HWM NYSE
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
1W: -11.7%
1M: -16.4%
3M: -32.0%
YTD: -8.2%
1Y: -2.8%
3Y: +347.6%
5Y: +537.1%
$191.99
-2.37 (-1.22%)
After Hours: $193.38 (+1.38, +0.72%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.0%
$167
$177
$186
$195
$205
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 82% of companies Debt: 5.5% of company value Bonds: $163.1M held by 265 funds, 49 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.96 (down 99.5%), Howmet Aerospace Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.51B against a stock market value of $77.49B.
Distance to default 10.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.48B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.0%; Altman Z 8.19. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.96 (down 99.5%), Howmet Aerospace Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.51B against a stock market value of $77.49B.
Distance to default 10.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.48B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.0%; Altman Z 8.19. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+23.4% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-10.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+23.4%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-10.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-9.3%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
34%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+5.7%
Midterm
⛅
+3.0%
70% win
37% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+10.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.3%
70% win
35% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+6.3%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.5%
50% win
58% vol
Apr
20yr
⛈️
+7.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-15.7%
50% win
54% vol
May
20yr
💨
+15.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.8%
80% win
42% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+14.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-20.0%
50% win
42% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+21.7%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.2%
60% win
36% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+22.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.9%
50% win
30% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+21.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.2%
30% win
30% vol
Oct
20yr
🌫️
+23.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.1%
50% win
34% vol
Now:
-15.1%
Nov
20yr
💨
+33.5%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.8%
70% win
41% vol
Dec
20yr
☀️
+2.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-8.4%
60% win
27% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -9.3%