FLO NYSE
Flowers Foods, Inc.
1W: +3.3%
1M: +9.7%
3M: -15.2%
YTD: -38.7%
1Y: -46.1%
3Y: -64.3%
5Y: -67.9%
$6.20
+0.06 (+0.98%)
After Hours: $6.25 (+0.05, +0.81%)
Weekly Expected Move ±7.0%
$5
$6
$6
$7
$7
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 69% of companies Debt: 60.7% of company value Bonds: $38.5M held by 115 funds, 196 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.58 (down 91%), Flowers Foods, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.01B against a stock market value of $1.30B.
Distance to default 3.49 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-18, debt counted $1.12B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 40.3%; Altman Z 1.86. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.58 (down 91%), Flowers Foods, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.01B against a stock market value of $1.30B.
Distance to default 3.49 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-18, debt counted $1.12B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 40.3%; Altman Z 1.86. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+6.0% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☁️
Cloudy
-0.1% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+6.0%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-0.1%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-38.7%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
26%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛅
+0.4%
Midterm
☁️
+0.1%
65% win
24% vol
Feb
20yr
🌫️
+1.5%
Midterm
⛅
+1.5%
50% win
34% vol
Mar
20yr
⛅
+5.0%
Midterm
⛅
+2.5%
75% win
31% vol
Apr
20yr
☀️
+7.1%
Midterm
⛅
+5.0%
75% win
19% vol
May
20yr
🌧️
+7.6%
Midterm
⛅
+1.3%
55% win
31% vol
Jun
20yr
☁️
+7.6%
Midterm
⛅
+2.1%
50% win
21% vol
Jul
20yr
🌧️
+7.1%
Midterm
☁️
+0.6%
45% win
22% vol
Aug
20yr
🌧️
+4.6%
Midterm
⛅
+1.1%
40% win
30% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+5.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.1%
50% win
21% vol
Oct
20yr
☀️
+6.8%
Midterm
☁️
+0.8%
62% win
26% vol
Now:
+11.7%
Nov
20yr
🌫️
+6.4%
Midterm
⛅
+3.0%
55% win
32% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+0.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.2%
50% win
24% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -38.7%