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Also trades as: 9979.HK (HKSE) · $vol 1M

GRMHF OTC

Greentown Management Holdings Company Limited
1W: +0.0% 1M: -49.8% 3M: -27.6% YTD: -49.8% 1Y: -49.8% 3Y: -32.8%
$0.25
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Real Estate · Real Estate - Services · Tech Score Sell · Power 39 · $492.0M mcap · 537M float · 0.0001% daily turnover · Short 100% of daily vol

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A
Profitability
76
Balance Sheet
90
Earnings Quality
52
Growth
23
Value
—
Momentum
37
Safety
—
Cash Flow
50

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.94
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.81
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 82.8/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
50/100
OCF/NI: 0.72x
Accruals: 4.0%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. GRMHF scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. GRMHF's score of -1.94 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. GRMHF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. GRMHF receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 82.8/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). GRMHF's score of 50/100 is moderate — some divergence between reported earnings and underlying cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
6.90x
PEG
-0.32x
P/S
0.93x
P/B
0.83x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$4.55
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 6.9x earnings, GRMHF trades at a deep value multiple. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $4.55 per share, suggesting a potential 1712% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.751
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.877
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.237
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.901
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.964
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
27.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. GRMHF's ROE of 27.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.901), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$4.25
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with GRMHF's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. GRMHF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $4.25, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 6.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1256 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.25
Median 1Y
$0.21
5th Pctile
$0.08
95th Pctile
$0.52
Ann. Volatility
55.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
ROE 8.8% 19.6% 27.8% 43.3% 46.8% 54.2% 47.0% 43.9% 32.0% 27.6% 27.58%
ROA 5.6% 11.5% 16.9% 22.2% 28.7% 28.5% 27.4% 22.8% 18.4% 14.0% 14.05%
ROIC 19.6% 32.8% 47.3% 1.4% 79.8% 1.2% 74.6% 78.6% 57.2% 50.0% 50.00%
ROCE 8.5% 17.7% 26.6% 42.9% 44.2% 57.1% 54.3% 50.5% 45.5% 40.1% 40.07%
Gross Margin 45.4% 50.4% 53.9% 52.0% 52.2% 51.5% 47.7% 40.0% 39.4% 41.1% 41.13%
Operating Margin 25.0% 28.3% 29.0% 34.2% 33.9% 33.6% 26.1% 22.6% 20.1% 24.3% 24.34%
Net Margin 25.4% 28.7% 27.5% 30.6% 28.5% 30.0% 16.9% 18.6% 9.3% 18.5% 18.51%
EBITDA Margin 25.6% 30.7% 33.9% 38.9% 33.6% 35.9% 29.6% 25.1% 22.1% 24.3% 24.34%
FCF Margin 25.4% 26.9% 26.0% 29.4% 27.3% 21.1% 17.9% 11.1% 9.4% 10.8% 10.80%
OCF Margin 26.4% 27.7% 27.0% 30.3% 28.2% 21.9% 18.5% 11.7% 9.9% 11.2% 11.16%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 33.23%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 17.19%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 47.39%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 30.09%
Cash ROA snapshot only 10.54%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 33.42%
CROIC snapshot only 32.34%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 16.70%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 20.78%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.37%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 18.60%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.03%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — 6.897
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — 0.933
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — 0.831
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $4.55
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.01 1.68 1.85 1.48 1.83 1.40 1.68 1.54 1.63 1.62 1.619
Quick Ratio 2.00 1.68 1.85 1.48 1.85 1.40 1.68 1.54 1.63 1.62 1.619
Debt/Equity 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.002
Net Debt/Equity -0.65 -0.54 -0.53 -0.74 -0.52 -0.61 -0.40 -0.45 -0.41 -0.42 -0.418
Debt/Assets 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.001
Debt/EBITDA 0.10 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.004
Net Debt/EBITDA -7.33 -2.62 -1.71 -1.47 -1.01 -0.95 -0.65 -0.79 -0.81 -0.95 -0.946
Interest Coverage — — 291.07 242.28 280.72 310.96 702.99 — 1146.49 533.13 533.129
Equity Multiplier 1.57 1.71 1.65 1.95 1.68 2.09 1.78 1.91 1.80 1.84 1.845
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.515
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 570.922
Cash to Debt snapshot only 233.655
FCF to Debt snapshot only 104.747
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1433.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.22 0.42 0.62 0.79 0.99 0.98 1.04 0.96 0.99 0.90 0.901
Inventory Turnover 138.01 — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 9.26 18.58 20.18 30.30 36.86 32.39 21.52 6.73 6.28 5.42 5.424
Payables Turnover 81.74 66.89 119.69 98.53 136.11 154.02 58.43 22.79 75.69 91.28 91.275
DSO 39 20 18 12 10 11 17 54 58 67 67.3 days
DIO 3 0 0 0 -3 0 0 0 -3 0 0.0 days
DPO 4 5 3 4 3 2 6 16 5 4 4.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 38 14 15 8 4 9 11 38 51 63 63.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 92.059
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.151
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.059
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 4.1% 1.6% 76.6% 22.4% 9.6% -1.0% -0.96%
Net Income — — — — 4.8% 1.8% 70.8% 2.9% -29.1% -47.1% -47.06%
EPS — — — — 4.7% 1.8% 69.8% 3.2% -27.6% -46.3% -46.33%
FCF — — — — 4.5% 1.1% 21.5% -53.8% -62.2% -49.3% -49.27%
EBITDA — — — — 5.9% 2.3% 99.9% 16.9% -10.0% -29.3% -29.30%
Op. Income — — — — 5.5% 2.2% 1.0% 22.0% -10.8% -29.6% -29.62%
OCF Growth snapshot only -49.49%
Asset Growth snapshot only -8.93%
Equity Growth snapshot only 2.98%
Debt Growth snapshot only -26.82%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.36%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.18%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.83 0.74 0.738
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.41 0.07 0.070
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.91 0.89 0.894
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.88 0.81 0.812
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.00 0.04 0.48 0.97 0.66 0.38 0.385
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — 0.08 -0.09 -0.091
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.04 -0.08 -0.079
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.17 -0.13 -0.132
Sustainable Growth Rate -1.0% -1.8% 8.6% 22.8% 15.8% 32.4% 1.0% -5.1% -10.1% -17.5% -17.50%
Internal Growth Rate — — 5.5% 13.2% 10.8% 20.5% 0.6% — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.04 1.02 0.99 1.07 0.98 0.75 0.70 0.49 0.53 0.72 0.716
FCF/OCF 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.95 0.95 0.97 0.968
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.692
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.440
CapEx/Revenue 1.1% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.36%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.215
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.01 0.07 0.08 0.12 0.09 0.04 0.040
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.040
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.432
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.500
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — 13.23%
Dividend/Share $0.17 $0.37 $0.36 $0.36 $0.57 $0.38 $0.87 $0.87 $0.82 $0.82 $0.20
Payout Ratio 1.1% 1.1% 69.0% 47.4% 66.2% 40.3% 97.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 1.63%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.1% 1.1% 72.3% 45.5% 69.8% 55.8% 1.4% 2.4% 2.6% 2.4% 2.36%
Total Payout Ratio 1.1% 1.1% 69.0% 47.4% 66.2% 40.3% 97.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 1.63%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.78 0.78 0.80 0.80 0.82 0.81 0.80 0.79 0.75 0.75 0.751
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.30 1.31 1.20 1.15 1.10 1.08 1.02 1.03 0.95 0.88 0.877
EBIT Margin 0.25 0.27 0.28 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.32 0.29 0.26 0.24 0.237
Asset Turnover 0.22 0.42 0.62 0.79 0.99 0.98 1.04 0.96 0.99 0.90 0.901
Equity Multiplier 1.57 1.71 1.65 1.95 1.63 1.90 1.71 1.93 1.74 1.96 1.964
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.15 $0.33 $0.52 $0.76 $0.86 $0.93 $0.89 $0.78 $0.62 $0.50 $0.50
Book Value/Share $1.71 $1.70 $1.88 $1.75 $1.99 $1.76 $1.90 $1.81 $1.84 $1.84 $1.88
Tangible Book/Share $1.32 $0.98 $1.18 $1.07 $1.33 $1.09 $1.28 $1.19 $1.27 $1.27 $1.27
Revenue/Share $0.60 $1.23 $1.92 $2.69 $2.97 $3.19 $3.37 $3.30 $3.33 $3.20 $1.63
FCF/Share $0.15 $0.33 $0.50 $0.79 $0.81 $0.67 $0.60 $0.37 $0.31 $0.35 $0.19
OCF/Share $0.16 $0.34 $0.52 $0.81 $0.84 $0.70 $0.62 $0.38 $0.33 $0.36 $0.19
Cash/Share $1.13 $0.92 $1.01 $1.30 $1.04 $1.08 $0.76 $0.83 $0.76 $0.77 $0.77
EBITDA/Share $0.15 $0.35 $0.58 $0.88 $1.02 $1.13 $1.16 $1.03 $0.94 $0.81 $0.81
Debt/Share $0.02 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Net Debt/Share $-1.12 $-0.91 $-1.00 $-1.30 $-1.03 $-1.07 $-0.75 $-0.82 $-0.76 $-0.77 $-0.77
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 3 4 6 6 5 6 5 6 6
Beneish M-Score — — — — -1.78 -0.16 -0.04 -0.44 -0.21 -1.94 -1.938
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.810
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 78.85%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.92
EVA snapshot only $842687973.32
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 80.25 80.25 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 80.25 82.75 82.75 82.750
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.000
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000

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