— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: CDDRF (OTC) · $vol 1M

HWX.TO TSX

Headwater Exploration Inc.
1W: +0.4% 1M: -7.5% 3M: +12.1% YTD: +14.4% 1Y: +97.5% 3Y: +113.3% 5Y: +337.7%
C$13.60 ($9.54)
+0.19 (+1.42%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.2%
C$12 C$13 C$13 C$14 C$15
TSX · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Tech Score Sell · Power 38 · C$3.2B mcap · 223M float · 0.345% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
2
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HWX.TO receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 A- B+
2026-03-09 B+ A-
2026-03-06 A- B+
2026-02-17 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 73 Grade A+
Profitability
95
Balance Sheet
82
Earnings Quality
61
Growth
49
Value
59
Momentum
77
Safety
100
Cash Flow
70
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HWX.TO scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Growth (49/100). An overall grade of A+ places HWX.TO among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
7.76
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.87
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-10.75
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AAA
Score: 97.4/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.80x
Accruals: -14.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. HWX.TO scores 7.76, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HWX.TO scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HWX.TO's score of -2.87 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HWX.TO's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HWX.TO receives an estimated rating of AAA (score: 97.4/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HWX.TO's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
17.44x
PEG
0.17x
P/S
4.84x
P/B
3.97x
P/FCF
27.70x
P/OCF
8.45x
EV/EBITDA
7.46x
EV/Revenue
4.11x
EV/EBIT
11.12x
EV/FCF
26.86x
Earnings Yield
6.57%
FCF Yield
3.61%
Shareholder Yield
3.96%
Graham Number
$7.72
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 17.4x earnings, HWX.TO trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 6.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $7.72 per share, 76% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.760
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.992
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.369
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.643
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.343
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
24.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HWX.TO's ROE of 24.0% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.643), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
11.84%
Fair P/E
32.18x
Intrinsic Value
$25.03
Price/Value
0.47x
Margin of Safety
52.74%
Premium
-52.74%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HWX.TO's realized 11.8% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. HWX.TO trades at a -53% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $25.03, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 32.2x compares to the current market P/E of 17.4x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$13.35
Median 1Y
$18.79
5th Pctile
$8.91
95th Pctile
$39.73
Ann. Volatility
45.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 15.5% 13.7% 28.9% 38.1% 36.6% 34.5% 30.2% 25.1% 27.0% 27.1% 27.8% 30.6% 29.0% 28.7% 29.7% 26.5% 24.1% 21.2% 18.7% 24.0% 24.03%
ROA 12.0% 11.6% 22.4% 29.6% 27.4% 26.5% 22.8% 19.0% 20.0% 19.9% 20.2% 22.4% 21.0% 21.0% 21.8% 19.6% 17.8% 15.7% 13.9% 17.9% 17.90%
ROIC 27.2% 26.2% 32.4% 43.7% 43.6% 43.2% 34.3% 27.2% 29.2% 30.5% 30.4% 33.1% 31.6% 32.2% 32.9% 29.8% 27.5% 23.7% 21.8% 27.3% 27.29%
ROCE 8.7% 11.8% 24.7% 32.8% 32.9% 34.1% 30.9% 26.7% 29.0% 28.7% 29.4% 32.0% 30.4% 30.1% 31.0% 28.2% 26.2% 23.5% 21.1% 26.1% 26.11%
Gross Margin 57.5% 59.2% 64.5% 62.6% 52.6% 50.5% 48.2% 49.2% 53.4% 50.2% 51.6% 55.2% 50.3% 54.7% 54.8% 49.3% 48.2% 43.6% 58.4% 58.9% 58.91%
Operating Margin 39.7% 40.6% 50.3% 51.0% 41.0% 37.1% 28.8% 34.7% 42.0% 36.4% 35.4% 41.6% 47.1% 39.5% 41.1% 32.8% 39.7% 30.7% 35.9% 45.8% 45.75%
Net Margin 52.1% 37.1% 35.5% 37.2% 31.7% 36.4% 28.8% 26.0% 33.2% 32.8% 28.1% 32.8% 36.9% 30.0% 29.4% 26.2% 28.6% 22.9% 20.1% 35.9% 35.90%
EBITDA Margin 74.0% 65.0% 62.7% 62.1% 59.0% 71.1% 65.5% 58.9% 64.0% 66.5% 59.9% 62.1% 73.6% 59.0% 57.6% 56.9% 65.5% 54.0% 42.8% 59.3% 59.34%
FCF Margin -51.9% -15.0% -9.0% 5.2% 7.0% 7.6% 10.6% -0.4% 2.6% 12.4% 11.5% 16.9% 21.4% 15.9% 17.7% 14.7% 14.2% 17.7% 11.7% 15.3% 15.30%
OCF Margin 51.1% 58.5% 56.0% 59.0% 62.5% 61.9% 63.9% 61.5% 57.9% 59.3% 55.1% 54.9% 58.6% 53.7% 52.9% 51.0% 49.8% 52.6% 46.8% 50.1% 50.15%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 25.44%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 25.87%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 18.81%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 24.44%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 24.76%
Cash ROA snapshot only 30.53%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 46.00%
CROIC snapshot only 14.03%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 29.75%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 36.64%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.89%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 4.78%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 23.75 20.68 12.81 7.09 6.90 7.29 8.57 10.00 10.10 8.63 10.17 8.61 7.74 7.97 7.43 8.62 10.43 14.72 22.17 15.21 17.436
P/S Ratio 6.76 4.96 4.54 2.74 2.44 2.58 2.89 3.06 3.15 2.64 3.08 2.74 2.53 2.54 2.38 2.62 2.99 3.96 5.35 4.24 4.838
P/B Ratio 2.80 2.38 2.93 2.09 1.97 2.17 2.33 2.36 2.59 2.21 2.66 2.44 2.09 2.14 2.06 2.16 2.40 3.01 4.06 3.48 3.970
P/FCF -13.04 -32.99 -50.69 53.13 34.81 33.75 27.31 -860.64 118.98 21.30 26.72 16.19 11.81 15.97 13.39 17.77 21.07 22.34 45.78 27.70 27.697
P/OCF 13.24 8.49 8.10 4.64 3.91 4.16 4.53 4.98 5.44 4.44 5.59 4.99 4.31 4.73 4.49 5.13 6.00 7.54 11.42 8.45 8.449
EV/EBITDA 12.61 8.73 6.82 3.65 3.31 3.45 3.95 4.35 4.46 3.69 4.59 4.00 3.51 3.67 3.52 3.98 4.71 6.53 9.74 7.46 7.457
EV/Revenue 6.08 4.37 4.21 2.35 2.05 2.20 2.55 2.76 2.88 2.35 2.87 2.52 2.29 2.32 2.20 2.44 2.80 3.81 5.24 4.11 4.108
EV/EBIT 26.99 16.39 10.06 4.96 4.50 4.74 5.75 6.89 7.06 5.87 7.22 6.04 5.32 5.53 5.22 6.09 7.37 10.62 16.28 11.12 11.125
EV/FCF -11.73 -29.05 -47.02 45.70 29.22 28.76 24.03 -777.05 108.95 19.01 24.88 14.91 10.70 14.62 12.40 16.53 19.78 21.46 44.87 26.86 26.857
Earnings Yield 4.2% 4.8% 7.8% 14.1% 14.5% 13.7% 11.7% 10.0% 9.9% 11.6% 9.8% 11.6% 12.9% 12.5% 13.5% 11.6% 9.6% 6.8% 4.5% 6.6% 6.57%
FCF Yield -7.7% -3.0% -2.0% 1.9% 2.9% 3.0% 3.7% -0.1% 0.8% 4.7% 3.7% 6.2% 8.5% 6.3% 7.5% 5.6% 4.7% 4.5% 2.2% 3.6% 3.61%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.174
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 3.477
EV/OCF snapshot only 8.192
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 7.630
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 10.500
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.96%
Graham Number snapshot only $7.72
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.18 2.55 2.00 2.55 2.15 1.98 1.66 1.48 1.31 1.64 1.42 1.53 1.54 1.61 1.62 1.54 1.32 1.23 0.98 1.07 1.067
Quick Ratio 1.17 2.54 1.97 2.53 2.14 1.96 1.65 1.47 1.30 1.64 1.41 1.53 1.54 1.60 1.62 1.53 1.31 1.23 0.97 1.06 1.060
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.002
Net Debt/Equity -0.28 -0.28 -0.21 -0.29 -0.32 -0.32 -0.28 -0.23 -0.22 -0.24 -0.18 -0.19 -0.20 -0.18 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 -0.12 -0.08 -0.11 -0.105
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.002
Debt/EBITDA 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.005
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.41 -1.18 -0.53 -0.59 -0.63 -0.60 -0.54 -0.47 -0.41 -0.45 -0.34 -0.34 -0.36 -0.34 -0.28 -0.30 -0.31 -0.27 -0.20 -0.23 -0.233
Interest Coverage 1252.95 1455.06 2385.70 2473.47 1341.65 239.10 196.68 157.59 170.74 118.87 117.77 127.12 119.63 101.82 106.27 96.19 90.09 188.55 174.04 237.32 237.324
Equity Multiplier 1.39 1.23 1.27 1.27 1.31 1.35 1.36 1.36 1.40 1.37 1.39 1.37 1.37 1.36 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.33 1.36 1.35 1.348
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.575
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 354.061
Cash to Debt snapshot only 49.357
FCF to Debt snapshot only 57.568
Defensive Interval snapshot only 577.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.42 0.48 0.63 0.77 0.77 0.75 0.68 0.62 0.64 0.65 0.67 0.70 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.64 0.62 0.58 0.58 0.64 0.643
Inventory Turnover 194.63 120.23 65.51 146.78 195.01 187.69 118.80 191.11 224.25 249.25 344.61 378.81 293.96 279.02 269.55 294.91 293.65 253.34 225.66 278.56 278.558
Receivables Turnover 10.88 10.59 9.06 11.41 14.48 12.43 10.21 9.80 10.95 11.38 12.68 10.33 9.08 11.21 11.75 9.50 10.13 10.19 8.35 11.24 11.239
Payables Turnover 2.47 2.90 2.17 3.21 2.83 3.09 2.69 3.03 2.78 3.49 2.80 3.15 2.81 3.82 3.25 3.33 3.25 4.21 3.54 3.58 3.579
DSO 34 34 40 32 25 29 36 37 33 32 29 35 40 33 31 38 36 36 44 32 32.5 days
DIO 2 3 6 2 2 2 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1.3 days
DPO 148 126 168 114 129 118 136 121 131 105 130 116 130 95 112 110 112 87 103 102 102.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -112 -88 -122 -79 -102 -87 -97 -81 -96 -71 -100 -79 -88 -62 -80 -70 -75 -49 -58 -68 -68.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.716
Operating Cycle snapshot only 33.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 7.625
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.642
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 22.6% 19.1% 7.7% 4.2% 2.5% 1.4% 55.7% 15.3% 13.6% 11.5% 22.0% 35.7% 17.3% 15.5% 15.8% 3.5% 6.7% -3.7% -8.2% 10.1% 10.08%
Net Income 5.0% 5.8% 138.5% 19.7% 3.3% 2.5% 48.3% -8.7% 0.1% -3.7% 9.3% 41.1% 22.7% 20.5% 22.4% -1.1% -6.4% -18.5% -30.8% 0.9% 0.86%
EPS 3.6% 5.0% 115.3% 18.4% 3.0% 2.3% 47.0% -12.5% -1.0% -5.2% 8.8% 40.2% 22.4% 21.1% 22.3% -1.1% -6.5% -19.6% -31.2% 0.9% 0.91%
FCF -89.6% 17.5% 57.8% 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% -1.1% -57.1% 80.7% 32.7% 65.6% 8.5% 48.4% 78.4% -9.9% -29.3% 7.5% -39.6% 14.3% 14.28%
EBITDA 15.7% 16.5% 40.7% 10.9% 3.5% 2.1% 62.3% 13.7% 18.5% 11.7% 18.4% 34.7% 18.4% 14.5% 15.7% 0.4% -2.8% -11.1% -20.9% -0.9% -0.91%
Op. Income 4.9% 8.4% 37.4% 9.3% 4.1% 2.0% 45.1% -13.7% -11.6% -11.2% 13.5% 50.0% 29.8% 30.6% 30.5% 6.0% 2.2% -14.2% -24.0% 7.7% 7.75%
OCF Growth snapshot only 8.15%
Asset Growth snapshot only 11.69%
Equity Growth snapshot only 10.80%
Debt Growth snapshot only -87.79%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.04%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 7.50%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 94.7% 1.2% 1.9% 2.3% 2.4% 2.7% 3.3% 3.4% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 1.0% 66.6% 45.7% 30.1% 17.4% 12.5% 7.5% 9.1% 15.6% 15.65%
Revenue 5Y 52.5% 69.8% 90.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 96.7% 92.0% 96.2% 97.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 77.5% 56.1% 56.08%
EPS 3Y 25.5% — — 1.0% 95.7% 1.8% — — — 1.7% 4.7% 1.9% 69.0% 56.3% 25.0% 6.7% 4.3% -2.6% -2.9% 11.8% 11.84%
EPS 5Y — — — 37.7% 28.0% 28.2% 21.3% 30.9% 50.8% — — 58.4% 55.5% 90.2% — — — 79.3% 1.7% 88.5% 88.50%
Net Income 3Y 69.3% — — 1.8% 1.7% 2.9% — — — 1.9% 5.1% 2.0% 74.4% 60.1% 25.7% 8.4% 4.8% -1.9% -2.5% 12.1% 12.07%
Net Income 5Y — — — 66.3% 55.6% 55.7% 47.4% 59.4% 83.7% — — 93.2% 89.9% 1.3% — — — 87.0% 1.9% 92.8% 92.78%
EBITDA 3Y 91.7% 2.4% — 1.8% 1.8% 2.3% — — — 2.9% 3.3% 1.6% 84.3% 57.5% 30.5% 15.4% 10.9% 4.4% 2.7% 10.3% 10.26%
EBITDA 5Y — — — 73.7% 68.5% 74.2% 63.5% 81.1% 1.1% 1.7% — 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% — — — 1.3% 1.4% 78.6% 78.63%
Gross Profit 3Y 93.4% 1.3% 2.7% 3.3% 3.5% 4.4% — — — 16.4% 1.7% 1.0% 64.7% 42.7% 25.4% 11.2% 7.2% 1.9% 6.8% 18.5% 18.49%
Gross Profit 5Y 62.6% 80.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 95.2% 88.7% 93.0% 96.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% — — — 4.6% 82.4% 58.1% 58.10%
Op. Income 3Y 84.1% 1.3% 6.0% — — — — — — — 3.0% 1.4% 80.0% 51.3% 29.1% 11.1% 5.4% -0.2% 4.0% 19.6% 19.65%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — 1.0% 90.6% 94.8% 98.8% 2.6% — — — — — — — 1.3% 72.2% 72.24%
FCF 3Y — — — 37.7% 55.4% 62.5% 2.0% — 1.6% — — — — — — 66.7% 42.2% 42.3% 12.7% — —
FCF 5Y — — — 42.6% 87.0% 1.0% 46.5% — 7.3% 45.7% 51.7% 68.1% 72.4% 63.0% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% — — — —
OCF 3Y 81.0% 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 2.2% 4.0% 4.6% 4.7% 10.0% 1.9% 1.1% 74.4% 41.6% 27.6% 11.9% 4.2% 1.8% -1.7% 8.1% 8.07%
OCF 5Y 67.6% 99.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 1.1% 93.1% 92.6% 91.2% 99.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 3.2% 86.8% 57.9% 57.85%
Assets 3Y 52.2% 57.4% 63.5% 70.0% 75.6% 78.9% 64.3% 65.2% 69.3% 40.6% 36.2% 36.8% 31.7% 24.9% 20.1% 16.2% 13.6% 10.6% 11.0% 12.8% 12.84%
Assets 5Y 34.8% 36.1% 39.6% 43.3% 44.8% 42.7% 42.5% 45.3% 47.7% 46.2% 46.7% 47.9% 49.3% 49.3% 41.7% 42.1% 42.9% 27.0% 24.5% 25.5% 25.49%
Equity 3Y 41.0% 52.7% 56.6% 62.8% 67.0% 68.1% 51.9% 53.0% 55.9% 31.4% 34.4% 34.9% 32.3% 20.7% 17.9% 14.3% 12.7% 11.3% 11.2% 13.3% 13.31%
Book Value 3Y 4.6% 12.9% 13.5% 18.8% 20.1% 21.4% 16.1% 29.6% 31.9% 22.9% 26.0% 29.9% 28.2% 17.8% 17.3% 12.5% 12.2% 10.4% 10.7% 13.1% 13.08%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 49.2% 21.7% 7.0% -2.1% -0.3% -0.6% 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 2.22%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.34 0.39 0.45 0.51 0.58 0.64 0.70 0.74 0.78 0.82 0.88 0.91 0.92 0.95 0.99 0.94 0.90 0.82 0.83 0.91 0.913
Earnings Stability 0.44 0.57 0.47 0.35 0.45 0.55 0.61 0.62 0.74 0.81 0.88 0.83 0.87 0.89 0.93 0.84 0.81 0.70 0.60 0.68 0.679
Margin Stability 0.00 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.76 0.74 0.74 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.92 0.97 0.969
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.97 1.00 0.99 0.96 0.84 0.91 0.92 0.91 1.00 0.97 0.93 0.88 1.00 0.997
Earnings Smoothness — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.91 1.00 0.96 0.91 0.66 0.80 0.81 0.80 0.99 0.93 0.80 0.64 0.99 0.991
ROE Trend 0.11 0.09 0.25 0.31 0.26 0.23 0.16 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.02 -0.00 -0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.06 -0.09 -0.04 -0.039
Gross Margin Trend 0.60 0.47 0.53 0.57 0.53 0.29 0.02 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.01 0.012
FCF Margin Trend -0.96 1.25 0.68 0.36 0.26 1.98 1.08 0.35 0.25 0.16 0.11 0.15 0.17 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.02 0.04 -0.03 -0.01 -0.005
Sustainable Growth Rate 15.5% 13.7% 28.9% 38.1% 36.6% 34.5% 25.5% 16.2% 14.4% 10.7% 11.8% 15.1% 14.1% 14.2% 15.6% 12.5% 10.2% 7.0% 4.6% 10.5% 10.51%
Internal Growth Rate 13.7% 13.1% 28.8% 42.0% 37.7% 36.1% 23.9% 14.0% 11.9% 8.6% 9.3% 12.4% 11.4% 11.6% 13.0% 10.2% 8.1% 5.5% 3.5% 8.5% 8.49%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.79 2.44 1.58 1.53 1.77 1.75 1.89 2.01 1.86 1.94 1.82 1.72 1.80 1.68 1.65 1.68 1.74 1.95 1.94 1.80 1.800
FCF/OCF -1.02 -0.26 -0.16 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.17 -0.01 0.05 0.21 0.21 0.31 0.36 0.30 0.34 0.29 0.28 0.34 0.25 0.31 0.305
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.549
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.910
CapEx/Revenue 1.0% 73.5% 65.0% 53.8% 55.5% 54.3% 53.3% 61.8% 55.2% 47.0% 43.6% 37.9% 37.2% 37.8% 35.2% 36.3% 35.6% 34.8% 35.1% 34.9% 34.85%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.919
Accruals Ratio -0.10 -0.17 -0.13 -0.16 -0.21 -0.20 -0.20 -0.19 -0.17 -0.19 -0.17 -0.16 -0.17 -0.14 -0.14 -0.13 -0.13 -0.15 -0.13 -0.14 -0.143
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.169
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.993
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 3.5% 4.6% 7.0% 5.7% 5.9% 6.6% 6.3% 6.4% 6.1% 5.5% 4.5% 3.4% 3.7% 3.38%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.10 $0.20 $0.29 $0.39 $0.40 $0.40 $0.40 $0.40 $0.40 $0.41 $0.42 $0.43 $0.44 $0.44 $0.46
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.6% 35.5% 46.9% 60.3% 57.7% 50.7% 51.4% 50.5% 47.4% 52.8% 57.8% 66.8% 75.5% 56.3% 56.26%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 49.8% — 5.5% 1.5% 1.5% 95.3% 78.4% 1.0% 85.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 1.0% 1.02%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 12.4% 5.6% 3.9% 3.8% 0.0% 16.1% 36.0% 47.6% 61.0% 57.8% 50.8% 51.4% 50.5% 47.4% 53.0% 57.9% 71.8% 81.0% 60.2% 60.22%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — 3.09 1.07 0.41 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.11 0.112
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.26%
Net Buyback Yield -0.7% -3.2% -2.3% -2.5% -2.5% -0.2% -0.1% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.26%
Total Shareholder Return -0.7% -3.2% -2.3% -2.5% -2.5% -0.2% 1.7% 3.5% 4.6% 7.0% 5.7% 5.9% 6.6% 6.3% 6.3% 6.1% 5.6% 4.9% 3.7% 4.0% 3.96%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.26 0.90 0.85 0.81 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.760
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.992
EBIT Margin 0.23 0.27 0.42 0.48 0.46 0.46 0.44 0.40 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.42 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.40 0.38 0.36 0.32 0.37 0.369
Asset Turnover 0.42 0.48 0.63 0.77 0.77 0.75 0.68 0.62 0.64 0.65 0.67 0.70 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.64 0.62 0.58 0.58 0.64 0.643
Equity Multiplier 1.29 1.18 1.29 1.29 1.34 1.30 1.32 1.32 1.35 1.36 1.38 1.37 1.38 1.37 1.36 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.34 1.343
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.16 $0.21 $0.43 $0.64 $0.63 $0.69 $0.63 $0.56 $0.63 $0.65 $0.69 $0.78 $0.77 $0.79 $0.84 $0.77 $0.72 $0.64 $0.58 $0.78 $0.78
Book Value/Share $1.35 $1.80 $1.88 $2.16 $2.22 $2.31 $2.33 $2.35 $2.46 $2.56 $2.63 $2.75 $2.86 $2.94 $3.04 $3.07 $3.13 $3.11 $3.16 $3.40 $3.43
Tangible Book/Share $1.35 $1.80 $1.88 $2.16 $2.22 $2.31 $2.33 $2.35 $2.46 $2.56 $2.63 $2.75 $2.86 $2.94 $3.04 $3.07 $3.13 $3.11 $3.16 $3.40 $3.40
Revenue/Share $0.56 $0.86 $1.22 $1.64 $1.79 $1.95 $1.88 $1.82 $2.02 $2.14 $2.28 $2.45 $2.36 $2.49 $2.63 $2.54 $2.52 $2.36 $2.40 $2.79 $2.81
FCF/Share $-0.29 $-0.13 $-0.11 $0.08 $0.13 $0.15 $0.20 $-0.01 $0.05 $0.26 $0.26 $0.41 $0.50 $0.40 $0.47 $0.37 $0.36 $0.42 $0.28 $0.43 $0.43
OCF/Share $0.29 $0.51 $0.68 $0.97 $1.12 $1.21 $1.20 $1.12 $1.17 $1.27 $1.26 $1.34 $1.38 $1.33 $1.39 $1.29 $1.25 $1.24 $1.12 $1.40 $1.41
Cash/Share $0.39 $0.52 $0.40 $0.64 $0.71 $0.75 $0.66 $0.54 $0.54 $0.61 $0.53 $0.54 $0.57 $0.60 $0.53 $0.52 $0.52 $0.42 $0.26 $0.37 $0.37
EBITDA/Share $0.27 $0.43 $0.75 $1.06 $1.11 $1.24 $1.21 $1.15 $1.30 $1.37 $1.42 $1.55 $1.54 $1.57 $1.64 $1.55 $1.50 $1.38 $1.29 $1.54 $1.54
Debt/Share $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.05 $0.00 $0.01 $0.07 $0.07 $0.06 $0.06 $0.06 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01
Net Debt/Share $-0.38 $-0.51 $-0.40 $-0.63 $-0.70 $-0.74 $-0.65 $-0.54 $-0.54 $-0.61 $-0.48 $-0.53 $-0.56 $-0.53 $-0.46 $-0.46 $-0.46 $-0.37 $-0.25 $-0.36 $-0.36
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 7.765
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 13.010
Piotroski F-Score 5 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 7 6 7 7 4 4 4 5 7 7
Beneish M-Score — 5.57 0.12 -0.95 -2.48 -2.60 -4.04 -3.39 -2.55 -3.06 2.80 -2.44 -2.85 -2.61 -3.25 -2.91 14.04 2.47 -3.35 -2.87 -2.865
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -10.749
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 26.16%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.50
EVA snapshot only $125961212.78
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AAA
Credit Score 88.43 93.93 92.45 97.95 97.52 97.55 97.09 88.76 97.58 97.71 97.74 97.77 97.74 97.81 97.51 97.55 97.40 97.52 97.39 97.37 97.365
Credit Grade snapshot only 1
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.186
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 50.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 96
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 95

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