— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 601398.SS (SHH) · $vol 485M

IDCBY OTC

Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd.
1W: +1.7% 1M: +0.4% 3M: +2.4% YTD: +19.3% 1Y: +26.9% 3Y: +132.3% 5Y: +124.5%
$19.44
+0.51 (+2.69%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.8%
$17 $18 $18 $19 $20
OTC · Financial Services · Banks - Diversified · Tech Score Neutral · Power 46 · $346.4B mcap · 10.48B float · 0.0005% daily turnover · Short 45% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: not rated, financial company (lending is its business) Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Not rated: lending and leverage are a financial company's business, which the model misreads.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
3
ROA
2
D/E
1
P/E
4
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. IDCBY receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), P/E (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROA (2/5), D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-14 A- B+
2026-10-01 B+ A-
2026-07-01 A- B+
2026-06-15 B+ A-
2026-06-08 A- B+
2026-04-30 B+ A-
2026-04-30 A- B+
2026-04-01 B+ A-
2026-01-21 A B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
68
Balance Sheet
22
Earnings Quality
73
Growth
46
Value
—
Momentum
76
Safety
—
Cash Flow
59

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
1.54
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.75
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.58
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 40.9/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 4.96x
Accruals: -2.6%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. IDCBY scores 1.54, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. IDCBY scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. IDCBY's score of -2.75 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. IDCBY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. IDCBY receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 40.9/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). IDCBY's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
8.45x
PEG
2.07x
P/S
2.36x
P/B
0.71x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$324.27
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 8.5x earnings, IDCBY trades at a deep value multiple. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $324.27 per share, suggesting a potential 1568% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.840
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.043
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.395
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.019
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
13.353
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
8.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. IDCBY's ROE of 8.9% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 13.35x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.75%
Fair P/E
10.00x
Intrinsic Value
$204.13
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with IDCBY's realized 0.7% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. IDCBY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $204.13, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 10.0x compares to the current market P/E of 8.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$19.44
Median 1Y
$21.20
5th Pctile
$14.43
95th Pctile
$31.30
Ann. Volatility
23.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 11.4% 11.3% 11.2% 11.2% 11.1% 10.7% 10.4% 10.5% 10.3% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 9.6% 9.5% 9.4% 9.4% 9.3% 9.0% 8.9% 8.9% 8.88%
ROA 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.67%
ROIC 28.3% 19.9% 22.8% 22.0% 23.8% 22.7% 23.5% 20.5% 15.6% 1.4% 4.7% 3.0% 3.6% 19.4% 24.3% 16.2% 2.8% 4.1% 3.4% 3.2% 3.15%
ROCE 2.0% 2.4% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 2.9% 3.6% 3.3% 2.5% 4.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.79%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 99.5% 51.8% 1.0% 69.9% 1.0% 0.0% 52.5% 1.0% 1.4% 1.41%
Operating Margin 93.5% 1.0% 96.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 44.2% 54.4% 56.7% 0.1% 0.3% 43.0% 56.5% 69.9% 50.9% 31.3% 29.3% 1.0% 45.7% 45.74%
Net Margin 36.3% 42.0% 36.4% 34.2% 42.3% 46.1% 39.8% 38.2% 46.9% 50.1% 21.1% 20.5% 24.9% 49.8% 39.8% 53.3% 27.0% 25.0% 56.9% 52.0% 51.96%
EBITDA Margin 46.8% 51.3% 47.6% 43.8% 54.5% 53.0% 0.0% 0.0% 54.8% 1.6% 0.1% 25.2% 27.9% 0.0% 51.1% 68.7% 31.3% 26.9% 69.7% 64.0% 63.97%
FCF Margin 40.0% -73.9% -88.7% -43.1% -2.2% 18.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 1.4% 29.2% 17.1% 6.9% 25.8% 25.83%
OCF Margin -44.9% -1.1% -86.4% -1.7% -2.0% -1.5% -30.8% 1.0% 2.1% 1.7% 1.6% 85.9% 1.1% 1.2% -24.7% -0.9% -1.1% -44.1% 1.5% 1.7% 1.72%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.24%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 9.72%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.70%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.06%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.46%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.16%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 14.51%
CROIC snapshot only 2.18%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 37.27%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 41.21%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 17.31%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 8.451
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.358
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.710
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 2.070
Graham Number snapshot only $324.27
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.35 0.24 0.33 0.31 0.32 0.25 0.34 0.32 0.33 0.11 0.46 0.40 0.76 0.28 0.12 0.11 — 1.24 1.11 0.80 0.799
Quick Ratio 0.35 0.24 0.33 0.31 0.32 0.25 0.34 0.32 0.33 0.11 0.46 0.40 0.76 0.28 0.12 0.11 — 1.24 1.11 0.80 0.799
Debt/Equity 1.32 1.42 1.39 1.49 1.41 1.44 1.48 1.50 1.52 0.51 2.07 2.14 2.11 0.51 0.61 0.77 2.53 2.58 2.76 2.91 2.908
Net Debt/Equity -0.20 0.14 -0.00 0.08 0.02 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.16 -0.91 0.60 0.74 0.75 -0.68 -0.62 -0.34 2.53 1.39 1.92 2.05 2.046
Debt/Assets 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.04 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.208
Debt/EBITDA 12.63 10.24 10.13 10.88 10.46 11.15 15.88 23.29 25.29 4.58 18.14 15.00 15.95 9.61 7.73 9.78 29.83 23.92 26.05 27.81 27.806
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.95 0.99 -0.01 0.59 0.12 0.66 0.80 1.23 2.60 -8.20 5.30 5.20 5.64 -12.76 -7.84 -4.33 29.83 12.90 18.14 19.56 19.560
Interest Coverage 0.92 0.90 0.87 0.82 0.78 0.71 0.65 0.61 0.57 0.82 1.16 1.37 1.38 0.99 0.62 0.40 0.56 0.60 0.62 0.65 0.653
Equity Multiplier 11.25 10.80 11.18 11.69 11.60 11.33 11.74 12.21 12.17 11.90 13.08 13.00 12.40 12.30 12.77 12.71 13.41 13.46 13.75 14.00 13.997
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.750
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.671
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.297
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.023
Defensive Interval snapshot only 4069.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.019
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 10.41 — 9.22 9.222
Payables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 0 40 39.6 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 0 40 —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.438
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.299
Capital Intensity snapshot only 54.332
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 6.2% 6.6% 7.5% 6.5% 1.2% -2.8% -6.7% -8.9% -9.0% -8.3% 15.3% 38.9% 64.8% 68.3% 17.2% -21.0% -33.3% -22.0% -13.6% 9.6% 9.61%
Net Income 17.2% 10.3% 11.4% 7.8% 6.9% 3.5% 1.9% 1.8% 0.3% 1.0% 0.4% -0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.8% 0.5% -2.0% -0.3% 0.1% 0.10%
EPS 10.9% 10.3% 11.4% 7.8% 4.5% 3.5% 1.9% 1.8% 8.5% 1.0% 0.4% 1.4% -7.6% 19.9% -0.5% -1.8% 11.2% -16.2% 2.4% 2.8% 2.76%
FCF -72.1% -1.3% -2.3% -1.8% -1.1% 1.2% 2.5% 4.1% 71.7% 7.3% 30.4% 44.0% 52.4% 1.3% 10.6% -27.5% -87.8% -94.1% -96.1% -79.5% -79.48%
EBITDA 48.3% 60.7% 3.3% 1.1% 40.1% -0.3% -27.2% -49.3% -52.3% -8.3% 24.4% 1.2% 1.3% -48.8% -23.0% -36.9% -35.4% 1.0% 33.9% 30.8% 30.80%
Op. Income 9.6% 7.0% 8.9% 9.1% 10.9% 12.8% 14.7% -3.2% -23.3% -41.2% -69.9% -75.8% -62.7% -52.5% 35.9% 1.3% 62.9% 59.7% 6.0% -11.2% -11.22%
OCF Growth snapshot only 199.30%
Asset Growth snapshot only 9.12%
Equity Growth snapshot only -0.87%
Debt Growth snapshot only 2.72%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.59%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -34.90%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 6.6% 6.8% 5.7% 5.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.8% 0.6% -0.7% -1.7% 5.0% 10.5% 14.9% 14.5% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 5.3% 6.4% 6.35%
Revenue 5Y 6.1% 6.9% 7.4% 7.2% 6.3% 4.8% 4.0% 3.1% 2.2% 1.7% 4.9% 8.0% 10.8% 10.6% 7.4% 2.2% 1.5% 4.5% 3.2% 3.1% 3.15%
EPS 3Y 2.5% 5.4% 5.5% 5.3% 2.6% 4.9% 4.6% 7.4% 7.9% 4.8% 4.5% 3.6% 1.5% 7.8% 0.6% 0.4% 3.7% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.75%
EPS 5Y 2.9% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 3.4% 4.7% 4.5% 4.3% 4.1% 4.1% 3.7% 3.8% 1.6% 6.9% 2.7% 4.3% 5.2% 3.0% 3.0% 2.3% 2.33%
Net Income 3Y 4.4% 5.4% 5.5% 5.3% 5.4% 4.9% 4.6% 7.4% 7.9% 4.8% 4.5% 2.9% 2.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% -0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.10%
Net Income 5Y 4.0% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 4.7% 4.5% 4.3% 4.1% 4.1% 3.7% 3.4% 3.3% 3.2% 2.9% 4.4% 4.8% 2.6% 2.6% 1.9% 1.94%
EBITDA 3Y 46.7% 63.2% 63.8% 63.2% — — — — — — 57.5% 33.9% 16.2% -22.3% -11.3% -10.4% -10.2% -1.7% 8.7% 22.8% 22.82%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — 16.1% 31.8% 31.8% 37.7% — — — — — — 32.1% 14.7% 14.68%
Gross Profit 3Y 6.6% 6.8% 5.7% 5.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.8% 0.6% -0.7% -1.7% 5.0% 10.4% 9.4% 9.0% -0.2% -9.8% -18.9% -18.6% -17.5% -12.9% -12.92%
Gross Profit 5Y 6.1% 6.9% 7.4% 7.2% 6.3% 4.8% 4.0% 3.1% 2.2% 1.7% 4.9% 8.0% 7.6% 7.4% 2.4% -3.9% -10.6% -11.0% -10.9% -8.5% -8.51%
Op. Income 3Y 11.1% 6.2% 6.3% 5.9% 6.5% 7.1% 7.9% 3.6% -2.3% -10.8% -27.8% -36.5% -31.8% -32.0% -22.3% -18.5% -22.5% -23.6% -24.3% -20.8% -20.81%
Op. Income 5Y 19.7% 20.0% 20.4% 21.0% 21.9% 22.8% 18.2% 10.8% 3.1% -4.5% -16.1% -22.5% -19.1% -19.3% -12.5% -9.1% -10.8% -11.7% -11.5% -12.1% -12.10%
FCF 3Y -25.4% — — — — -36.8% -6.8% -6.3% 3.6% -17.0% 35.9% 53.5% 82.4% — — — — 3.7% -61.6% -40.2% -40.18%
FCF 5Y -10.2% — — — — -25.7% 12.8% 16.8% 10.6% 15.9% 0.1% 4.1% 13.9% 36.4% 3.1% -3.0% -27.1% -40.2% -35.9% -11.7% -11.66%
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — -16.4% 10.9% -10.6% — — — — — — — — — 25.4% 25.38%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — -13.8% -7.3% 14.4% -0.3% -7.5% 4.0% 20.1% — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y 7.9% 8.3% 8.4% 8.9% 9.1% 9.6% 9.4% 9.7% 9.9% 10.3% 11.5% 10.3% 11.0% 11.6% 11.4% 10.5% 10.1% 10.5% 9.7% 9.3% 9.34%
Assets 5Y 8.4% 7.8% 8.4% 8.7% 8.9% 8.7% 9.7% 9.8% 9.5% 10.0% 10.2% 9.5% 9.7% 10.1% 9.9% 9.6% 9.6% 9.9% 10.1% 10.2% 10.20%
Equity 3Y 11.5% 11.8% 11.4% 11.2% 8.7% 9.3% 9.0% 9.4% 9.2% 9.1% 6.9% 6.1% 7.4% 6.8% 6.5% 7.5% 4.9% 4.4% 4.1% 4.5% 4.48%
Book Value 3Y 9.5% 11.8% 11.4% 11.2% 5.9% 9.3% 9.0% 9.4% 9.2% 9.1% 6.9% 6.8% 6.5% 13.3% 6.3% 7.2% 8.4% 5.1% 4.8% 5.2% 5.15%
Dividend 3Y -2.6% -0.1% -0.9% 35.7% -1.9% 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 1.3% 1.0% 1.5% 3.7% 2.5% 13.6% 19.5% 21.6% 8.7% -1.9% -20.4% -13.5% -13.53%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.95 0.87 0.77 0.63 0.43 0.27 0.75 0.56 0.45 0.39 0.74 0.27 0.17 0.36 0.55 0.21 0.211
Earnings Stability 0.64 0.93 0.92 0.81 0.74 0.95 0.94 0.85 0.77 0.94 0.91 0.82 0.75 0.87 0.80 0.73 0.67 0.59 0.57 0.59 0.593
Margin Stability 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.94 0.94 0.90 0.87 0.77 0.72 0.73 0.76 0.759
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.93 0.96 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earnings Smoothness 0.84 0.90 0.89 0.92 0.93 0.97 0.98 0.98 1.00 0.99 1.00 0.99 1.00 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.98 1.00 1.00 0.999
ROE Trend -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.005
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.14 -0.14 -0.21 -0.26 -0.40 -0.48 -0.41 -0.32 -0.318
FCF Margin Trend -1.06 -2.52 -2.19 -1.61 -0.98 -0.84 1.50 1.39 1.54 1.95 1.34 0.99 0.75 1.31 0.00 -0.10 -1.37 -1.79 -1.50 -1.18 -1.184
Sustainable Growth Rate 7.5% 7.6% 7.6% 7.8% 7.4% 7.1% 7.0% 7.2% 6.8% 6.6% 6.6% 6.5% 6.0% 5.6% 3.9% 3.5% 5.3% 5.5% 6.3% 5.3% 5.33%
Internal Growth Rate 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.40%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -1.23 -2.83 -2.34 -4.45 -5.25 -3.83 -0.76 2.52 5.02 3.89 4.64 2.89 4.06 4.75 -0.82 -0.03 -2.90 -1.35 4.42 4.96 4.955
FCF/OCF -0.89 0.70 1.03 0.26 0.01 -0.12 -4.64 1.39 0.81 0.99 0.99 1.75 1.52 1.82 -6.16 -145.47 -0.26 -0.39 0.04 0.15 0.151
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.746
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 4.227
CapEx/Revenue 3.8% 2.6% 2.3% 2.7% 3.9% 1.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 2.6% 2.9% 3.4% 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 4.0% 4.4% 4.41%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 4.126
Accruals Ratio 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.026
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.659
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 9.394
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.71%
Dividend/Share $6.04 $6.39 $6.18 $5.94 $6.03 $6.57 $6.53 $6.37 $6.78 $6.78 $6.82 $7.12 $6.90 $9.93 $11.64 $12.55 $8.88 $7.86 $5.91 $8.17 $6.40
Payout Ratio 34.2% 33.3% 31.8% 30.3% 32.7% 33.1% 32.9% 31.9% 33.9% 33.8% 34.3% 35.2% 37.3% 41.3% 58.8% 63.2% 43.2% 39.1% 29.2% 40.0% 40.02%
FCF Payout Ratio 31.3% — — — — 70.9% 9.3% 9.1% 8.3% 8.8% 7.5% 6.9% 6.1% 4.8% 11.6% 17.4% 57.8% 74.6% 1.5% 53.7% 53.65%
Total Payout Ratio 36.2% 36.5% 35.1% 33.4% 34.0% 33.1% 33.2% 31.9% 33.9% 33.8% 34.3% 35.2% 59.3% 63.4% 81.1% 85.4% 51.4% 44.7% 35.0% 64.6% 64.61%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.80 0.82 0.83 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.86 0.87 0.88 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.84 0.840
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.69 0.46 0.38 0.38 0.54 0.87 1.42 1.41 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.043
EBIT Margin 0.46 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.48 0.73 0.88 0.90 0.78 0.55 0.40 0.31 0.33 0.37 0.39 0.40 0.395
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.019
Equity Multiplier 11.57 11.14 11.35 11.65 11.43 11.07 11.47 11.96 11.89 11.63 12.42 12.61 12.29 12.10 12.92 12.85 12.90 12.88 13.26 13.35 13.353
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $17.65 $19.17 $19.44 $19.62 $18.44 $19.84 $19.82 $19.97 $20.00 $20.04 $19.90 $20.24 $18.48 $24.02 $19.81 $19.87 $20.55 $20.12 $20.27 $20.42 $20.42
Book Value/Share $163.81 $179.32 $183.67 $182.43 $173.54 $192.39 $197.14 $196.84 $201.25 $206.80 $200.25 $203.35 $197.91 $260.58 $220.62 $224.91 $221.07 $223.17 $226.85 $228.88 $244.43
Tangible Book/Share $-322.77 $177.23 $-361.83 $180.79 $-365.51 $190.17 $-428.23 $194.62 $-320.43 $206.80 $-1946.86 $-2041.72 $197.91 $258.41 $220.62 $224.76 $221.07 $222.12 $226.85 $227.84 $227.84
Revenue/Share $48.25 $51.74 $52.58 $52.76 $47.72 $50.29 $49.05 $48.09 $46.97 $46.13 $56.58 $68.07 $71.32 $92.56 $65.87 $52.40 $52.66 $61.75 $58.45 $58.97 $73.12
FCF/Share $19.30 $-38.22 $-46.66 $-22.76 $-1.06 $9.27 $70.07 $69.79 $81.22 $77.20 $91.38 $102.43 $114.07 $207.25 $100.40 $72.30 $15.36 $10.53 $4.03 $15.23 $13.05
OCF/Share $-21.65 $-54.33 $-45.44 $-87.38 $-96.77 $-75.94 $-15.08 $50.35 $100.48 $78.00 $92.40 $58.47 $75.10 $114.02 $-16.29 $-0.50 $-59.60 $-27.24 $89.71 $101.18 $15.86
Cash/Share $249.79 $230.73 $255.56 $257.08 $242.71 $261.12 $276.88 $279.56 $274.60 $291.65 $293.34 $284.45 $269.96 $311.86 $272.09 $251.48 $0.00 $265.76 $190.03 $197.39 $347.05
EBITDA/Share $17.14 $24.95 $25.22 $24.98 $23.47 $24.89 $18.36 $12.67 $12.10 $22.82 $22.85 $29.00 $26.18 $13.94 $17.48 $17.83 $18.72 $24.11 $24.03 $23.94 $23.94
Debt/Share $216.42 $255.49 $255.39 $271.89 $245.46 $277.44 $291.57 $295.11 $306.00 $104.49 $414.47 $435.13 $417.60 $133.94 $135.06 $174.27 $558.25 $576.73 $625.95 $665.60 $665.60
Net Debt/Share $-33.37 $24.76 $-0.17 $14.81 $2.75 $16.32 $14.69 $15.55 $31.40 $-187.16 $121.14 $150.69 $147.64 $-177.92 $-137.04 $-77.22 $558.25 $310.97 $435.93 $468.21 $468.21
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.543
Piotroski F-Score 3 4 4 6 2 4 3 6 5 5 6 6 5 7 3 3 2 2 6 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.25 -2.25 -2.24 -2.21 -2.28 -2.33 -2.48 -2.58 -2.69 -2.58 -1.76 -1.70 -1.20 -2.32 -2.75 -3.22 -2.07 -0.88 -3.03 -2.75 -2.751
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.575
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2763.02
EVA snapshot only $-850610864868.67
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 52.70 52.40 50.90 50.90 50.90 51.80 54.50 56.30 56.90 73.25 53.30 51.20 52.55 69.50 64.10 59.75 44.75 46.70 45.35 40.85 40.850
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only -18.900
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000

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