— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 0J4L.L (LSE) · $vol 0M

HRI NYSE

Herc Holdings Inc.
1W: +2.1% 1M: -6.1% 3M: -14.3% YTD: -16.2% 1Y: -0.6% 3Y: +22.5% 5Y: -26.1%
$156.01
+28.88 (+22.72%)
After Hours: $157.06 (+1.05, +0.67%)
Weekly Expected Move ±7.8%
$108 $118 $128 $138 $148
NYSE · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services · Tech Score Neutral · Power 53 · $4.3B mcap · 31M float · 2.05% daily turnover · Short 69% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 83% of companies Debt: 69.0% of company value Bonds: $606.3M held by 508 funds, 169 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the second-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 87 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $16.54 (down 87%), Herc Holdings Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $9.46B against a stock market value of $4.25B.
Distance to default 2.34 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $3.97B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 56.8%; Altman Z'' 0.61. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+7.9% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-26.9% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛅
Partly Cloudy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+7.9%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-26.9%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+3.0%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
64%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+2.3%
Midterm
☁️
-0.5%
50% win 48% vol
Feb
20yr
🌫️
+1.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.8%
50% win 55% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+3.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.5%
55% win 83% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+5.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.3%
55% win 64% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+1.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.7%
65% win 60% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+5.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-18.3%
50% win 54% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+6.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.0%
60% win 53% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+6.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.9%
45% win 49% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+8.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-18.3%
35% win 51% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+9.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-25.1%
50% win 64% vol
Now: +25.2%
Nov
20yr
💨
+14.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-18.3%
70% win 84% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+5.3%
Midterm
💨
+1.6%
75% win 50% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +3.0%

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms