0% 77.6% 69.9% -0.1% — 7.9% 20.9% 31.3% 15.4% -3.3% 32.6% 5.9% 10.7% -48.2% -43.1% 1.8% 1.78%
EPS 5Y 65.6% 59.2% 52.4% 51.0% 44.5% 37.7% 26.8% -16.3% — -5.8% 12.4% 28.5% 32.5% 33.5% 75.2% 69.3% 73.7% -4.8% -15.9% 37.2% 37.20%
Net Income 3Y 35.4% 40.5% 49.6% 60.4% 60.0% 75.8% 68.1% -1.3% — 6.6% 19.3% 29.6% 13.9% -4.6% -23.5% -38.1% -36.1% -69.8% -66.9% 62.1% 62.11%
Net Income 5Y 65.6% 59.2% 52.4% 51.0% 44.5% 36.8% 26.0% -16.9% — -6.5% 11.5% 27.5% 31.4% 32.4% 26.0% 22.7% 24.9% -31.6% -39.6% -1.4% -1.36%
EBITDA 3Y 28.9% 39.3% 46.8% 56.9% 65.3% 60.1% 49.0% 34.4% 34.9% 37.1% 38.0% 29.0% 14.1% 8.6% -3.7% -14.4% -12.2% -7.1% 3.2% 26.5% 26.53%
EBITDA 5Y 58.5% 54.2% 50.6% 51.4% 47.2% 36.6% 26.3% 10.3% 8.2% 15.0% 23.2% 27.8% 31.7% 38.1% 36.4% 34.8% 32.4% 23.8% 15.0% 11.0% 10.99%
Gross Profit 3Y 33.4% 44.9% 55.5% 66.7% 73.4% 72.1% 59.3% 39.2% 35.4% 33.9% 32.3% 20.6% 5.7% -8.0% -19.0% -26.6% -25.1% -9.8% 4.6% 28.1% 28.10%
Gross Profit 5Y 58.7% 59.5% 55.1% 54.6% 50.3% 37.7% 25.2% 9.6% 5.1% 11.2% 19.3% 23.5% 27.5% 31.7% 31.3% 30.3% 28.7% 25.9% 17.8% 11.0% 11.00%
Op. Income 3Y 33.4% 47.1% 57.6% 69.3% 77.7% 73.7% 59.8% 34.0% 36.3% 35.5% 37.9% 23.5% 3.2% -5.4% -22.4% -31.3% -30.0% -23.7% -11.6% 11.3% 11.29%
Op. Income 5Y 67.0% 63.9% 58.2% 56.8% 51.7% 36.5% 23.7% 6.2% 5.7% 12.2% 22.9% 26.0% 27.4% 36.9% 30.9% 27.3% 23.5% 12.8% 4.6% -1.5% -1.50%
FCF 3Y 14.8% -16.6% -15.1% — — — — — — — — — — — 25.5% — — — — — —
FCF 5Y 22.9% -0.0% 4.6% — — — — — — — — — — — -3.3% 42.4% 50.9% 55.6% 51.0% 29.1% 29.08%
OCF 3Y 23.4% 11.3% 11.3% -38.8% -71.3% 7.3% 9.8% 10.6% 29.2% 18.6% 12.7% 29.1% 26.4% 72.7% 88.5% 1.9% 5.9% 74.9% 45.8% 53.8% 53.78%
OCF 5Y 27.8% 19.5% 23.4% -10.3% -46.4% 19.8% 15.2% 20.3% 30.0% 24.1% 16.7% 21.3% 20.4% 32.4% 45.3% 46.2% 46.7% 45.6% 31.1% 28.6% 28.58%
Assets 3Y 20.2% 44.6% 44.1% 54.2% 58.8% 55.3% 53.1% 64.5% 65.3% 74.9% 76.8% 71.4% 71.6% 49.8% 49.8% 45.8% 44.2% 47.2% 46.2% 34.5% 34.49%
Assets 5Y 33.1% 39.8% 40.0% 47.1% 47.9% 43.9% 42.7% 48.3% 43.1% 49.3% 50.6% 53.0% 56.1% 55.6% 54.7% 54.8% 53.5% 57.3% 55.6% 52.8% 52.82%
Equity 3Y 19.8% 42.6% 45.0% 51.4% 57.1% 56.3% 52.4% 62.5% 59.0% 67.2% 71.8% 67.7% 63.1% 42.3% 46.1% 39.3% 36.0% 35.5% 35.6% 27.9% 27.91%
Book Value 3Y 19.8% 42.6% 45.0% 51.4% 57.1% 57.9% 54.0% 64.4% 61.0% 69.3% 74.1% 70.0% 65.3% 44.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.19%
Dividend 3Y 98.3% 1.0% 29.7% 31.2% 36.5% 33.5% -67.2% -97.5% -97.6% — — 18.3% 19.8% — — -92.0% 76.5% 73.2% 73.2% 55.3% 55.28%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.82 0.75 0.68 0.65 0.66 0.73 0.79 0.80 0.79 0.85 0.88 0.90 0.90 0.96 0.99 0.98 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.982
Earnings Stability 0.46 0.49 0.54 0.55 0.62 0.65 0.54 0.09 0.03 0.15 0.33 0.23 0.18 0.19 0.11 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.27 0.06 0.064
Margin Stability 0.63 0.66 0.72 0.72 0.70 0.66 0.62 0.51 0.50 0.53 0.55 0.49 0.46 0.40 0.36 0.28 0.40 0.59 0.52 0.29 0.288
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.94 0.87 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.91 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.95 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.811
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.57 0.85 0.61 0.00 — 0.00 0.74 0.00 — 0.00 0.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.618
ROE Trend 0.14 0.09 0.12 0.11 0.03 0.02 -0.08 -0.19 -0.21 -0.15 -0.12 -0.03 -0.00 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.027
Gross Margin Trend 0.17 0.19 0.16 0.12 0.02 -0.08 -0.16 -0.24 -0.23 -0.19 -0.13 -0.09 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.007
FCF Margin Trend -0.09 -0.16 -0.15 -0.19 -0.19 -0.11 -0.11 -0.05 -0.05 -0.08 -0.08 -0.07 -0.03 0.02 0.08 0.18 0.25 0.27 0.21 0.07 0.067
Sustainable Growth Rate 13.6% 14.3% 4.7% 8.0% 4.1% 2.3% 11.9% 1.4% — 2.7% 5.8% 8.8% 8.7% 5.5% 2.8% 2.2% 1.3% -0.5% -0.5% 0.4% 0.45%
Internal Growth Rate 9.8% 10.4% 3.0% 5.3% 2.7% 1.5% 8.0% 0.9% — 1.7% 3.7% 5.6% 5.2% 3.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7% — — 0.2% 0.24%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.62 0.37 0.37 0.07 0.01 0.50 0.76 4.71 -21.80 3.05 1.13 1.06 0.85 2.18 5.53 8.04 9.66 96.45 64.32 4.02 4.018
FCF/OCF 0.62 0.32 0.35 -2.46 -49.75 -0.27 -0.41 -0.01 -0.28 -0.90 -1.35 -0.90 -0.90 -0.19 0.10 0.64 0.81 0.99 1.36 0.69 0.691
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.776
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.212
CapEx/Revenue 5.7% 5.7% 5.1% 5.3% 6.0% 8.9% 10.6% 6.7% 15.6% 15.7% 14.8% 19.5% 15.5% 17.2% 19.8% 14.8% 11.8% 7.2% 1.9% 4.0% 3.98%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.909
Accruals Ratio 0.07 0.11 0.12 0.18 0.15 0.06 0.02 -0.03 -0.07 -0.03 -0.00 -0.00 0.01 -0.04 -0.09 -0.09 -0.09 -0.10 -0.06 -0.04 -0.042
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.029
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.938
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.49%
Dividend/Share $9.09 $9.75 $22.35 $23.11 $23.11 $23.17 $0.79 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2.61 $2.61 $2.61 $13.04 $0.00 $13.78 $13.44 $13.44 $47.53 $2.75
Payout Ratio 50.3% 44.0% 84.4% 73.6% 82.7% 87.3% 4.3% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% 9.8% 9.4% 13.0% 21.1% 0.0% 36.4% 3.6% 4.0% 83.0% 83.03%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.3% 3.7% 6.5% — — — — — — — — — — — 36.8% 0.0% 4.7% 3.8% 4.6% 29.9% 29.91%
Total Payout Ratio 50.3% 44.0% 84.4% 73.6% 82.7% 87.3% 4.3% 29.0% — 25.5% 17.8% 16.3% 13.0% 18.0% 21.1% 0.4% 36.8% 3.7% 4.0% 83.0% 83.03%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 — — 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.68 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.64 0.81 0.93 0.38 -0.13 0.46 0.63 1.05 1.49 1.00 1.10 1.21 1.26 0.13 0.11 2.16 2.161
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.92 0.83 0.55 0.54 0.61 0.68 0.68 0.55 0.54 0.40 0.27 0.26 0.28 0.28 0.24 0.237
EBIT Margin 0.36 0.36 0.34 0.32 0.25 0.19 0.13 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.13 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.062
Asset Turnover 0.75 0.74 0.88 0.93 0.98 0.85 0.78 0.63 0.57 0.61 0.64 0.60 0.57 0.56 0.52 0.46 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.44 0.440
Equity Multiplier 1.53 1.51 1.63 1.60 1.56 1.52 1.60 1.61 1.66 1.61 1.64 1.65 1.76 1.74 1.75 1.77 1.84 1.87 1.88 1.87 1.865
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $18.09 $22.18 $26.48 $31.42 $27.93 $26.54 $18.34 $2.68 $-1.06 $5.94 $14.20 $26.67 $27.80 $20.06 $61.74 $37.35 $37.87 $3.69 $3.37 $57.25 $57.25
Book Value/Share $74.39 $117.56 $115.69 $140.92 $159.16 $170.46 $174.59 $226.29 $239.68 $275.78 $309.39 $321.80 $336.26 $352.50 $1876.61 $1903.95 $2084.88 $2139.47 $2197.81 $2377.96 $244.56
Tangible Book/Share $70.65 $111.93 $109.59 $134.07 $151.65 $162.64 $166.69 $215.71 $228.59 $263.77 $296.28 $308.61 $322.67 $338.60 $1803.18 $1830.50 $2005.18 $2057.13 $2113.34 $2289.95 $2289.95
Revenue/Share $75.96 $97.46 $124.24 $153.21 $179.57 $188.35 $184.03 $188.98 $189.97 $219.06 $254.95 $274.47 $291.34 $303.58 $1544.89 $1420.37 $1518.53 $1569.47 $1614.99 $1789.72 $177.42
FCF/Share $6.99 $2.65 $3.45 $-5.80 $-10.57 $-3.61 $-5.64 $-0.12 $-6.49 $-16.22 $-21.61 $-25.42 $-21.50 $-8.44 $35.47 $193.77 $295.29 $350.94 $295.12 $158.89 $24.34
OCF/Share $11.30 $8.17 $9.80 $2.35 $0.21 $13.18 $13.87 $12.60 $23.16 $18.10 $16.03 $28.16 $23.76 $43.78 $341.46 $300.44 $366.05 $355.77 $216.89 $230.04 $33.43
Cash/Share $18.58 $33.14 $23.12 $17.79 $16.79 $23.42 $31.56 $24.98 $31.45 $38.23 $39.07 $44.11 $77.89 $84.57 $535.10 $599.42 $728.14 $858.52 $923.43 $907.17 $90.42
EBITDA/Share $29.56 $37.66 $45.20 $52.64 $50.07 $40.59 $29.16 $18.66 $21.19 $29.09 $42.23 $48.39 $45.73 $50.20 $210.21 $165.08 $176.20 $164.45 $161.61 $189.85 $189.85
Debt/Share $15.96 $23.82 $32.19 $35.29 $39.63 $43.60 $53.47 $73.15 $88.19 $100.33 $119.97 $135.98 $179.95 $180.44 $952.53 $966.68 $1094.01 $1183.64 $1157.51 $1202.04 $1202.04
Net Debt/Share $-2.62 $-9.32 $9.08 $17.50 $22.84 $20.18 $21.91 $48.17 $56.74 $62.10 $80.91 $91.87 $102.05 $95.87 $417.43 $367.26 $365.87 $325.11 $234.07 $294.87 $294.87
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 7 6 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 5 5 7 6 7 6 5 6 6 6 7 7
Beneish M-Score -1.03 -0.45 -0.35 -0.20 0.26 6.99 0.99 -1.41 -2.57 -2.36 -1.89 -2.07 -2.03 -1.92 -2.31 -2.70 -2.96 -3.01 -2.81 -2.50 -2.495
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -10.212
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 3.52%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-36.14
EVA snapshot only $-70615259385.31
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 81.15 79.05 76.05 71.55 71.55 70.55 64.35 50.70 49.80 50.70 54.00 55.95 52.35 52.95 52.25 52.15 51.15 51.15 50.55 45.80 45.800
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only -6.350
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000

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