— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: HLAG.DE (XETRA) · $vol 2M · HPGLY (OTC) · $vol 0M

HLAGF OTC

Hapag-Lloyd AG
1W: +1.2% 1M: +0.7% 3M: +20.5% YTD: +18.8% 1Y: +12.1% 3Y: -2.7% 5Y: -4.8%
$156.64
+4.44 (+2.92%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.1%
$137 $147 $157 $166 $176
OTC · Industrials · Marine Shipping · Tech Score Buy · Power 62 · $27.5B mcap · 6M float · 0.0013% daily turnover · Short 79% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
2
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HLAGF receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-08 None ADDED
2026-09-07 EXISTED None
2026-09-02 None ADDED
2026-09-01 EXISTED None
2026-08-24 None ADDED
2026-08-24 EXISTED None
2026-08-11 None ADDED
2026-08-10 EXISTED None
2026-08-05 None ADDED
2026-08-05 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
9
Balance Sheet
69
Earnings Quality
76
Growth
13
Value
—
Momentum
50
Safety
—
Cash Flow
40

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.73
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.57
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 48.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 26.84x
Accruals: -5.0%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HLAGF scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HLAGF's score of -2.73 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HLAGF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HLAGF receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 48.5/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HLAGF's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
415.29x
PEG
-4.26x
P/S
1.37x
P/B
1.40x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$27.15
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 415.3x earnings, HLAGF is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $27.15 per share, 477% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.273
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.710
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.016
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.616
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.668
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
0.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HLAGF's ROE of 0.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.616), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.27 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$2.76
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HLAGF's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. HLAGF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $2.76, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 415.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$156.64
Median 1Y
$153.91
5th Pctile
$42.20
95th Pctile
$559.78
Ann. Volatility
80.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 63.1% 79.4% 83.0% 1.0% 87.6% 77.3% 59.0% 57.0% 27.3% 12.6% 5.5% 4.1% 7.6% 12.1% 12.7% 13.1% 8.5% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.32%
ROA 31.2% 43.3% 49.5% 59.8% 56.1% 52.1% 41.6% 37.1% 18.4% 8.7% 3.8% 2.6% 4.8% 7.6% 8.0% 8.0% 5.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.19%
ROIC 46.5% 66.9% 84.7% 94.9% 96.4% 1.1% 1.0% 70.6% 35.1% 15.5% 5.7% 3.5% 8.1% 11.8% 13.3% 12.9% 8.6% 4.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.39%
ROCE 36.9% 45.2% 49.0% 61.0% 54.8% 54.1% 44.9% 49.5% 26.9% 12.9% 7.1% 5.1% 7.8% 11.7% 12.3% 12.7% 9.5% 4.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.25%
Gross Margin 48.0% 52.3% 54.6% 54.2% 54.1% 45.8% 33.3% 20.3% 7.8% -1.2% 11.2% 12.4% 20.6% 22.3% 12.0% 6.4% 7.1% 6.2% 0.1% 17.5% 17.47%
Operating Margin 46.4% 49.2% 53.3% 52.7% 52.8% 42.0% 30.8% 18.1% 5.0% -4.8% 8.0% 10.1% 18.4% 15.5% 9.2% 3.2% 4.2% 1.2% -3.6% 2.9% 2.88%
Net Margin 45.4% 48.4% 52.2% 49.8% 52.5% 41.7% 33.6% 22.7% 6.3% -5.7% 6.9% 9.5% 18.2% 14.0% 8.7% 5.6% 2.9% 1.8% -5.2% 1.4% 1.36%
EBITDA Margin 52.8% 55.3% 58.9% 56.0% 58.5% 50.3% 39.2% 34.5% 19.4% 8.8% 19.8% 23.0% 28.2% 33.5% 22.3% 17.7% 17.1% 14.1% 9.6% 14.1% 14.07%
FCF Margin 34.0% 41.1% 45.7% 49.5% 52.3% 52.3% 50.7% 45.3% 32.9% 18.7% 6.9% 3.3% 8.3% 11.7% 12.7% 12.3% 9.7% 5.6% 4.9% 5.3% 5.30%
OCF Margin 39.2% 46.7% 51.7% 54.0% 56.3% 56.5% 54.6% 50.8% 41.5% 28.2% 18.6% 15.1% 18.7% 23.0% 25.0% 23.9% 20.0% 13.4% 9.7% 8.4% 8.42%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.95%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 30.04%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.62%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.88%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.32%
Cash ROA snapshot only 5.13%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 7.98%
CROIC snapshot only 5.02%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 0.42%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.15%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 2.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 415.294
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.366
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.398
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $27.15
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.49 1.92 2.58 2.23 2.94 3.41 3.67 1.96 1.82 1.73 1.77 1.51 1.54 1.54 1.55 1.37 1.44 1.49 1.44 1.36 1.356
Quick Ratio 1.43 1.86 2.51 2.14 2.86 3.34 3.61 1.89 1.75 1.66 1.69 1.42 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.27 1.35 1.39 1.32 1.22 1.218
Debt/Equity 0.45 0.34 0.26 0.28 0.23 0.19 0.18 0.27 0.28 0.27 0.27 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.354
Net Debt/Equity 0.09 -0.14 -0.30 -0.21 -0.33 -0.45 -0.50 -0.20 -0.15 -0.14 -0.03 0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 0.03 0.01 0.16 0.18 0.08 0.080
Debt/Assets 0.25 0.21 0.17 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.210
Debt/EBITDA 0.71 0.51 0.39 0.33 0.32 0.28 0.30 0.38 0.65 1.04 1.52 1.91 1.56 1.31 1.21 1.22 1.42 1.91 2.49 2.50 2.498
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.14 -0.21 -0.45 -0.25 -0.46 -0.65 -0.87 -0.28 -0.36 -0.54 -0.15 0.51 -0.26 -0.19 -0.24 0.09 0.06 0.87 1.21 0.57 0.566
Interest Coverage 24.08 38.59 53.99 74.66 84.20 76.63 63.96 49.97 27.93 12.32 6.84 4.23 8.50 20.40 18.41 16.45 8.14 2.93 1.04 0.73 0.727
Equity Multiplier 1.82 1.65 1.51 1.55 1.44 1.39 1.35 1.52 1.54 1.55 1.56 1.62 1.62 1.63 1.62 1.65 1.65 1.62 1.65 1.68 1.681
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.763
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.197
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.773
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.153
Defensive Interval snapshot only 2204.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.96 1.06 1.08 1.21 1.10 1.06 0.91 0.91 0.63 0.53 0.47 0.57 0.59 0.61 0.63 0.68 0.65 0.60 0.57 0.62 0.616
Inventory Turnover 48.58 49.37 40.30 33.76 35.85 42.76 40.84 32.74 29.97 33.40 34.36 32.67 31.60 29.26 29.17 29.32 31.44 28.37 24.67 22.53 22.528
Receivables Turnover 9.21 10.21 10.26 10.22 10.01 11.72 11.41 9.36 7.46 7.88 7.50 7.80 8.16 9.31 8.89 9.04 8.49 8.44 8.03 7.69 7.695
Payables Turnover 5.97 6.12 6.29 6.16 6.26 6.66 6.50 6.06 5.53 5.83 5.74 5.95 5.98 6.04 6.43 6.63 6.61 6.90 6.46 6.50 6.500
DSO 40 36 36 36 36 31 32 39 49 46 49 47 45 39 41 40 43 43 45 47 47.4 days
DIO 8 7 9 11 10 9 9 11 12 11 11 11 12 12 13 12 12 13 15 16 16.2 days
DPO 61 60 58 59 58 55 56 60 66 63 64 61 61 60 57 55 55 53 56 56 56.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -14 -17 -13 -13 -12 -15 -15 -10 -5 -5 -4 -3 -5 -9 -3 -2 -1 3 4 7 7.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.208
Operating Cycle snapshot only 63.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.746
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.641
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 47.4% 74.4% 94.0% 1.0% 84.6% 55.1% 22.9% -9.5% -35.4% -48.1% -48.5% -39.5% -18.7% 6.6% 20.1% 19.7% 8.7% -2.5% -10.6% -9.1% -9.05%
Net Income 8.8% 8.8% 4.7% 3.5% 1.9% 87.7% 22.5% -24.8% -62.9% -82.8% -90.9% -93.2% -77.2% -18.7% 89.1% 2.1% 5.4% -61.9% -90.3% -97.6% -97.59%
EPS 8.8% 8.8% 4.7% 3.5% 1.9% 87.7% 22.5% -24.8% -62.9% -82.8% -90.9% -93.2% -77.2% -18.7% 89.1% 2.1% 5.4% -61.9% -90.3% -97.6% -97.59%
FCF 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 2.7% 1.8% 97.2% 36.1% -17.2% -59.4% -81.5% -92.9% -95.6% -79.4% -33.2% 1.2% 3.5% 26.2% -53.4% -65.4% -60.7% -60.67%
EBITDA 2.3% 3.0% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5% 78.5% 20.8% -21.6% -56.5% -74.9% -79.3% -77.4% -56.2% 4.3% 52.8% 69.6% 19.8% -33.8% -50.8% -50.9% -50.93%
Op. Income 5.3% 6.3% 4.1% 3.2% 1.8% 86.2% 20.8% -29.1% -66.0% -85.3% -92.2% -92.5% -73.7% -0.1% 1.3% 1.9% 0.3% -66.4% -91.0% -89.9% -89.94%
OCF Growth snapshot only -67.92%
Asset Growth snapshot only 2.12%
Equity Growth snapshot only 0.53%
Debt Growth snapshot only 0.24%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -63.52%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 82.4% 53.8% 41.8% 35.1% 39.3% 39.9% 35.7% 29.4% 20.7% 12.0% 7.1% 3.3% -1.0% -5.0% -8.7% -13.1% -17.0% -18.6% -17.9% -13.0% -12.99%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — 48.6% 24.0% 12.5% 6.2% 7.3% 8.7% 9.1% 9.4% 9.2% 7.8% 5.7% 3.7% 3.70%
EPS 3Y 2.8% 3.0% 2.7% 2.8% 2.8% 2.6% 2.7% 1.8% 1.2% 46.9% -14.0% -38.9% -37.4% -35.9% -40.5% -46.0% -55.3% -62.3% -74.4% -82.8% -82.84%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — 1.2% 82.6% 41.5% 22.1% 35.6% 45.8% 54.0% 36.3% 20.6% -0.4% -34.9% -55.8% -55.76%
Net Income 3Y 2.8% 3.0% 2.7% 2.8% 2.8% 2.6% 2.7% 1.8% 1.2% 46.9% -14.0% -38.9% -37.4% -35.9% -40.5% -46.0% -55.3% -62.3% -74.4% -82.8% -82.84%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — 1.2% 82.5% 41.5% 22.1% 35.6% 45.8% 54.0% 36.3% 20.6% -0.4% -34.9% -55.8% -55.76%
EBITDA 3Y 1.8% 1.5% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 81.5% 53.9% 21.4% -2.9% -15.9% -21.7% -22.5% -27.4% -33.0% -38.9% -44.3% -46.2% -42.7% -42.71%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — 87.3% 47.6% 24.1% 12.8% 14.9% 20.1% 21.6% 18.0% 13.8% 4.3% -7.2% -13.1% -13.10%
Gross Profit 3Y 1.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.1% 68.6% 19.3% -17.2% -32.0% -32.5% -30.8% -35.9% -42.1% -49.5% -56.4% -61.4% -49.7% -49.72%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — 88.2% 38.8% 13.7% 3.5% 12.9% 22.7% 24.9% 19.3% 11.1% -3.6% -21.0% -18.8% -18.76%
Op. Income 3Y 2.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.3% 82.3% 25.8% -21.5% -39.3% -36.7% -35.2% -39.9% -46.6% -55.2% -63.4% -74.7% -72.1% -72.12%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — 98.6% 50.9% 17.0% 3.3% 16.3% 26.9% 30.0% 21.3% 9.8% -7.8% -36.9% -42.2% -42.15%
FCF 3Y 2.3% 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 86.0% 54.7% 12.3% -30.2% -48.8% -38.0% -37.5% -40.4% -45.5% -52.7% -61.4% -62.3% -57.4% -57.44%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — 1.1% 50.3% 6.8% -13.9% -0.5% 6.9% 11.4% 4.8% -0.7% -15.1% -23.7% -25.1% -25.07%
OCF 3Y 1.8% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 81.4% 55.7% 20.4% -7.4% -20.1% -22.7% -24.9% -28.4% -33.8% -41.2% -49.6% -53.9% -52.2% -52.22%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — 95.6% 50.2% 20.8% 10.2% 12.2% 16.8% 21.6% 15.2% 10.0% -3.0% -15.0% -20.9% -20.89%
Assets 3Y 13.9% 20.4% 24.0% 25.6% 33.0% 33.7% 32.5% 19.3% 24.4% 24.1% 20.6% 17.3% 10.5% 8.0% 1.6% -2.8% -9.4% -9.2% -8.8% 1.0% 0.98%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — 15.1% 13.7% 13.1% 13.1% 12.5% 15.7% 14.1% 11.3% 13.0% 13.8% 11.7% 10.1% 10.13%
Equity 3Y 25.6% 37.2% 47.9% 48.1% 59.6% 61.6% 62.7% 41.8% 43.9% 40.7% 33.0% 26.6% 14.9% 8.5% -0.6% -4.9% -13.3% -13.7% -14.7% -2.3% -2.29%
Book Value 3Y 25.6% 37.2% 47.9% 48.1% 59.6% 61.6% 62.7% 41.8% 43.9% 40.7% 33.0% 26.6% 14.9% 8.5% -0.6% -4.9% -13.3% -13.7% -14.7% -2.3% -2.29%
Dividend 3Y 45.0% 46.0% 44.4% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 21.6% 21.6% 21.6% 21.6% -47.0% -47.0% -47.1% -47.2% -4.1% -4.1% -4.2% -4.1% -28.5% -28.55%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.87 0.89 0.81 0.72 0.80 0.88 0.91 0.76 0.71 0.50 0.36 0.22 0.13 0.08 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.006
Earnings Stability 0.67 0.67 0.72 0.76 0.74 0.81 0.86 0.75 0.50 0.33 0.23 0.15 0.08 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.08 0.19 0.32 0.317
Margin Stability 0.19 0.13 0.15 0.18 0.22 0.28 0.37 0.44 0.34 0.29 0.28 0.29 0.34 0.32 0.23 0.21 0.22 0.19 0.17 0.28 0.278
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.91 0.90 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.93 0.50 0.50 0.98 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.39 0.80 0.72 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.38 0.00 0.95 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.42 0.47 0.43 0.51 0.35 0.26 0.09 0.04 -0.24 -0.43 -0.47 -0.62 -0.40 -0.27 -0.16 -0.18 -0.11 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.084
Gross Margin Trend 0.27 0.32 0.34 0.34 0.30 0.23 0.13 0.02 -0.15 -0.31 -0.39 -0.39 -0.30 -0.18 -0.12 -0.09 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.04 -0.036
FCF Margin Trend 0.20 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.22 0.15 0.07 -0.10 -0.28 -0.41 -0.44 -0.34 -0.24 -0.16 -0.12 -0.11 -0.10 -0.05 -0.02 -0.025
Sustainable Growth Rate 56.4% 73.9% 78.7% 59.7% 56.4% 49.3% 34.3% 0.9% -19.9% -35.0% -40.1% -4.7% -1.0% 3.8% 4.5% 5.0% 0.5% -2.8% -6.2% -2.7% -2.68%
Internal Growth Rate 38.7% 67.5% 88.4% 54.3% 56.5% 49.7% 32.0% 0.6% — — — — — 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 0.3% — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.21 1.15 1.12 1.10 1.11 1.15 1.19 1.24 1.42 1.72 2.30 3.28 2.28 1.84 1.96 2.02 2.52 2.74 6.98 26.84 26.836
FCF/OCF 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.89 0.79 0.66 0.37 0.22 0.45 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.48 0.42 0.51 0.63 0.629
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 16.892
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.609
CapEx/Revenue 5.2% 5.6% 6.0% 4.5% 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 5.5% 8.7% 9.5% 11.7% 11.8% 10.4% 11.3% 12.3% 11.6% 10.3% 7.8% 4.8% 3.1% 3.12%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.256
Accruals Ratio -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.08 -0.08 -0.09 -0.08 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.050
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.077
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.394
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.12%
Dividend/Share $3.60 $3.60 $3.57 $35.07 $35.06 $35.12 $35.10 $63.11 $63.11 $63.13 $63.19 $9.40 $9.39 $9.33 $9.30 $8.28 $8.28 $8.20 $8.19 $3.02 $3.00
Payout Ratio 10.6% 7.0% 5.2% 41.1% 35.7% 36.2% 41.8% 98.4% 1.7% 3.8% 8.3% 2.2% 1.1% 68.7% 64.5% 61.6% 94.4% 1.6% 5.8% 9.3% 9.31%
FCF Payout Ratio 10.1% 6.9% 5.2% 40.8% 34.7% 34.2% 37.9% 88.8% 1.5% 3.3% 9.7% 3.0% 1.1% 73.3% 64.6% 59.4% 77.5% 1.4% 1.6% 55.1% 55.12%
Total Payout Ratio 10.6% 7.0% 5.2% 41.1% 35.7% 36.2% 41.8% 98.4% 1.7% 3.8% 8.3% 2.2% 1.1% 68.7% 64.5% 61.6% 94.4% 1.6% 5.8% 9.3% 9.31%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.90 0.82 0.89 0.91 0.94 0.98 0.97 1.01 0.89 0.27 0.273
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 0.87 0.78 0.90 0.85 0.84 0.82 0.72 0.81 0.66 0.71 0.710
EBIT Margin 0.34 0.42 0.47 0.50 0.52 0.51 0.46 0.41 0.30 0.17 0.10 0.07 0.10 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.11 0.06 0.02 0.02 0.016
Asset Turnover 0.96 1.06 1.08 1.21 1.10 1.06 0.91 0.91 0.63 0.53 0.47 0.57 0.59 0.61 0.63 0.68 0.65 0.60 0.57 0.62 0.616
Equity Multiplier 2.02 1.83 1.68 1.70 1.56 1.48 1.42 1.54 1.48 1.45 1.43 1.57 1.58 1.59 1.59 1.63 1.63 1.62 1.63 1.67 1.668
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $33.85 $51.62 $68.49 $85.33 $98.31 $96.89 $83.92 $64.15 $36.52 $16.70 $7.62 $4.36 $8.32 $13.58 $14.41 $13.44 $8.77 $5.18 $1.40 $0.32 $0.32
Book Value/Share $69.61 $91.86 $117.94 $116.75 $154.82 $158.70 $166.38 $108.27 $112.41 $106.34 $110.70 $104.70 $105.63 $117.48 $115.68 $100.46 $101.00 $101.98 $103.18 $100.99 $103.21
Tangible Book/Share $52.25 $74.19 $100.03 $97.51 $134.44 $140.20 $148.32 $90.28 $91.17 $85.59 $89.18 $83.53 $85.49 $95.96 $95.04 $81.53 $82.22 $83.32 $80.49 $77.69 $77.69
Revenue/Share $104.71 $126.70 $148.93 $173.44 $193.33 $196.53 $183.08 $157.05 $124.95 $102.01 $94.26 $94.98 $101.56 $108.71 $113.22 $113.73 $110.36 $106.00 $101.23 $103.43 $103.35
FCF/Share $35.61 $52.09 $68.12 $85.91 $101.19 $102.77 $92.74 $71.10 $41.08 $19.05 $6.54 $3.11 $8.47 $12.72 $14.39 $13.93 $10.69 $5.93 $4.99 $5.48 $5.41
OCF/Share $41.04 $59.22 $76.99 $93.70 $108.87 $110.97 $99.99 $79.80 $51.89 $28.75 $17.55 $14.32 $18.99 $25.05 $28.30 $27.14 $22.11 $14.18 $9.81 $8.71 $8.63
Cash/Share $25.46 $44.08 $66.20 $56.89 $86.10 $102.85 $112.63 $50.32 $48.42 $43.51 $33.15 $24.12 $38.25 $43.09 $43.94 $32.97 $34.44 $19.76 $19.05 $27.61 $27.61
EBITDA/Share $43.92 $61.74 $79.44 $97.02 $110.68 $110.23 $95.99 $76.02 $48.11 $27.61 $19.89 $17.17 $21.07 $28.79 $30.39 $29.12 $25.24 $19.06 $14.95 $14.29 $14.29
Debt/Share $31.39 $31.27 $30.72 $32.44 $35.26 $30.93 $29.15 $28.78 $31.07 $28.62 $30.23 $32.87 $32.77 $37.59 $36.74 $35.62 $35.94 $36.33 $37.16 $35.71 $35.71
Net Debt/Share $5.93 $-12.81 $-35.48 $-24.45 $-50.85 $-71.92 $-83.47 $-21.54 $-17.34 $-14.89 $-2.92 $8.75 $-5.48 $-5.50 $-7.20 $2.65 $1.50 $16.56 $18.11 $8.10 $8.10
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 5 4 4 4 4 5 4 7 6 6 5 4 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.16 -2.00 -2.07 -2.02 -2.27 -5.21 -2.91 -2.33 -0.13 -24.27 -1.51 -1.94 -2.61 -2.71 -2.61 -2.53 -2.06 -3.45 45.87 -2.73 -2.729
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.573
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 1.70%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-17.47
EVA snapshot only $-1842141382.87
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 81.75 81.75 81.75 81.75 81.75 82.75 82.75 81.75 81.75 77.75 69.30 62.85 70.90 77.40 76.15 75.85 70.15 58.05 51.55 48.45 48.450
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only -27.400
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000

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