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HKD NYSE

AMTD Digital Inc.
1W: +2.4% 1M: +2.4% 3M: +8.9% YTD: +28.4% 1Y: -3.4% 3Y: -69.0%
$1.71
-0.01 (-0.58%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.6%
$2 $2 $2 $2 $2
NYSE · Technology · Software - Application · Tech Score Buy · Power 56 · $816.8M mcap · 100M float · 0.163% daily turnover · Short 58% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
46.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 53.2%
Cost Advantage ★
67
Intangibles
32
Switching Cost
60
Network Effect
29
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HKD shows a Weak competitive edge (46.8/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 53.2% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
4
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HKD receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-28 B- B
2026-08-10 B B-
2026-04-01 C+ B
2026-03-05 B C+
2026-03-03 B- B
2026-01-14 C+ B-
2026-01-03 B- C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 75 Grade C
Profitability
60
Balance Sheet
62
Earnings Quality
17
Growth
92
Value
69
Momentum
80
Safety
90
Cash Flow
83
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HKD scores highest in Growth (92/100) and lowest in Earnings Quality (17/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.57
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
0.49
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-11.37
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 84.6/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
50/100
OCF/NI: 0.61x
Accruals: 28.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. HKD scores 3.57, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HKD scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HKD's score of 0.49 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HKD's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HKD receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 84.6/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HKD's score of 50/100 is moderate — some divergence between reported earnings and underlying cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
9.72x
PEG
0.12x
P/S
13.84x
P/B
2.02x
P/FCF
2.71x
P/OCF
2.71x
EV/EBITDA
3.89x
EV/Revenue
2.76x
EV/EBIT
4.27x
EV/FCF
3.51x
Earnings Yield
60.20%
FCF Yield
36.83%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$5.81
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 9.7x earnings, HKD trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 60.2% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $5.81 per share, suggesting a potential 240% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.943
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
2.108
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.646
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.579
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.880
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
139.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HKD's ROE of 139.8% is driven by EBIT Margin (0.646) as the dominant factor. A tax burden ratio of 0.94 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$68.37
Price/Value
0.04x
Margin of Safety
95.69%
Premium
-95.69%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HKD's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. At an intrinsic value of $68.37, HKD appears undervalued with a 96% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 9.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1059 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$1.72
Median 1Y
$0.24
5th Pctile
$0.02
95th Pctile
$3.71
Ann. Volatility
169.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
199
0.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$916,393
Rev: $182,362,130
Profit / Employee
$1,736,917
NI: $345,646,543
SGA / Employee
$22,472
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'26 Current
ROE 2.1% 16.1% 9.4% 17.9% 1.4% 1.40%
ROA 2.0% 11.1% 6.5% 12.9% 74.4% 74.36%
ROIC 1.6% 2.8% 1.1% 7.9% 53.2% 53.16%
ROCE 1.4% 2.4% 1.0% 8.0% 35.6% 35.59%
Gross Margin 73.0% 68.1% 64.6% 88.2% 0.0% 0.00%
Operating Margin 52.0% 38.6% -23.8% 77.9% -0.1% -0.07%
Net Margin 79.6% 1.6% 3.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.12%
EBITDA Margin 55.0% 42.3% -7.5% 64.2% 2.2% 2.24%
FCF Margin 1.4% 1.1% 1.8% 84.5% 78.6% 78.61%
OCF Margin 1.4% 1.1% 1.8% 84.6% 78.7% 78.68%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 48.99%
Cash ROA snapshot only 35.77%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 63.75%
CROIC snapshot only 63.69%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 65.61%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.36%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 12.99%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.31%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 332.00 21.81 37.41 — 1.66 9.716
P/S Ratio 264.43 38.50 71.26 — 2.13 13.835
P/B Ratio 6.91 3.51 3.52 — 3.49 2.022
P/FCF 183.15 35.45 38.85 — 2.71 2.715
P/OCF 183.04 35.43 38.82 — 2.71 2.713
EV/EBITDA 462.39 103.50 223.51 — 3.89 3.885
EV/Revenue 254.46 37.46 69.34 — 2.76 2.757
EV/EBIT 489.23 124.43 302.62 — 4.27 4.268
EV/FCF 176.25 34.50 37.80 — 3.51 3.507
Earnings Yield 0.3% 4.6% 2.7% — 60.2% 60.20%
FCF Yield 0.5% 2.8% 2.6% — 36.8% 36.83%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.117
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 6.330
EV/OCF snapshot only 3.504
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.369
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 3.955
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $5.81
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 50.77 2.29 2.29 2.83 1.92 1.925
Quick Ratio 50.77 1.33 1.33 2.83 1.92 1.925
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.26 0.26 0.26 1.22 1.222
Net Debt/Equity -0.26 -0.09 -0.09 0.21 1.02 1.017
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.34 0.340
Debt/EBITDA 0.00 7.92 17.07 2.97 1.05 1.053
Net Debt/EBITDA -18.12 -2.87 -6.19 2.43 0.88 0.877
Interest Coverage — — — — 64.84 64.836
Equity Multiplier 1.02 1.44 1.44 1.39 3.59 3.594
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.326
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 71.224
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.167
FCF to Debt snapshot only 1.052
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1567.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.06 0.03 0.10 0.58 0.579
Inventory Turnover — 0.10 0.05 — — —
Receivables Turnover 1.44 4.26 2.30 57.95 40.45 40.453
Payables Turnover 328.06 26.25 13.86 36.46 28.73 28.728
DSO 253 86 158 6 9 9.0 days
DIO 0 3780 7157 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 1 14 26 10 13 12.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 252 3852 7289 -4 -4 -3.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.482
Cash Velocity snapshot only 7.993
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.199
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 30.2% 30.21%
Net Income — — — — 49.3% 49.35%
EPS — — — — 27.8% 27.80%
FCF — — — — 16.0% 15.99%
EBITDA — — — — 39.2% 39.24%
Op. Income — — — — 40.8% 40.83%
OCF Growth snapshot only 16.00%
Asset Growth snapshot only 75.06%
Equity Growth snapshot only -50.12%
Shares Change snapshot only 74.80%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — — — —
Margin Stability — — — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.1% 16.1% 9.4% 17.9% 1.4% 1.40%
Internal Growth Rate 2.1% 12.5% 7.0% 14.8% 2.9% 2.90%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.81 0.62 0.96 0.66 0.61 0.612
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.999
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.612
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.109
CapEx/Revenue 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.06%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.010
Accruals Ratio -0.02 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.29 0.288
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.497
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1213.842
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.500
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% -3.6% 0.0% — -6.5% -6.54%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% -3.6% 0.0% — -6.5% -6.54%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.89 0.95 0.95 0.97 0.94 0.943
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.71 6.16 8.73 2.35 2.11 2.108
EBIT Margin 0.52 0.30 0.23 0.56 0.65 0.646
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.06 0.03 0.10 0.58 0.579
Equity Multiplier 1.02 1.44 1.44 1.39 1.88 1.880
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.06 $0.39 $0.22 $2.83 $1.78 $1.78
Book Value/Share $2.96 $2.39 $2.39 $15.80 $0.85 $1.92
Tangible Book/Share $2.90 $2.39 $2.39 $15.79 $0.47 $0.47
Revenue/Share $0.08 $0.22 $0.12 $2.21 $1.38 $0.19
FCF/Share $0.11 $0.24 $0.22 $1.87 $1.09 $0.00
OCF/Share $0.11 $0.24 $0.22 $1.87 $1.09 $0.00
Cash/Share $0.77 $0.85 $0.85 $0.74 $0.17 $0.17
EBITDA/Share $0.04 $0.08 $0.04 $1.36 $0.98 $0.98
Debt/Share $0.00 $0.63 $0.62 $4.03 $1.03 $1.03
Net Debt/Share $-0.77 $-0.23 $-0.23 $3.30 $0.86 $0.86
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — 3.573
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 6.671
Piotroski F-Score 4 3 3 3 4 4
Beneish M-Score — — — — 0.49 0.488
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -11.371
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 62.69%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.10
EVA snapshot only $231384295.37
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 89.00 79.32 78.62 72.34 84.59 84.593
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only -4.407
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 74
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 72

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms