— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: CHDRAUIB.MX (MEX) · $vol 8M

GCHEF OTC

Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V.
1W: -6.5% 1M: -10.7% 3M: -4.7% YTD: -31.6% 1Y: -38.7% 3Y: -19.1% 5Y: +228.4%
$4.86
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 40 · $4.7B mcap · 288M float · 0.0002% daily turnover · Short 95% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 0Hold: 3Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
26
Balance Sheet
48
Earnings Quality
84
Growth
35
Value
—
Momentum
67
Safety
—
Cash Flow
48

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-0.41
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.15
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 47.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.67x
Accruals: -6.9%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. GCHEF scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. GCHEF's score of -0.41 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. GCHEF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. GCHEF receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 47.3/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). GCHEF's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
12.98x
PEG
-10.80x
P/S
0.28x
P/B
1.56x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$90.04
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 13.0x earnings, GCHEF trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $90.04 per share, suggesting a potential 1752% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.687
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.609
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.052
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.870
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.983
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
12.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. GCHEF's ROE of 12.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.870), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$55.96
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with GCHEF's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. GCHEF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $55.96, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 13.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$4.86
Median 1Y
$4.96
5th Pctile
$2.14
95th Pctile
$11.53
Ann. Volatility
49.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 10.7% 11.1% 11.8% 13.5% 14.5% 16.7% 17.3% 18.0% 18.2% 18.1% 18.2% 18.4% 16.6% 13.9% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 12.7% 12.7% 12.2% 12.25%
ROA 2.9% 3.0% 3.4% 3.9% 3.7% 4.2% 4.8% 5.1% 5.3% 5.4% 5.7% 5.7% 5.2% 4.3% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 3.9% 4.1% 4.1% 4.11%
ROIC 6.4% 7.0% 7.5% 8.7% 9.3% 11.6% 11.7% 12.6% 12.6% 14.2% 12.8% 12.0% 10.7% 9.8% 9.5% 10.1% 10.6% 7.5% 10.6% 10.6% 10.62%
ROCE 7.7% 7.4% 8.4% 9.7% 10.3% 12.1% 13.0% 13.9% 14.0% 14.8% 14.1% 13.5% 12.4% 11.4% 11.7% 12.1% 12.7% 12.9% 13.2% 13.8% 13.78%
Gross Margin 22.6% 22.0% 22.5% 23.0% 23.4% 22.6% 23.1% 23.3% 24.0% 20.0% 20.5% 21.0% 23.4% 21.8% 23.4% 24.1% 21.3% 20.0% 20.9% 21.5% 21.47%
Operating Margin 4.8% 3.9% 4.7% 5.4% 5.3% 5.7% 5.4% 6.0% 6.0% 6.5% 6.2% 6.0% 5.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.7% 5.4% 4.4% 5.4% 5.8% 5.80%
Net Margin 1.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 2.9% 2.4% 2.8% 2.9% 3.5% 3.0% 2.9% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.51%
EBITDA Margin 6.9% 6.5% 7.2% 7.7% 7.7% 7.9% 7.9% 8.4% 8.4% 9.2% 8.4% 8.5% 7.7% 7.2% 7.9% 8.4% 8.8% 7.6% 8.7% 9.2% 9.16%
FCF Margin 6.2% 6.3% 4.3% 5.1% 5.3% 5.0% 5.2% 4.5% 4.2% 3.7% 3.6% 3.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 2.8% 2.5% 2.50%
OCF Margin 7.1% 8.5% 6.3% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 7.6% 7.2% 7.0% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 5.6% 5.9% 5.5% 5.5% 6.1% 5.7% 6.0% 5.9% 5.87%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 13.94%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 14.21%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.53%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.62%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 10.34%
Cash ROA snapshot only 11.05%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 17.13%
CROIC snapshot only 7.31%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 3.64%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.19%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 16.50%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 12.977
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.285
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.558
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $90.04
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.82 0.84 0.84 0.87 0.91 0.87 0.92 0.90 0.92 0.92 0.94 0.88 0.91 0.88 0.91 0.94 0.96 0.92 0.95 0.90 0.899
Quick Ratio 0.32 0.37 0.30 0.32 0.35 0.39 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.44 0.42 0.37 0.39 0.40 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.44 0.41 0.38 0.377
Debt/Equity 1.97 1.98 1.87 1.78 1.71 1.45 1.34 1.22 1.18 1.04 1.12 1.23 1.35 1.33 1.37 1.23 1.15 2.01 1.08 1.04 1.039
Net Debt/Equity 1.78 1.70 1.71 1.61 1.52 1.15 1.13 1.03 0.99 0.74 0.91 1.04 1.16 1.07 1.16 1.04 0.96 1.73 0.88 0.88 0.877
Debt/Assets 0.47 0.46 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.39 0.41 0.39 0.38 0.34 0.37 0.38 0.41 0.40 0.43 0.40 0.38 0.65 0.37 0.36 0.357
Debt/EBITDA 5.48 5.01 4.29 3.63 3.38 2.86 2.68 2.40 2.38 2.12 2.35 2.55 2.90 3.08 3.01 2.68 2.45 4.31 2.36 2.22 2.218
Net Debt/EBITDA 4.93 4.30 3.92 3.28 3.01 2.28 2.26 2.02 2.00 1.50 1.90 2.15 2.49 2.47 2.54 2.27 2.05 3.71 1.93 1.87 1.873
Interest Coverage 2.75 2.86 2.82 2.92 3.17 3.58 3.25 3.40 3.63 3.78 4.70 4.21 3.77 3.18 2.92 3.17 3.02 2.78 2.61 2.38 2.383
Equity Multiplier 4.16 4.33 3.97 3.88 3.80 3.67 3.29 3.16 3.13 3.09 3.05 3.23 3.28 3.32 3.22 3.06 3.05 3.10 2.93 2.91 2.910
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.196
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.883
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.156
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.132
Defensive Interval snapshot only 119.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.47 1.63 1.91 2.16 1.89 1.82 1.95 1.99 1.92 1.85 1.89 1.87 1.83 1.81 1.91 1.93 1.86 1.78 1.84 1.87 1.870
Inventory Turnover 8.44 9.80 11.00 12.31 10.52 10.27 10.54 10.62 9.98 9.74 10.11 10.24 9.89 9.77 10.29 10.29 9.84 9.63 9.70 10.00 10.004
Receivables Turnover 509.12 490.71 461.78 993.34 961.21 640.06 995.74 2430.80 2320.31 552.54 782.07 2071.57 1454.77 617.14 680.39 1714.70 1569.59 716.36 751.25 817.21 817.209
Payables Turnover 6.49 6.55 8.12 9.06 8.37 7.14 8.28 8.22 7.98 6.68 7.87 8.00 8.08 6.73 8.16 8.31 8.41 6.76 7.97 8.24 8.242
DSO 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0.4 days
DIO 43 37 33 30 35 36 35 34 37 37 36 36 37 37 35 35 37 38 38 36 36.5 days
DPO 56 56 45 40 44 51 44 44 46 55 46 46 45 54 45 44 43 54 46 44 44.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -12 -18 -11 -10 -9 -15 -9 -10 -9 -16 -10 -10 -8 -16 -9 -8 -6 -16 -8 -7 -7.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.083
Operating Cycle snapshot only 36.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 33.899
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.531
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 14.3% 28.8% 46.6% 66.6% 56.6% 37.6% 22.9% 9.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.2% 1.0% 4.0% 7.1% 10.6% 11.8% 8.8% 4.9% -0.2% -3.4% -3.38%
Net Income 44.7% 32.1% 35.8% 50.1% 55.0% 75.3% 72.3% 55.2% 47.4% 27.5% 23.6% 19.5% 6.3% -12.1% -20.8% -21.6% -15.2% -2.7% 3.1% -1.3% -1.34%
EPS 45.0% 32.0% 36.1% 51.3% 54.4% 74.6% 71.6% 54.2% 47.1% 27.5% 24.3% 19.8% 5.9% -12.4% -21.2% -21.9% -15.0% -2.6% 3.4% -1.2% -1.16%
FCF -16.4% -2.1% -13.6% 8.3% 34.4% 7.5% 51.3% -2.9% -18.6% -23.9% -31.6% -32.0% -46.7% -46.3% -45.7% -20.4% 41.1% 62.2% 60.6% 11.0% 10.96%
EBITDA 16.6% 27.0% 44.9% 67.2% 62.9% 54.0% 38.9% 23.0% 15.9% 12.7% 10.5% 9.5% 8.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 3.5% 7.5% 6.4% 5.9% 5.93%
Op. Income 21.6% 26.2% 39.5% 57.6% 53.0% 57.1% 46.7% 30.5% 24.1% 14.6% 12.8% 11.3% 6.4% -3.7% -8.5% -8.7% -5.4% -0.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.03%
OCF Growth snapshot only 2.42%
Asset Growth snapshot only -1.37%
Equity Growth snapshot only 3.68%
Debt Growth snapshot only -12.48%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.18%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 68.53%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 14.7% 17.5% 11.4% 15.1% 16.6% 17.3% 25.3% 23.9% 22.8% 21.6% 21.8% 22.4% 19.0% 14.3% 10.8% 7.1% 5.4% 4.5% 3.4% 2.9% 2.94%
Revenue 5Y 13.6% 16.3% 18.8% 21.4% 22.2% 22.4% 22.4% 21.3% 19.6% 17.8% 11.2% 10.9% 11.3% 11.9% 16.8% 16.5% 16.0% 15.1% 14.8% 14.6% 14.64%
EPS 3Y 18.5% 22.9% 29.0% 35.2% 45.8% 56.5% 57.0% 52.9% 48.8% 43.3% 42.6% 40.9% 34.0% 25.0% 18.9% 13.0% 9.8% 2.9% 0.4% -2.6% -2.60%
EPS 5Y 11.1% 12.1% 14.3% 17.3% 19.4% 23.6% 24.9% 28.0% 30.5% 32.9% 35.6% 35.5% 37.0% 33.7% 30.6% 27.3% 24.3% 20.2% 18.8% 16.6% 16.62%
Net Income 3Y 17.9% 22.6% 28.8% 34.8% 45.6% 56.4% 57.2% 53.5% 49.0% 43.5% 42.4% 40.7% 34.4% 25.3% 19.0% 13.3% 9.9% 2.9% 0.3% -2.6% -2.60%
Net Income 5Y 10.9% 11.9% 14.1% 17.1% 19.2% 23.6% 25.1% 28.0% 30.2% 32.8% 35.4% 35.3% 37.0% 33.8% 30.6% 27.6% 24.4% 20.4% 18.7% 16.6% 16.57%
EBITDA 3Y 21.7% 16.4% 20.3% 24.7% 27.7% 33.3% 33.1% 31.6% 30.1% 30.1% 30.5% 31.0% 26.9% 20.3% 15.6% 10.8% 9.1% 6.7% 5.8% 5.4% 5.39%
EBITDA 5Y 15.1% 19.6% 22.8% 26.0% 27.8% 29.0% 28.9% 28.7% 27.7% 22.3% 21.7% 21.2% 21.2% 21.8% 21.3% 20.3% 19.8% 18.9% 18.9% 19.2% 19.19%
Gross Profit 3Y 16.4% 19.6% -5.9% -2.3% -0.6% 0.1% 28.1% 26.7% 25.4% 22.4% 21.1% 20.6% 17.3% 13.4% 11.0% 8.2% 5.3% 3.4% 1.2% -0.4% -0.44%
Gross Profit 5Y 15.8% 18.1% 20.7% 23.4% 24.5% 24.7% 24.8% 23.5% 21.8% 19.3% 0.1% -0.5% -0.2% 0.7% 17.8% 18.2% 16.8% 15.2% 14.0% 13.1% 13.15%
Op. Income 3Y 20.0% 24.4% 27.1% 30.6% 33.0% 35.1% 35.0% 33.5% 32.2% 31.5% 32.2% 31.8% 26.4% 20.1% 14.8% 9.9% 7.7% 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.54%
Op. Income 5Y 14.4% 15.5% 18.2% 21.4% 22.9% 25.5% 25.7% 26.5% 26.9% 28.2% 27.7% 26.5% 25.5% 22.1% 20.5% 19.3% 18.4% 16.9% 16.6% 15.9% 15.90%
FCF 3Y 35.5% 70.6% — — 2.1% 33.2% 21.1% 6.7% -2.9% -7.1% -3.7% -10.5% -16.4% -24.0% -17.5% -19.3% -15.0% -12.8% -15.8% -15.6% -15.61%
FCF 5Y 1.2% 1.4% 66.0% 48.5% 48.8% 43.6% 23.5% 22.1% 22.2% 32.4% — — 68.1% -0.7% -8.0% -8.0% -7.2% -7.0% -4.9% -8.8% -8.75%
OCF 3Y 15.7% 33.4% 40.5% 56.1% 48.9% 49.5% 39.4% 27.9% 19.7% 11.9% 17.4% 15.4% 10.1% 1.2% 6.0% -1.2% 0.4% -3.1% -4.5% -3.8% -3.78%
OCF 5Y 30.4% 36.2% 27.6% 29.3% 30.0% 29.4% 20.8% 20.9% 19.9% 20.6% 28.6% 31.4% 22.9% 24.6% 17.1% 12.7% 11.2% 6.5% 10.2% 8.1% 8.09%
Assets 3Y 26.4% 17.3% 15.4% 15.3% 15.8% 18.0% 12.7% 12.1% 14.5% 15.7% 17.5% 20.1% 7.7% 6.7% 6.1% 4.6% 4.0% 3.8% 5.0% 5.4% 5.41%
Assets 5Y 20.8% 21.5% 20.8% 20.6% 20.1% 21.1% 19.4% 15.5% 15.9% 9.9% 10.5% 11.8% 12.8% 14.4% 11.3% 10.9% 11.6% 12.1% 11.8% 11.5% 11.47%
Equity 3Y 2.3% 6.8% 7.3% 8.5% 9.9% 12.6% 13.9% 14.1% 15.1% 15.7% 16.3% 16.1% 16.6% 16.6% 13.8% 13.3% 11.8% 9.7% 9.1% 8.4% 8.36%
Book Value 3Y 2.9% 7.0% 7.5% 8.8% 10.1% 12.6% 13.8% 13.6% 15.0% 15.5% 16.5% 16.3% 16.3% 16.4% 13.7% 13.0% 11.7% 9.6% 9.2% 8.4% 8.37%
Dividend 3Y 2.9% 2.5% 31.2% 30.4% 30.2% 30.0% -19.4% -4.0% -3.8% -3.7% 21.6% 8.5% 8.0% 33.0% 33.2% 20.2% 40.0% 0.0% 0.2% 18.9% 18.94%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.81 0.89 0.75 0.69 0.77 0.86 0.90 0.87 0.88 0.91 0.79 0.75 0.81 0.91 0.94 0.90 0.88 0.86 0.83 0.81 0.811
Earnings Stability 0.41 0.47 0.53 0.62 0.65 0.68 0.71 0.79 0.84 0.88 0.91 0.94 0.96 0.89 0.82 0.80 0.80 0.69 0.58 0.48 0.480
Margin Stability 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.98 0.98 0.95 0.954
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.82 0.87 0.86 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.89 0.91 0.92 0.97 0.95 0.92 0.91 0.94 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.995
Earnings Smoothness 0.63 0.72 0.70 0.60 0.57 0.45 0.47 0.57 0.62 0.76 0.79 0.82 0.94 0.87 0.77 0.76 0.84 0.97 0.97 0.99 0.987
ROE Trend 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.00 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.029
Gross Margin Trend -0.07 -0.07 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.014
FCF Margin Trend 0.02 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.001
Sustainable Growth Rate 9.1% 9.6% 8.8% 10.4% 11.6% 13.9% 16.0% 15.6% 16.0% 16.0% 16.1% 15.8% 14.2% 9.4% 8.6% 9.0% 6.8% 8.5% 8.5% 5.7% 5.72%
Internal Growth Rate 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 3.1% 3.0% 3.6% 4.6% 4.7% 4.9% 5.0% 5.4% 5.2% 4.6% 3.0% 2.8% 2.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.9% 2.0% 1.96%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 3.60 4.71 3.61 3.88 3.64 3.09 3.07 2.77 2.52 2.26 2.15 2.15 1.98 2.49 2.55 2.57 2.77 2.58 2.65 2.67 2.673
FCF/OCF 0.87 0.74 0.67 0.72 0.75 0.69 0.69 0.63 0.60 0.57 0.55 0.46 0.38 0.31 0.32 0.39 0.45 0.50 0.47 0.43 0.427
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.140
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.686
CapEx/Revenue 0.9% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.8% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 3.5% 3.5% 4.1% 3.8% 3.4% 3.3% 2.8% 3.1% 3.4% 3.36%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.019
Accruals Ratio -0.07 -0.11 -0.09 -0.11 -0.10 -0.09 -0.10 -0.09 -0.08 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.069
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.073
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.294
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.58%
Dividend/Share $0.48 $0.48 $1.00 $1.05 $1.05 $1.05 $0.52 $0.94 $0.94 $0.94 $0.94 $1.19 $1.19 $2.22 $2.22 $2.08 $3.27 $2.23 $2.23 $3.51 $2.20
Payout Ratio 14.3% 13.4% 25.5% 22.8% 20.3% 16.8% 7.8% 13.2% 12.3% 11.8% 11.3% 14.0% 14.8% 31.8% 33.7% 31.3% 47.9% 32.8% 32.8% 53.3% 53.29%
FCF Payout Ratio 4.6% 3.8% 10.6% 8.2% 7.5% 7.8% 3.7% 7.5% 8.2% 9.2% 9.6% 14.0% 19.6% 40.7% 41.8% 30.8% 38.1% 25.2% 26.1% 46.7% 46.74%
Total Payout Ratio 19.5% 22.2% 57.0% 28.6% 25.6% 26.2% 13.1% 21.5% 20.4% 20.1% 19.1% 21.7% 22.6% 31.8% 35.7% 31.8% 49.9% 34.8% 32.8% 55.4% 55.40%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.687
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.68 0.72 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.76 0.71 0.69 0.68 0.67 0.66 0.64 0.61 0.609
EBIT Margin 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.052
Asset Turnover 1.47 1.63 1.91 2.16 1.89 1.82 1.95 1.99 1.92 1.85 1.89 1.87 1.83 1.81 1.91 1.93 1.86 1.78 1.84 1.87 1.870
Equity Multiplier 3.69 3.74 3.50 3.43 3.96 3.97 3.60 3.49 3.44 3.36 3.16 3.20 3.21 3.21 3.14 3.14 3.17 3.21 3.07 2.98 2.983
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $3.34 $3.58 $3.93 $4.62 $5.16 $6.25 $6.74 $7.12 $7.60 $7.97 $8.37 $8.53 $8.05 $6.98 $6.60 $6.66 $6.84 $6.80 $6.82 $6.58 $6.58
Book Value/Share $32.97 $34.05 $35.38 $36.54 $38.22 $40.71 $42.51 $43.01 $45.13 $47.31 $49.48 $49.76 $51.82 $53.64 $51.96 $52.69 $53.24 $53.64 $55.33 $54.73 $55.59
Tangible Book/Share $17.46 $23.02 $24.77 $25.93 $27.51 $29.73 $32.05 $33.35 $35.26 $37.81 $40.14 $39.67 $41.26 $42.77 $41.10 $42.53 $43.31 $43.91 $45.60 $45.24 $45.24
Revenue/Share $170.22 $197.18 $223.18 $253.84 $265.67 $270.21 $273.18 $274.91 $274.49 $274.24 $275.23 $278.23 $284.52 $292.68 $302.86 $309.86 $310.19 $307.24 $302.85 $299.91 $300.02
FCF/Share $10.49 $12.52 $9.49 $12.93 $14.05 $13.40 $14.30 $12.49 $11.42 $10.20 $9.83 $8.51 $6.07 $5.45 $5.31 $6.75 $8.59 $8.85 $8.55 $7.51 $8.25
OCF/Share $12.03 $16.85 $14.15 $17.91 $18.81 $19.32 $20.68 $19.75 $19.12 $18.01 $18.03 $18.37 $15.92 $17.35 $16.80 $17.15 $18.95 $17.54 $18.05 $17.60 $18.38
Cash/Share $6.55 $9.52 $5.67 $6.34 $7.17 $12.05 $8.90 $8.27 $8.53 $14.28 $10.75 $9.47 $9.91 $14.19 $11.20 $10.14 $10.07 $15.20 $10.90 $8.85 $8.86
EBITDA/Share $11.88 $13.44 $15.40 $17.92 $19.28 $20.61 $21.29 $21.90 $22.31 $23.23 $23.66 $24.02 $24.07 $23.24 $23.71 $24.15 $24.97 $25.01 $25.28 $25.63 $25.63
Debt/Share $65.09 $67.31 $66.08 $65.04 $65.17 $59.01 $57.06 $52.54 $53.21 $49.24 $55.61 $61.22 $69.82 $71.50 $71.31 $64.85 $61.20 $107.91 $59.58 $56.85 $56.85
Net Debt/Share $58.54 $57.79 $60.41 $58.70 $58.00 $46.96 $48.16 $44.27 $44.67 $34.96 $44.85 $51.75 $59.90 $57.31 $60.11 $54.71 $51.13 $92.71 $48.68 $48.01 $48.01
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 3 4 5 6 7 7 8 5 5
Beneish M-Score -1.48 -2.16 -2.66 -1.87 -1.65 -3.06 -2.11 -2.10 -2.93 -2.62 -2.43 -2.40 -3.44 -2.62 -3.39 -3.53 22.01 -1.60 -1.20 -0.41 -0.406
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.152
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 16.97%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-63.18
EVA snapshot only $615288088.17
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 41.65 42.25 42.65 44.75 49.40 51.90 51.90 51.90 51.90 53.40 51.00 51.00 49.50 48.00 44.25 51.00 51.00 41.75 47.25 47.25 47.250
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only -3.750
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000

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