— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

ICPT NASDAQ

Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +1.8% 3M: +89.6% 1Y: +17.9% 3Y: -51.6% 5Y: -82.5%
$19.00
Last traded 2023-11-14 — delisted
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Biotechnology · $794.7M mcap · 34M float · 6.41% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
44.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 182.1%
Cost Advantage ★
59
Intangibles
50
Switching Cost
30
Network Effect
48
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. ICPT shows a Weak competitive edge (44.0/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 182.1% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 16Hold: 19Sell: 5Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2023-07-13 H.C. Wainwright Ed Arce $14 $19 +5 +63.4% $11.62
2023-06-29 Canaccord Genuity Edward Nash Initiated $19 — +74.3% $10.90
2022-11-16 H.C. Wainwright — Initiated $14 — -7.2% $15.09
2022-10-03 Mizuho Securities Anthony Crowdell Initiated $27 — +93.5% $13.95
2021-11-03 Raymond James Steven Seedhouse Initiated $44 — +130.5% $19.09
2021-11-03 BMO Capital Matthew Luchini Initiated $22 — +15.2% $19.09
2021-10-14 Jefferies Michael Yee Initiated $19 — +13.0% $16.82
2021-08-19 Goldman Sachs Salveen Richter Initiated $10 — -23.0% $12.99
2021-05-06 Cantor Fitzgerald Alethia Young Initiated $23 — +34.1% $17.15
2021-05-05 Wells Fargo Derek Archila Initiated $16 — -5.9% $17.01

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 13 Grade D
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
21
Earnings Quality
70
Growth
29
Value
27
Momentum
33
Safety
0
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ICPT scores highest in Earnings Quality (70/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-6.00
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.35
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.26
Bankruptcy prob: 1.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 24.1/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 1.08x
Accruals: 0.9%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ICPT scores -6.00, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ICPT scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ICPT's score of -2.35 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ICPT's implied 1.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ICPT receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 24.1/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
5.57x
PEG
-0.04x
P/S
2.78x
P/B
6.90x
P/FCF
-12.33x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-19.31x
EV/Revenue
2.13x
EV/EBIT
-4.08x
EV/FCF
-10.76x
Earnings Yield
-7.56%
FCF Yield
-8.11%
Shareholder Yield
0.06%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 5.6x earnings, ICPT trades at a deep value multiple.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.062
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.333
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.522
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.667
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
5.306
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-65.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ICPT's ROE of -65.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 5.31x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.06 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$19.00
Median 1Y
$10.78
5th Pctile
$3.19
95th Pctile
$36.50
Ann. Volatility
72.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
ROE -17.4% 5.9% -2.0% -3.0% -9.8% 7.7% -7.0% -1432.5% 4.8% 1.9% 1.2% 74.9% 52.1% 23.9% 22.6% -4.6% -2.8% -76.2% -77.9% -65.3% -65.30%
ROA -62.3% -76.4% -43.1% -49.2% -54.5% -63.1% -45.5% -46.1% -41.2% -37.6% -29.3% -19.3% -16.5% -13.3% -12.7% 20.8% 23.7% 23.0% 23.9% -12.3% -12.31%
ROIC 4.9% 8.8% 9.4% 4.8% 3.7% 8.2% 4.4% 3.5% 2.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 66.5% 69.3% 66.0% 84.9% 63.9% 1.7% 3.8% 1.8% 1.82%
ROCE -70.6% -87.0% -38.6% -44.9% -51.2% -59.0% -61.6% -63.9% -58.1% -48.2% -33.9% -16.8% -12.0% -7.3% -11.8% -44.5% -80.8% -94.3% -90.2% -54.9% -54.85%
Gross Margin 98.1% 98.9% 99.0% 99.2% 96.5% 98.8% 97.6% 97.7% 99.1% 99.0% 99.4% 99.3% 98.9% 99.1% 99.6% 99.5% 100.0% 99.7% 99.8% 99.8% 99.78%
Operating Margin -1.5% -1.6% -96.0% -1.2% -1.2% -1.1% -67.4% -69.4% -48.8% -35.9% 0.8% -6.7% -22.6% -11.6% -18.6% -13.1% -24.5% -46.5% -8.5% -5.2% -5.20%
Net Margin -1.7% -1.7% -1.1% -1.4% -1.4% -1.3% -81.9% -83.6% -62.6% -49.5% -11.5% -3.9% -39.3% -19.5% -10.5% 2.2% -26.4% -43.5% -7.0% -3.1% -3.14%
EBITDA Margin -1.5% -1.5% -89.5% -1.2% -1.2% -1.1% -65.4% -67.5% -46.4% -33.2% 1.7% 11.5% -22.7% -11.9% -20.1% -9.9% -19.1% -39.0% 1.3% 5.8% 5.80%
FCF Margin -1.3% -1.2% -1.1% -98.4% -94.3% -92.8% -78.2% -72.0% -55.6% -40.3% -32.3% -18.0% -11.6% -1.9% 0.7% -5.7% -8.7% -20.0% -31.5% -19.8% -19.78%
OCF Margin -1.3% -1.2% -1.1% -97.9% -93.9% -92.5% -77.9% -71.3% -54.4% -39.1% -31.3% -17.3% -11.5% -1.9% 0.9% -5.5% -8.5% -19.8% -31.4% -19.8% -19.84%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -5.11%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -17.00%
Cash ROA snapshot only -16.03%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -15.49%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -17.38%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 50.75%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 66.69%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 7.56%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
P/E Ratio -9.67 -10.47 -7.93 -6.49 -11.79 -5.90 -4.65 -4.26 -2.97 -3.44 -3.89 -4.39 -5.26 -7.08 -6.35 4.26 4.00 4.82 3.92 -13.22 5.572
P/S Ratio 16.63 16.98 11.39 9.29 16.12 7.53 5.57 4.55 2.61 2.38 1.94 1.33 1.32 1.30 1.19 1.45 1.63 1.90 1.51 2.44 2.781
P/B Ratio 156.34 -60.53 14.22 16.61 78.79 -59.05 -20.04 -10.50 -4.89 -3.82 -3.26 -3.02 -2.62 -1.30 -1.11 4.44 5.51 8.33 6.83 10.78 6.904
P/FCF -12.42 -14.10 -10.61 -9.44 -17.09 -8.11 -7.13 -6.31 -4.69 -5.89 -6.01 -7.39 -11.45 -67.67 159.54 -25.20 -18.76 -9.52 -4.79 -12.33 -12.331
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 132.26 — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA -10.50 -11.79 -8.29 -6.80 -13.23 -6.88 -5.53 -5.31 -4.09 -5.50 -7.09 -11.06 -16.75 -42.32 -20.38 -5.97 -7.49 -7.22 -7.95 -19.31 -19.307
EV/Revenue 16.27 17.12 10.48 8.51 15.65 7.54 5.66 4.77 2.92 2.91 2.45 1.67 1.65 2.20 2.08 0.97 1.13 1.55 1.24 2.13 2.128
EV/EBIT -10.50 -11.70 -8.16 -6.70 -12.99 -6.80 -5.49 -5.25 -3.91 -5.19 -6.53 -9.26 -13.88 -31.57 -17.55 -2.13 -1.36 -1.63 -1.42 -4.08 -4.076
EV/FCF -12.15 -14.22 -9.76 -8.65 -16.59 -8.13 -7.24 -6.63 -5.25 -7.20 -7.58 -9.27 -14.25 -113.89 279.57 -16.85 -12.98 -7.78 -3.94 -10.76 -10.758
Earnings Yield -10.3% -9.6% -12.6% -15.4% -8.5% -16.9% -21.5% -23.5% -33.7% -29.1% -25.7% -22.8% -19.0% -14.1% -15.8% 23.5% 25.0% 20.7% 25.5% -7.6% -7.56%
FCF Yield -8.1% -7.1% -9.4% -10.6% -5.9% -12.3% -14.0% -15.8% -21.3% -17.0% -16.6% -13.5% -8.7% -1.5% 0.6% -4.0% -5.3% -10.5% -20.9% -8.1% -8.11%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 10.785
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 2.132
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.06%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Current Ratio 4.22 3.72 6.54 5.49 4.45 4.19 3.71 3.44 2.66 3.33 3.39 3.45 3.01 3.16 3.22 2.46 2.35 2.37 2.52 4.22 4.221
Quick Ratio 4.16 3.65 6.48 5.49 4.40 4.16 3.67 3.44 3.05 3.28 3.34 3.39 3.01 3.09 2.97 2.43 2.35 2.34 2.48 4.19 4.192
Debt/Equity 19.41 -6.95 3.19 4.07 10.45 -15.95 -7.09 -4.33 -3.45 -2.91 -2.89 -3.46 -2.97 -1.95 -1.93 3.09 3.57 4.96 4.94 3.12 3.116
Net Debt/Equity -3.39 — -1.14 -1.38 -2.30 — — — — — — — — — — -1.47 -1.70 -1.52 -1.21 -1.38 -1.376
Debt/Assets 0.73 0.87 0.66 0.66 0.71 0.84 0.88 0.95 0.99 1.12 1.12 1.03 1.04 1.44 1.43 0.59 0.60 0.66 0.69 0.57 0.569
Debt/EBITDA -1.33 -1.34 -2.02 -1.82 -1.81 -1.85 -1.93 -2.09 -2.58 -3.42 -4.99 -10.10 -15.30 -37.77 -20.21 -6.20 -7.02 -5.26 -6.97 -6.39 -6.394
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.23 -0.10 0.72 0.62 0.40 -0.02 -0.08 -0.25 -0.44 -1.00 -1.47 -2.24 -3.29 -17.18 -8.75 2.96 3.34 1.61 1.71 2.82 2.824
Interest Coverage -9.13 -9.30 -8.48 -7.98 -7.38 -6.71 -6.20 -5.77 -4.86 -3.70 -2.63 -1.28 -0.81 -0.54 -0.99 -4.63 -13.11 -17.41 -20.62 -16.62 -16.623
Equity Multiplier 26.62 -7.97 4.87 6.14 14.64 -19.08 -8.09 -4.54 -3.48 -2.60 -2.57 -3.35 -2.86 -1.35 -1.35 5.20 5.95 7.50 7.17 5.47 5.472
Cash Ratio snapshot only 3.552
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -3.510
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.442
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.281
Defensive Interval snapshot only 347.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.36 0.47 0.30 0.34 0.40 0.49 0.38 0.43 0.47 0.54 0.59 0.64 0.66 0.72 0.68 0.61 0.58 0.58 0.62 0.67 0.667
Inventory Turnover 0.71 0.37 0.72 — 0.54 0.73 0.82 — — 0.85 0.57 0.66 — 0.33 0.12 0.34 — 0.11 0.04 0.14 0.142
Receivables Turnover 8.12 8.46 7.83 8.52 7.91 7.43 7.44 8.37 7.86 7.44 8.02 8.32 8.15 8.35 9.50 9.13 8.46 7.87 10.70 10.83 10.834
Payables Turnover 0.27 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.27 0.27 0.24 0.40 0.24 0.38 0.19 0.19 0.15 0.27 0.20 0.14 0.09 0.09 0.15 0.04 0.040
DSO 45 43 47 43 46 49 49 44 46 49 46 44 45 44 38 40 43 46 34 34 33.7 days
DIO 515 993 505 0 675 503 444 0 -2061 430 645 552 -4037 1113 3030 1086 0 3267 9271 2573 2572.6 days
DPO 1357 2084 1906 1756 1332 1364 1529 908 1494 953 1957 1943 2515 1375 1783 2638 3886 4290 2494 9102 9101.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -797 -1048 -1354 -1713 -611 -812 -1036 -864 -3509 -473 -1266 -1347 -6507 -219 1285 -1512 -3843 -977 6811 -6496 -6495.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 386.477
Operating Cycle snapshot only 2606.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.984
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.238
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 37.3% 34.4% 38.0% 42.4% 40.2% 38.9% 29.5% 28.7% 24.1% 18.1% 20.4% 17.7% 16.2% 15.1% 1.3% -6.8% -13.3% -20.5% -11.3% -3.8% -3.83%
Net Income 14.2% 9.7% 7.8% -0.6% -11.5% -9.3% -8.0% 4.1% 20.3% 36.0% 49.9% 66.6% 66.7% 69.3% 62.0% 2.0% 2.4% 2.7% 2.8% -1.5% -1.52%
EPS 27.3% 23.2% 14.0% 8.9% -0.9% 0.1% -2.6% 4.9% 20.8% 37.1% 50.2% 65.2% 62.8% 65.7% 57.6% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% -1.4% -1.43%
FCF 12.7% 16.6% 13.4% 13.1% 1.3% -7.1% 5.7% 5.9% 26.8% 48.7% 50.3% 70.6% 75.8% 94.5% 1.0% 70.2% 34.9% -7.2% -38.4% -2.3% -2.31%
EBITDA 15.8% 11.7% 11.1% 3.2% -7.0% -4.9% -4.8% 7.6% 25.1% 43.1% 59.4% 80.2% 84.0% 88.7% 70.0% -0.3% -32.5% -2.3% -35.4% 34.7% 34.69%
Op. Income 14.9% 10.1% 9.0% 1.1% -9.4% -6.1% -4.3% 8.3% 26.0% 43.2% 58.6% 73.1% 75.9% 79.3% 59.2% 27.5% 5.4% -1.0% -33.7% -14.0% -13.97%
OCF Growth snapshot only -2.48%
Asset Growth snapshot only -29.72%
Equity Growth snapshot only -33.28%
Debt Growth snapshot only -32.64%
Shares Change snapshot only 21.87%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 3Y 3.0% 3.8% 2.2% 1.7% 1.2% 81.5% 58.7% 41.1% 33.7% 30.2% 29.1% 29.2% 26.4% 23.6% 16.5% 12.2% 7.7% 2.6% 2.7% 1.8% 1.82%
Revenue 5Y 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.8% 1.2% 98.2% 70.9% 52.1% 37.3% 25.3% 19.2% 15.1% 14.1% 14.1% 14.11%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y 3.0% 3.8% 2.2% 1.7% 1.1% 80.6% 57.9% 40.3% 33.4% 29.9% 29.1% 29.5% 26.7% 23.9% 16.6% 12.4% 8.2% 3.1% 3.3% 2.6% 2.56%
Gross Profit 5Y 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 1.2% 97.9% 70.6% 51.9% 37.2% 25.2% 19.3% 15.3% 14.3% 14.4% 14.39%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y -8.1% -9.6% 17.6% -0.4% 0.7% -0.3% 1.2% 1.8% 6.2% 9.7% -4.7% -2.1% 1.2% 4.7% -16.4% -11.3% -9.8% -8.7% -8.7% -12.7% -12.72%
Assets 5Y 27.6% 25.3% 22.4% 22.9% 24.3% 9.5% -3.3% -3.8% -2.4% -2.6% -0.0% -8.4% -6.5% -5.5% -4.1% -0.0% 2.7% 5.1% -4.3% -6.7% -6.73%
Equity 3Y -68.3% — -25.1% -32.0% -45.3% — — — — — — — — — — -6.3% 21.8% — — — —
Book Value 3Y -70.3% — -30.9% -38.0% -50.1% — — — — — — — — — — -7.7% 12.6% — — — —
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.76 0.80 0.85 0.88 0.91 0.94 0.97 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.95 0.90 0.82 0.67 0.69 0.65 0.654
Earnings Stability 0.49 0.20 0.30 0.29 0.14 0.42 0.27 0.16 0.00 0.33 0.54 0.64 0.76 0.75 0.81 0.76 0.78 0.84 0.86 0.71 0.709
Margin Stability 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.992
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.94 0.96 0.97 1.00 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.92 0.86 0.80 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend -4.51 — 0.50 0.83 12.39 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.006
FCF Margin Trend 6.68 3.68 2.20 1.17 0.78 0.64 0.61 0.58 0.59 0.66 0.60 0.67 0.63 0.65 0.56 0.39 0.25 0.01 -0.16 -0.08 -0.079
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 26.2% 31.1% 29.9% 31.5% — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.78 0.74 0.74 0.68 0.69 0.73 0.65 0.67 0.62 0.57 0.63 0.57 0.46 0.10 -0.05 -0.16 -0.21 -0.50 -0.82 1.08 1.075
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.04 1.01 1.00 0.83 1.05 1.02 1.01 1.00 1.00 0.997
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.072
CapEx/Revenue 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.06%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.017
Accruals Ratio -0.14 -0.20 -0.11 -0.16 -0.17 -0.17 -0.16 -0.15 -0.16 -0.16 -0.11 -0.08 -0.09 -0.12 -0.13 0.24 0.29 0.35 0.44 0.01 0.009
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.088
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -338.812
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 16.5% 16.1% 15.9% 18.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.06%
Net Buyback Yield -8.7% -7.8% -10.3% -11.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 16.5% 16.1% 15.9% 18.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.06%
Total Shareholder Return -8.7% -7.8% -10.3% -11.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 16.5% 16.1% 15.9% 18.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.06%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.90 -0.65 -0.84 -0.69 -0.75 1.06 1.062
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.11 1.11 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.15 1.16 1.17 1.18 1.23 1.33 1.68 2.12 2.65 1.75 1.15 0.59 0.60 0.58 0.33 0.333
EBIT Margin -1.55 -1.46 -1.28 -1.27 -1.20 -1.11 -1.03 -0.91 -0.75 -0.56 -0.38 -0.18 -0.12 -0.07 -0.12 -0.46 -0.83 -0.95 -0.88 -0.52 -0.522
Asset Turnover 0.36 0.47 0.30 0.34 0.40 0.49 0.38 0.43 0.47 0.54 0.59 0.64 0.66 0.72 0.68 0.61 0.58 0.58 0.62 0.67 0.667
Equity Multiplier 27.97 -7.76 4.53 6.00 17.88 -12.27 15.46 3110.37 -11.58 -5.04 -4.12 -3.89 -3.16 -1.79 -1.78 -22.39 -11.89 -3.31 -3.25 5.31 5.306
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-10.42 $-10.68 $-10.03 $-10.22 $-10.51 $-10.67 $-10.29 $-9.73 $-8.33 $-6.71 $-5.13 $-3.38 $-3.10 $-2.30 $-2.18 $3.28 $3.09 $2.78 $2.82 $-1.40 $-1.40
Book Value/Share $0.64 $-1.85 $5.59 $4.00 $1.57 $-1.07 $-2.39 $-3.95 $-5.05 $-6.04 $-6.12 $-4.92 $-6.23 $-12.52 $-12.43 $3.14 $2.24 $1.61 $1.62 $1.72 $2.75
Tangible Book/Share $0.64 $-1.85 $5.59 $4.00 $1.57 $-1.07 $-2.39 $-3.95 $-5.05 $-6.04 $-6.12 $-4.92 $-6.23 $-12.52 $-12.43 $3.14 $2.24 $1.61 $1.62 $1.72 $1.72
Revenue/Share $6.06 $6.59 $6.99 $7.15 $7.69 $8.37 $8.60 $9.12 $9.47 $9.71 $10.28 $11.16 $12.30 $12.47 $11.62 $9.63 $7.60 $7.07 $7.34 $7.60 $8.45
FCF/Share $-8.12 $-7.93 $-7.50 $-7.03 $-7.25 $-7.76 $-6.72 $-6.57 $-5.27 $-3.92 $-3.32 $-2.01 $-1.42 $-0.24 $0.09 $-0.55 $-0.66 $-1.41 $-2.31 $-1.50 $-0.81
OCF/Share $-8.11 $-7.91 $-7.46 $-7.00 $-7.22 $-7.74 $-6.70 $-6.50 $-5.15 $-3.80 $-3.21 $-1.94 $-1.41 $-0.24 $0.10 $-0.53 $-0.65 $-1.40 $-2.31 $-1.51 $-0.79
Cash/Share $14.70 $11.88 $24.22 $21.77 $20.05 $16.86 $16.22 $15.06 $14.46 $12.41 $12.49 $13.24 $14.54 $13.33 $13.61 $14.31 $11.84 $10.44 $9.94 $7.72 $14.36
EBITDA/Share $-9.39 $-9.57 $-8.83 $-8.94 $-9.09 $-9.17 $-8.79 $-8.20 $-6.76 $-5.13 $-3.55 $-1.68 $-1.21 $-0.65 $-1.19 $-1.56 $-1.14 $-1.52 $-1.15 $-0.84 $-0.84
Debt/Share $12.51 $12.84 $17.85 $16.25 $16.43 $17.01 $16.96 $17.12 $17.44 $17.54 $17.70 $17.01 $18.53 $24.44 $24.00 $9.69 $8.02 $7.99 $7.99 $5.36 $5.36
Net Debt/Share $-2.19 $0.96 $-6.37 $-5.53 $-3.62 $0.14 $0.74 $2.06 $2.98 $5.13 $5.21 $3.77 $3.99 $11.11 $10.39 $-4.62 $-3.81 $-2.45 $-1.95 $-2.37 $-2.37
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -5.998
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -13.477
Piotroski F-Score 5 4 5 4 5 5 2 2 4 4 4 6 5 5 6 4 4 4 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.76 -2.48 -2.20 -2.71 -2.78 -2.86 -3.27 -3.12 -0.75 -3.29 -2.81 -2.66 -3.11 -2.95 -3.64 -1.90 -1.71 -1.40 -0.26 -2.35 -2.350
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.259
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -56.52%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $1.49
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 21.56 20.00 23.33 23.65 22.32 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 21.90 22.10 22.21 23.16 24.10 24.099
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only 2.200
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 14
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 15

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