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Not Investment Advice

GBDC NASDAQ

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.
1W: +3.0% 1M: -1.0% 3M: -3.4% YTD: -8.9% 1Y: -10.5% 3Y: +12.3% 5Y: +20.7%
$12.36
+0.24 (+1.98%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.4%
$12 $12 $12 $12 $13
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Asset Management · Tech Score Sell · Power 40 · $3.2B mcap · 251M float · 0.505% daily turnover · Short 45% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: not rated, financial company (lending is its business) Bonds: $174.9M held by 143 funds, 163 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Not rated: lending and leverage are a financial company's business, which the model misreads.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
46.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 4.8%  ·  5Y Avg: 4.3%
Cost Advantage ★
64
Intangibles
55
Switching Cost
42
Network Effect
38
Scale
27
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. GBDC shows a Weak competitive edge (46.8/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 4.8% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$14
Avg Target
$14
High
Based on 5 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 5Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$14.20
Analysts5
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-01-08 consensus Hold Buy
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-06 Oppenheimer Mitchel Penn Initiated $14 — +4.5% $13.40
2026-04-17 RBC Capital Kenneth Lee Initiated $15 — +12.9% $13.29
2026-02-06 Wells Fargo Finian O'Shea $14 $13 -1 +3.4% $12.57
2026-01-15 Capital One Financial Ethan Kaye Initiated $15 — +8.1% $13.87
2026-01-07 Wells Fargo Finian O'Shea $18 $14 -4 +2.0% $13.73
2022-04-25 Wells Fargo — Initiated $18 — +16.9% $14.97

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
2
ROA
4
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. GBDC receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: ROA (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-12 B+ B
2026-10-01 B- B+
2026-08-12 B B-
2026-08-05 B- B
2026-08-04 B B-
2026-07-16 B+ B
2026-07-01 B B+
2026-06-04 B- B
2026-05-18 B B-
2026-05-05 B+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 45 Grade A
Profitability
61
Balance Sheet
38
Earnings Quality
79
Growth
25
Value
64
Momentum
59
Safety
15
Cash Flow
77
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. GBDC scores highest in Earnings Quality (79/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). An overall grade of A places GBDC among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.64
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-3.03
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.31
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 28.5/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 4.82x
Accruals: -6.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. GBDC scores 0.64, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. GBDC scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. GBDC's score of -3.03 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. GBDC's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. GBDC receives an estimated rating of B (score: 28.5/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). GBDC's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
22.47x
PEG
-0.37x
P/S
4.49x
P/B
0.87x
P/FCF
4.75x
P/OCF
4.75x
EV/EBITDA
19.88x
EV/Revenue
11.02x
EV/EBIT
20.02x
EV/FCF
11.15x
Earnings Yield
4.37%
FCF Yield
21.06%
Shareholder Yield
13.78%
Graham Number
$13.43
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 22.5x earnings, GBDC commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $13.43 per share, suggesting a potential 9% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.001
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.372
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.550
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.081
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.283
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
3.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. GBDC's ROE of 3.8% is driven by a balanced combination of operating margin, asset efficiency, and leverage. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$4.79
Price/Value
2.69x
Margin of Safety
-169.00%
Premium
169.00%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with GBDC's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. GBDC trades at a 169% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $4.79, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 22.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$12.36
Median 1Y
$12.31
5th Pctile
$8.22
95th Pctile
$18.50
Ann. Volatility
25.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
—
Revenue / Employee
—
Rev: $688,456,000
Profit / Employee
—
NI: $376,646,000
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
ROE 13.7% 12.2% 11.1% 8.5% 6.0% 4.5% 4.2% 6.5% 10.2% 12.2% 13.5% 8.5% 8.3% 9.4% 8.9% 9.3% 9.4% 8.3% 5.3% 3.8% 3.81%
ROA 7.1% 6.0% 5.6% 4.1% 2.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.9% 4.5% 5.4% 5.9% 3.9% 3.8% 4.2% 4.0% 4.2% 4.3% 3.7% 2.3% 1.7% 1.67%
ROIC 6.9% 5.9% 5.2% 3.9% 4.1% 3.4% 3.3% 4.3% 4.6% 5.6% 6.2% 3.4% 3.2% 3.5% 3.4% 4.2% 4.3% 4.9% 4.4% 4.8% 4.83%
ROCE 6.6% 5.7% 5.1% 3.8% 4.1% 3.4% 3.3% 4.2% 4.6% 5.5% 5.9% 3.4% 3.2% 3.5% 3.3% 4.1% 4.2% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.77%
Gross Margin 78.6% 80.9% 77.9% 45.4% 1.0% 50.4% 63.2% 66.0% 73.9% 67.6% 67.7% 1.6% 59.5% 60.7% 56.2% 58.9% 60.6% 80.9% 77.6% 77.3% 77.34%
Operating Margin 79.8% 75.3% 76.9% 37.2% 69.4% 42.1% 59.6% 62.9% 69.8% 62.6% 68.6% 15.6% 60.0% 56.6% 51.2% 54.0% 55.8% 78.3% 9.8% 75.9% 75.92%
Net Margin 79.2% 74.7% 76.8% 36.1% 6.8% 39.1% 59.4% 62.9% 68.8% 62.2% 68.5% 15.7% 60.1% 56.9% 51.3% 54.2% 55.9% 31.5% -26.5% 20.0% 20.00%
EBITDA Margin 79.8% 75.3% 76.9% 37.2% 69.4% 42.1% 59.6% 62.9% 69.8% 62.6% 68.6% 15.6% 60.0% 56.6% 51.2% 54.0% 55.8% 78.3% 8.1% 77.6% 77.63%
FCF Margin -73.7% -83.3% -2.0% -3.2% -1.2% -57.7% 16.9% 72.6% 45.7% 63.2% 81.5% 1.3% 72.3% -35.4% -26.2% -85.9% -16.5% 67.6% 43.4% 98.8% 98.78%
OCF Margin -73.7% -83.3% -2.0% -3.2% -1.2% -57.7% 16.9% 72.6% 45.7% 63.2% 81.5% 1.3% 72.3% -35.4% -26.2% -85.9% -16.5% 67.6% 43.4% 98.8% 98.78%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.76%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.04%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.04%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.50%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.83%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.47%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.59%
CROIC snapshot only 8.59%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 55.52%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 20.49%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 1.86%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
P/E Ratio 5.05 5.57 6.10 6.96 9.62 13.87 15.77 10.44 7.46 6.60 6.76 9.46 12.73 11.66 12.64 9.86 9.40 10.82 16.23 22.87 22.473
P/S Ratio 4.14 4.44 4.78 4.96 4.42 5.11 5.20 4.31 4.51 4.21 4.45 5.70 7.33 6.56 6.57 5.49 5.14 5.11 4.61 4.69 4.487
P/B Ratio 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.58 0.58 0.64 0.68 0.69 0.76 0.79 0.90 0.65 0.87 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.89 0.92 0.89 0.91 0.869
P/FCF -5.61 -5.33 -2.37 -1.57 -3.55 -8.85 30.70 5.94 9.88 6.66 5.46 4.36 10.13 -18.54 -25.10 -6.39 -31.17 7.56 10.61 4.75 4.748
P/OCF — — — — — — 30.70 5.94 9.88 6.66 5.46 4.36 10.13 — — — — 7.56 10.61 4.75 4.748
EV/EBITDA 11.99 14.09 15.97 20.87 19.30 23.73 25.42 19.75 18.98 16.16 15.29 24.15 28.99 27.15 28.63 23.31 22.41 19.67 21.80 19.88 19.878
EV/Revenue 9.84 11.28 12.55 14.97 13.26 14.57 14.42 11.97 11.64 10.38 10.13 14.66 16.72 15.26 14.84 12.94 12.23 12.00 10.94 11.02 11.016
EV/EBIT 11.99 14.09 15.97 20.87 19.30 23.73 25.42 19.75 18.98 16.16 15.29 24.15 28.99 27.15 28.63 23.31 22.41 19.67 21.80 20.02 20.016
EV/FCF -13.36 -13.53 -6.21 -4.74 -10.63 -25.24 85.17 16.48 25.48 16.42 12.43 11.21 23.13 -43.13 -56.71 -15.06 -74.10 17.75 25.21 11.15 11.152
Earnings Yield 19.8% 18.0% 16.4% 14.4% 10.4% 7.2% 6.3% 9.6% 13.4% 15.2% 14.8% 10.6% 7.9% 8.6% 7.9% 10.1% 10.6% 9.2% 6.2% 4.4% 4.37%
FCF Yield -17.8% -18.8% -42.3% -63.7% -28.2% -11.3% 3.3% 16.8% 10.1% 15.0% 18.3% 22.9% 9.9% -5.4% -4.0% -15.7% -3.2% 13.2% 9.4% 21.1% 21.06%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.905
EV/OCF snapshot only 11.152
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 14.808
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 19.862
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 13.78%
Graham Number snapshot only $13.43
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Current Ratio 6.46 12.79 3.82 4.96 3.97 5.29 5.04 4.60 5.17 3.73 6.97 2.56 3.66 3.12 3.13 2.41 5.35 2.85 0.21 1.48 1.480
Quick Ratio 6.46 12.79 3.82 4.96 3.97 5.29 5.04 4.60 5.17 3.73 6.97 2.56 3.66 3.12 3.13 2.41 5.35 2.85 0.21 1.48 1.480
Debt/Equity 0.99 1.09 1.13 1.21 1.21 1.23 1.24 1.25 1.22 1.20 1.26 1.06 1.15 1.22 1.19 1.28 1.23 1.25 1.25 1.22 1.225
Net Debt/Equity 0.92 1.02 1.08 1.18 1.16 1.19 1.20 1.22 1.20 1.17 1.14 1.03 1.11 1.19 1.16 1.26 1.22 1.23 1.22 1.22 1.221
Debt/Assets 0.49 0.52 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.55 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.51 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.56 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.54 0.544
Debt/EBITDA 7.49 9.13 10.36 14.34 13.41 15.95 16.73 13.02 11.89 9.86 9.44 15.28 16.76 15.83 16.36 13.69 13.05 11.43 12.98 11.45 11.448
Net Debt/EBITDA 6.95 8.54 9.89 13.95 12.87 15.41 16.26 12.64 11.62 9.61 8.57 14.76 16.29 15.48 15.96 13.42 12.98 11.29 12.62 11.41 11.415
Interest Coverage 5.28 4.64 4.08 2.80 2.68 1.90 1.56 1.79 1.79 2.02 2.14 1.57 1.33 1.27 1.10 1.35 1.34 1.58 1.37 1.54 1.536
Equity Multiplier 2.00 2.10 2.14 2.23 2.23 2.25 2.26 2.28 2.25 2.22 2.29 2.09 2.17 2.24 2.21 2.31 2.25 2.28 2.28 2.25 2.251
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.154
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.547
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.003
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.156
Defensive Interval snapshot only 199.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.081
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 23.38 18.05 18.33 16.14 17.10 11.86 12.43 15.83 10.85 11.62 10.76 7.70 7.20 8.60 8.62 8.11 9.69 9.62 11.16 10.48 10.481
Payables Turnover 49.84 4.10 3.60 4.08 44.15 3.65 4.19 4.53 11.46 5.11 4.25 3.01 5.09 5.17 4.81 5.69 5.95 3.30 7.38 21.40 21.397
DSO 16 20 20 23 21 31 29 23 34 31 34 47 51 42 42 45 38 38 33 35 34.8 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 7 89 101 89 8 100 87 81 32 71 86 121 72 71 76 64 61 111 49 17 17.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 8 -69 -82 -67 13 -69 -58 -57 2 -40 -52 -74 -21 -28 -34 -19 -24 -73 -17 18 17.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 55.178
Capital Intensity snapshot only 11.660
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue 1.9% 1.1% -27.0% -30.2% -19.6% -18.7% -10.2% 31.2% 28.1% 53.7% 60.0% 16.3% 11.2% 13.6% 8.6% 45.1% 44.7% 27.3% 27.3% 6.0% 6.01%
Net Income 5.2% 2.0% -32.7% -40.3% -54.9% -62.5% -62.2% -23.9% 68.6% 1.7% 2.2% 69.6% 5.9% 0.2% -14.3% 34.1% 37.6% 6.9% -30.5% -60.9% -60.94%
EPS 5.1% 2.0% -34.1% -41.2% -55.4% -62.7% -62.2% -23.5% 69.1% 1.7% 2.2% 44.2% -31.8% -35.7% -45.1% 0.5% 36.8% 7.2% -29.5% -60.0% -59.98%
FCF -2.6% -3.4% -4.0% -6.3% -36.1% 43.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 2.7% 6.7% 1.1% 76.0% -1.6% -1.3% -2.0% -1.3% 3.4% 3.1% 2.2% 2.22%
EBITDA 5.2% 2.0% -32.4% -39.8% -32.7% -37.6% -35.2% 10.8% 14.3% 60.8% 86.9% 16.6% 4.6% -0.7% -15.1% 32.7% 36.9% 38.2% 23.3% 5.8% 5.82%
Op. Income 5.2% 2.0% -32.4% -39.8% -32.7% -37.6% -35.2% 10.8% 14.3% 60.8% 86.9% 16.6% 4.6% -0.7% -15.1% 32.7% 36.9% 38.2% 24.3% 5.9% 5.91%
OCF Growth snapshot only 2.22%
Asset Growth snapshot only -9.71%
Equity Growth snapshot only -7.27%
Debt Growth snapshot only -11.50%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.40%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -23.18%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 50.9% 47.8% 45.7% 37.4% 1.2% 62.7% — — 44.5% 38.5% 1.6% 2.1% 4.6% 12.4% 16.0% 30.3% 27.3% 30.5% 30.3% 21.4% 21.41%
Revenue 5Y 29.8% 28.3% 25.0% 20.1% 22.3% 20.3% 20.7% 25.3% 28.8% 32.2% 34.8% 31.7% 72.8% 49.7% — — 37.2% 30.9% 7.7% 10.4% 10.38%
EPS 3Y 15.8% 11.4% 10.9% 3.7% — 1.1% — — 66.7% 43.9% -7.3% -13.4% -19.9% -13.6% -12.7% 3.5% 16.4% 22.7% 7.4% -16.6% -16.62%
EPS 5Y 10.4% 8.2% 4.5% -0.7% -7.3% -13.7% -15.4% -8.1% 3.2% 6.7% 10.5% 4.2% — 73.0% — — 34.0% 15.4% -20.9% -23.6% -23.57%
Net Income 3Y 60.7% 57.5% 56.8% 44.9% — 1.3% — — 67.7% 44.5% -6.6% -8.3% -7.0% 0.0% 1.2% 20.1% 34.9% 41.8% 24.0% -3.9% -3.87%
Net Income 5Y 37.5% 35.5% 30.9% 23.4% 13.3% 6.5% 4.4% 13.3% 25.8% 31.3% 36.0% 31.5% — 98.5% — — 47.0% 26.5% -13.5% -16.6% -16.59%
EBITDA 3Y 60.8% 57.7% 57.0% 45.3% — 1.7% — — 68.4% 44.9% -6.4% -8.1% -7.0% -0.1% 1.0% 19.7% 17.9% 30.2% 25.1% 17.9% 17.85%
EBITDA 5Y 34.4% 32.5% 28.2% 21.0% 22.8% 18.0% 16.3% 22.3% 26.2% 31.5% 36.2% 31.7% — 98.5% — — 46.9% 33.1% -3.0% 1.8% 1.76%
Gross Profit 3Y 58.8% 55.8% 54.6% 43.3% — 1.4% — — 61.4% 41.9% -6.2% -9.0% -8.3% -1.5% 0.8% 20.6% 14.0% 23.9% 29.3% 22.2% 22.22%
Gross Profit 5Y 30.7% 28.9% 24.9% 18.1% 22.7% 18.8% 17.7% 22.6% 26.2% 31.3% 35.3% 29.9% — 78.2% — — 43.6% 31.6% 3.0% 7.1% 7.10%
Op. Income 3Y 60.8% 57.7% 57.0% 45.3% — 1.7% — — 68.4% 44.9% -6.4% -8.1% -7.0% -0.1% 1.0% 19.7% 17.9% 30.2% 25.4% 17.9% 17.88%
Op. Income 5Y 34.4% 32.5% 28.2% 21.0% 21.6% 16.9% 15.3% 21.2% 26.2% 31.5% 36.2% 31.7% — 98.5% — — 46.9% 33.1% -2.9% 1.8% 1.77%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — 83.0% 1.3% 31.5% 20.1% 49.3% — — — — — — 78.3% 34.5% 34.53%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — -3.1% 25.3% — — — — — — — — — 28.6% 5.0% 31.0% 31.05%
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — 83.0% 1.3% 31.5% 20.1% 49.3% — — — — — — 78.3% 34.5% 34.53%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — -3.1% 25.3% — — — — — — — — — 28.6% 5.0% 31.0% 31.05%
Assets 3Y 41.2% 40.4% 40.2% 41.4% 8.9% 7.2% 9.3% 9.3% 8.9% 5.9% 8.9% 21.7% 19.0% 18.0% 16.7% 17.0% 16.5% 16.2% 14.6% 13.3% 13.28%
Assets 5Y 24.1% 25.3% 25.8% 25.5% 26.5% 25.7% 25.6% 25.0% 25.6% 23.6% 23.8% 32.9% 14.7% 14.4% 15.5% 16.0% 15.1% 13.1% 13.1% 12.2% 12.16%
Equity 3Y 38.7% 39.3% 39.5% 38.8% 4.6% 4.1% 8.6% 2.3% 2.1% 1.6% 1.2% 16.8% 15.8% 15.5% 15.5% 15.6% 16.1% 15.9% 14.4% 13.8% 13.77%
Book Value 3Y -0.1% -1.5% -1.3% -0.7% -20.0% -4.3% 1.2% -1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 10.2% -0.2% -0.3% -0.4% -0.4% 0.2% 0.3% -0.9% -1.3% -1.31%
Dividend 3Y -27.5% -26.8% -27.1% -26.1% -20.7% -3.9% -2.1% 1.6% 6.6% 7.0% 8.9% 7.0% 4.2% 6.8% 5.6% 1.8% -11.2% -16.7% -19.8% -21.2% -21.20%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.36 0.49 0.23 0.29 0.53 0.60 0.27 0.44 0.73 0.83 0.50 0.67 0.77 0.89 0.89 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.43 0.69 0.695
Earnings Stability 0.26 0.38 0.17 0.20 0.27 0.25 0.11 0.19 0.45 0.51 0.25 0.30 0.53 0.60 0.25 0.40 0.46 0.45 0.16 0.07 0.072
Margin Stability 0.00 0.62 0.89 0.88 0.00 0.62 0.92 0.92 0.79 0.90 0.89 0.87 0.00 0.62 0.83 0.88 0.79 0.89 0.83 0.84 0.843
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.98 1.00 0.94 0.86 0.85 0.97 0.88 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.50 0.24 0.09 0.10 0.73 0.49 0.09 0.00 0.48 0.94 1.00 0.85 0.71 0.68 0.93 0.64 0.12 0.124
ROE Trend 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.04 -0.02 -0.03 -0.10 -0.05 0.01 0.04 0.06 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.03 0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.04 -0.042
Gross Margin Trend 0.81 0.39 — — 0.17 0.03 -0.12 -0.08 -0.18 -0.11 -0.07 -0.12 -0.17 -0.16 -0.17 -0.08 -0.02 0.03 0.09 0.14 0.143
FCF Margin Trend 0.52 -0.42 — — -1.54 -0.53 0.93 2.10 1.45 1.34 1.74 2.52 1.12 -0.38 -0.75 -1.88 -0.75 0.54 0.16 0.76 0.764
Sustainable Growth Rate 8.1% 6.5% 5.4% 2.6% -0.1% -1.9% -2.4% -0.4% 2.6% 4.1% 4.7% 0.8% -2.0% -2.4% -3.5% -1.1% 0.2% -0.3% -3.1% -4.4% -4.37%
Internal Growth Rate 4.4% 3.3% 2.8% 1.3% — — — — 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 0.4% — — — — 0.1% — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.90 -1.05 -2.58 -4.43 -2.71 -1.57 0.51 1.76 0.76 0.99 1.24 2.17 1.26 -0.63 -0.50 -1.54 -0.30 1.43 1.53 4.82 4.816
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 4.816
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.782
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio 0.13 0.12 0.20 0.23 0.11 0.05 0.01 -0.02 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 0.07 0.06 0.11 0.06 -0.02 -0.01 -0.06 -0.064
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.014
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.244
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Dividend Yield 8.1% 8.3% 8.4% 10.0% 10.5% 10.2% 10.0% 10.2% 9.9% 10.0% 9.6% 9.6% 9.7% 10.7% 11.1% 11.3% 10.4% 9.6% 9.8% 9.4% 11.16%
Dividend/Share $0.82 $0.84 $0.86 $0.88 $0.91 $0.96 $1.00 $1.03 $1.12 $1.20 $1.31 $1.28 $1.28 $1.46 $1.55 $1.57 $1.38 $1.31 $1.25 $1.21 $1.38
Payout Ratio 40.9% 46.5% 51.5% 69.5% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.1% 74.0% 66.0% 65.2% 91.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 97.8% 1.0% 1.6% 2.1% 2.15%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — 3.1% 60.5% 98.0% 66.6% 52.7% 42.0% 98.3% — — — — 72.8% 1.0% 44.6% 44.57%
Total Payout Ratio 45.2% 46.5% 56.3% 81.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 1.4% 98.7% 83.7% 74.6% 95.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 3.2% 3.15%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.10 0.19 0.18 0.20 0.22 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.33 0.34 0.41 0.55 0.86 1.00 0.95 0.76 0.19 -0.01 -0.11 -0.16 -0.156
Buyback Yield 0.9% 0.0% 0.8% 1.7% 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 3.3% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 1.6% 2.2% 3.7% 5.2% 4.4% 4.39%
Net Buyback Yield 0.9% 0.0% 0.8% 1.7% 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 3.3% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 1.6% 2.2% 3.7% 5.2% 4.4% 4.39%
Total Shareholder Return 9.0% 8.3% 9.2% 11.7% 13.0% 13.0% 13.3% 13.7% 13.2% 12.7% 11.0% 10.1% 9.8% 10.9% 11.2% 13.0% 12.6% 13.3% 15.0% 13.8% 13.78%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.001
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.67 0.61 0.60 0.69 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.77 0.56 0.37 0.372
EBIT Margin 0.82 0.80 0.79 0.72 0.69 0.61 0.57 0.61 0.61 0.64 0.66 0.61 0.58 0.56 0.52 0.56 0.55 0.61 0.50 0.55 0.550
Asset Turnover 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.081
Equity Multiplier 1.93 2.04 2.00 2.04 2.12 2.18 2.20 2.25 2.24 2.24 2.28 2.16 2.20 2.23 2.24 2.20 2.21 2.26 2.24 2.28 2.283
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.01 $1.82 $1.66 $1.27 $0.90 $0.68 $0.63 $0.97 $1.52 $1.82 $2.02 $1.40 $1.04 $1.17 $1.11 $1.41 $1.42 $1.25 $0.78 $0.56 $0.56
Book Value/Share $15.27 $15.33 $15.35 $15.14 $14.89 $14.71 $14.67 $14.80 $14.96 $15.11 $15.20 $20.27 $15.18 $15.20 $15.17 $14.97 $14.97 $14.83 $14.27 $14.23 $14.23
Tangible Book/Share $15.27 $15.33 $15.35 $15.14 $14.89 $14.71 $14.67 $14.80 $14.96 $15.11 $15.20 $20.27 $15.18 $15.20 $15.17 $14.97 $14.97 $14.83 $14.27 $14.23 $14.23
Revenue/Share $2.45 $2.28 $2.13 $1.78 $1.95 $1.84 $1.91 $2.35 $2.51 $2.85 $3.06 $2.32 $1.80 $2.08 $2.13 $2.53 $2.59 $2.65 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75
FCF/Share $-1.81 $-1.90 $-4.29 $-5.63 $-2.44 $-1.06 $0.32 $1.71 $1.15 $1.80 $2.49 $3.04 $1.30 $-0.74 $-0.56 $-2.17 $-0.43 $1.79 $1.19 $2.71 $2.71
OCF/Share $-1.81 $-1.90 $-4.29 $-5.63 $-2.44 $-1.06 $0.32 $1.71 $1.15 $1.80 $2.49 $3.04 $1.30 $-0.74 $-0.56 $-2.17 $-0.43 $1.79 $1.19 $2.71 $2.71
Cash/Share $1.07 $1.07 $0.80 $0.50 $0.73 $0.60 $0.51 $0.54 $0.41 $0.45 $1.76 $0.74 $0.50 $0.42 $0.44 $0.37 $0.09 $0.22 $0.49 $0.05 $0.05
EBITDA/Share $2.01 $1.82 $1.67 $1.28 $1.34 $1.13 $1.08 $1.42 $1.54 $1.83 $2.03 $1.41 $1.04 $1.17 $1.10 $1.40 $1.41 $1.62 $1.38 $1.52 $1.52
Debt/Share $15.08 $16.64 $17.32 $18.35 $18.00 $18.05 $18.13 $18.54 $18.30 $18.07 $19.15 $21.58 $17.39 $18.50 $18.04 $19.21 $18.42 $18.50 $17.90 $17.42 $17.42
Net Debt/Share $14.01 $15.57 $16.53 $17.85 $17.28 $17.44 $17.62 $18.00 $17.89 $17.62 $17.38 $20.84 $16.90 $18.08 $17.60 $18.84 $18.34 $18.28 $17.41 $17.37 $17.37
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.640
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.012
Piotroski F-Score 3 4 1 1 2 1 4 6 6 7 8 5 4 1 2 4 5 7 6 7 7
Beneish M-Score -1.68 -1.50 -1.27 -0.08 -3.38 -1.71 -1.94 -1.54 -0.70 -1.75 -1.72 22.50 -2.05 -1.62 -2.04 -1.42 -2.32 -2.70 -2.54 -3.03 -3.031
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.315
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 9.75%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-17.32
EVA snapshot only $-425833054.67
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 40.52 34.26 34.92 31.36 32.46 29.62 32.10 32.53 33.41 34.74 36.95 33.35 30.79 26.46 27.58 25.53 27.06 32.66 16.62 28.52 28.517
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only 2.990
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 18
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 11

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms