HESM NYSE
Hess Midstream LP
1W: +3.1%
1M: -18.5%
3M: -20.4%
YTD: -8.1%
1Y: -5.5%
3Y: +20.6%
5Y: +63.4%
$31.64
+0.46 (+1.48%)
After Hours: $31.58 (-0.06, -0.21%)
Weekly Expected Move ±8.5%
$25
$28
$31
$33
$36
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 67% of companies Debt: 36.4% of company value Bonds: $382.5M held by 325 funds, 122 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.95 (down 97%), Hess Midstream LP would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $3.68B against a stock market value of $6.43B.
Distance to default 7.11 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.86B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 27.0%; Altman Z'' 1.66. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.95 (down 97%), Hess Midstream LP would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $3.68B against a stock market value of $6.43B.
Distance to default 7.11 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.86B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 27.0%; Altman Z'' 1.66. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+11.7% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+9.3% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+11.7%
Day 205 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+9.3%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-8.1%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
33%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
☀️
+8.0%
Midterm
☀️
+5.4%
100% win
28% vol
Feb
20yr
☁️
+7.2%
Midterm
☀️
+8.4%
67% win
28% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+0.8%
Midterm
⛅
+1.1%
56% win
85% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+3.3%
Midterm
⛅
+2.6%
50% win
46% vol
May
20yr
⛅
+7.5%
Midterm
☀️
+13.7%
60% win
32% vol
Jun
20yr
🌧️
+6.8%
Midterm
☁️
+0.7%
50% win
29% vol
Jul
20yr
☀️
+9.9%
Midterm
☀️
+9.6%
90% win
28% vol
Aug
20yr
🌧️
+10.2%
Midterm
☀️
+11.3%
60% win
27% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+8.7%
Midterm
☀️
+5.2%
50% win
29% vol
Oct
20yr
🌫️
+11.0%
Midterm
☀️
+8.9%
40% win
33% vol
Now:
-16.6%
Nov
20yr
☀️
+14.2%
Midterm
☀️
+8.2%
78% win
28% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+0.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.0%
44% win
32% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -8.1%