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ESINQ OTC

ITT Educational Services, Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: +0.0% YTD: -60.0% 1Y: -60.0% 3Y: -60.0% 5Y: -97.8%
$0.00
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services · Tech Score Neutral · Power 51 · $960 mcap · 24M float · 0.256% daily turnover

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 43 Grade B
Profitability
35
Balance Sheet
52
Earnings Quality
84
Growth
8
Value
74
Momentum
45
Safety
90
Cash Flow
46
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ESINQ scores highest in Safety (90/100) and lowest in Growth (8/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.97
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.77
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.10
Bankruptcy prob: 0.6%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 54.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.45x
Accruals: -4.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ESINQ scores 3.97, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ESINQ scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ESINQ's score of -2.77 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ESINQ's implied 0.6% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ESINQ receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 54.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). ESINQ's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
0.00x
PEG
-0.00x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
0.00x
P/FCF
1.04x
P/OCF
0.92x
EV/EBITDA
1.70x
EV/Revenue
0.19x
EV/EBIT
2.19x
EV/FCF
3.33x
Earnings Yield
44.38%
FCF Yield
95.76%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$11.45
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 0.0x earnings, ESINQ trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 44.4% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $11.45 per share, suggesting a potential 28631451% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.590
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.516
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.087
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.193
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
4.049
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
12.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ESINQ's ROE of 12.8% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 4.05x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.59 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$7.24
Price/Value
0.27x
Margin of Safety
73.49%
Premium
-73.49%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with ESINQ's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. ESINQ trades at a -73% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $7.24, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 0.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.00
Median 1Y
$0.00
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.00
Ann. Volatility
1072.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
ROE 2.4% 2.1% 3.3% 2.9% 1.7% 94.8% 49.3% 27.2% 1.7% -70.9% -48.7% -58.6% -53.7% 18.4% 24.4% 24.9% 19.2% 15.4% 10.7% 12.8% 12.84%
ROA 50.1% 43.9% 41.5% 41.1% 35.4% 19.9% 9.5% 6.1% 0.5% -11.6% -9.5% -12.5% -13.0% 3.0% 4.4% 4.6% 3.7% 3.3% 2.5% 3.2% 3.17%
ROIC -8.0% -5.2% -10.6% 3.7% 2.3% 6.3% 1.1% 79.3% 78.7% 21.6% 4.2% -11.1% -10.6% 11.6% 15.9% 16.4% 18.6% 17.7% 14.9% 14.9% 14.91%
ROCE 1.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% 66.8% 27.6% 18.0% 5.5% -29.3% -20.4% -29.2% -27.0% 18.1% 22.0% 23.5% 25.8% 23.7% 19.9% 20.5% 20.50%
Gross Margin 60.8% 64.3% 60.2% 57.3% 57.3% 57.0% 56.4% 52.6% 53.7% 45.5% 49.5% 51.2% 51.5% 56.1% 55.0% 52.5% 54.1% 54.6% 51.6% 49.8% 49.76%
Operating Margin 30.5% 34.4% 29.4% 23.6% 22.3% -5.3% 18.9% 13.1% 7.7% -22.2% 5.5% 2.9% 2.8% 14.2% 12.0% 5.4% 6.2% 13.5% 7.4% 7.5% 7.53%
Net Margin 18.7% 20.7% 17.9% 14.0% 13.5% -3.1% -6.1% 7.8% 3.6% -36.9% 0.3% -0.1% 3.3% 6.1% 4.5% 0.3% 0.8% 5.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.44%
EBITDA Margin 32.5% 36.6% 31.8% 26.1% 24.6% -2.9% -4.2% 15.9% 10.1% -47.5% 8.2% 5.6% 11.9% 17.5% 14.6% 8.3% 8.5% 16.1% 10.2% 10.1% 10.06%
FCF Margin 29.6% 23.8% 14.5% 8.2% 6.8% 6.8% 0.9% 5.4% 8.6% 6.9% 15.1% 16.8% 15.1% 13.6% 13.4% 11.2% 10.2% 8.2% 5.9% 5.7% 5.73%
OCF Margin 31.6% 25.9% 16.6% 10.3% 8.5% 8.2% 2.1% 6.2% 9.3% 7.3% 15.6% 17.2% 15.6% 14.2% 14.0% 11.9% 11.1% 9.0% 6.8% 6.5% 6.50%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -12.89%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 55.62%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.00%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.01%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 12.07%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.59%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 18.86%
CROIC snapshot only 16.64%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 5.14%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 4.51%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 42.74%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.58%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
P/E Ratio 4.74 4.93 5.99 5.72 3.36 2.94 5.25 16.00 253.60 -9.19 -10.12 -4.45 -1.14 9.65 4.85 2.80 2.96 3.83 4.35 2.25 0.000
P/S Ratio 1.01 1.01 1.16 1.02 0.56 0.32 0.26 0.50 0.66 0.73 0.67 0.39 0.10 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.06 0.000
P/B Ratio 12.15 8.98 18.51 16.97 5.73 3.27 2.04 3.19 3.65 6.80 5.74 3.26 0.77 1.61 1.05 0.62 0.52 0.55 0.45 0.28 0.000
P/FCF 3.42 4.25 8.02 12.52 8.21 4.70 30.27 9.21 7.70 10.72 4.43 2.33 0.68 1.75 1.26 0.92 0.90 1.29 1.53 1.04 1.044
P/OCF 3.20 3.91 7.02 9.98 6.56 3.89 12.54 7.93 7.12 10.02 4.29 2.27 0.66 1.67 1.21 0.87 0.83 1.16 1.33 0.92 0.921
EV/EBITDA 2.43 2.40 3.17 3.17 1.78 1.17 1.86 5.20 13.31 -12.07 -18.48 -6.09 -3.28 3.80 2.44 1.86 1.79 1.91 1.92 1.70 1.697
EV/Revenue 0.90 0.86 1.08 1.01 0.53 0.24 0.21 0.44 0.56 0.79 0.70 0.41 0.21 0.41 0.30 0.25 0.22 0.23 0.21 0.19 0.191
EV/EBIT 2.55 2.53 3.36 3.39 1.92 1.32 2.34 7.38 33.29 -8.70 -11.00 -4.40 -2.36 5.09 3.13 2.34 2.30 2.43 2.53 2.19 2.187
EV/FCF 3.05 3.61 7.46 12.37 7.83 3.52 24.66 8.16 6.56 11.58 4.66 2.42 1.41 3.03 2.26 2.19 2.19 2.78 3.46 3.33 3.332
Earnings Yield 21.1% 20.3% 16.7% 17.5% 29.8% 34.0% 19.1% 6.3% 0.4% -10.9% -9.9% -22.5% -87.7% 10.4% 20.6% 35.8% 33.8% 26.1% 23.0% 44.4% 44.38%
FCF Yield 29.2% 23.5% 12.5% 8.0% 12.2% 21.3% 3.3% 10.9% 13.0% 9.3% 22.6% 42.9% 1.5% 57.3% 79.1% 1.1% 1.1% 77.7% 65.5% 95.8% 95.76%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.281
EV/OCF snapshot only 2.940
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 0.363
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 2.193
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $11.45
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
Current Ratio 1.17 1.32 1.18 1.10 1.29 1.18 1.55 1.46 1.26 0.92 0.87 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.90 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.72 0.721
Quick Ratio 1.17 1.32 1.18 1.10 1.29 1.18 1.55 1.46 1.26 0.92 0.87 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.90 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.72 0.721
Debt/Equity 1.17 0.89 1.91 1.78 1.06 1.11 0.95 0.67 0.30 2.41 2.01 2.00 2.38 2.14 1.78 1.66 1.58 1.46 1.25 1.09 1.087
Net Debt/Equity -1.32 -1.35 -1.29 -0.20 -0.26 -0.82 -0.38 -0.36 -0.54 0.55 0.29 0.13 0.83 1.18 0.83 0.86 0.74 0.64 0.58 0.61 0.615
Debt/Assets 0.22 0.21 0.26 0.27 0.24 0.21 0.23 0.19 0.10 0.35 0.31 0.31 0.41 0.40 0.37 0.36 0.34 0.35 0.32 0.31 0.307
Debt/EBITDA 0.26 0.28 0.35 0.34 0.35 0.53 1.06 1.23 1.28 -3.96 -6.16 -3.60 -4.88 2.91 2.31 2.09 2.23 2.32 2.32 2.06 2.061
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.30 -0.42 -0.24 -0.04 -0.09 -0.39 -0.42 -0.67 -2.32 -0.90 -0.89 -0.24 -1.70 1.61 1.08 1.08 1.05 1.02 1.07 1.17 1.165
Interest Coverage 281.95 279.44 258.43 162.42 117.24 62.50 16.71 5.37 0.98 -2.43 -1.35 -1.92 -1.77 2.07 2.56 2.50 2.20 1.99 1.80 2.07 2.066
Equity Multiplier 5.35 4.32 7.22 6.61 4.44 5.37 4.06 3.50 3.03 6.98 6.54 6.46 5.83 5.30 4.79 4.59 4.62 4.12 3.84 3.54 3.544
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.306
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.662
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.435
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.247
Defensive Interval snapshot only 136.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
Asset Turnover 2.35 2.14 2.14 2.30 2.12 1.83 1.88 1.96 1.85 1.44 1.44 1.42 1.43 1.23 1.26 1.25 1.19 1.20 1.19 1.19 1.193
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 21.81 25.63 25.50 23.13 18.54 20.18 15.49 11.79 10.59 12.00 11.28 10.43 10.46 13.18 15.44 16.30 15.98 17.85 17.39 16.38 16.379
Payables Turnover 6.61 7.54 7.32 7.46 6.54 7.57 7.46 7.07 7.22 8.45 7.76 7.18 7.03 7.32 6.31 5.64 5.54 6.12 5.84 5.43 5.432
DSO 17 14 14 16 20 18 24 31 34 30 32 35 35 28 24 22 23 20 21 22 22.3 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 55 48 50 49 56 48 49 52 51 43 47 51 52 50 58 65 66 60 63 67 67.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -38 -34 -36 -33 -36 -30 -25 -21 -16 -13 -15 -16 -17 -22 -34 -42 -43 -39 -42 -45 -44.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.755
Cash Velocity snapshot only 9.916
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.756
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
Revenue -1.2% -6.0% -8.8% -11.7% -12.5% -14.5% -15.7% -16.9% -18.0% -16.5% -16.7% -13.7% -11.0% -10.1% -6.8% -7.1% -9.5% -11.6% -14.9% -16.8% -16.83%
Net Income -10.5% -17.7% -23.9% -29.6% -31.6% -54.6% -78.2% -85.6% -98.7% -1.6% -2.1% -3.4% -31.9% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% -1.5% -49.1% -39.9% -39.91%
EPS 9.1% -3.1% -13.0% -17.1% -21.0% -49.1% -76.2% -85.6% -98.7% -1.6% -2.1% -3.5% -31.8% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% -2.1% -49.2% -40.0% -40.00%
FCF -3.3% -32.1% -61.5% -78.2% -79.8% -75.5% -94.9% -45.4% 3.3% -16.1% 13.4% 1.7% 56.7% 78.1% -17.0% -37.9% -38.9% -47.0% -62.3% -57.5% -57.51%
EBITDA -8.8% -16.3% -22.4% -27.5% -29.3% -51.3% -71.5% -78.0% -88.4% -1.3% -1.3% -1.7% -2.4% 2.5% 4.0% 2.8% 2.7% -3.1% -26.6% -29.2% -29.16%
Op. Income -9.5% -17.4% -23.8% -29.2% -31.1% -54.4% -60.3% -65.7% -75.4% -78.8% -95.6% -1.1% -1.4% 25.0% 8.3% 5.2% 3.7% 29.2% -13.4% -16.5% -16.50%
OCF Growth snapshot only -54.43%
Asset Growth snapshot only -17.77%
Equity Growth snapshot only 6.41%
Debt Growth snapshot only -30.25%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.15%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
Revenue 3Y 16.9% 13.9% 10.9% 7.0% 3.3% -1.0% -4.6% -8.2% -10.8% -12.5% -13.8% -14.1% -13.9% -13.8% -13.1% -12.7% -12.9% -12.8% -12.9% -12.6% -12.64%
Revenue 5Y 16.0% 14.6% 13.1% 11.3% 9.8% 8.1% 6.4% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% -0.9% -2.6% -4.3% -6.1% -7.6% -9.1% -10.6% -11.8% -12.7% -13.3% -13.33%
EPS 3Y 36.2% 30.6% 24.9% 18.5% 10.4% -10.2% -34.0% -46.8% -77.8% — — — — -55.8% -49.8% -48.9% -50.6% -45.1% -35.3% -17.6% -17.65%
EPS 5Y 35.0% 32.9% 29.6% 26.0% 22.0% 9.3% -9.0% -19.6% -52.0% — — — — -34.3% -31.3% -32.5% -36.4% -39.4% -43.8% -41.8% -41.85%
Net Income 3Y 20.4% 14.9% 8.6% 0.6% -5.8% -22.3% -42.5% -53.1% -80.1% — — — — -57.5% -51.0% -48.5% -50.2% -44.9% -35.0% -17.0% -16.98%
Net Income 5Y 23.3% 21.0% 17.6% 12.7% 9.3% -1.6% -18.0% -27.4% -56.6% — — — — -39.7% -36.6% -37.2% -40.4% -42.6% -46.1% -43.4% -43.44%
EBITDA 3Y 20.8% 14.7% 8.6% 1.3% -4.9% -20.0% -36.6% -45.3% -57.9% — — — — -42.1% -38.0% -34.9% -35.0% -27.2% -15.0% -3.8% -3.83%
EBITDA 5Y 24.3% 21.5% 17.9% 13.1% 9.9% -0.2% -13.2% -20.4% -32.1% — — — — -27.3% -26.6% -27.1% -29.3% -30.9% -32.9% -32.4% -32.35%
Gross Profit 3Y 18.3% 14.5% 10.3% 5.1% 0.6% -5.1% -9.1% -13.2% -16.3% -19.2% -21.3% -21.5% -21.0% -19.1% -17.4% -16.1% -15.7% -14.8% -14.9% -14.4% -14.41%
Gross Profit 5Y 20.9% 18.8% 16.2% 12.9% 10.7% 7.8% 5.3% 2.8% 0.4% -2.5% -5.3% -7.3% -9.4% -10.4% -11.4% -12.8% -14.1% -15.4% -16.4% -17.0% -16.98%
Op. Income 3Y 21.4% 15.6% 9.2% 1.4% -5.1% -21.8% -29.5% -37.1% -46.5% -56.9% -76.3% — — -50.6% -45.4% -42.0% -38.6% -30.1% -29.2% -22.0% -22.01%
Op. Income 5Y 25.7% 22.8% 19.0% 13.8% 10.4% -0.9% -7.0% -13.0% -21.2% -31.6% -53.0% — — -33.9% -32.2% -32.4% -32.1% -33.6% -36.0% -35.1% -35.08%
FCF 3Y 55.3% 37.5% 19.9% -16.5% -24.7% -31.6% -69.3% -47.7% -41.4% -48.1% -34.5% -31.5% -31.1% -28.5% -15.4% -3.0% -0.4% -7.5% 65.3% -10.7% -10.74%
FCF 5Y 25.2% 24.1% 7.1% -3.6% -7.9% -10.3% -43.4% -11.8% -4.8% -11.8% 4.7% -3.0% -7.1% -13.7% -19.2% -24.8% -28.0% -33.3% -38.5% -39.0% -38.96%
OCF 3Y 46.1% 30.9% 15.9% -13.9% -21.8% -29.5% -59.9% -46.2% -41.2% -48.0% -35.0% -32.3% -31.9% -29.3% -18.0% -8.3% -5.1% -10.1% 29.1% -11.5% -11.46%
OCF 5Y 20.1% 18.8% 4.3% -3.5% -7.2% -9.9% -34.4% -13.6% -8.0% -14.6% 0.5% -5.2% -8.6% -14.6% -19.7% -25.0% -27.9% -32.8% -37.5% -38.1% -38.14%
Assets 3Y 7.4% 6.2% 1.1% -3.8% -3.5% 3.1% -1.7% -0.9% -1.0% 6.1% 3.5% 5.6% 3.8% 1.1% 3.7% 8.5% 7.6% -0.6% -1.1% -2.4% -2.42%
Assets 5Y 11.0% 5.4% 3.4% 1.0% 3.3% 4.5% 3.5% 4.5% 1.9% 5.8% 4.0% 4.4% 3.4% 4.1% 1.7% 1.9% 3.0% -0.3% -2.4% -2.4% -2.36%
Equity 3Y -0.8% -1.0% -22.8% -26.9% -14.9% -7.0% 0.6% 5.5% 12.2% -3.3% 14.0% 11.6% 0.8% -5.6% 18.9% 22.6% 6.1% 8.6% 0.8% -2.8% -2.84%
Book Value 3Y 12.2% 12.6% -11.2% -13.9% -0.2% 7.5% 15.4% 19.8% 25.4% 6.6% 22.1% 18.0% 5.4% -1.9% 21.8% 21.6% 5.4% 8.4% 0.3% -3.6% -3.61%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
Revenue Stability 0.94 0.90 0.85 0.75 0.63 0.45 0.29 0.13 0.04 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.29 0.57 0.80 0.94 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.972
Earnings Stability 0.90 0.84 0.72 0.53 0.34 0.03 0.02 0.10 0.21 0.41 0.54 0.66 0.75 0.74 0.78 0.80 0.81 0.71 0.69 0.62 0.620
Margin Stability 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.894
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.96 0.93 0.90 0.88 0.87 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.89 0.81 0.73 0.65 0.62 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 — — — — — — — — 0.99 0.35 0.50 0.501
ROE Trend 0.64 -0.59 -0.27 -0.22 -0.86 -1.26 -3.47 -3.34 -2.12 -2.21 -2.31 -2.32 -1.54 -0.02 0.31 0.49 0.51 0.43 0.28 0.38 0.380
Gross Margin Trend -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.08 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.03 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.008
FCF Margin Trend 0.06 -0.03 -0.16 -0.23 -0.23 -0.22 -0.24 -0.15 -0.10 -0.08 0.07 0.10 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.08 -0.08 -0.083
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.4% 2.1% 3.3% 2.9% 1.7% 94.8% 49.3% 27.2% 1.7% — — — — 18.4% 24.4% 24.9% 19.2% 15.4% 10.7% 12.8% 12.84%
Internal Growth Rate 1.0% 78.1% 71.0% 69.8% 54.8% 24.8% 10.4% 6.4% 0.5% — — — — 3.1% 4.6% 4.8% 3.9% 3.4% 2.6% 3.3% 3.28%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.48 1.26 0.85 0.57 0.51 0.76 0.42 2.02 35.61 -0.92 -2.36 -1.96 -1.72 5.78 4.00 3.23 3.55 3.29 3.27 2.45 2.446
FCF/OCF 0.94 0.92 0.87 0.80 0.80 0.83 0.41 0.86 0.92 0.93 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.92 0.90 0.87 0.88 0.882
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.158
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.577
CapEx/Revenue 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.77%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.303
Accruals Ratio -0.24 -0.11 0.06 0.18 0.17 0.05 0.05 -0.06 -0.17 -0.22 -0.32 -0.37 -0.35 -0.15 -0.13 -0.10 -0.09 -0.08 -0.06 -0.05 -0.046
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.095
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 8.494
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 1.1% 92.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 1.1% 13.5% — — — — 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 23.6% 18.7% 17.2% 19.1% 32.3% 50.9% 19.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 23.6% 18.7% 17.2% 19.1% 32.3% 50.9% 19.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 23.6% 18.7% 17.2% 19.1% 32.3% 50.9% 19.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.58 0.64 -10.00 0.62 0.59 0.62 0.64 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.58 0.59 0.590
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.94 0.81 -0.02 1.41 1.74 1.52 1.57 0.52 0.61 0.60 0.54 0.50 0.45 0.52 0.516
EBIT Margin 0.35 0.34 0.32 0.30 0.28 0.18 0.09 0.06 0.02 -0.09 -0.06 -0.09 -0.09 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.087
Asset Turnover 2.35 2.14 2.14 2.30 2.12 1.83 1.88 1.96 1.85 1.44 1.44 1.42 1.43 1.23 1.26 1.25 1.19 1.20 1.19 1.19 1.193
Equity Multiplier 4.85 4.73 7.92 7.12 4.89 4.77 5.22 4.49 3.59 6.14 5.12 4.68 4.14 6.05 5.55 5.40 5.17 4.67 4.30 4.05 4.049
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $12.15 $11.55 $11.04 $10.62 $9.60 $5.88 $2.63 $1.53 $0.12 $-3.66 $-2.83 $-3.75 $-3.76 $1.00 $1.40 $1.42 $1.16 $0.97 $0.71 $0.85 $0.85
Book Value/Share $4.74 $6.33 $3.57 $3.58 $5.62 $5.30 $6.74 $7.64 $8.50 $4.94 $5.00 $5.12 $5.55 $5.98 $6.46 $6.44 $6.58 $6.74 $6.79 $6.84 $6.81
Tangible Book/Share $4.74 $6.33 $3.57 $3.58 $5.62 $5.30 $6.74 $7.64 $8.50 $4.94 $5.00 $5.12 $5.55 $5.98 $6.46 $6.44 $6.58 $6.74 $6.79 $6.84 $6.84
Revenue/Share $56.90 $56.29 $56.79 $59.34 $57.56 $54.00 $52.29 $49.26 $46.80 $45.71 $42.91 $42.67 $41.51 $40.50 $40.05 $38.61 $37.21 $35.55 $34.01 $32.06 $35.93
FCF/Share $16.83 $13.40 $8.24 $4.85 $3.93 $3.68 $0.46 $2.65 $4.03 $3.13 $6.47 $7.17 $6.29 $5.50 $5.37 $4.33 $3.80 $2.90 $2.02 $1.84 $2.93
OCF/Share $17.98 $14.56 $9.43 $6.09 $4.91 $4.45 $1.10 $3.08 $4.35 $3.35 $6.68 $7.34 $6.49 $5.76 $5.60 $4.58 $4.11 $3.21 $2.33 $2.08 $3.24
Cash/Share $11.79 $14.17 $11.44 $7.11 $7.44 $10.26 $8.94 $7.87 $7.14 $9.21 $8.60 $9.59 $8.62 $5.72 $6.13 $5.17 $5.49 $5.48 $4.55 $3.23 $5.53
EBITDA/Share $21.16 $20.19 $19.41 $18.92 $17.29 $11.04 $6.05 $4.16 $1.98 $-3.01 $-1.63 $-2.85 $-2.70 $4.40 $4.98 $5.10 $4.65 $4.23 $3.65 $3.61 $3.61
Debt/Share $5.54 $5.63 $6.83 $6.38 $5.97 $5.90 $6.39 $5.10 $2.54 $11.92 $10.04 $10.27 $13.21 $12.81 $11.49 $10.68 $10.38 $9.82 $8.46 $7.44 $7.44
Net Debt/Share $-6.25 $-8.54 $-4.61 $-0.73 $-1.47 $-4.36 $-2.56 $-2.78 $-4.60 $2.71 $1.44 $0.68 $4.59 $7.08 $5.36 $5.51 $4.89 $4.34 $3.91 $4.21 $4.21
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.973
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.564
Piotroski F-Score 5 6 4 4 4 3 5 5 4 3 2 3 2 5 7 6 6 5 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -3.58 -3.24 -2.19 -0.85 -0.90 -1.38 -1.13 -1.87 -2.77 -2.61 -3.56 -4.03 -3.93 -3.55 -3.33 -3.09 -3.17 -2.78 -2.90 -2.77 -2.771
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.101
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 1.07%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-9.78
EVA snapshot only $13075583.83
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 95.39 96.42 94.85 95.78 97.11 96.78 81.77 81.72 66.33 47.80 55.52 49.46 45.23 58.96 62.14 60.28 57.83 51.09 51.44 54.16 54.157
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only -6.127
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 42
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 36

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