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GHL NYSE

Greenhill & Co., Inc.
1W: +1.1% 1M: +1.2% 3M: +2.3% 1Y: +66.7% 3Y: +18.1% 5Y: -31.4%
$14.99
Last traded 2023-11-30 — delisted
NYSE · Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets · $282.0M mcap · 13M float · 2.02% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
27.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: -2.3%  ·  5Y Avg: 3.9%
Cost Advantage ★
47
Intangibles
18
Switching Cost
18
Network Effect
19
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. GHL has No discernible competitive edge (27.3/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. Negative ROIC of -2.3% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 8Sell: 6Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2022-07-13 Goldman Sachs — Initiated $7 — -14.6% $8.20
2022-07-08 Piper Sandler — Initiated $10 — +11.4% $8.98

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 8 Grade D
Profitability
0
Balance Sheet
29
Earnings Quality
45
Growth
23
Value
19
Momentum
28
Safety
30
Cash Flow
34
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. GHL scores highest in Earnings Quality (45/100) and lowest in Profitability (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
1.27
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-4.20
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.35
Bankruptcy prob: 3.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 24.6/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -1.17x
Accruals: -11.6%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. GHL scores 1.27, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. GHL scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. GHL's score of -4.20 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. GHL's implied 3.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. GHL receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 24.6/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
83.28x
PEG
0.26x
P/S
1.09x
P/B
4.54x
P/FCF
10.61x
P/OCF
8.77x
EV/EBITDA
-11.06x
EV/Revenue
2.45x
EV/EBIT
-10.46x
EV/FCF
23.13x
Earnings Yield
-9.74%
FCF Yield
9.43%
Shareholder Yield
11.23%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 83.3x earnings, GHL is priced for high growth expectations.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.785
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.595
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.234
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.486
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
11.705
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-62.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. GHL's ROE of -62.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 11.70x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$14.99
Median 1Y
$12.06
5th Pctile
$4.22
95th Pctile
$34.49
Ann. Volatility
60.9%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
ROE 29.0% 16.6% -9.2% -4.5% 20.5% 89.1% 91.0% -37.3% 47.2% 89.7% 1.2% 1.6% 43.8% 34.8% 30.9% 17.7% 3.5% -11.9% 28.3% -62.3% -62.32%
ROA 7.2% 3.4% -1.2% -0.4% 2.2% 4.3% 3.4% -1.6% 5.8% 8.2% 9.0% 14.8% 7.3% 5.1% 3.5% 2.3% 0.6% -1.5% 3.0% -5.3% -5.32%
ROIC 23.7% 11.1% 5.3% 6.7% 8.3% 11.2% 7.5% 3.6% 10.9% 12.4% 15.2% 23.5% 15.1% 10.1% 7.3% 5.8% 3.7% 2.0% 7.5% -2.3% -2.26%
ROCE 23.4% 13.1% 6.3% 7.5% 10.3% 14.7% 10.4% 3.5% -4.7% -2.8% -1.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.4% -1.1% -2.6% -2.5% -5.1% -0.6% -12.9% -12.93%
Gross Margin 43.8% 12.0% 17.9% 50.2% 58.3% 19.0% 2.7% 16.6% 67.0% 31.4% 8.0% 49.9% 49.4% -3.1% -19.7% 44.2% 53.5% -21.9% 46.5% -56.8% -56.79%
Operating Margin 24.3% -27.9% -11.4% 29.0% 38.7% -4.0% -31.6% -12.6% 56.9% 10.5% -21.3% 34.3% 36.7% -32.0% -57.9% 28.3% 34.4% -52.0% 20.7% -1.0% -1.05%
Net Margin 12.5% -30.1% -22.6% 17.2% 22.6% -11.3% -31.3% -16.7% 44.9% 3.0% -20.4% 22.7% 24.8% -26.6% -52.0% 17.5% 20.8% -46.9% 6.2% -91.7% -91.70%
EBITDA Margin 25.1% -26.6% -10.2% 29.7% 39.3% -3.1% -30.4% -11.7% 0.0% 11.6% -19.4% 35.1% 0.0% -30.6% -56.2% 29.1% 0.0% -50.2% 0.0% -97.7% -97.67%
FCF Margin 32.4% 29.3% 21.5% 19.9% 4.2% 20.6% 22.2% 15.2% 21.5% 14.7% 24.5% 29.6% 39.7% 36.7% 24.2% 13.8% 8.0% 5.8% 4.3% 10.6% 10.60%
OCF Margin 33.0% 29.8% 22.0% 20.5% 4.8% 21.3% 23.2% 17.3% 27.0% 20.9% 30.7% 34.3% 41.2% 37.4% 24.7% 15.2% 10.7% 8.8% 6.9% 12.8% 12.83%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.42%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -8.58%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.75%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.81%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -1.98%
Cash ROA snapshot only 6.36%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.88%
CROIC snapshot only 7.34%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -3.26%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -13.95%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 12.35%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 9.93%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
P/E Ratio 14.04 26.73 -51.50 -138.85 32.72 9.09 10.54 -25.63 6.85 8.90 6.01 4.26 10.16 9.60 8.82 9.88 64.29 -20.19 20.50 -10.27 83.278
P/S Ratio 1.56 1.48 1.04 0.99 1.19 0.54 0.56 0.72 0.69 1.16 0.92 0.96 1.35 0.92 0.56 0.43 0.81 0.61 1.05 1.12 1.091
P/B Ratio 8.83 14.54 12.95 9.94 8.04 16.96 12.93 14.87 2.44 4.49 4.17 4.04 4.10 3.37 3.22 2.09 2.60 3.04 5.40 9.63 4.537
P/FCF 4.82 5.05 4.85 4.99 28.32 2.62 2.54 4.72 3.21 7.92 3.74 3.23 3.41 2.50 2.32 3.15 10.15 10.45 24.59 10.61 10.608
P/OCF 4.73 4.96 4.75 4.85 25.07 2.54 2.43 4.15 2.56 5.58 2.99 2.79 3.29 2.45 2.27 2.85 7.64 6.94 15.14 8.77 8.766
EV/EBITDA 8.57 14.68 24.38 19.46 13.30 7.84 10.36 28.98 -22.70 -53.86 -86.12 20.03 21.58 63.05 -155.05 -41.62 -46.52 -22.30 -488.58 -11.06 -11.058
EV/Revenue 2.04 2.34 2.11 1.98 2.14 1.48 1.72 1.96 1.69 2.24 1.93 1.80 2.09 1.88 1.66 1.57 1.90 1.83 2.16 2.45 2.452
EV/EBIT 8.32 13.96 21.97 17.78 14.04 8.18 10.88 33.11 -21.13 -47.00 -65.83 21.65 23.33 83.31 -94.52 -35.32 -39.48 -20.28 -226.65 -10.46 -10.461
EV/FCF 6.28 8.00 9.78 9.96 50.76 7.19 7.72 12.86 7.84 15.28 7.86 6.08 5.26 5.13 6.87 11.40 23.64 31.36 50.68 23.13 23.127
Earnings Yield 7.1% 3.7% -1.9% -0.7% 3.1% 11.0% 9.5% -3.9% 14.6% 11.2% 16.6% 23.5% 9.8% 10.4% 11.3% 10.1% 1.6% -5.0% 4.9% -9.7% -9.74%
FCF Yield 20.7% 19.8% 20.6% 20.0% 3.5% 38.2% 39.4% 21.2% 31.2% 12.6% 26.8% 31.0% 29.3% 39.9% 43.1% 31.7% 9.9% 9.6% 4.1% 9.4% 9.43%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.263
EV/OCF snapshot only 19.113
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 10.806
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 11.23%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Current Ratio 1.89 3.67 4.00 4.39 3.97 3.44 3.36 3.58 3.58 3.79 3.60 3.35 2.72 2.44 2.28 2.50 2.76 1.90 2.24 1.89 1.890
Quick Ratio 1.89 3.67 4.00 4.39 3.97 3.44 3.36 3.58 3.58 3.79 3.60 3.35 2.72 2.44 2.28 2.50 2.76 1.90 2.24 1.89 1.890
Debt/Equity 5.12 10.87 17.56 13.69 8.70 36.60 31.95 31.66 4.73 5.16 5.85 4.73 3.44 4.49 7.49 6.45 4.66 7.09 6.45 13.26 13.261
Net Debt/Equity 2.68 8.49 13.17 9.89 6.37 29.65 26.39 25.61 3.53 4.17 4.59 3.57 2.22 3.54 6.33 5.46 3.46 6.08 5.72 11.37 11.370
Debt/Assets 0.66 0.79 0.85 0.85 0.79 0.85 0.84 0.85 0.71 0.74 0.75 0.71 0.63 0.69 0.74 0.72 0.68 0.72 0.72 0.77 0.768
Debt/EBITDA 3.82 6.93 16.38 13.44 8.03 6.15 8.42 22.66 -17.98 -32.12 -57.50 12.44 11.74 40.98 -121.51 -35.57 -35.79 -17.33 -283.37 -6.98 -6.981
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.99 5.41 12.29 9.71 5.88 4.98 6.95 18.34 -13.42 -25.93 -45.14 9.40 7.58 32.28 -102.75 -30.11 -26.55 -14.87 -251.48 -5.99 -5.986
Interest Coverage 3.84 2.30 0.97 1.13 1.67 2.18 2.50 0.95 -1.61 -1.08 -0.68 2.23 2.34 0.57 -0.42 -0.94 -0.80 -1.28 -0.13 -2.39 -2.387
Equity Multiplier 7.79 13.72 20.57 16.18 11.07 43.03 38.16 37.46 6.65 7.02 7.78 6.63 5.42 6.53 10.09 8.94 6.83 9.84 8.92 17.27 17.273
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.080
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -2.258
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.143
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.068
Defensive Interval snapshot only 493.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.64 0.61 0.57 0.60 0.61 0.72 0.63 0.58 0.58 0.62 0.59 0.66 0.55 0.54 0.56 0.53 0.46 0.50 0.59 0.49 0.486
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 5.31 3.79 3.57 4.19 4.16 5.19 5.22 6.23 3.74 4.42 6.30 7.36 4.35 5.01 7.78 5.00 5.02 5.63 6.03 5.08 5.083
Payables Turnover 11.97 9.09 10.75 9.84 12.10 14.66 14.14 12.44 13.94 14.79 13.02 10.58 11.48 12.29 11.17 10.07 10.34 10.63 9.70 9.35 9.348
DSO 69 96 102 87 88 70 70 59 97 83 58 50 84 73 47 73 73 65 61 72 71.8 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 30 40 34 37 30 25 26 29 26 25 28 34 32 30 33 36 35 34 38 39 39.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 38 56 68 50 58 45 44 29 71 58 30 15 52 43 14 37 37 31 23 33 32.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.224
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.532
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.016
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 47.2% 17.0% -2.7% -14.0% -14.5% 0.4% 9.0% -2.1% 3.5% -1.1% 0.1% 23.0% 1.9% -6.2% -7.1% -18.2% -18.6% -10.7% 3.9% -11.4% -11.36%
Net Income 2.5% 1.9% 62.4% -2.1% -72.0% 7.6% 3.9% -2.8% 1.9% 1.2% 1.9% 10.8% 35.0% -31.4% -61.4% -84.0% -92.3% -1.3% -16.4% -3.2% -3.21%
EPS 2.8% 2.1% 56.1% -2.2% -69.6% 36.3% 4.6% -3.8% 2.5% 74.0% 1.8% 8.9% 0.8% -11.8% -58.8% -82.0% -90.6% -1.3% -28.9% -3.5% -3.48%
FCF 8.0% 3.3% 3.1% -9.7% -88.9% -29.3% 12.4% -25.2% 4.3% -29.5% 10.5% 1.4% 88.0% 1.3% -8.6% -61.9% -83.5% -85.8% -81.7% -31.8% -31.79%
EBITDA 7.4% 93.6% -30.2% -55.6% -42.2% 19.0% 1.1% -35.1% -1.5% -1.2% -1.1% 63.8% 2.3% 1.7% 55.6% -1.3% -1.3% -3.5% 57.1% -4.2% -4.21%
Op. Income 17.3% 1.2% -30.1% -57.8% -43.3% 20.7% 1.2% -37.5% 20.5% 13.4% 46.0% 5.6% 29.0% -24.0% -46.8% -71.9% -71.1% -81.3% 18.9% -1.3% -1.34%
OCF Growth snapshot only -25.29%
Asset Growth snapshot only -3.91%
Equity Growth snapshot only -50.29%
Debt Growth snapshot only 2.24%
Shares Change snapshot only -10.81%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 95.03%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 3Y 10.4% 5.8% -0.1% -2.9% -3.6% -0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 9.2% 5.1% 2.0% 1.2% -3.4% -2.3% 0.4% -0.5% -5.0% -6.1% -1.2% -3.7% -3.74%
Revenue 5Y 4.2% 4.7% 4.5% 0.6% 1.8% 1.5% 0.3% 1.1% 3.6% 3.3% 1.7% 2.0% -1.1% -2.0% -1.0% 0.4% 1.6% -0.5% 0.5% -5.6% -5.57%
EPS 3Y 24.5% 1.1% — — -36.9% -17.1% -12.9% — — — — 2.6% 1.9% 27.9% — — -31.2% — -6.7% — —
EPS 5Y 0.2% -8.0% — — -19.8% -10.0% -12.2% — 15.2% 19.7% 18.7% 17.9% -2.7% -2.6% -5.5% -4.2% — — — — —
Net Income 3Y 15.3% -7.9% — — -43.5% -30.4% -26.9% — — — — 2.5% 2.6% 17.2% — — -33.2% — -2.7% — —
Net Income 5Y -3.4% -12.1% — — -24.0% -18.0% -20.5% — 4.1% 12.9% 7.7% 11.2% -7.0% -12.8% -15.5% -12.0% — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y 19.4% 4.5% -25.0% -27.6% -19.9% -12.7% -9.8% -22.5% — — — -22.2% -28.4% -44.1% — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y 9.0% 9.4% 5.0% -9.3% -7.6% -6.5% -10.2% -20.3% — — — -16.6% -20.1% -37.2% — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y 11.1% 4.8% -7.9% -10.3% -7.3% -3.6% -1.5% -5.3% 14.2% 6.6% 3.5% 4.2% -6.8% -5.9% -0.4% -4.9% -13.6% -18.7% -3.0% -13.1% -13.09%
Gross Profit 5Y 3.6% 2.7% -0.3% -4.5% -0.9% -1.9% -4.0% -6.7% 0.6% 3.2% 1.2% 3.6% -3.7% -6.3% -5.8% -3.3% -0.1% -7.9% -1.2% -17.2% -17.22%
Op. Income 3Y 23.2% 8.2% -25.0% -27.8% -19.5% -11.8% -8.4% -21.4% 1.3% 45.2% 31.7% 20.4% -4.1% 1.3% 20.2% 5.1% -23.4% -45.5% -2.6% — —
Op. Income 5Y 2.4% -1.1% -10.3% -16.6% -7.4% -6.2% -10.0% -20.9% 5.0% 11.6% 6.6% 9.2% -4.1% -9.9% -9.8% -2.1% 36.0% -15.3% 7.6% — —
FCF 3Y 8.0% 7.5% -9.9% -17.0% -53.0% -10.9% -8.5% -14.8% 74.5% 29.3% 72.1% 17.4% 3.3% 5.3% 4.3% -12.0% 17.8% -38.3% -43.0% -14.7% -14.66%
FCF 5Y 11.4% 4.9% 3.6% -7.5% -33.9% -7.5% -11.0% -13.9% -5.8% -9.1% -1.9% 0.4% 0.6% 3.1% -5.0% -10.9% 10.5% -6.3% -3.1% -15.9% -15.94%
OCF 3Y 7.8% 7.1% -10.2% -16.7% -51.3% -10.6% -7.7% -11.9% 76.9% 39.6% 74.3% 21.5% 4.0% 5.3% 4.4% -9.9% 24.3% -30.0% -34.0% -12.9% -12.92%
OCF 5Y 11.4% 5.0% 3.4% -7.5% -32.6% -7.3% -10.5% -12.2% -2.0% -3.1% 2.0% 3.1% 1.0% 3.2% -4.9% -9.6% 12.7% -0.8% 2.9% -13.4% -13.39%
Assets 3Y 4.6% 2.9% 3.9% 2.4% 2.7% 1.9% 7.9% 5.8% -1.4% -1.6% 0.3% 3.3% 5.4% 5.9% 2.3% 4.2% 3.8% 6.2% 0.1% -0.2% -0.23%
Assets 5Y 6.6% 7.0% 7.9% 6.6% 7.9% 8.0% 4.2% 4.5% 6.7% 7.1% 4.8% 4.6% 4.5% 5.0% 4.2% 4.1% -2.0% -2.8% -0.3% 0.6% 0.56%
Equity 3Y -39.6% -50.8% -56.6% -53.5% -46.5% -66.9% -63.7% -64.2% -24.9% -23.0% -12.8% 8.8% 18.9% 35.7% 29.7% 27.1% 21.9% 73.6% 62.6% 29.1% 29.14%
Book Value 3Y -34.8% -46.0% -52.3% -48.6% -40.3% -60.6% -56.7% -57.3% -11.8% -16.5% -1.7% 12.7% 18.2% 48.1% 42.0% 31.8% 25.6% 75.5% 55.8% 29.5% 29.48%
Dividend 3Y -48.5% -41.4% -30.1% 13.7% 10.0% 11.9% 10.1% -0.2% 10.5% 10.0% 17.1% 18.7% 1.3% 16.9% 21.2% 11.2% 30.9% 20.1% 12.9% 20.6% 20.58%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.10 0.44 0.57 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.04 0.10 0.33 0.74 0.65 0.00 0.32 0.75 0.01 0.16 0.14 0.01 0.00 0.43 0.426
Earnings Stability 0.14 0.25 0.49 0.81 0.13 0.24 0.49 0.84 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.08 0.13 0.07 0.39 0.00 0.001
Margin Stability 0.87 0.94 0.90 0.88 0.87 0.91 0.87 0.83 0.88 0.98 0.91 0.82 0.92 0.92 0.88 0.80 0.88 0.84 0.91 0.70 0.704
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.86 0.87 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.93 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.00 0.93 — — 0.04 0.26 0.04 — 0.70 0.63 0.11 0.00 0.00 — 0.82 — —
ROE Trend 0.59 0.50 -0.25 -0.13 -0.00 1.65 1.43 -0.56 -0.08 -0.70 0.21 1.28 0.10 -0.83 -0.59 0.03 -0.34 -0.58 -0.27 -1.52 -1.519
Gross Margin Trend 0.05 -0.02 -0.07 -0.05 0.02 0.02 0.02 -0.09 -0.05 0.00 0.06 0.15 0.01 -0.05 -0.08 -0.09 -0.08 -0.12 -0.00 -0.16 -0.165
FCF Margin Trend 0.12 0.11 0.04 -0.02 -0.15 0.02 0.09 -0.04 0.03 -0.10 0.03 0.12 0.27 0.19 0.01 -0.09 -0.23 -0.20 -0.20 -0.11 -0.111
Sustainable Growth Rate 25.2% 11.7% — — 11.3% 68.9% 68.8% — 41.0% 80.0% 1.0% 1.5% 39.3% 28.1% 20.5% 8.6% -6.1% — 9.7% — —
Internal Growth Rate 6.6% 2.4% — — 1.2% 3.4% 2.6% — 5.3% 7.8% 8.9% 16.0% 7.0% 4.3% 2.4% 1.1% — — 1.0% — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.97 5.39 -10.84 -28.61 1.31 3.58 4.34 -6.18 2.68 1.60 2.01 1.53 3.09 3.92 3.89 3.46 8.41 -2.91 1.35 -1.17 -1.171
FCF/OCF 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.89 0.97 0.96 0.88 0.80 0.70 0.80 0.86 0.96 0.98 0.98 0.91 0.75 0.66 0.62 0.83 0.826
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.968
CapEx/Revenue 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 2.1% 5.5% 6.2% 6.1% 4.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.5% 1.4% 2.6% 3.0% 2.7% 2.2% 2.23%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.071
Accruals Ratio -0.14 -0.15 -0.14 -0.13 -0.01 -0.11 -0.11 -0.12 -0.10 -0.05 -0.09 -0.08 -0.15 -0.15 -0.10 -0.06 -0.04 -0.06 -0.01 -0.12 -0.116
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.071
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.922
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Dividend Yield 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.7% 1.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 2.0% 3.8% 5.2% 4.2% 5.7% 3.2% 4.0% 2.67%
Dividend/Share $0.21 $0.21 $0.21 $0.25 $0.22 $0.23 $0.21 $0.18 $0.22 $0.19 $0.23 $0.22 $0.17 $0.30 $0.34 $0.30 $0.42 $0.50 $0.47 $0.59 $0.40
Payout Ratio 13.2% 29.4% — — 45.1% 22.7% 24.4% — 13.1% 10.9% 9.6% 6.7% 10.3% 19.5% 33.6% 51.5% 2.7% — 65.7% — —
FCF Payout Ratio 4.5% 5.5% 8.4% 10.3% 39.0% 6.5% 5.9% 8.1% 6.1% 9.7% 6.0% 5.1% 3.5% 5.1% 8.8% 16.4% 43.0% 59.8% 78.9% 41.9% 41.95%
Total Payout Ratio 5.1% 10.9% — — 6.8% 3.8% 4.0% — 87.3% 49.3% 61.5% 50.5% 1.2% 2.0% 3.2% 4.0% 14.9% — 2.0% — —
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number -0.88 -0.84 -0.73 0.11 -0.03 -0.14 -0.19 -0.40 -0.15 0.06 0.14 0.52 0.07 0.25 0.39 0.29 1.09 0.73 0.67 0.78 0.779
Buyback Yield 35.5% 39.6% 35.7% 22.6% 19.3% 39.3% 35.8% 23.2% 10.8% 4.3% 8.6% 10.3% 10.5% 18.7% 32.0% 34.8% 19.0% 17.4% 6.5% 7.3% 7.28%
Net Buyback Yield 35.5% 39.6% 35.7% 22.6% 19.3% 39.3% 35.8% 23.2% 10.8% 4.3% 8.6% 10.3% 10.5% 18.7% 32.0% 34.8% 19.0% 11.4% 3.4% 3.8% 3.81%
Total Shareholder Return 36.4% 40.7% 37.5% 24.7% 20.7% 41.8% 38.1% 24.9% 12.7% 5.5% 10.2% 11.9% 11.5% 20.7% 35.8% 40.0% 23.2% 17.1% 6.6% 7.8% 7.76%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.67 0.71 0.91 1.10 0.60 0.60 0.57 9.24 0.79 0.80 0.82 0.80 0.72 0.74 0.70 0.71 0.64 0.86 0.65 0.79 0.785
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.68 0.46 -0.23 -0.06 0.40 0.54 0.60 -0.05 -1.60 -3.42 -6.39 3.37 2.08 5.69 -5.15 -1.38 -0.41 0.39 -8.26 0.60 0.595
EBIT Margin 0.25 0.17 0.10 0.11 0.15 0.18 0.16 0.06 -0.08 -0.05 -0.03 0.08 0.09 0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.09 -0.01 -0.23 -0.234
Asset Turnover 0.64 0.61 0.57 0.60 0.61 0.72 0.63 0.58 0.58 0.62 0.59 0.66 0.55 0.54 0.56 0.53 0.46 0.50 0.59 0.49 0.486
Equity Multiplier 4.05 4.95 7.93 10.38 9.16 20.72 27.10 23.02 8.14 10.99 12.81 11.02 5.98 6.77 8.76 7.59 6.03 7.84 9.46 11.70 11.705
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.57 $0.73 $-0.24 $-0.09 $0.48 $0.99 $0.87 $-0.41 $1.65 $1.73 $2.42 $3.23 $1.66 $1.53 $1.00 $0.58 $0.16 $-0.43 $0.71 $-1.44 $-1.44
Book Value/Share $2.50 $1.34 $0.95 $1.20 $1.94 $0.53 $0.71 $0.71 $4.63 $3.43 $3.49 $3.40 $4.12 $4.35 $2.73 $2.76 $3.85 $2.88 $2.70 $1.54 $3.30
Tangible Book/Share $-5.77 $-7.29 $-7.65 $-7.37 $-7.03 $-9.65 $-10.08 $-10.25 $-6.73 $-5.63 $-7.49 $-5.42 $-4.13 $-7.22 $-8.49 $-6.57 $-5.80 $-8.09 $-6.67 $-8.96 $-8.96
Revenue/Share $14.10 $13.18 $11.84 $12.04 $13.10 $16.76 $16.34 $14.64 $16.40 $13.23 $15.89 $14.38 $12.48 $15.96 $15.73 $13.24 $12.30 $14.34 $13.89 $13.16 $10.55
FCF/Share $4.57 $3.86 $2.55 $2.40 $0.55 $3.46 $3.63 $2.23 $3.53 $1.94 $3.90 $4.26 $4.95 $5.85 $3.80 $1.82 $0.99 $0.84 $0.59 $1.40 $0.85
OCF/Share $4.66 $3.93 $2.60 $2.47 $0.62 $3.56 $3.80 $2.54 $4.42 $2.76 $4.87 $4.93 $5.14 $5.98 $3.88 $2.02 $1.31 $1.26 $0.96 $1.69 $1.12
Cash/Share $6.11 $3.20 $4.18 $4.58 $4.53 $3.70 $3.97 $4.28 $5.55 $3.41 $4.39 $3.94 $5.02 $4.14 $3.16 $2.73 $4.64 $2.90 $1.96 $2.90 $3.97
EBITDA/Share $3.36 $2.10 $1.02 $1.23 $2.11 $3.17 $2.71 $0.99 $-1.22 $-0.55 $-0.36 $1.29 $1.21 $0.48 $-0.17 $-0.50 $-0.50 $-1.18 $-0.06 $-2.92 $-2.92
Debt/Share $12.80 $14.58 $16.75 $16.49 $16.91 $19.50 $22.79 $22.40 $21.90 $17.70 $20.44 $16.08 $14.17 $19.53 $20.47 $17.77 $17.96 $20.40 $17.39 $20.37 $20.37
Net Debt/Share $6.69 $11.38 $12.57 $11.91 $12.38 $15.80 $18.82 $18.13 $16.35 $14.29 $16.05 $12.15 $9.15 $15.38 $17.31 $15.05 $13.32 $17.51 $15.43 $17.47 $17.47
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.272
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.901
Piotroski F-Score 7 6 6 5 6 7 7 4 7 7 7 7 6 5 5 4 6 3 6 3 3
Beneish M-Score -3.19 -2.55 -2.89 -3.59 -2.40 -2.89 0.10 -1.87 -2.75 -2.73 -3.61 -2.83 -3.39 -9.58 -3.68 -2.50 -3.03 -3.10 -2.50 -4.20 -4.203
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.354
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-19.92
EVA snapshot only $-43831960.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 85.22 82.73 33.28 43.84 79.26 69.43 63.81 21.97 85.45 84.76 85.14 86.48 87.32 85.99 80.46 83.41 65.65 38.53 79.62 24.58 24.582
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only -58.831
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 12
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 10

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