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Not Investment Advice

FIZN OTC

First Citizens Bancshares, Inc.
1W: +5.2% 1M: +5.2% 3M: +18.4% YTD: +5.2% 1Y: +10.4% 3Y: +33.3% 5Y: +56.9%
$75.01
Last traded 2026-02-02 — delisted
OTC · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · $287.6M mcap · 3M float · 0.0004% daily turnover

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 52 Grade A
Profitability
70
Balance Sheet
42
Earnings Quality
94
Growth
55
Value
74
Momentum
77
Safety
15
Cash Flow
60
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. FIZN scores highest in Earnings Quality (94/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). An overall grade of A places FIZN among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
1.15
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-1.65
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
—
—
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 44.6/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.03x
Accruals: -0.0%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. FIZN scores 1.15, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. FIZN scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. FIZN's score of -1.65 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. FIZN receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 44.6/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). FIZN's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
22.19x
PEG
0.47x
P/S
5.00x
P/B
1.44x
P/FCF
12.91x
P/OCF
11.92x
EV/EBITDA
16.83x
EV/Revenue
3.71x
EV/EBIT
16.83x
EV/FCF
19.88x
Earnings Yield
8.13%
FCF Yield
7.75%
Shareholder Yield
2.94%
Graham Number
$80.68
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 22.2x earnings, FIZN commands a growth premium. An earnings yield of 8.1% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $80.68 per share, suggesting a potential 8% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.888
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.220
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.044
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
13.229
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
11.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. FIZN's ROE of 11.4% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 13.23x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$214.68
Price/Value
0.32x
Margin of Safety
68.04%
Premium
-68.04%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with FIZN's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. FIZN trades at a -68% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $214.68, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 22.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$75.01
Median 1Y
$75.57
5th Pctile
$44.93
95th Pctile
$126.97
Ann. Volatility
31.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
ROE 10.1% 10.3% 10.3% 10.8% 11.3% 11.7% 13.7% 14.5% 15.0% 14.1% 14.2% 13.9% 14.2% 11.1% 9.4% 9.1% 9.6% 9.7% 10.3% 11.4% 11.39%
ROA 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.86%
ROIC 9.9% 7.8% 9.6% 10.7% 11.6% 10.6% 19.7% 16.5% 15.8% 11.0% 15.0% 12.5% 10.2% -3.0% 0.2% 5.7% 6.7% 7.6% 8.0% 5.1% 5.12%
ROCE 1.5% 2.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 2.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.95%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 53.8% 1.9% 53.1% 0.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin 36.3% 37.1% 32.8% 36.3% 37.3% 38.8% 38.7% 35.5% 30.5% 26.3% 25.0% 18.3% 14.2% -82.8% 53.8% 1.0% 53.1% -71.4% 1.0% 34.8% 34.84%
Net Margin 31.0% 30.9% 28.1% 30.5% 31.7% 29.3% 32.4% 30.2% 25.8% 20.0% 21.3% 16.0% 12.6% 12.7% 11.7% 22.9% 13.1% 15.0% 27.8% 30.2% 30.19%
EBITDA Margin 26.5% -3.4% -32.8% -36.3% -37.3% -3.9% 38.7% 35.5% 30.5% -3.7% 25.0% 18.3% -14.2% -4.7% -12.6% 0.0% 14.6% 16.6% 31.4% 34.8% 34.84%
FCF Margin 29.6% 32.0% 33.0% 33.4% 34.1% 31.7% 30.4% 29.1% 27.5% 20.7% 20.2% 19.7% 19.3% 21.1% 18.1% 17.4% 14.2% 14.9% 17.9% 18.6% 18.64%
OCF Margin 31.1% 33.6% 34.8% 35.2% 35.9% 33.4% 32.0% 30.7% 28.9% 21.7% 22.9% 23.8% 24.9% 27.3% 23.1% 21.8% 17.4% 17.5% 20.2% 20.2% 20.19%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 11.15%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 12.29%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.82%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.65%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 5.12%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.87%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 6.47%
CROIC snapshot only 5.98%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 15.97%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 22.02%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 40.63%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.37%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
P/E Ratio 8.31 8.62 9.96 9.98 9.99 9.30 6.96 8.01 7.14 8.14 7.83 9.08 10.22 11.11 12.78 13.75 12.18 11.63 13.76 12.31 22.192
P/S Ratio 2.49 2.61 2.94 3.00 3.03 2.78 2.16 2.48 2.10 2.18 1.88 1.87 1.77 1.72 1.69 1.93 1.72 1.71 2.48 2.41 4.998
P/B Ratio 0.79 0.84 1.00 1.06 1.10 1.08 1.04 1.40 1.42 1.44 1.18 1.26 1.46 1.14 1.17 1.21 1.00 1.13 1.36 1.32 1.441
P/FCF 8.42 8.15 8.89 8.98 8.87 8.77 7.11 8.51 7.64 10.54 9.33 9.52 9.20 8.16 9.31 11.09 12.12 11.49 13.84 12.91 12.906
P/OCF 8.01 7.75 8.45 8.53 8.42 8.33 6.75 8.08 7.25 10.03 8.23 7.85 7.14 6.32 7.30 8.83 9.87 9.80 12.31 11.92 11.917
EV/EBITDA 41.03 58.64 -84.51 -22.44 -10.36 -11.35 -18.54 29.59 9.91 13.09 9.18 12.11 38.15 46.54 -54.70 -24.56 -745.47 51.98 24.24 16.83 16.831
EV/Revenue 2.45 3.47 3.17 3.04 2.96 3.12 1.70 2.62 2.53 3.17 1.94 2.10 2.34 2.58 1.97 2.16 3.17 3.00 3.86 3.71 3.707
EV/EBIT 5.87 9.97 9.37 8.73 10.06 8.81 4.61 7.17 7.28 10.08 6.93 8.78 11.78 14.67 13.53 14.31 20.88 18.70 19.44 16.83 16.831
EV/FCF 8.29 10.84 9.59 9.08 8.67 9.83 5.59 9.02 9.22 15.31 9.63 10.67 12.13 12.20 10.89 12.44 22.35 20.09 21.53 19.88 19.884
Earnings Yield 12.0% 11.6% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.8% 14.4% 12.5% 14.0% 12.3% 12.8% 11.0% 9.8% 9.0% 7.8% 7.3% 8.2% 8.6% 7.3% 8.1% 8.13%
FCF Yield 11.9% 12.3% 11.2% 11.1% 11.3% 11.4% 14.1% 11.7% 13.1% 9.5% 10.7% 10.5% 10.9% 12.3% 10.7% 9.0% 8.3% 8.7% 7.2% 7.7% 7.75%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.467
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.490
EV/OCF snapshot only 18.362
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.967
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 20.597
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.94%
Graham Number snapshot only $80.68
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Current Ratio — 0.14 — — — 0.09 — — — 0.26 — — — 0.05 — — — 0.10 — — —
Quick Ratio — 0.14 — — — 0.09 — — — 0.26 — — — 0.05 — — — 0.10 — — —
Debt/Equity 0.48 0.45 0.42 0.39 0.32 0.35 0.40 0.61 0.81 1.02 0.64 0.83 1.14 0.90 0.79 0.82 0.85 0.84 0.76 0.72 0.715
Net Debt/Equity -0.01 0.28 0.08 0.01 -0.03 0.13 -0.22 0.08 0.30 0.65 0.04 0.15 0.47 0.57 0.20 0.15 0.85 0.84 0.76 0.72 0.715
Debt/Assets 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.056
Debt/EBITDA 25.40 23.57 -33.01 -8.11 -3.11 -3.30 -9.18 12.26 4.65 6.38 4.82 7.10 22.60 24.45 -31.49 -14.78 -341.32 22.25 8.66 5.91 5.907
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.65 14.57 -6.21 -0.26 0.24 -1.22 5.03 1.65 1.70 4.08 0.28 1.31 9.21 15.43 -7.92 -2.66 -341.32 22.25 8.66 5.91 5.907
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Equity Multiplier 8.85 9.05 9.37 9.21 9.24 9.71 12.04 13.94 16.22 15.68 13.68 14.16 16.53 13.23 13.45 13.75 12.45 13.89 13.13 12.77 12.771
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.000
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.143
Defensive Interval snapshot only 0.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.044
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Payables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 — 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 — 0 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 — 0 0 0 0 —
Capital Intensity snapshot only 23.227
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Revenue -85.1% 4.1% 7.6% 14.3% 19.2% 23.8% 20.2% 14.6% 12.6% 12.7% 15.8% 19.6% 20.6% 18.7% 16.4% 0.2% -0.6% -1.0% -13.7% -1.7% -1.67%
Net Income -79.2% 17.3% 12.6% 18.9% 20.6% 22.7% 26.4% 17.9% 9.1% 0.9% -10.2% -20.3% -28.7% -31.2% -36.1% -32.0% -19.2% -6.1% 17.7% 37.3% 37.27%
EPS -79.0% 17.1% 12.9% 17.6% 19.3% 23.2% 26.6% 19.4% 9.6% 1.1% -9.9% -20.1% -28.0% -31.0% -35.9% -31.4% -18.9% -5.2% 18.9% 38.8% 38.80%
FCF -96.1% -95.1% -92.2% -84.2% 37.6% 22.8% 10.4% -0.2% -9.4% -26.5% -23.0% -19.2% -15.3% 21.3% 4.5% -11.5% -26.9% -30.1% -14.7% 5.6% 5.57%
EBITDA -97.1% 7.8% -3.6% -16.5% -6.7% -6.8% -1.9% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 3.7% 1.3% -71.1% -72.8% -1.2% -1.5% -1.1% 3.0% 4.8% 3.5% 3.46%
Op. Income -80.5% 15.7% 10.4% 17.4% 19.6% 26.4% 31.1% 21.1% 12.2% 0.5% -11.1% -21.1% -30.0% -1.3% -98.5% -54.6% 9.9% 3.9% 64.7% 57.3% 57.27%
OCF Growth snapshot only -8.95%
Asset Growth snapshot only 4.67%
Equity Growth snapshot only 12.66%
Debt Growth snapshot only -1.56%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.11%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -1.19%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Revenue 3Y -62.5% -63.3% -63.1% -62.6% -62.2% -61.9% -58.2% -52.5% -41.5% 13.2% 14.4% 16.1% 17.4% 18.3% 17.4% 11.1% 10.5% 9.8% 5.1% 5.6% 5.61%
Revenue 5Y -41.1% -43.8% -43.3% -42.6% -41.8% -41.0% -41.0% -41.1% -41.1% -41.5% -41.2% -40.9% -40.7% -40.6% -37.1% -33.7% -24.9% 11.3% 8.5% 9.1% 9.06%
EPS 3Y -41.2% -40.9% -42.2% -38.4% -40.2% -41.4% -54.5% -48.8% -35.0% 13.4% 8.8% 3.9% -2.0% -4.9% -10.0% -13.2% -13.8% -12.9% -11.8% -8.7% -8.73%
EPS 5Y -17.4% -20.5% -18.9% -19.6% -18.4% -18.3% -18.5% -22.1% -23.3% -23.8% -26.2% -25.9% -30.0% -32.5% -44.2% -40.6% -30.7% -0.9% -0.4% 1.3% 1.32%
Net Income 3Y -59.5% -59.3% -60.2% -57.4% -58.6% -59.4% -54.7% -48.9% -35.0% 13.2% 8.5% 3.7% -2.1% -5.2% -10.1% -13.9% -14.3% -13.3% -12.3% -9.4% -9.36%
Net Income 5Y -34.0% -36.4% -35.1% -35.6% -34.6% -34.7% -34.8% -37.7% -38.6% -39.1% -41.0% -40.8% -44.0% -45.9% -44.3% -40.8% -30.9% -1.3% -0.8% 0.8% 0.85%
EBITDA 3Y -80.9% -81.3% — — — — — -70.2% -45.0% — — — 18.5% 15.8% — — — — — 43.0% 42.99%
EBITDA 5Y -58.5% -60.5% — — — — — -57.4% -47.5% -48.2% -49.5% -49.7% -59.2% -59.7% — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y -61.6% -62.7% -62.5% -62.1% -61.8% -61.4% -57.6% -51.9% -40.5% 13.2% 14.4% 16.1% 17.4% 18.3% 12.6% 11.3% 5.3% -8.8% -8.4% -14.4% -14.43%
Gross Profit 5Y -40.6% -43.2% -42.7% -42.1% -41.2% -40.2% -40.2% -40.2% -40.3% -40.9% -40.7% -40.5% -40.3% -40.1% -38.2% -33.1% -26.2% -0.5% -0.1% -3.9% -3.87%
Op. Income 3Y -62.9% -63.8% -64.1% -60.8% -60.9% -59.8% -54.9% -48.7% -36.1% 13.7% 8.8% 3.9% -2.1% — -74.1% -24.3% -4.8% -5.4% -4.7% -17.4% -17.38%
Op. Income 5Y -37.5% -40.0% -38.8% -39.2% -38.1% -37.8% -37.9% -40.7% -41.5% -43.0% -44.2% -43.5% -45.7% — -73.9% -45.4% -27.5% 4.4% 4.6% -4.3% -4.32%
FCF 3Y -55.0% -55.7% -64.8% -63.8% -62.9% -64.3% -56.9% -61.6% -63.6% -64.7% -59.6% -49.7% 1.8% 3.0% -3.9% -10.7% -17.5% -14.6% -11.8% -9.0% -8.98%
FCF 5Y -32.4% -30.5% -30.5% -30.1% -29.2% -28.3% -33.4% -35.4% -35.3% -39.9% -48.3% -47.9% -47.7% -47.3% -42.2% -47.3% -50.4% -48.2% -43.2% -34.7% -34.72%
OCF 3Y -58.6% -58.9% -66.0% -65.2% -64.5% -66.1% -61.2% -64.3% -66.0% -66.4% -60.5% -49.7% 9.0% 10.3% 2.5% -5.3% -13.2% -11.5% -9.8% -8.1% -8.14%
OCF 5Y -36.0% -36.3% -36.0% -35.2% -34.7% -33.6% -37.0% -38.7% -38.4% -42.6% -48.6% -47.7% -46.9% -46.8% -43.6% -47.8% -50.9% -48.6% -44.1% -36.1% -36.14%
Assets 3Y -61.4% -61.1% -60.7% -60.7% -60.5% -60.1% 9.5% 9.5% 8.8% 9.6% 8.1% 6.2% 5.4% 5.5% 4.6% 4.6% 4.4% 3.7% 3.5% 3.4% 3.37%
Assets 5Y -42.4% -42.2% -42.2% -42.0% -42.0% -41.6% -41.7% -41.9% -41.8% -41.3% -41.7% -41.8% -41.8% -41.7% 6.5% 6.7% 6.6% 6.6% 6.7% 5.4% 5.43%
Equity 3Y -59.2% -59.3% -59.6% -59.4% -59.4% -59.5% 0.9% -5.1% -10.8% -8.3% -7.4% -9.0% -14.4% -7.1% -7.2% -8.4% -5.5% -7.9% 0.6% 6.4% 6.45%
Book Value 3Y -40.8% -40.9% -41.3% -41.3% -41.4% -41.6% 1.2% -4.8% -10.8% -8.2% -7.2% -8.9% -14.3% -6.8% -7.0% -7.7% -4.9% -7.5% 1.1% 7.2% 7.19%
Dividend 3Y 7.0% 13.3% 21.5% 31.8% 47.0% 46.8% 2.1% 2.0% 1.7% -7.8% -8.2% -8.7% -9.1% 8.4% 6.2% 4.7% 2.3% -5.0% -2.7% -0.1% -0.08%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Revenue Stability 0.36 0.51 0.64 0.72 0.70 0.60 0.73 0.84 0.82 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.63 0.63 0.59 0.96 0.76 0.84 0.838
Earnings Stability 0.18 0.26 0.36 0.62 0.58 0.51 0.65 0.83 0.76 0.62 0.69 0.70 0.58 0.42 0.43 0.45 0.49 0.04 0.09 0.12 0.116
Margin Stability 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.95 0.98 0.94 0.79 0.84 0.77 0.769
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.93 0.95 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.93 0.96 1.00 0.96 0.92 0.89 0.88 0.86 0.87 0.92 0.98 0.93 0.85 0.851
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.84 0.88 0.83 0.81 0.80 0.77 0.84 0.91 0.99 0.89 0.77 0.67 0.63 0.56 0.62 0.79 0.94 0.84 0.69 0.686
ROE Trend -0.21 -0.01 -0.77 -0.50 -0.19 0.02 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.07 0.03 -0.00 -0.01 -0.04 -0.06 -0.07 -0.09 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.006
Gross Margin Trend 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.12 0.00 -0.13 -0.43 -0.28 -0.47 -0.470
FCF Margin Trend -0.45 -3.28 -2.09 -1.15 -0.38 -3.25 -2.15 -1.09 -0.04 -0.11 -0.12 -0.12 -0.12 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.09 -0.06 -0.01 0.00 0.001
Sustainable Growth Rate 6.9% 7.1% 7.1% 7.7% 8.2% 8.6% 10.2% 10.8% 11.0% 11.2% 11.1% 10.5% 10.3% 6.9% 5.5% 5.5% 6.1% 6.4% 7.1% 8.1% 8.13%
Internal Growth Rate 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.62%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.04 1.11 1.18 1.17 1.19 1.12 1.03 0.99 0.99 0.81 0.95 1.16 1.43 1.76 1.75 1.56 1.23 1.19 1.12 1.03 1.033
FCF/OCF 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.88 0.82 0.78 0.77 0.78 0.80 0.81 0.85 0.89 0.92 0.923
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.954
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.917
CapEx/Revenue 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 2.7% 4.2% 5.6% 5.6% 4.0% 2.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.97%
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.000
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.048
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.082
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Dividend Yield 3.8% 3.6% 3.1% 2.9% 2.7% 2.9% 3.7% 3.2% 3.7% 2.5% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 3.4% 3.2% 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 2.3% 2.3% 1.13%
Dividend/Share $1.71 $1.73 $1.76 $1.76 $1.78 $1.83 $1.85 $1.88 $1.89 $1.43 $1.43 $1.43 $1.43 $1.81 $1.71 $1.61 $1.50 $1.54 $1.56 $1.59 $0.85
Payout Ratio 31.3% 31.1% 30.7% 28.6% 27.4% 26.7% 25.6% 25.6% 26.4% 20.7% 21.9% 24.4% 27.7% 37.9% 40.9% 40.1% 36.1% 34.0% 31.5% 28.6% 28.57%
FCF Payout Ratio 31.7% 29.4% 27.4% 25.7% 24.3% 25.2% 26.2% 27.2% 28.3% 26.8% 26.1% 25.5% 25.0% 27.8% 29.8% 32.4% 35.9% 33.6% 31.7% 30.0% 29.96%
Total Payout Ratio 38.6% 37.3% 35.9% 32.5% 30.3% 29.1% 27.5% 27.1% 27.6% 21.6% 23.1% 25.8% 29.6% 40.9% 44.8% 44.7% 40.9% 40.1% 38.5% 36.1% 36.12%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.56 -0.49 -0.38 -0.21 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 -0.19 -0.20 -0.21 -0.22 0.29 0.22 0.15 0.08 -0.13 -0.07 0.00 0.000
Buyback Yield 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.61%
Net Buyback Yield -1.8% -1.2% -0.6% -0.1% 0.3% -1.9% -5.3% -7.0% -10.8% -7.4% -3.4% -14.5% -26.1% -25.9% -17.0% -8.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.61%
Total Shareholder Return 2.0% 2.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 0.9% -1.6% -3.8% -7.1% -4.8% -0.6% -11.8% -23.4% -22.5% -13.8% -5.1% 3.4% 3.4% 2.8% 2.9% 2.94%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.85 0.86 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.888
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.84 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.20 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.42 0.35 0.34 0.35 0.29 0.35 0.37 0.37 0.35 0.31 0.28 0.24 0.20 0.18 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.20 0.22 0.220
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.044
Equity Multiplier 8.90 9.11 8.99 9.06 9.05 9.38 10.60 11.19 11.88 12.09 12.82 14.05 16.38 14.35 13.56 13.94 14.15 13.56 13.28 13.23 13.229
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $5.46 $5.55 $5.72 $6.14 $6.51 $6.84 $7.24 $7.33 $7.14 $6.92 $6.52 $5.86 $5.14 $4.77 $4.17 $4.02 $4.17 $4.53 $4.96 $5.58 $5.58
Book Value/Share $57.11 $57.19 $56.71 $58.00 $58.87 $59.05 $48.51 $42.13 $35.89 $39.19 $43.40 $42.21 $35.97 $46.34 $45.54 $45.54 $50.67 $46.77 $50.10 $51.88 $52.05
Tangible Book/Share $51.25 $51.36 $50.86 $52.23 $53.12 $53.23 $42.71 $36.34 $30.16 $33.42 $37.62 $36.45 $30.22 $40.58 $39.80 $39.77 $44.94 $40.98 $44.31 $46.06 $46.06
Revenue/Share $18.23 $18.39 $19.38 $20.44 $21.49 $22.86 $23.33 $23.72 $24.30 $25.81 $27.08 $28.42 $29.62 $30.74 $31.59 $28.69 $29.55 $30.73 $27.52 $28.52 $15.03
FCF/Share $5.39 $5.88 $6.41 $6.83 $7.33 $7.25 $7.08 $6.91 $6.68 $5.34 $5.47 $5.59 $5.71 $6.50 $5.73 $4.98 $4.19 $4.58 $4.94 $5.32 $0.00
OCF/Share $5.66 $6.18 $6.74 $7.19 $7.72 $7.64 $7.46 $7.27 $7.03 $5.61 $6.20 $6.78 $7.36 $8.39 $7.31 $6.25 $5.14 $5.37 $5.55 $5.76 $0.00
Cash/Share $28.37 $9.78 $19.49 $21.69 $20.55 $13.09 $30.36 $22.31 $18.33 $14.37 $26.06 $28.52 $24.32 $15.38 $26.87 $30.58 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $24.42
EBITDA/Share $1.09 $1.09 $-0.73 $-2.77 $-6.13 $-6.28 $-2.14 $2.10 $6.21 $6.25 $5.74 $4.93 $1.82 $1.70 $-1.14 $-2.52 $-0.13 $1.77 $4.38 $6.28 $6.28
Debt/Share $27.67 $25.62 $24.01 $22.42 $19.06 $20.74 $19.61 $25.79 $28.92 $39.86 $27.67 $34.96 $41.05 $41.66 $35.89 $37.28 $42.89 $39.41 $37.96 $37.10 $37.10
Net Debt/Share $-0.70 $15.83 $4.51 $0.73 $-1.49 $7.65 $-10.75 $3.48 $10.59 $25.49 $1.61 $6.44 $16.73 $26.29 $9.03 $6.70 $42.89 $39.41 $37.96 $37.10 $37.10
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.154
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.182
Piotroski F-Score 5 6 7 6 6 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.43 -2.40 -2.27 -2.20 -2.26 -2.21 -2.38 -2.39 -2.34 -2.25 -2.29 -2.29 -2.34 -2.33 -1.93 -3.09 -1.87 -2.38 -3.04 -1.65 -1.647
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-610.63
EVA snapshot only $-16671818.30
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 74.51 57.54 56.31 60.57 61.59 68.44 61.59 55.69 57.19 50.58 53.43 50.43 45.05 48.58 46.07 45.93 40.24 38.52 42.06 44.60 44.602
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only -1.332
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 32
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 30

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