— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: FECCF (OTC) · $vol 0M

FEC.TO TSX

Frontera Energy Corporation
1W: -0.4% 1M: -4.5% 3M: -3.0% YTD: -17.0% 1Y: +39.9% 3Y: -12.9% 5Y: +31.3%
C$8.37 ($5.87)
+0.06 (+0.72%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.1%
C$8 C$8 C$8 C$9 C$9
TSX · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 33 · C$583.2M mcap · 35M float · 0.227% daily turnover

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 0Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. FEC.TO receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-21 B- C+
2026-07-30 C+ B-
2026-07-16 B- C+
2026-07-10 C+ B-
2026-07-02 B- C+
2026-05-06 C+ B-
2026-03-19 B- C+
2026-01-03 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade D
Profitability
32
Balance Sheet
61
Earnings Quality
30
Growth
12
Value
—
Momentum
20
Safety
—
Cash Flow
82

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-9.16
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.51
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 55.2/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -0.56x
Accruals: -67.1%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. FEC.TO scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. FEC.TO's score of -9.16 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. FEC.TO's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. FEC.TO receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 55.2/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.65x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
0.77x
P/B
1.62x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. FEC.TO currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.966
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
298.345
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.004
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.359
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.923
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-82.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. FEC.TO's ROE of -82.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.359), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.97 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$8.34
Median 1Y
$6.40
5th Pctile
$2.24
95th Pctile
$18.31
Ann. Volatility
66.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 7.2% 59.7% 68.1% 73.3% 69.4% 19.4% 11.4% 15.3% 19.2% 11.4% 11.6% 6.6% 5.6% -1.4% 0.7% -28.8% -28.4% -92.6% -96.7% -82.6% -82.59%
ROA 2.4% 26.9% 31.4% 33.4% 31.3% 10.8% 6.3% 8.7% 11.0% 6.7% 6.8% 3.9% 3.3% -0.8% 0.4% -16.2% -15.8% -45.4% -47.2% -42.9% -42.94%
ROIC 4.8% 50.1% 51.3% 53.8% 51.7% 12.9% 7.7% 8.4% 8.7% 8.8% 7.6% 5.6% 4.9% -1.8% 0.7% -20.4% -21.7% -43.6% -52.8% -2.9% -2.90%
ROCE 0.7% 33.8% 36.3% 41.6% 47.1% 27.5% 21.6% 20.0% 19.4% 9.9% 10.9% 8.9% 7.3% 5.4% 5.4% -19.0% -21.1% -32.9% -64.8% -0.6% -0.60%
Gross Margin 30.1% 47.1% 40.8% 40.8% 35.4% 31.9% 16.0% 11.8% 26.6% 18.6% 17.0% 44.1% 16.7% 20.2% 11.2% 11.7% 8.7% 1.0% 27.1% 24.4% 24.37%
Operating Margin 20.5% 2.2% 34.9% 35.3% 31.2% 25.5% 15.3% 18.6% 20.2% 11.9% 11.0% 16.2% 9.5% 5.1% 4.9% -2.0% 0.6% -6.9% 3.1% 8.1% 8.10%
Net Margin 19.8% 2.0% 37.3% 3.6% -6.4% 58.8% -4.4% 26.8% 10.1% 30.2% -3.2% -1.0% 5.9% -10.0% 9.9% -1.9% 9.8% -2.8% -1.2% 2.0% 1.98%
EBITDA Margin 38.1% 2.0% 51.2% 45.0% 39.6% 94.4% 30.1% 59.9% 39.8% 40.0% 37.5% 39.4% 40.1% 22.8% 36.2% -1.6% 34.0% 25.7% 19.9% 23.8% 23.79%
FCF Margin 8.2% 1.7% -1.4% 9.1% 12.7% 15.0% 5.2% -4.0% -1.3% -2.1% 8.9% 12.0% 8.9% 14.0% 16.1% 9.2% 14.4% 21.4% 24.0% 43.8% 43.82%
OCF Margin 32.4% 35.3% 39.1% 47.8% 44.3% 45.5% 37.5% 34.8% 39.2% 34.7% 39.9% 37.7% 36.4% 45.4% 45.4% 37.1% 41.2% 43.6% 48.2% 67.3% 67.29%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -92.40%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -42.05%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -46.71%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -6.28%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -2.56%
Cash ROA snapshot only 70.82%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 97.25%
CROIC snapshot only 63.34%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -2.00%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.24%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 6.47%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only -0.09%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.647
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.774
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.619
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.003
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.95 0.87 0.94 0.99 0.95 0.82 1.03 0.89 0.90 0.89 1.01 0.97 0.92 0.80 0.84 0.90 0.78 0.76 1.31 1.07 1.069
Quick Ratio 0.84 0.78 0.81 0.85 0.84 0.70 0.85 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.86 0.80 0.76 0.70 0.75 0.78 0.69 0.69 1.31 1.05 1.048
Debt/Equity 0.83 0.40 0.37 0.36 0.38 0.32 0.33 0.32 0.31 0.29 0.30 0.29 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.42 0.43 0.82 0.29 0.67 0.671
Net Debt/Equity 0.36 0.22 0.20 0.16 0.20 0.14 0.23 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.27 0.30 0.44 0.26 0.44 0.441
Debt/Assets 0.28 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.22 0.22 0.27 0.09 0.34 0.339
Debt/EBITDA 3.36 0.69 0.62 0.54 0.50 0.66 0.73 0.73 0.75 1.06 1.01 1.14 1.19 1.29 1.29 -4.91 -3.99 -3.56 -0.72 1.09 1.089
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.46 0.37 0.33 0.24 0.26 0.29 0.50 0.49 0.48 0.74 0.72 0.75 0.73 0.80 0.86 -3.21 -2.80 -1.90 -0.63 0.72 0.716
Interest Coverage 0.20 15.53 18.07 20.75 21.38 14.01 11.04 9.88 9.18 5.09 5.36 4.19 3.39 2.20 2.24 -6.46 -6.87 -6.07 -7.61 -0.05 -0.047
Equity Multiplier 3.03 1.86 1.83 1.77 1.82 1.73 1.77 1.73 1.69 1.65 1.67 1.67 1.68 1.69 1.66 1.91 1.96 3.05 3.20 1.98 1.979
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.432
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.346
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.342
FCF to Debt snapshot only 1.361
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1058.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.40 0.40 0.43 0.49 0.58 0.51 0.49 0.46 0.45 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.40 0.39 0.43 0.32 0.36 0.359
Inventory Turnover 9.03 10.77 8.35 9.80 10.94 13.72 10.34 11.44 12.69 13.11 10.97 9.83 10.07 13.28 13.23 12.54 13.71 19.60 28.63 16.66 16.656
Receivables Turnover 17.20 22.09 44.76 39.42 66.06 72.46 30.85 58.02 75.28 258.07 26.94 136.41 37.45 110.64 71.86 105.45 33.11 77.25 102.80 48.59 48.591
Payables Turnover 2.78 2.23 1.30 1.61 5.32 1.98 1.95 2.44 3.11 2.17 2.10 1.83 1.94 2.06 2.11 2.23 1.85 2.36 3.35 2.32 2.320
DSO 21 17 8 9 6 5 12 6 5 1 14 3 10 3 5 3 11 5 4 8 7.5 days
DIO 40 34 44 37 33 27 35 32 29 28 33 37 36 27 28 29 27 19 13 22 21.9 days
DPO 131 164 281 226 69 184 187 150 117 168 174 199 188 177 173 163 197 155 109 157 157.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -69 -113 -229 -180 -30 -152 -140 -112 -84 -139 -127 -160 -142 -146 -141 -131 -160 -131 -93 -128 -127.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.777
Operating Cycle snapshot only 29.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 9.070
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.950
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue -5.4% 40.8% 66.8% 54.6% 69.9% 47.4% 33.8% 10.0% -9.4% -13.2% -11.5% -7.8% -6.7% -5.2% -5.3% -6.8% -5.5% -9.1% -33.2% -51.7% -51.74%
Net Income 1.1% 2.3% 7.0% 10.6% 14.2% -54.0% -76.4% -69.1% -58.5% -33.1% 11.8% -53.2% -67.5% -1.1% -94.0% -4.9% -5.4% -43.4% -95.0% -43.5% -43.50%
EPS 1.1% 2.3% 7.0% 10.8% 16.0% -49.7% -73.1% -66.3% -57.8% -34.6% 12.3% -51.5% -67.5% -1.1% -93.7% -5.3% -6.2% -51.0% -111.5% -58.6% -58.61%
FCF -61.7% -87.9% -1.1% -10.0% 1.6% 12.1% 6.1% -1.5% -1.1% -1.1% 53.2% 3.8% 7.4% 7.4% 70.8% -28.5% 54.2% 39.6% -0.5% 1.3% 1.30%
EBITDA 18.0% 6.7% 63.4% 12.0% 5.4% -3.8% -20.6% -27.5% -34.7% -34.7% -25.8% -36.5% -36.6% -22.9% -26.4% -1.2% -1.3% -1.4% -1.6% 2.4% 2.43%
Op. Income 1.2% 3.1% 7.3% 277.9% 17.6% -49.4% -58.1% -69.0% -76.4% -54.5% -50.5% -41.2% -44.0% -40.7% -46.1% -3.4% -4.2% -5.1% -5.9% 96.8% 96.80%
OCF Growth snapshot only -12.52%
Asset Growth snapshot only -79.43%
Equity Growth snapshot only -80.13%
Debt Growth snapshot only -68.21%
Shares Change snapshot only -9.53%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -16.21%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -17.9% -12.3% -11.7% -7.0% -0.1% -1.4% 1.8% 9.5% 13.3% 21.7% 25.5% 16.2% 12.8% 6.7% 3.9% -1.9% -7.2% -9.2% -17.6% -25.4% -25.43%
Revenue 5Y — 28.0% 11.5% 5.5% 2.4% 1.6% 1.8% -1.2% -3.2% -2.9% -4.0% -4.0% -3.4% -4.6% -2.5% 2.4% 5.1% 9.2% 4.6% -6.8% -6.75%
EPS 3Y — — — 59.0% 94.2% 1.9% — — — — — — 32.7% — -73.3% — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — -30.6% -28.3% -27.1% -26.8% — — — — — — -8.1% 0.1% — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — 57.0% 88.1% -0.6% — — — — — — 27.1% — -74.8% — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — -31.0% -28.7% -27.8% -28.4% — — — — — — -11.0% -2.1% — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y -4.4% 83.4% 63.5% 26.6% 31.7% 10.5% 35.3% 92.7% — — 2.4% 81.4% 38.6% -21.5% -24.3% — — — — -40.0% -40.04%
EBITDA 5Y — — 88.7% 61.2% 74.1% 34.5% 29.3% 70.4% 29.6% 31.1% 20.8% -1.4% -1.1% -7.5% 6.2% — — — — 15.2% 15.15%
Gross Profit 3Y -20.4% 4.3% 6.0% 10.8% 20.8% 19.1% 32.9% 1.4% — — — 73.0% 32.2% -7.8% -13.5% -29.5% -36.3% -45.0% -49.4% -53.6% -53.56%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — 1.6% 51.6% 15.6% 2.9% -6.6% -7.9% -2.1% -2.5% -1.7% 7.0% 46.6% — — — -11.9% -11.91%
Op. Income 3Y 1.6% — — 2.0% 4.1% 45.1% — — — — — 2.7% 34.9% -48.5% -51.8% — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — 10.4% 12.9% 17.5% 25.4% — — — 1.4% — — 36.8% 77.5% -3.8% — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y -12.5% — — — — 5.5% -23.2% — — — -15.9% 6.2% 15.7% 1.2% — -1.7% -3.1% 2.2% 37.6% — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — 8.9% 9.2% — — — — — — -2.1% 3.5% -11.5% -1.8% 11.2% 0.2% 14.5% 14.46%
OCF 3Y -19.7% 1.6% 3.7% 9.5% 20.0% 4.3% -1.0% -0.3% 8.8% 22.0% 27.9% 27.7% 17.3% 15.9% 9.2% -9.8% -9.5% -10.5% -10.4% -7.1% -7.09%
OCF 5Y — — 1.5% 1.0% 36.3% 11.7% 9.6% 1.3% -0.7% 5.7% 6.1% 1.0% 3.6% -1.4% -0.3% -1.9% 3.6% 14.5% 9.9% 10.8% 10.82%
Assets 3Y -7.5% 4.5% 5.8% 1.8% 2.3% 3.2% 14.4% 18.1% 15.8% 13.5% 15.1% 13.4% 13.8% 3.6% 1.3% -2.7% -1.5% -12.6% -12.6% -44.2% -44.24%
Assets 5Y — -1.0% -0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 1.2% 0.9% 2.5% 2.3% 5.7% 5.3% 3.5% 4.8% 3.1% 9.0% 6.8% 5.5% -2.4% -1.2% -24.5% -24.51%
Equity 3Y -17.2% 11.1% 12.6% 5.7% 6.9% 9.3% 27.7% 32.7% 38.3% 37.3% 38.7% 40.4% 38.5% 7.0% 4.5% -5.1% -3.9% -27.6% -28.3% -46.7% -46.67%
Book Value 3Y -17.0% 11.8% 13.4% 7.0% 10.3% 12.1% 32.8% 37.2% 43.3% 40.5% 45.2% 47.1% 44.5% 13.4% 10.8% 1.9% 2.0% -21.4% -23.2% -42.5% -42.52%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 66.8% 33.7% 17.8% 5.6% -1.7% -1.71%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.88 0.11 0.02 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.14 0.04 0.25 0.14 0.20 0.04 0.03 0.028
Earnings Stability 0.49 0.30 0.26 0.25 0.27 0.30 0.48 0.37 0.38 0.19 0.33 0.11 0.16 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.39 0.48 0.477
Margin Stability 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.62 0.67 0.60 0.35 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.416
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.87 0.95 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.00 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.60 0.89 0.27 0.00 — 0.00 — — — — — —
ROE Trend 0.39 0.68 0.68 0.89 0.85 0.31 -0.04 -0.05 -0.12 -0.21 -0.19 -0.27 -0.29 -0.16 -0.10 -0.45 -0.46 -1.83 -1.97 -2.35 -2.350
Gross Margin Trend 0.05 0.42 0.39 0.35 0.35 0.32 0.19 0.01 -0.06 -0.19 -0.17 -0.06 -0.07 -0.03 -0.03 -0.11 -0.10 -0.13 -0.13 -0.15 -0.148
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 -0.14 -0.22 -0.08 -0.02 0.04 -0.09 -0.16 -0.12 -0.10 0.07 0.09 0.03 0.07 0.09 0.05 0.11 0.15 0.11 0.33 0.332
Sustainable Growth Rate 7.2% 59.7% 68.1% 73.3% 69.4% 19.4% 11.4% 15.3% 19.2% 11.4% 11.6% 6.3% 5.1% — -0.2% — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 2.5% 36.7% 45.8% 50.1% 45.6% 12.1% 6.8% 9.6% 12.3% 7.2% 7.3% 3.9% 3.1% — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 5.40 0.52 0.53 0.71 0.83 2.15 2.89 1.83 1.59 2.13 2.43 3.91 4.24 -21.11 43.37 -0.92 -1.02 -0.42 -0.33 -0.56 -0.563
FCF/OCF 0.25 0.05 -0.03 0.19 0.29 0.33 0.14 -0.11 -0.03 -0.06 0.22 0.32 0.24 0.31 0.35 0.25 0.35 0.49 0.50 0.65 0.651
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.366
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 2.275
CapEx/Revenue 24.2% 33.6% 40.5% 38.7% 31.7% 30.4% 32.3% 38.8% 40.5% 36.8% 30.9% 25.7% 27.5% 31.4% 29.3% 27.9% 26.7% 22.2% 24.2% 23.5% 23.47%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.782
Accruals Ratio -0.11 0.13 0.15 0.10 0.05 -0.12 -0.12 -0.07 -0.07 -0.08 -0.10 -0.11 -0.11 -0.18 -0.17 -0.31 -0.32 -0.64 -0.63 -0.67 -0.671
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.067
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.632
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.01%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.05 $0.09 $0.14 $0.19 $0.19 $0.21 $0.21 $0.21 $0.16 $5.94
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 8.0% — 1.3% — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — 0.0% 2.8% 7.8% 7.4% 8.3% 14.5% 10.1% 6.8% 8.0% 4.8% 4.80%
Total Payout Ratio 32.4% 3.4% 3.5% 4.8% 12.5% 31.6% 51.0% 28.9% 4.0% 3.0% 2.3% 9.8% 17.8% — 6.8% — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -1.24 0.99 1.03 0.96 0.83 0.54 0.39 0.57 0.73 0.98 0.90 0.68 0.77 -0.31 0.15 1.05 0.95 0.96 1.00 0.97 0.966
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -4.12 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.80 0.81 0.76 0.71 0.61 0.62 1.13 1.12 2.65 2.47 298.34 298.345
EBIT Margin 0.01 0.73 0.76 0.74 0.68 0.43 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.21 0.22 0.19 0.16 0.11 0.11 -0.34 -0.37 -0.41 -0.60 -0.00 -0.004
Asset Turnover 0.40 0.40 0.43 0.49 0.58 0.51 0.49 0.46 0.45 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.40 0.39 0.43 0.32 0.36 0.359
Equity Multiplier 2.96 2.22 2.17 2.20 2.22 1.79 1.80 1.75 1.75 1.69 1.71 1.70 1.69 1.67 1.67 1.77 1.80 2.04 2.05 1.92 1.923
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.48 $6.46 $7.65 $8.19 $8.09 $3.25 $2.06 $2.77 $3.42 $2.13 $2.31 $1.34 $1.11 $-0.30 $0.15 $-5.70 $-5.78 $-15.38 $-16.06 $-9.04 $-9.04
Book Value/Share $6.78 $14.40 $15.51 $15.62 $15.73 $17.73 $18.50 $19.11 $19.56 $20.04 $21.29 $21.09 $20.48 $21.01 $21.12 $16.52 $16.67 $8.60 $8.38 $3.63 $3.50
Tangible Book/Share $6.78 $14.11 $15.51 $15.62 $15.73 $17.73 $18.50 $19.11 $19.56 $20.04 $21.29 $21.09 $20.48 $21.01 $21.12 $16.52 $16.67 $8.60 $8.38 $3.63 $3.63
Revenue/Share $7.94 $9.52 $10.38 $12.12 $15.09 $15.33 $15.83 $14.55 $13.91 $13.03 $14.07 $13.91 $12.97 $13.76 $13.87 $14.17 $14.38 $14.66 $10.89 $7.56 $7.56
FCF/Share $0.65 $0.16 $-0.14 $1.11 $1.91 $2.30 $0.82 $-0.58 $-0.18 $-0.27 $1.26 $1.67 $1.15 $1.92 $2.23 $1.31 $2.08 $3.14 $2.61 $3.31 $3.31
OCF/Share $2.57 $3.36 $4.06 $5.80 $6.69 $6.97 $5.94 $5.06 $5.45 $4.52 $5.61 $5.24 $4.72 $6.25 $6.30 $5.26 $5.92 $6.39 $5.25 $5.09 $5.09
Cash/Share $3.20 $2.65 $2.65 $3.09 $2.85 $3.25 $1.90 $2.06 $2.16 $1.75 $1.82 $2.14 $2.35 $2.36 $2.08 $2.39 $2.12 $3.30 $0.28 $0.83 $0.83
EBITDA/Share $1.68 $8.30 $9.26 $10.46 $12.09 $8.73 $8.38 $8.28 $8.03 $5.57 $6.24 $5.45 $5.09 $4.79 $4.78 $-1.41 $-1.79 $-1.98 $-3.40 $2.24 $2.24
Debt/Share $5.65 $5.76 $5.74 $5.60 $5.99 $5.74 $6.09 $6.08 $6.01 $5.90 $6.32 $6.20 $6.07 $6.20 $6.19 $6.93 $7.14 $7.07 $2.44 $2.43 $2.43
Net Debt/Share $2.45 $3.11 $3.09 $2.51 $3.14 $2.49 $4.19 $4.02 $3.84 $4.14 $4.50 $4.06 $3.72 $3.84 $4.11 $4.53 $5.01 $3.77 $2.16 $1.60 $1.60
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 7 8 7 8 8 6 7 6 5 5 7 7 5 5 5 4 4 4 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.45 -3.01 -0.83 -2.28 -2.33 -1.99 -1.59 1.06 -3.28 -1.49 -1.58 4.77 -1.58 -3.89 -4.00 -2.81 -0.38 4.28 182.86 -9.16 -9.158
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.513
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -0.71%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-1.61
EVA snapshot only $-47167869.06
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 41.55 67.30 67.80 70.31 76.18 74.24 67.54 59.84 60.59 56.21 63.27 57.97 56.70 61.39 62.12 43.16 43.27 52.33 56.51 55.20 55.201
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only 12.043
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 53
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 50

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