— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: HRGLY (OTC) · $vol 0M · HRGLF (OTC) · $vol 0M

HL.L LSE

Hargreaves Lansdown plc
1W: +0.1% 1M: +0.9% 3M: +1.2% 1Y: +58.7% 3Y: +20.8% 5Y: +7.5%
£1,108.50
Last traded 2025-03-24 — delisted
LSE · Financial Services · Asset Management · £5.3B mcap · 346M float · 0.892% daily turnover

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 82 Grade A
Profitability
100
Balance Sheet
93
Earnings Quality
16
Growth
91
Value
80
Momentum
78
Safety
100
Cash Flow
73
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HL.L scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Earnings Quality (16/100). An overall grade of A places HL.L among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
8.46
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-0.83
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-11.04
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA+
Score: 93.9/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
50/100
OCF/NI: 0.59x
Accruals: 30.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. HL.L scores 8.46, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HL.L scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HL.L's score of -0.83 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HL.L's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HL.L receives an estimated rating of AA+ (score: 93.9/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HL.L's score of 50/100 is moderate — some divergence between reported earnings and underlying cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
17.88x
PEG
0.18x
P/S
6.88x
P/B
6.45x
P/FCF
9.92x
P/OCF
9.35x
EV/EBITDA
5.80x
EV/Revenue
3.08x
EV/EBIT
6.84x
EV/FCF
8.73x
Earnings Yield
18.23%
FCF Yield
10.08%
Shareholder Yield
7.55%
Graham Number
$8.80
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 17.9x earnings, HL.L trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 18.2% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $8.80 per share, 12504% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.550
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.914
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.449
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.165
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.853
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
137.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HL.L's ROE of 137.5% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.165), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.55 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$77.30
Price/Value
0.14x
Margin of Safety
85.75%
Premium
-85.75%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HL.L's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. HL.L actually compounded EPS at 28.6% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. At an intrinsic value of $77.30, HL.L appears undervalued with a 86% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 17.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$1108.50
Median 1Y
$1021.96
5th Pctile
$578.26
95th Pctile
$1785.24
Ann. Volatility
34.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE 1.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 90.5% 93.7% 82.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.37%
ROA 83.5% 56.2% 63.2% 48.3% 71.2% 55.7% 68.7% 54.5% 69.0% 56.4% 57.1% 54.2% 53.0% 51.7% 54.9% 43.6% 42.4% 40.5% 75.9% 74.2% 74.22%
ROIC 9.4% 12.0% 6.8% 7.5% 8.2% 8.2% 7.4% 7.5% 7.4% 7.6% 3.4% 4.4% 4.3% 5.3% 4.7% 6.2% 3.0% 2.4% 2.8% 3.0% 3.01%
ROCE 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 1.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 91.0% 82.2% 81.5% 81.49%
Gross Margin 60.1% 73.7% 64.0% 90.4% 82.7% 81.7% 80.6% 80.3% 79.1% 80.5% 90.2% 91.3% 90.7% 90.3% 87.3% 86.0% 75.4% 75.8% 86.2% 74.4% 74.39%
Operating Margin 51.4% 99.7% 53.7% 87.8% 70.6% 64.0% 67.2% 62.1% 64.0% 61.4% 65.7% 57.3% 62.8% 53.9% 51.9% 41.0% 54.2% 50.6% 36.7% 50.0% 50.04%
Net Margin 40.4% 79.3% 43.2% 71.7% 57.4% 52.6% 55.0% 50.8% 52.5% 50.6% 54.0% 59.4% 50.8% 43.6% 42.0% 32.2% 44.9% 43.2% 1.3% 39.8% 39.83%
EBITDA Margin 52.2% 1.0% 54.6% 89.2% 71.5% 65.0% 68.8% 62.5% 66.0% 61.7% 68.4% 59.7% 65.3% 56.2% 54.5% 43.6% 56.2% 52.7% 51.5% 51.9% 51.90%
FCF Margin 43.7% 50.7% 45.7% 53.3% 60.6% 54.0% 57.8% 55.3% 53.4% 53.0% 48.4% 48.8% 47.7% 47.4% 48.0% 46.1% 38.6% 33.5% 35.9% 35.2% 35.24%
OCF Margin 45.2% 51.9% 46.8% 54.1% 61.6% 55.0% 58.9% 56.6% 55.0% 54.6% 50.0% 51.1% 50.2% 50.2% 50.8% 48.7% 41.5% 36.3% 38.8% 37.4% 37.39%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.02%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 1.10%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 51.78%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 70.69%
Cash ROA snapshot only 37.41%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 3.01%
CROIC snapshot only 2.84%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 37.41%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 41.10%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 1.69%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 13.75%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.75%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio 10.76 12.40 16.21 13.16 12.14 12.18 15.79 16.32 14.92 15.01 14.79 11.24 10.30 10.44 9.41 6.40 7.10 6.59 3.73 5.49 17.879
P/S Ratio 4.86 6.06 7.59 7.07 7.18 6.65 9.13 8.78 7.86 7.82 7.69 6.11 5.54 5.39 4.59 2.70 2.91 2.70 2.39 3.50 6.880
P/B Ratio 18.25 16.71 24.63 17.30 18.54 15.43 20.01 18.10 18.09 15.86 16.90 11.28 12.09 10.73 10.41 5.71 6.09 5.02 4.67 6.43 6.446
P/FCF 11.12 11.95 16.62 13.27 11.85 12.32 15.79 15.88 14.71 14.75 15.89 12.51 11.63 11.37 9.57 5.86 7.54 8.06 6.64 9.92 9.919
P/OCF 10.74 11.68 16.21 13.07 11.67 12.09 15.51 15.50 14.30 14.34 15.36 11.96 11.05 10.72 9.04 5.55 7.02 7.44 6.15 9.35 9.349
EV/EBITDA 10.48 9.10 12.25 9.88 9.24 9.23 12.16 12.53 11.43 11.45 11.41 8.91 8.17 8.03 7.21 4.18 4.86 4.48 3.90 5.80 5.801
EV/Revenue 4.64 5.73 7.35 6.74 6.87 6.28 8.75 8.36 7.49 7.40 7.38 5.68 5.20 4.98 4.25 2.30 2.57 2.33 2.01 3.08 3.076
EV/EBIT 10.61 9.22 12.43 10.04 9.38 9.38 12.38 12.72 11.66 11.64 11.65 9.17 8.43 8.35 7.52 4.37 5.08 4.69 4.70 6.84 6.844
EV/FCF 10.62 11.31 16.09 12.64 11.33 11.64 15.14 15.13 14.03 13.95 15.26 11.64 10.92 10.51 8.86 4.98 6.66 6.96 5.58 8.73 8.729
Earnings Yield 9.3% 8.1% 6.2% 7.6% 8.2% 8.2% 6.3% 6.1% 6.7% 6.7% 6.8% 8.9% 9.7% 9.6% 10.6% 15.6% 14.1% 15.2% 26.8% 18.2% 18.23%
FCF Yield 9.0% 8.4% 6.0% 7.5% 8.4% 8.1% 6.3% 6.3% 6.8% 6.8% 6.3% 8.0% 8.6% 8.8% 10.4% 17.1% 13.3% 12.4% 15.1% 10.1% 10.08%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.179
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 6.770
EV/OCF snapshot only 8.228
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.949
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 6.425
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 7.55%
Graham Number snapshot only $8.80
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 1.67 1.51 1.63 1.39 1.63 1.65 1.81 1.96 1.89 1.81 1.68 1.74 1.49 1.70 1.88 2.07 2.44 2.15 2.27 2.15 2.152
Quick Ratio 1.67 1.51 1.63 1.39 1.64 1.66 1.81 1.96 1.89 1.81 1.68 1.74 1.49 1.70 1.88 2.08 2.44 2.15 2.28 2.15 2.152
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.011
Net Debt/Equity -0.82 -0.89 -0.78 -0.82 -0.81 -0.85 -0.83 -0.85 -0.84 -0.86 -0.67 -0.79 -0.74 -0.82 -0.78 -0.86 -0.71 -0.69 -0.74 -0.77 -0.772
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.006
Debt/EBITDA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.011
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.49 -0.51 -0.40 -0.49 -0.42 -0.54 -0.53 -0.62 -0.56 -0.66 -0.47 -0.67 -0.53 -0.66 -0.58 -0.74 -0.64 -0.71 -0.74 -0.79 -0.791
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — — — — 3649.14 1929.71 1341.33 979.86 981.08 1345.68 2184.67 4764.00 — —
Equity Multiplier 2.32 2.76 2.41 3.36 2.43 2.42 2.13 1.96 2.03 2.13 2.40 2.29 2.88 2.33 2.06 1.87 1.66 1.81 1.75 1.84 1.839
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.949
Cash to Debt snapshot only 74.128
FCF to Debt snapshot only 61.465
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1660.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 1.85 1.15 1.35 0.90 1.20 1.02 1.19 1.01 1.31 1.08 1.10 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.13 1.03 1.04 0.99 1.19 1.16 1.165
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 3.99 2.07 2.40 1.42 2.12 1.73 2.20 1.66 2.35 1.93 1.87 1.84 1.59 1.80 1.97 2.01 1.92 2.03 2.59 2.73 2.725
Payables Turnover 1.67 0.75 0.94 0.47 0.59 0.41 0.43 0.35 0.57 0.46 0.39 0.31 0.21 0.19 0.23 0.26 0.33 0.43 0.56 0.66 0.660
DSO 91 176 152 256 173 211 166 220 155 189 195 199 230 203 186 182 190 180 141 134 133.9 days
DIO -0 -1 -1 -1 -2 -6 -2 -3 -2 -5 -2 -3 -2 -3 -6 -2 -1 -1 -5 -0 -0.4 days
DPO 218 488 388 774 620 881 855 1034 645 800 946 1191 1745 1893 1566 1384 1119 852 652 553 552.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -127 -313 -237 -519 -450 -676 -692 -817 -492 -616 -753 -995 -1517 -1694 -1387 -1204 -931 -673 -517 -419 -419.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 120.000
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.353
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.999
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 46.5% 22.9% 21.9% -4.6% -14.1% 9.1% 4.7% 34.2% 45.5% 30.3% 33.3% 23.8% 23.7% 27.4% 25.3% 17.7% 15.5% 11.5% 14.8% 23.6% 23.56%
Net Income 39.1% 22.0% 14.0% 7.4% 12.6% 21.9% 29.4% 34.3% 29.5% 24.5% 19.8% 25.1% 26.3% 26.1% 17.6% -8.5% -12.0% -11.4% 50.4% 86.3% 86.30%
EPS 38.8% 21.0% 13.1% 6.8% 12.0% 21.2% 28.6% 33.9% 29.1% 24.4% 19.5% 25.2% 26.3% 26.1% 17.9% -8.5% -12.0% -11.4% 50.5% 85.7% 85.71%
FCF 32.9% 24.2% 6.3% 7.8% 19.3% 16.2% 32.6% 39.2% 28.1% 28.1% 11.5% 9.3% 10.4% 13.7% 24.2% 11.2% -6.4% -21.1% -14.0% -5.5% -5.54%
EBITDA 43.5% 1.7% 1.3% 1.0% 44.5% 17.8% 25.6% 31.4% 28.2% 23.8% 19.9% 18.3% 20.2% 22.2% 14.0% 1.6% -4.0% -6.4% 0.2% 19.1% 19.09%
Op. Income 34.4% 18.4% 10.7% 4.0% 8.7% 17.5% 25.3% 31.5% 27.7% 23.6% 19.4% 16.6% 18.8% 19.4% 11.7% -0.1% -5.4% -6.9% -6.8% 12.6% 12.61%
OCF Growth snapshot only -5.19%
Asset Growth snapshot only 39.30%
Equity Growth snapshot only 41.73%
Debt Growth snapshot only -47.56%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.31%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -23.02%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 82.8% 53.0% 38.5% 28.6% 22.7% 24.7% 21.4% 23.1% 22.4% 20.4% 19.4% 16.6% 15.6% 21.9% 20.5% 25.1% 27.6% 22.8% 24.2% 21.7% 21.66%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — 76.0% 50.2% 38.5% 30.0% 28.7% 27.1% 26.4% 24.5% 22.1% 21.2% 19.9% 19.6% 18.2% 18.18%
EPS 3Y 1.1% 73.6% 52.4% 42.8% 39.4% 36.5% 32.7% 29.6% 26.1% 22.2% 20.3% 21.4% 22.2% 23.9% 21.9% 15.3% 12.8% 11.6% 28.5% 28.6% 28.59%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — 1.2% 67.9% 51.2% 40.3% 37.3% 34.6% 31.9% 26.9% 20.0% 17.4% 15.3% 25.3% 24.9% 24.91%
Net Income 3Y 1.1% 73.9% 52.8% 43.3% 39.3% 36.4% 33.0% 29.8% 26.6% 22.8% 20.9% 21.8% 22.6% 24.1% 22.2% 15.4% 12.9% 11.6% 28.5% 28.7% 28.73%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — 1.2% 68.3% 51.5% 40.8% 37.7% 34.6% 31.8% 27.1% 20.2% 17.7% 15.6% 25.6% 25.2% 25.22%
EBITDA 3Y 85.3% 68.7% 46.8% 36.8% 32.6% 29.6% 27.4% 25.2% 38.5% 57.7% 51.5% 46.3% 30.6% 21.2% 19.7% 16.4% 13.9% 12.3% 11.0% 12.7% 12.67%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — 1.1% 63.8% 47.6% 36.6% 31.8% 29.2% 26.9% 23.1% 18.7% 25.1% 35.0% 31.7% 30.5% 30.51%
Gross Profit 3Y 55.8% 33.2% 19.1% 14.0% 12.3% 15.1% 14.1% 14.9% 13.8% 17.5% 20.8% 24.4% 30.3% 35.5% 35.2% 35.5% 31.8% 23.8% 23.0% 19.9% 19.94%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — 68.8% 43.8% 32.5% 25.1% 24.8% 24.1% 23.9% 21.9% 19.2% 17.2% 18.3% 19.8% 20.5% 20.52%
Op. Income 3Y 1.1% 70.4% 48.8% 39.0% 34.6% 31.5% 28.5% 25.8% 23.1% 19.8% 18.3% 16.8% 18.1% 20.1% 18.6% 15.3% 12.8% 11.2% 7.5% 9.4% 9.45%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — 1.1% 64.6% 48.4% 37.6% 32.7% 29.9% 27.4% 23.1% 18.3% 16.0% 13.8% 11.5% 12.4% 12.39%
FCF 3Y 1.2% 77.8% 51.9% 40.5% 40.7% 38.1% 34.0% 31.2% 26.7% 22.7% 16.3% 17.9% 19.1% 19.2% 22.5% 19.2% 9.8% 4.8% 6.0% 4.7% 4.70%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — 1.7% 72.4% 52.9% 38.9% 33.4% 31.5% 30.9% 27.2% 22.4% 16.0% 10.6% 10.9% 11.5% 11.49%
OCF 3Y 1.1% 77.1% 49.8% 37.7% 38.1% 35.9% 33.2% 31.6% 27.3% 22.9% 16.6% 18.4% 19.7% 20.6% 23.8% 20.7% 11.9% 6.9% 8.1% 5.9% 5.93%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — 1.6% 71.8% 52.7% 38.1% 32.6% 31.0% 30.7% 27.8% 23.4% 17.4% 11.9% 12.0% 12.1% 12.07%
Assets 3Y 44.8% 56.5% 42.8% 65.0% 32.4% 32.7% 45.6% 36.3% 33.4% 26.4% 27.2% 34.1% 48.8% 28.4% 28.8% 8.1% 20.4% 20.1% 20.8% 23.7% 23.73%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — 48.5% 40.1% 41.7% 42.9% 46.4% 42.3% 34.3% 36.9% 28.0% 25.0% 21.7% 19.5% 23.1% 23.14%
Equity 3Y 35.9% 40.8% 38.3% 56.6% 34.0% 32.9% 42.1% 37.0% 38.1% 32.5% 34.9% 34.8% 38.6% 35.9% 35.8% 31.4% 36.8% 32.2% 29.0% 26.4% 26.36%
Book Value 3Y 35.9% 40.6% 38.0% 56.1% 34.2% 32.9% 41.9% 36.8% 37.6% 31.9% 34.2% 34.5% 38.2% 35.6% 35.5% 31.2% 36.7% 32.2% 29.0% 26.2% 26.22%
Dividend 3Y 31.4% 23.9% 13.9% 6.9% 0.6% -0.8% -4.4% -0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 8.0% 7.6% 10.8% 6.7% 4.5% 4.5% -5.6% -2.6% -8.3% -8.4% -8.36%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability 1.00 0.99 1.00 0.85 0.70 0.96 0.93 0.94 0.90 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.90 0.96 0.95 0.97 0.94 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.949
Earnings Stability 1.00 0.99 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.91 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.78 0.780
Margin Stability 0.79 0.82 0.80 0.80 0.78 0.83 0.82 0.82 0.80 0.85 0.84 0.85 0.83 0.84 0.84 0.87 0.90 0.94 0.95 0.91 0.913
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.84 0.91 0.94 0.97 0.95 0.91 0.88 0.86 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.90 0.89 0.90 0.93 0.97 0.95 0.95 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.67 0.80 0.87 0.93 0.88 0.80 0.74 0.71 0.74 0.78 0.82 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.84 0.91 0.87 0.88 0.60 0.40 0.397
ROE Trend 0.23 0.10 -0.05 -0.02 -0.11 -0.07 -0.29 -0.23 -0.40 -0.25 -0.25 -0.21 -0.20 -0.13 -0.10 -0.16 -0.34 -0.28 0.13 0.22 0.225
Gross Margin Trend -0.38 -0.27 -0.26 -0.16 -0.04 0.02 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.07 0.05 0.00 -0.05 -0.06 -0.09 -0.093
FCF Margin Trend -0.01 0.06 -0.02 0.07 0.15 0.04 0.09 0.05 0.01 0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.12 -0.17 -0.12 -0.12 -0.122
Sustainable Growth Rate -20.5% -25.4% -31.0% -7.6% 0.8% 9.0% 29.7% 29.6% 31.5% 26.7% 17.9% 25.0% 18.8% 27.2% 19.1% 1.5% 16.4% 16.7% 81.2% 81.4% 81.44%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — 0.3% 3.6% 15.3% 13.5% 16.9% 13.5% 8.5% 13.2% 8.1% 13.8% 9.5% 0.7% 8.0% 8.9% 75.8% 78.5% 78.45%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.00 1.06 1.00 1.01 1.04 1.01 1.02 1.05 1.04 1.05 0.96 0.94 0.93 0.97 1.04 1.15 1.01 0.89 0.61 0.59 0.587
FCF/OCF 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.93 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.943
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.553
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.705
CapEx/Revenue 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 2.6% 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.1% 2.15%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.157
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.00 -0.03 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.01 0.05 0.30 0.31 0.307
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.034
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.330
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.500
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 10.3% 9.5% 7.3% 8.0% 8.2% 7.7% 5.1% 4.8% 5.3% 5.3% 5.8% 7.0% 8.3% 7.3% 9.0% 15.4% 11.6% 12.1% 11.6% 7.4% 3.90%
Dividend/Share $0.75 $0.79 $0.82 $0.74 $0.76 $0.77 $0.72 $0.74 $0.78 $0.80 $0.91 $0.93 $1.07 $0.98 $1.05 $1.06 $0.90 $0.91 $0.81 $0.82 $0.43
Payout Ratio 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 99.5% 93.7% 80.7% 78.2% 79.1% 78.9% 86.3% 78.5% 85.9% 76.5% 84.3% 98.3% 82.5% 79.9% 43.2% 40.8% 40.77%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 97.1% 94.8% 80.7% 76.1% 78.0% 77.5% 92.7% 87.5% 96.9% 83.4% 85.7% 90.2% 87.5% 97.6% 76.8% 73.7% 73.70%
Total Payout Ratio 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 88.4% 82.7% 84.1% 85.5% 91.1% 83.9% 90.9% 80.2% 87.8% 1.0% 83.8% 81.7% 43.9% 41.4% 41.40%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 1.38 1.00 0.56 0.31 0.09 0.05 -0.07 0.04 0.08 0.10 0.34 0.33 0.46 0.30 0.24 0.30 -0.04 0.05 -0.11 -0.15 -0.153
Buyback Yield 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.12%
Net Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% -0.1% -0.11%
Total Shareholder Return 10.4% 9.5% 7.5% 8.5% 8.6% 8.0% 5.4% 4.9% 5.5% 5.5% 6.1% 7.3% 8.7% 7.6% 9.2% 15.6% 11.6% 12.3% 11.7% 7.3% 7.32%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.80 0.80 1.71 1.55 1.550
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.34 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.01 1.01 1.07 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.00 1.01 1.03 0.87 0.91 0.914
EBIT Margin 0.44 0.62 0.59 0.67 0.73 0.67 0.71 0.66 0.64 0.64 0.63 0.62 0.62 0.60 0.56 0.53 0.51 0.50 0.43 0.45 0.449
Asset Turnover 1.85 1.15 1.35 0.90 1.20 1.02 1.19 1.01 1.31 1.08 1.10 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.13 1.03 1.04 0.99 1.19 1.16 1.165
Equity Multiplier 2.29 2.62 2.62 2.87 2.38 2.57 2.24 2.50 2.18 2.24 2.28 2.15 2.51 2.24 2.21 2.08 2.21 2.05 1.88 1.85 1.853
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.68 $0.68 $0.69 $0.71 $0.76 $0.82 $0.89 $0.94 $0.98 $1.02 $1.06 $1.18 $1.24 $1.28 $1.25 $1.08 $1.09 $1.14 $1.88 $2.01 $2.01
Book Value/Share $0.40 $0.50 $0.45 $0.54 $0.50 $0.65 $0.70 $0.85 $0.81 $0.96 $0.93 $1.18 $1.06 $1.25 $1.13 $1.21 $1.27 $1.50 $1.50 $1.71 $1.72
Tangible Book/Share $0.39 $0.49 $0.44 $0.52 $0.48 $0.62 $0.67 $0.81 $0.77 $0.91 $0.88 $1.12 $0.99 $1.18 $1.05 $1.13 $1.18 $1.39 $1.42 $1.63 $1.63
Revenue/Share $1.50 $1.38 $1.47 $1.31 $1.29 $1.50 $1.53 $1.76 $1.86 $1.96 $2.04 $2.17 $2.31 $2.49 $2.56 $2.56 $2.66 $2.78 $2.94 $3.15 $1.61
FCF/Share $0.66 $0.70 $0.67 $0.70 $0.78 $0.81 $0.89 $0.97 $1.00 $1.04 $0.99 $1.06 $1.10 $1.18 $1.23 $1.18 $1.03 $0.93 $1.06 $1.11 $0.70
OCF/Share $0.68 $0.72 $0.69 $0.71 $0.79 $0.83 $0.90 $0.99 $1.02 $1.07 $1.02 $1.11 $1.16 $1.25 $1.30 $1.25 $1.10 $1.01 $1.14 $1.18 $0.73
Cash/Share $0.33 $0.45 $0.35 $0.44 $0.41 $0.55 $0.58 $0.73 $0.68 $0.83 $0.67 $0.98 $0.83 $1.06 $0.92 $1.07 $0.94 $1.05 $1.14 $1.34 $1.34
EBITDA/Share $0.67 $0.87 $0.88 $0.89 $0.96 $1.02 $1.10 $1.17 $1.22 $1.26 $1.32 $1.39 $1.47 $1.54 $1.51 $1.41 $1.41 $1.44 $1.51 $1.67 $1.67
Debt/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.05 $0.05 $0.04 $0.04 $0.04 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02
Net Debt/Share $-0.33 $-0.45 $-0.35 $-0.44 $-0.41 $-0.55 $-0.58 $-0.73 $-0.68 $-0.83 $-0.62 $-0.93 $-0.78 $-1.02 $-0.88 $-1.04 $-0.91 $-1.02 $-1.12 $-1.32 $-1.32
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 8.460
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 16.220
Piotroski F-Score 5 6 5 4 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 4 3 5 8 6 6 5 7 6 6
Beneish M-Score -1.44 -1.84 -2.30 -0.53 -2.14 -1.92 -2.18 -1.85 -2.21 -2.17 -1.74 -1.72 -1.54 -2.13 -3.04 -3.02 -2.84 -2.18 -0.92 -0.83 -0.828
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -11.038
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 85.75%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $1.60
EVA snapshot only $542464784.82
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA+
Credit Score 87.98 88.14 88.39 86.64 88.84 88.61 88.22 88.51 88.31 89.00 94.41 96.82 96.79 96.53 96.53 96.95 96.95 97.07 97.01 93.86 93.862
Credit Grade snapshot only 2
Credit Trend snapshot only -3.090
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 65.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 89
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 93

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