— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

GFRD.L LSE

Galliford Try Holdings PLC
1W: +1.6% 1M: +17.0% 3M: +27.5% YTD: +32.5% 1Y: +68.6% 3Y: +330.2% 5Y: +424.1%
£709.00 ($9.38)
+3.00 (+0.42%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.1%
£622 £666 £709 £752 £796
LSE · Industrials · Engineering & Construction · Tech Score Strong Buy · Power 72 · £700.1M mcap · 80M float · 0.368% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. GFRD.L receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 A A-
2026-09-17 B+ A
2026-08-20 B B+
2026-05-14 B+ B
2026-04-27 B B+
2026-04-07 None ADDED
2026-04-07 EXISTED None
2026-02-18 D+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 75 Grade A
Profitability
33
Balance Sheet
70
Earnings Quality
75
Growth
80
Value
67
Momentum
100
Safety
100
Cash Flow
77
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. GFRD.L scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Profitability (33/100). An overall grade of A places GFRD.L among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
4.94
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
8/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.67
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.15
Bankruptcy prob: 0.6%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA
Score: 89.7/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.97x
Accruals: -7.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. GFRD.L scores 4.94, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. GFRD.L scores 8/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. GFRD.L's score of -2.67 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. GFRD.L's implied 0.6% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. GFRD.L receives an estimated rating of AA (score: 89.7/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). GFRD.L's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
17.29x
PEG
0.71x
P/S
0.36x
P/B
5.15x
P/FCF
3.68x
P/OCF
3.60x
EV/EBITDA
2.42x
EV/Revenue
0.07x
EV/EBIT
4.22x
EV/FCF
2.21x
Earnings Yield
14.08%
FCF Yield
27.14%
Shareholder Yield
16.16%
Graham Number
$3.70
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 17.3x earnings, GFRD.L trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 14.1% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $3.70 per share, 19043% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.019
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.971
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.016
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
4.839
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
5.658
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
44.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. GFRD.L's ROE of 44.0% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 5.66x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.02 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$20.16
Price/Value
0.18x
Margin of Safety
81.56%
Premium
-81.56%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with GFRD.L's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. At an intrinsic value of $20.16, GFRD.L appears undervalued with a 82% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 17.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$709.00
Median 1Y
$577.12
5th Pctile
$181.06
95th Pctile
$1861.64
Ann. Volatility
73.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
ROE 31.7% 34.0% 35.5% 38.7% 27.5% 28.4% 24.3% 14.1% 22.6% 24.6% 3.5% 8.4% -0.0% -15.0% 11.1% 14.4% 12.2% 24.4% 35.6% 44.0% 44.00%
ROA 10.4% 10.5% 9.9% 11.5% 6.3% 6.0% 6.3% 3.7% 4.9% 4.7% 0.9% 1.9% -0.0% -3.2% 2.2% 2.9% 2.3% 4.1% 6.1% 7.8% 7.78%
ROIC 31.3% 28.7% 32.2% 29.1% 31.1% 30.7% 33.1% 19.4% 25.0% 12.1% -2.0% -1.7% 70.7% 54.7% -38.1% -61.7% -49.4% -53.6% -91.2% -1.6% -1.64%
ROCE 14.6% 14.1% 17.3% 26.0% 17.5% 23.0% 18.8% 13.9% 21.9% 6.6% 13.4% 16.4% -14.5% -28.7% 12.4% 15.1% 12.7% 27.1% 29.8% 35.9% 35.90%
Gross Margin 12.1% 10.1% 11.6% 10.9% 8.5% 10.9% 11.6% 5.6% 10.2% 4.3% -5.2% 5.9% 7.0% 6.6% 7.2% 6.7% 7.9% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7% 7.70%
Operating Margin 5.8% 4.2% 5.3% 5.1% 2.8% 5.5% 6.4% 0.2% 4.7% -1.2% -12.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.86%
Net Margin 4.6% 3.6% 5.0% 4.1% -0.2% 3.3% 4.7% -2.7% 3.2% 9.5% -15.1% 0.3% 1.0% -0.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 1.4% 2.6% 1.7% 1.67%
EBITDA Margin 6.1% 0.0% 6.9% 5.4% 0.1% 5.7% 5.7% 0.6% 4.0% 3.1% -8.7% 2.3% 2.3% 1.0% 2.3% 2.4% 1.8% 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 3.11%
FCF Margin 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 1.0% 3.2% 3.1% 3.1% 2.7% 0.2% -0.6% -7.0% -3.4% -4.1% -1.3% 3.4% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 3.10%
OCF Margin 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 1.4% 3.4% 3.3% 3.3% 2.8% 0.3% -0.4% -6.9% -3.3% -4.0% -1.2% 3.7% 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 3.17%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 29.63%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 27.58%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.36%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 50.98%
Cash ROA snapshot only 14.40%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.62%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.58%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 6.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.13%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
P/E Ratio 4.26 3.58 1.97 2.71 3.41 3.90 3.97 5.10 3.62 4.71 6.51 2.90 -1244.46 -2.52 11.14 8.35 11.48 7.72 5.10 7.10 17.293
P/S Ratio 0.18 0.15 0.08 0.12 0.10 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.17 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.11 0.363
P/B Ratio 1.27 1.15 0.66 0.99 0.93 1.11 0.85 0.64 0.75 1.05 0.84 0.86 0.93 1.23 1.18 1.19 1.49 2.11 1.89 3.19 5.150
P/FCF 9.10 7.43 3.87 11.95 3.30 3.74 3.86 3.57 53.35 -31.06 -0.45 -1.07 -1.36 -5.45 1.95 3.55 3.42 2.87 2.60 3.68 3.685
P/OCF 7.89 6.29 3.39 8.73 3.06 3.55 3.65 3.40 29.60 — — — — — 1.79 3.02 3.00 2.62 2.51 3.60 3.596
EV/EBITDA 5.27 5.33 2.42 2.99 3.31 2.96 2.39 3.05 2.51 5.92 -1.90 -1.79 -12.51 4.11 -0.82 -0.32 -0.09 0.73 0.68 2.42 2.418
EV/Revenue 0.18 0.17 0.08 0.14 0.10 0.13 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.23 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.069
EV/EBIT 5.50 5.56 2.53 3.10 3.45 3.39 2.73 3.74 2.95 6.41 -3.85 -3.75 3.41 0.83 -2.06 -0.73 -0.23 1.43 1.24 4.22 4.217
EV/FCF 9.32 8.52 3.95 14.26 3.26 4.25 3.29 3.87 59.24 -41.56 0.33 0.83 0.79 1.16 -0.48 -0.37 -0.08 0.66 0.64 2.21 2.212
Earnings Yield 23.4% 27.9% 50.7% 37.0% 29.3% 25.7% 25.2% 19.6% 27.6% 21.2% 15.4% 34.5% -0.1% -39.7% 9.0% 12.0% 8.7% 13.0% 19.6% 14.1% 14.08%
FCF Yield 11.0% 13.5% 25.8% 8.4% 30.3% 26.7% 25.9% 28.0% 1.9% -3.2% -2.2% -93.7% -73.5% -18.3% 51.4% 28.2% 29.2% 34.8% 38.4% 27.1% 27.14%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.713
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 15.948
EV/OCF snapshot only 2.159
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 0.903
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 4.318
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 16.16%
Graham Number snapshot only $3.70
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Current Ratio 1.69 1.65 1.42 1.52 1.23 1.22 1.37 1.21 1.19 0.66 0.97 0.95 0.95 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.88 0.92 0.91 0.911
Quick Ratio 0.88 0.76 0.88 0.75 0.90 0.88 0.97 0.87 0.70 3.27 0.97 1.04 0.95 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.88 0.92 0.91 0.911
Debt/Equity 0.32 0.31 1.01 0.26 1.98 2.53 1.05 1.60 0.95 0.75 0.19 0.15 0.14 0.17 0.19 0.22 0.33 0.42 0.43 0.45 0.447
Net Debt/Equity 0.03 0.17 0.01 0.19 -0.01 0.15 -0.13 0.05 0.08 0.35 -1.45 -1.53 -1.47 -1.49 -1.47 -1.32 -1.53 -1.63 -1.42 -1.28 -1.277
Debt/Assets 0.09 0.09 0.25 0.08 0.37 0.43 0.28 0.37 0.24 0.16 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.073
Debt/EBITDA 1.30 1.28 3.63 0.67 7.12 5.97 3.44 7.00 2.86 3.15 0.57 0.41 3.31 -2.70 0.54 0.56 0.78 0.63 0.63 0.56 0.564
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.12 0.68 0.05 0.48 -0.04 0.35 -0.41 0.23 0.25 1.50 -4.48 -4.08 -33.97 23.36 -4.19 -3.34 -3.63 -2.44 -2.07 -1.61 -1.610
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — 18.38 13.92 1.67 1.84 -9.68 -16.79 7.12 8.04 5.72 8.49 8.88 8.52 8.523
Equity Multiplier 3.37 3.57 4.05 3.32 5.29 5.84 3.74 4.29 3.97 4.70 5.19 4.91 4.72 5.00 4.97 5.17 6.02 7.25 6.71 6.17 6.171
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.352
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 14.862
Cash to Debt snapshot only 3.853
FCF to Debt snapshot only 1.938
Defensive Interval snapshot only 959.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Asset Turnover 2.54 2.58 2.38 2.64 2.08 2.01 2.10 1.93 1.75 1.29 1.81 1.54 1.33 1.11 3.68 3.92 3.91 4.15 4.29 4.84 4.839
Inventory Turnover 4.64 4.51 5.16 5.09 6.03 5.47 6.48 5.67 5.65 — 8.28 7.76 4.88 — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 12.62 11.13 13.46 12.09 11.15 11.88 11.26 16.81 15.31 16.62 8.30 17.69 11.85 41.10 10.76 20.59 11.41 46.78 24.12 20.45 20.447
Payables Turnover 18.62 6.82 20.75 11.99 15.85 11.91 14.85 13.21 15.10 17.09 11.08 10.84 11.38 20.16 20.94 21.97 21.48 29.21 27.95 30.84 30.840
DSO 29 33 27 30 33 31 32 22 24 22 44 21 31 9 34 18 32 8 15 18 17.9 days
DIO 79 81 71 72 61 67 56 64 65 -81 44 47 75 -221 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 20 54 18 30 23 31 25 28 24 21 33 34 32 18 17 17 17 12 13 12 11.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 88 60 80 71 70 67 64 58 64 -81 55 34 74 -231 16 -2 15 -5 2 6 6.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 59.520
Cash Velocity snapshot only 16.240
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.220
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Revenue 38.5% 48.7% 49.7% 37.1% 25.3% 19.6% 15.5% 1.9% -2.5% -20.7% -43.0% -41.0% -56.0% -49.0% -25.9% -16.7% 18.8% 31.5% 34.1% 36.4% 36.45%
Net Income 57.7% 61.8% 48.6% 50.7% -7.0% -11.6% -17.0% -55.9% -10.2% -3.5% -90.7% -61.3% -1.0% -1.4% -9.7% -51.1% 155.0% 1.5% 2.2% 2.0% 2.01%
EPS 57.8% 61.3% 49.4% 51.0% -6.4% -11.6% -39.2% -66.9% -33.0% -27.7% -90.5% -62.2% -1.0% -1.4% -12.7% -51.9% 164.0% 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 2.32%
FCF 73.2% 2.9% 1.7% -48.3% 1.0% 91.0% 67.9% 1.8% -94.1% -1.1% -2.3% -1.7% -10.5% -21.2% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 3.6% 10.9% 1.5% 1.47%
EBITDA 21.5% 75.7% 55.2% 1.2% 13.9% 71.2% 41.2% -26.1% 41.6% -31.1% -83.5% -73.0% -97.4% -1.0% 18.7% 6.8% 7.6% 9.4% 81.4% 92.4% 92.43%
Op. Income 56.7% 55.8% 37.6% 30.9% -1.7% 6.8% 14.7% -15.5% 8.4% -37.7% -99.5% -98.8% -1.2% -1.3% 16.0% 8.9% 1.6% 1.9% 79.0% 1.0% 1.03%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.15%
Asset Growth snapshot only 14.24%
Equity Growth snapshot only -4.32%
Debt Growth snapshot only 95.34%
Shares Change snapshot only -9.24%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 2.09%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 7.7% 14.6% 21.8% 24.4% 27.2% 26.6% 26.1% 21.7% 19.2% 12.1% -0.5% -6.2% -18.7% -21.5% -21.3% -20.6% -20.1% -19.0% -17.3% -12.5% -12.47%
Revenue 5Y 24.0% 24.7% 25.3% 21.1% 17.9% 14.3% 11.5% 9.3% 8.8% 7.4% 3.5% 3.0% -2.4% -3.9% -3.3% -2.4% -2.4% -1.1% -0.4% -1.3% -1.31%
EPS 3Y 67.4% 1.7% — 1.4% 59.4% 41.5% 18.2% -7.3% -0.3% 1.1% -55.9% -42.6% — — -63.1% -60.8% -57.8% -48.4% -33.4% -15.5% -15.48%
EPS 5Y 14.9% 15.0% 14.6% 16.8% 5.4% 7.2% -0.6% -2.3% 24.1% 67.0% — 10.7% — — -32.8% -32.0% -35.6% -27.8% -23.2% -21.3% -21.29%
Net Income 3Y 90.0% 1.7% — 1.3% 53.5% 36.9% 26.7% 1.8% 9.6% 11.3% -51.4% -36.4% — — -58.9% -56.3% -53.9% -44.2% -35.3% -17.0% -17.05%
Net Income 5Y 37.4% 35.8% 35.3% 30.9% 18.0% 15.8% 14.2% 11.6% 41.8% 77.4% — 15.2% — — -29.8% -27.5% -32.2% -24.3% -19.7% -17.6% -17.63%
EBITDA 3Y 31.0% 56.0% 1.4% 74.3% 27.4% 34.4% 25.2% 21.9% 25.2% 27.5% -28.8% -24.2% -65.4% — -34.9% -40.2% -32.2% -34.3% -29.2% -17.8% -17.78%
EBITDA 5Y 18.6% 16.2% 18.2% 19.7% 6.2% 11.8% 8.5% 9.6% 29.4% 35.0% 27.7% 1.1% -40.4% — -17.5% -12.2% -15.5% -3.1% -4.9% -2.2% -2.22%
Gross Profit 3Y 27.2% 33.4% 40.5% 35.7% 27.7% 25.2% 22.6% 14.4% 12.2% 1.8% -22.8% -26.2% -46.1% -44.2% -33.5% -32.5% -29.2% -28.1% -26.5% -19.3% -19.27%
Gross Profit 5Y 31.3% 29.7% 28.3% 24.3% 18.9% 16.7% 14.6% 13.0% 16.5% 12.3% -1.0% -4.7% -21.2% -20.8% -13.0% -12.1% -12.4% -10.6% -10.3% -10.0% -9.98%
Op. Income 3Y 63.7% 1.0% 3.3% 95.2% 50.0% 40.5% 34.4% 20.5% 18.6% 1.2% -80.1% -76.0% — — -53.9% -53.0% -48.1% -46.5% -46.5% -37.0% -37.02%
Op. Income 5Y 32.5% 30.1% 28.1% 23.5% 15.6% 15.2% 14.9% 17.8% 36.1% 41.7% -14.1% -39.9% — — -27.0% -26.5% -26.5% -23.9% -24.7% -22.7% -22.68%
FCF 3Y -20.3% 1.8% 1.2% — — — — — — — — — — — -7.9% -4.6% -31.8% -23.5% -19.8% -8.3% -8.33%
FCF 5Y 64.9% 78.3% 99.6% — — 32.8% 11.9% 1.3% -42.8% — — — — — — — — — 18.8% 2.1% 2.07%
OCF 3Y -17.6% 5.1% 97.9% — — — — — 18.5% — — — — — -9.3% -9.3% -30.5% -22.5% -20.3% -9.1% -9.11%
OCF 5Y 55.9% 66.2% 78.6% — — 31.4% 12.0% 1.3% -36.2% — — — — — — — 41.5% — 14.8% 0.9% 0.89%
Assets 3Y 23.2% 23.5% 29.4% 22.6% 39.0% 38.2% 30.3% 37.4% 26.6% 31.2% -27.4% -30.1% -30.9% -32.1% -35.3% -30.8% -38.3% -39.3% -34.3% -38.8% -38.77%
Assets 5Y 41.2% 43.2% 33.2% 25.6% 20.9% 22.1% 18.5% 25.5% 21.3% 24.9% -11.0% -10.6% -11.0% -12.7% -12.9% -12.2% -11.7% -12.6% -12.8% -16.1% -16.07%
Equity 3Y 24.6% 11.8% 12.3% 11.2% 8.1% 6.6% 17.5% 17.1% 10.7% 11.6% -39.1% -38.0% -38.2% -39.3% -39.6% -40.3% -40.9% -43.5% -46.0% -45.7% -45.74%
Book Value 3Y 9.7% 11.2% 11.9% 15.2% 12.3% 10.2% 9.6% 6.6% 0.6% 1.3% -44.7% -44.1% -44.4% -44.7% -45.8% -46.4% -45.9% -47.7% -44.4% -44.7% -44.71%
Dividend 3Y 8.7% 27.4% 21.6% 23.1% 21.7% 17.7% 3.6% -1.5% -3.9% -10.2% -15.7% -32.9% -42.7% -69.7% -64.1% -46.1% -32.8% 69.9% 69.1% 43.7% 43.73%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.72 0.82 0.88 0.87 0.84 0.73 0.64 0.68 0.73 0.57 0.23 0.16 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.18 0.178
Earnings Stability 0.62 0.59 0.57 0.71 0.71 0.67 0.61 0.43 0.76 0.77 0.08 0.02 0.01 0.09 0.25 0.35 0.51 0.43 0.58 0.62 0.616
Margin Stability 0.79 0.81 0.81 0.87 0.90 0.91 0.89 0.85 0.81 0.81 0.71 0.75 0.64 0.68 0.71 0.72 0.60 0.64 0.68 0.71 0.708
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.50 0.97 0.95 0.93 0.50 0.96 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.96 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.55 0.53 0.61 0.60 0.93 0.88 0.81 0.22 0.89 0.96 0.00 0.12 — — 0.90 0.31 — — 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.02 0.01 -0.08 -0.19 -0.08 -0.08 -0.15 0.05 -0.24 -0.74 -0.07 -0.07 0.03 0.41 0.25 0.23 0.230
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.012
FCF Margin Trend 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.10 -0.05 -0.06 -0.03 0.05 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.039
Sustainable Growth Rate 16.3% 15.5% 16.3% 16.7% 4.5% 2.6% 2.7% -8.9% -2.3% 2.1% -23.0% -6.1% — — 5.1% 3.3% -0.4% -3.7% 9.0% 12.4% 12.44%
Internal Growth Rate 5.7% 5.0% 4.8% 5.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% — — 0.4% — — — — 1.0% 0.7% — — 1.6% 2.2% 2.25%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.54 0.57 0.58 0.31 1.11 1.10 1.09 1.50 0.12 -0.11 -14.09 -2.64 880.00 0.41 6.23 2.76 3.82 2.95 2.03 1.97 1.974
FCF/OCF 0.87 0.85 0.88 0.73 0.93 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.55 1.42 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.13 0.92 0.85 0.88 0.91 0.97 0.98 0.976
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.927
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.120
CapEx/Revenue 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.08%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.063
Accruals Ratio 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.08 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 0.04 0.05 0.13 0.07 0.05 -0.02 -0.11 -0.05 -0.06 -0.08 -0.06 -0.08 -0.076
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.062
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.582
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Dividend Yield 11.4% 15.2% 27.4% 21.0% 24.6% 23.4% 22.4% 32.0% 30.4% 19.4% 1.2% 59.8% 32.3% 3.3% 4.9% 9.2% 9.0% 14.9% 14.6% 10.1% 2.68%
Dividend/Share $0.99 $1.20 $1.31 $1.49 $1.60 $1.77 $1.31 $1.42 $1.41 $1.28 $1.07 $0.57 $0.35 $0.05 $0.07 $0.12 $0.15 $0.31 $0.33 $0.38 $0.19
Payout Ratio 48.4% 54.6% 54.0% 56.8% 83.8% 91.0% 89.0% 1.6% 1.1% 91.3% 7.7% 1.7% — — 54.3% 76.9% 1.0% 1.1% 74.6% 71.7% 71.72%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 2.5% 81.2% 87.4% 86.4% 1.1% 16.2% — — — — — 9.5% 32.7% 30.8% 42.8% 38.1% 37.2% 37.22%
Total Payout Ratio 61.9% 63.9% 64.1% 64.2% 92.6% 96.1% 91.1% 1.7% 1.1% 91.7% 7.7% 1.7% — — 86.4% 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.15%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.99 1.25 1.09 0.89 0.86 0.71 0.59 0.59 0.48 0.16 0.98 0.01 -0.42 -0.93 -0.89 -0.69 -0.51 5.34 3.59 1.91 1.908
Buyback Yield 3.2% 2.6% 5.1% 2.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.9% 2.0% 2.9% 6.1% 9.8% 9.7% 9.8% 6.1% 6.06%
Net Buyback Yield 3.2% 1.1% 2.6% -2.5% -3.1% -2.0% -2.6% 0.3% 0.2% -0.0% -0.7% 0.0% 0.9% -2.6% -1.7% -6.1% -0.6% 4.4% 4.3% 5.7% 5.68%
Total Shareholder Return 14.5% 16.3% 30.0% 18.5% 21.5% 21.4% 19.8% 32.3% 30.6% 19.4% 1.2% 59.8% 33.2% 0.8% 3.2% 3.2% 8.4% 19.3% 18.9% 15.8% 15.78%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.82 0.83 0.84 0.89 1.30 -0.83 3.65 0.00 1.45 0.88 0.96 1.02 0.91 1.10 1.02 1.019
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.55 1.66 1.56 1.19 1.26 0.94 0.98 0.81 0.83 0.78 -0.97 0.46 1.10 1.06 0.86 0.88 0.83 0.88 0.89 0.97 0.971
EBIT Margin 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.016
Asset Turnover 2.54 2.58 2.38 2.64 2.08 2.01 2.10 1.93 1.75 1.29 1.81 1.54 1.33 1.11 3.68 3.92 3.91 4.15 4.29 4.84 4.839
Equity Multiplier 3.03 3.25 3.58 3.36 4.34 4.70 3.87 3.86 4.57 5.21 3.93 4.38 4.09 4.75 5.08 5.04 5.33 6.00 5.81 5.66 5.658
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.04 $2.20 $2.43 $2.62 $1.91 $1.94 $1.48 $0.87 $1.28 $1.40 $0.14 $0.33 $-0.00 $-0.56 $0.12 $0.16 $0.14 $0.27 $0.44 $0.52 $0.52
Book Value/Share $6.85 $6.86 $7.25 $7.19 $6.97 $6.83 $6.87 $6.89 $6.13 $6.31 $1.09 $1.11 $1.18 $1.16 $1.15 $1.10 $1.10 $0.98 $1.18 $1.16 $1.38
Tangible Book/Share $4.97 $5.00 $5.41 $5.38 $4.80 $4.69 $5.32 $5.32 $4.59 $4.84 $-0.38 $-0.31 $-0.23 $-0.46 $-0.46 $-0.57 $-0.67 $0.03 $0.24 $0.23 $0.23
Revenue/Share $49.51 $54.12 $58.52 $60.01 $62.45 $64.73 $49.47 $45.96 $45.42 $38.49 $28.78 $26.48 $19.44 $19.81 $20.62 $21.68 $24.45 $27.25 $30.47 $32.59 $19.66
FCF/Share $0.96 $1.06 $1.24 $0.59 $1.97 $2.02 $1.52 $1.24 $0.09 $-0.21 $-2.01 $-0.89 $-0.80 $-0.26 $0.70 $0.37 $0.48 $0.72 $0.85 $1.01 $0.82
OCF/Share $1.10 $1.25 $1.41 $0.81 $2.13 $2.13 $1.61 $1.30 $0.16 $-0.15 $-1.97 $-0.87 $-0.77 $-0.23 $0.76 $0.44 $0.55 $0.79 $0.89 $1.03 $0.83
Cash/Share $1.98 $1.01 $7.25 $0.51 $13.88 $16.26 $8.07 $10.63 $5.34 $2.47 $1.78 $1.86 $1.90 $1.93 $1.91 $1.70 $2.05 $2.00 $2.18 $2.01 $2.64
EBITDA/Share $1.69 $1.69 $2.03 $2.83 $1.94 $2.90 $2.09 $1.57 $2.05 $1.50 $0.35 $0.41 $0.05 $-0.07 $0.40 $0.44 $0.46 $0.65 $0.81 $0.92 $0.92
Debt/Share $2.19 $2.16 $7.35 $1.88 $13.79 $17.28 $7.20 $10.99 $5.85 $4.71 $0.20 $0.17 $0.17 $0.20 $0.22 $0.24 $0.36 $0.41 $0.51 $0.52 $0.52
Net Debt/Share $0.21 $1.15 $0.11 $1.37 $-0.09 $1.02 $-0.87 $0.36 $0.51 $2.24 $-1.58 $-1.69 $-1.73 $-1.73 $-1.69 $-1.46 $-1.68 $-1.59 $-1.67 $-1.49 $-1.49
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.941
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.389
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 5 7 4 4 4 3 5 2 3 3 1 5 4 4 7 7 8 8 8
Beneish M-Score -1.22 -1.65 -1.62 -1.63 -2.93 -3.14 -3.09 -3.13 -2.15 0.45 -4.13 -2.97 -3.19 -4.93 -3.74 -2.62 -2.65 -2.54 -2.34 -2.67 -2.670
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.150
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 12.59%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.82
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA
Credit Score 80.63 80.57 63.83 85.45 52.28 50.77 65.23 52.64 62.01 47.73 61.32 62.04 43.90 45.28 88.25 87.45 83.82 86.55 89.52 89.69 89.691
Credit Grade snapshot only 3
Credit Trend snapshot only 2.236
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 80.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 86
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 81

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