ESAB NYSE
ESAB Corporation
1W: +4.4%
1M: -6.2%
3M: -24.5%
YTD: -40.2%
1Y: -45.4%
3Y: +3.9%
$69.29
+1.98 (+2.94%)
After Hours: $67.72 (-1.57, -2.27%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.5%
$58
$63
$67
$71
$76
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 62% of companies Debt: 36.7% of company value Bonds: $190.4M held by 310 funds, 148 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $3.13 (down 95%), ESAB Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.42B against a stock market value of $4.18B.
Distance to default 4.08 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-03, debt counted $1.20B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 45.9%; Altman Z 1.59. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $3.13 (down 95%), ESAB Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.42B against a stock market value of $4.18B.
Distance to default 4.08 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-03, debt counted $1.20B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 45.9%; Altman Z 1.59. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Institutions
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Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+21.1% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+21.1%
Day 206 of 252
2026 YTD
-38.5%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
41%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
☀️
+4.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.9%
75% win
26% vol
Feb
20yr
⛅
+9.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.3%
100% win
34% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+12.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.3%
40% win
36% vol
Apr
20yr
⛈️
+7.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-17.5%
40% win
50% vol
May
20yr
🌫️
+9.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.6%
60% win
37% vol
Jun
20yr
🌫️
+4.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-32.3%
40% win
41% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+13.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-26.2%
60% win
37% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+15.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.2%
40% win
45% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+14.7%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.6%
20% win
33% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+25.9%
Midterm
💨
+11.8%
80% win
41% vol
Now:
+5.3%
Nov
20yr
💨
+34.4%
Midterm
💨
+26.9%
75% win
41% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+1.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-0.8%
25% win
22% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -38.5%