— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

GHG NYSE

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.
1W: -3.0% 1M: -7.5% 3M: -14.8% YTD: -42.4% 1Y: -54.2% 3Y: -77.0% 5Y: -85.1%
$0.98
-0.05 (-4.85%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.9%
$1 $1 $1 $1 $1
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Lodging · Tech Score Sell · Power 47 · $99.0M mcap · 8M float · 0.139% daily turnover · Short 42% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2022-12-29 Citigroup — Initiated $5 — +31.6% $3.80

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
2
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. GHG receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROA (4/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B B+
2026-08-26 B+ B
2026-07-02 A- B+
2026-02-19 B+ A-
2025-12-30 A- B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
31
Balance Sheet
81
Earnings Quality
77
Growth
3
Value
—
Momentum
42
Safety
—
Cash Flow
25

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.81
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.34
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB+
Score: 62.9/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 35.62x
Accruals: -5.0%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. GHG scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. GHG's score of -2.81 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. GHG's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. GHG receives an estimated rating of BBB+ (score: 62.9/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). GHG's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
15.63x
PEG
-0.20x
P/S
0.68x
P/B
0.41x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$5.10
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 15.6x earnings, GHG trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $5.10 per share, suggesting a potential 421% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.177
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.312
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.134
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.196
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.042
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
0.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. GHG's ROE of 0.4% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.04x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.18 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.61
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with GHG's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. GHG trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.61, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 15.6x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.98
Median 1Y
$0.64
5th Pctile
$0.27
95th Pctile
$1.55
Ann. Volatility
49.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
2,287
-2.2% YoY
Revenue / Employee
—
Profit / Employee
—
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 12.5% 10.4% -1.2% -14.2% -9.9% -12.7% -1.7% 16.5% 4.3% 3.2% 4.6% 2.0% 10.1% 7.6% 9.6% 11.9% 11.4% 11.4% 5.4% 0.4% 0.44%
ROA 6.4% 4.8% -0.5% -6.3% -3.8% -4.6% -0.6% 5.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 0.6% 3.0% 2.2% 2.9% 3.7% 3.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.1% 0.15%
ROIC 14.5% 11.5% 3.5% -21.4% -36.0% -8.9% -1.4% 7.4% 0.8% 4.3% 4.6% 3.8% 11.5% 5.3% 5.1% 4.1% 2.6% 8.3% 7.7% 1.6% 1.61%
ROCE 11.5% 6.7% -3.5% -15.9% -13.7% -10.4% -2.5% 6.2% 11.3% 10.0% 10.1% 10.1% 8.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.9% 2.7% 4.2% 3.8% 3.8% 3.77%
Gross Margin 44.3% 37.6% 32.7% 32.7% 46.2% 28.4% 35.9% 41.0% 33.7% 43.1% 40.9% 39.8% 42.5% 30.7% 36.7% 36.7% 41.7% 26.1% 30.3% 37.7% 37.67%
Operating Margin 23.9% 19.3% -1.0% -1.0% 29.9% -4.4% 13.8% 23.8% 0.9% 12.6% 20.5% 25.6% 29.8% -33.2% 15.6% 15.6% 23.1% -7.0% 12.6% 19.4% 19.41%
Net Margin 11.1% 8.4% -71.6% -71.6% 25.5% -4.4% 9.6% 24.9% -15.1% -8.3% 16.7% 18.7% 18.3% -25.0% 34.4% 34.4% 19.9% -41.7% 6.8% 8.8% 8.84%
EBITDA Margin 25.4% -4.8% -86.5% -86.5% 5.6% 37.2% 22.3% 32.4% 40.8% 24.6% 33.1% 37.0% 33.0% -12.2% 24.6% 24.6% 34.4% 24.7% 11.8% 27.3% 27.34%
FCF Margin -19.2% -16.6% -3.7% 20.6% 28.7% -53.5% -47.8% -42.3% -44.0% 21.4% 18.4% 16.0% 17.1% 21.9% 19.0% 17.2% 5.3% 1.9% -0.2% -2.3% -2.26%
OCF Margin 22.9% 29.9% 35.9% 41.7% 39.7% 8.6% 14.7% 18.1% 18.7% 29.0% 24.6% 20.7% 20.3% 27.8% 26.1% 25.5% 27.1% 25.5% 27.6% 26.3% 26.35%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.62%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 2.71%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.47%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.60%
Cash ROA snapshot only 5.38%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 22.32%
CROIC snapshot only -1.92%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.90%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 4.18%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 23.82%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 15.630
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.676
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.408
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $5.10
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.70 1.47 1.53 1.53 1.38 1.18 1.18 1.12 1.12 1.21 1.30 1.49 1.54 1.57 1.70 1.70 1.64 1.61 1.61 1.70 1.703
Quick Ratio 1.70 1.46 1.53 1.53 1.38 1.16 1.16 1.11 1.10 1.20 1.29 1.48 1.53 1.57 1.69 1.69 1.63 1.60 1.61 1.70 1.699
Debt/Equity 0.10 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.00 1.39 1.39 1.56 1.21 1.27 1.31 1.19 1.12 1.17 1.07 1.07 1.00 0.93 0.95 0.93 0.931
Net Debt/Equity -0.31 -0.16 -0.21 -0.21 -0.60 0.85 0.85 0.57 0.37 0.43 0.53 0.29 0.13 0.15 0.06 0.06 0.04 -0.12 -0.29 -0.29 -0.288
Debt/Assets 0.05 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.00 0.44 0.44 0.40 0.35 0.36 0.38 0.36 0.34 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.316
Debt/EBITDA 0.50 2.16 77.46 -1.71 -0.00 -9.54 48.07 5.74 3.54 3.87 3.88 3.76 3.88 5.37 6.44 7.86 8.05 4.89 5.94 6.09 6.094
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.51 -0.93 -44.43 0.98 2.27 -5.83 29.38 2.10 1.08 1.32 1.55 0.93 0.46 0.70 0.37 0.45 0.30 -0.62 -1.81 -1.88 -1.885
Interest Coverage 38.15 18.53 -10.58 -86.01 -81.98 -99.31 -9.64 18.12 31.68 26.52 39.42 44.19 61.93 32.25 35.90 60.28 29.82 39.39 23.19 17.55 17.550
Equity Multiplier 1.97 2.43 2.60 2.60 3.53 3.17 3.17 3.93 3.47 3.51 3.49 3.30 3.28 3.39 3.13 3.13 3.05 3.04 3.04 2.95 2.951
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.521
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 33.124
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.309
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.015
Defensive Interval snapshot only 3661.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.28 0.27 0.29 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.32 0.34 0.30 0.31 0.30 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.20 0.196
Inventory Turnover 176.86 213.49 288.47 318.10 332.49 67.22 75.19 79.04 69.70 45.53 61.33 60.16 49.57 60.17 102.06 115.84 114.93 119.59 110.34 103.22 103.224
Receivables Turnover 5.89 12.24 3.42 2.82 6.48 11.10 4.19 4.50 10.49 11.47 11.07 9.32 9.93 11.30 9.08 8.87 10.92 12.19 9.56 9.44 9.439
Payables Turnover 25.97 29.85 32.05 34.22 35.94 11.03 12.48 14.75 17.47 9.81 9.90 10.57 11.75 12.69 14.22 15.46 15.95 13.95 14.08 13.79 13.790
DSO 62 30 107 129 56 33 87 81 35 32 33 39 37 32 40 41 33 30 38 39 38.7 days
DIO 2 2 1 1 1 5 5 5 5 8 6 6 7 6 4 3 3 3 3 4 3.5 days
DPO 14 12 11 11 10 33 29 25 21 37 37 35 31 29 26 24 23 26 26 26 26.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 50 19 97 120 47 5 63 61 19 3 2 11 13 10 18 21 14 7 16 16 15.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.597
Operating Cycle snapshot only 42.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.495
Capital Intensity snapshot only 4.893
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 27.8% 29.7% 17.7% -6.1% 3.1% 6.0% 19.8% 50.3% 26.8% 22.5% 7.7% -10.0% -9.2% -14.2% -16.6% -14.3% -15.4% -17.9% -19.1% -21.3% -21.35%
Net Income 7.6% -19.0% -1.1% -1.8% -1.7% -2.1% -17.0% 1.9% 1.3% 1.2% 3.7% -87.8% 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 5.5% 19.6% 56.8% -42.5% -96.2% -96.20%
EPS 7.6% -19.0% -1.1% -1.8% -1.7% -2.1% -19.5% 1.9% 1.3% 1.2% 3.7% -87.7% 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 5.5% 20.4% 57.8% -42.3% -96.2% -96.18%
FCF -2.3% -2.1% -1.3% 3.2% 2.5% -340.9% -1529.9% -309.6% -195.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% -12.2% -14.0% -8.0% -73.6% -92.8% -1.0% -1.1% -1.10%
EBITDA 3.4% -29.9% -98.6% -1.6% -1.8% -1.7% 5.4% 2.1% 2.3% 3.0% 9.8% 30.2% -13.2% -32.6% -45.6% -54.4% -52.8% -5.5% -6.7% 10.4% 10.42%
Op. Income 14.6% -11.0% -1.0% -1.9% -1.8% -2.2% -8.1% 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 5.1% -24.0% 1.2% -19.7% -38.9% -53.3% -80.5% -9.5% -4.4% 33.6% 33.55%
OCF Growth snapshot only -18.85%
Asset Growth snapshot only -7.62%
Equity Growth snapshot only -2.02%
Debt Growth snapshot only -14.41%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.50%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -40.16%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 19.6% 8.5% 7.0% 1.9% 5.2% 5.4% 12.1% 19.2% 18.7% 19.0% 14.9% 8.3% 5.9% 3.7% 2.5% 5.1% -0.9% -4.8% -10.1% -15.3% -15.34%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — 47.5% 29.8% 17.5% 10.6% 9.6% 7.4% 6.0% 4.2% 4.8% 5.5% 5.1% 3.5% 0.5% -3.1% -3.05%
EPS 3Y -6.0% -17.8% — — — — — -3.6% -37.0% -42.7% -40.5% -54.6% -16.5% -19.2% — — — — — -68.8% -68.77%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — 6.1% -28.0% -33.6% -30.1% -42.3% -17.9% -24.2% -12.2% -6.5% -5.5% -7.6% -23.6% -52.9% -52.92%
Net Income 3Y -5.5% -17.4% — — — — — -3.9% -37.0% -43.0% -40.8% -54.8% -16.9% -19.6% — — — — — -68.9% -68.91%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — 6.2% -27.8% -33.6% -30.1% -42.3% -18.1% -24.3% -12.5% -6.8% -5.9% -8.0% -24.0% -53.1% -53.12%
EBITDA 3Y 5.2% -15.3% -77.2% — — — -55.4% -7.3% 3.8% 0.4% -2.1% -3.2% -2.1% -0.9% 2.3% — — — 76.4% -13.1% -13.12%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — -17.2% 7.2% 4.7% -2.6% -3.9% -5.5% -7.8% -13.8% -12.1% -13.9% -14.5% -8.4% -13.8% -14.5% -14.51%
Gross Profit 3Y 8.8% -5.8% -9.1% -17.1% -13.2% -14.8% -7.5% 1.7% -0.1% 3.8% 1.1% -4.3% -2.2% -2.1% -1.8% 4.5% -3.1% -5.1% -12.0% -18.2% -18.23%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — 30.4% 15.1% 2.1% -2.0% -2.2% -4.2% -4.3% -7.1% -6.2% -4.9% -4.4% -5.9% -9.4% -12.2% -12.17%
Op. Income 3Y -5.9% -19.0% — — — — — -8.1% -22.6% -14.2% -13.6% -17.6% -3.3% -17.1% — — — — — -22.1% -22.05%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — 0.6% -19.6% -17.7% -15.9% -16.9% -10.1% -20.3% -20.6% -22.7% -27.4% -14.4% -17.7% -19.0% -18.98%
FCF 3Y — — — -24.8% -9.6% — — — — 21.8% 23.1% — — — — -1.1% -43.4% — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — -4.1% -9.6% -14.9% -12.7% -6.6% 1.4% 2.8% -18.8% -35.1% — — —
OCF 3Y -12.2% -13.4% -8.6% -7.3% -3.9% -40.2% -15.1% -2.6% -1.4% 15.1% 3.2% -3.2% 1.7% 1.1% -7.8% -10.8% -12.7% 36.8% 11.0% -4.0% -4.03%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — 12.6% 7.9% -6.3% -3.9% -7.5% -11.8% -12.2% -6.2% -0.5% 0.1% 1.3% -1.1% -3.6% -4.8% -4.84%
Assets 3Y 17.2% 16.2% 8.8% 4.9% 12.3% 10.2% 11.4% 12.8% 9.5% 7.4% 6.3% 4.5% 4.3% 1.5% 9.5% 9.5% 0.6% -2.1% -1.6% -4.4% -4.38%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — 13.8% 16.4% 13.4% 10.9% 11.1% 8.4% 7.2% 5.3% 7.0% 6.3% 5.4% 3.2% 2.3% 1.4% 1.35%
Equity 3Y 9.9% 1.7% -1.6% -5.0% -8.8% -3.6% -4.6% -10.7% -9.5% -11.8% -11.8% -11.7% -12.1% -9.2% 2.9% 2.9% 5.6% -0.7% -0.3% 5.2% 5.24%
Book Value 3Y 9.3% 1.2% -2.0% -5.4% -8.8% -3.8% -3.9% -10.4% -9.5% -11.5% -11.3% -11.2% -11.7% -8.8% 3.5% 3.5% 6.1% -0.1% -0.3% 5.7% 5.68%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — -36.6% -43.1% -51.4% -51.6% — — -73.4% -73.4% — — 3.5% 3.5% -15.6% -16.2% -15.5% -15.52%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.70 0.38 0.74 0.34 0.55 0.51 0.92 0.90 0.95 0.82 0.88 0.63 0.75 0.62 0.55 0.38 0.33 0.15 0.01 0.08 0.083
Earnings Stability 0.30 0.68 0.06 0.35 0.62 0.75 0.25 0.15 0.57 0.66 0.70 0.34 0.36 0.42 0.27 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.01 0.010
Margin Stability 0.86 0.81 0.80 0.76 0.77 0.73 0.74 0.73 0.72 0.71 0.72 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.73 0.75 0.77 0.78 0.77 0.78 0.784
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.97 0.92 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.50 0.83 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.93 0.79 — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.16 0.22 0.27 0.00 0.82 0.56 0.46 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend -0.05 -0.08 -0.17 -0.32 -0.25 -0.26 -0.09 0.19 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.14 0.13 0.08 0.02 0.04 0.05 -0.01 -0.06 -0.063
Gross Margin Trend -0.11 -0.17 -0.19 -0.22 -0.17 -0.16 -0.14 -0.09 -0.11 -0.03 -0.00 0.01 0.05 0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.034
FCF Margin Trend -0.52 -0.45 -0.22 0.15 0.29 -53.56 -47.90 -42.35 -44.02 27.07 24.13 21.20 22.02 26.88 24.02 21.24 21.96 -0.20 -0.19 -0.19 -0.189
Sustainable Growth Rate 12.5% -5.4% — — — — — 13.7% 1.5% 3.2% 4.6% 1.9% 10.1% 2.7% 5.1% 7.5% 7.1% 8.6% 2.8% -2.1% -2.10%
Internal Growth Rate 6.8% — — — — — — 4.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 0.5% 3.1% 0.8% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 2.8% 0.9% — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.00 1.71 -19.34 -1.68 -2.64 -0.49 -8.11 1.21 4.61 9.37 5.34 10.20 1.84 3.39 2.21 1.67 1.74 1.63 3.29 35.62 35.625
FCF/OCF -0.84 -0.55 -0.10 0.49 0.72 -623.52 -325.69 -233.85 -234.91 0.74 0.75 0.78 0.84 0.79 0.73 0.67 0.20 0.08 -0.01 -0.09 -0.086
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -3.057
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.040
CapEx/Revenue 42.1% 46.5% 39.6% 21.1% 11.0% 53.6% 48.0% 42.5% 44.2% 7.6% 6.2% 4.6% 3.2% 5.9% 7.1% 8.3% 21.8% 23.6% 27.9% 28.6% 28.61%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 5.117
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.03 -0.11 -0.17 -0.14 -0.07 -0.05 -0.01 -0.04 -0.08 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.050
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.006
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.802
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.12%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $3.11 $3.31 $3.51 $3.54 $0.80 $0.61 $0.40 $0.40 $0.00 $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.70 $0.70 $0.69 $0.70 $0.41 $0.41 $0.41 $0.40
Payout Ratio 0.0% 1.5% — — — — — 17.0% 64.9% 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 0.5% 64.5% 46.7% 36.8% 37.8% 24.2% 47.9% 5.8% 5.76%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — 1.6% 1.0% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 24.1% 29.1% 32.7% 1.1% 2.0% — — —
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 1.5% — — — — — 17.0% 64.9% 40.7% 27.7% 69.5% 13.4% 64.8% 47.0% 37.0% 37.8% 24.2% 47.9% 5.8% 5.76%
Div. Increase Streak — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.70 0.68 -3.98 0.84 0.83 0.73 0.48 0.72 0.41 0.21 0.26 0.17 0.52 0.56 0.67 0.76 0.77 0.80 0.70 0.18 0.177
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.97 1.33 -0.06 0.71 0.42 0.83 0.60 1.40 0.37 0.63 0.67 0.44 0.89 0.96 1.38 2.16 2.28 1.43 0.94 0.31 0.312
EBIT Margin 0.34 0.19 -0.08 -0.42 -0.43 -0.29 -0.06 0.15 0.27 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.24 0.15 0.13 0.09 0.09 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.134
Asset Turnover 0.28 0.27 0.29 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.32 0.34 0.30 0.31 0.30 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.20 0.196
Equity Multiplier 1.96 2.18 2.24 2.24 2.57 2.76 2.89 3.24 3.50 3.33 3.32 3.60 3.37 3.45 3.30 3.21 3.16 3.21 3.09 3.04 3.042
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.63 $2.05 $-0.21 $-2.59 $-1.80 $-2.20 $-0.26 $2.36 $0.61 $0.48 $0.70 $0.29 $1.53 $1.08 $1.50 $1.88 $1.84 $1.71 $0.86 $0.07 $0.07
Book Value/Share $22.22 $18.91 $14.76 $14.76 $14.13 $15.67 $15.97 $13.65 $14.65 $14.17 $14.71 $15.31 $15.32 $14.37 $16.36 $16.36 $16.86 $15.64 $15.82 $16.11 $16.41
Tangible Book/Share $15.96 $12.69 $11.82 $11.82 $13.47 $15.01 $15.30 $10.71 $11.74 $11.27 $11.82 $12.43 $12.45 $12.68 $14.68 $14.68 $16.63 $14.82 $15.02 $15.31 $15.31
Revenue/Share $11.53 $11.70 $11.58 $10.43 $12.00 $12.43 $14.17 $15.81 $15.09 $15.38 $15.16 $14.32 $13.90 $13.23 $12.66 $12.29 $11.83 $10.94 $10.29 $9.72 $9.72
FCF/Share $-2.21 $-1.94 $-0.43 $2.15 $3.44 $-665.58 $-677.80 $-668.77 $-663.43 $3.29 $2.79 $2.30 $2.38 $2.89 $2.40 $2.12 $0.63 $0.21 $-0.02 $-0.22 $-0.22
OCF/Share $2.64 $3.50 $4.15 $4.36 $4.76 $1.07 $2.08 $2.86 $2.82 $4.46 $3.73 $2.96 $2.82 $3.68 $3.30 $3.14 $3.21 $2.79 $2.85 $2.56 $2.56
Cash/Share $9.33 $9.84 $8.65 $8.65 $8.54 $8.49 $8.66 $13.49 $12.30 $11.88 $11.56 $13.74 $15.13 $14.68 $16.44 $16.44 $16.24 $16.46 $19.69 $19.64 $19.64
EBITDA/Share $4.63 $3.19 $0.07 $-3.22 $-3.76 $-2.29 $0.46 $3.71 $5.01 $4.65 $4.98 $4.86 $4.41 $3.14 $2.71 $2.22 $2.10 $2.99 $2.54 $2.46 $2.46
Debt/Share $2.33 $6.87 $5.50 $5.50 $0.00 $21.84 $22.27 $21.29 $17.70 $18.01 $19.30 $18.24 $17.14 $16.88 $17.44 $17.44 $16.87 $14.61 $15.09 $15.00 $15.00
Net Debt/Share $-7.00 $-2.97 $-3.15 $-3.15 $-8.54 $13.35 $13.61 $7.80 $5.41 $6.13 $7.73 $4.51 $2.02 $2.20 $1.01 $1.01 $0.63 $-1.85 $-4.61 $-4.64 $-4.64
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 6 5 4 3 5 4 5 7 5 9 8 6 8 7 7 7 7 7 5 7 7
Beneish M-Score -1.81 -2.21 -0.88 -1.51 -3.39 -2.54 -2.86 -2.57 -2.24 -195.62 -2.76 -2.86 -2.31 -1.43 -2.63 -2.54 -2.75 -3.06 -2.63 -2.81 -2.810
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.344
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 5.15%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-9.14
EVA snapshot only $-97081918.30
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB+
Credit Score 78.48 69.90 43.89 56.18 50.25 40.90 30.83 57.65 62.04 66.15 65.91 65.83 68.33 65.88 64.89 64.85 63.21 66.94 64.75 62.93 62.927
Credit Grade snapshot only 8
Credit Trend snapshot only -1.920
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 225.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 68
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 52

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