— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 9618.HK (HKSE) · $vol 110M · 89618.HK (HKSE) · $vol 0M · 013A.F (FSX) · $vol 0M · JDCMF (OTC) · $vol 0M

JD NASDAQ

JD.com, Inc.
1W: -5.8% 1M: -4.8% 3M: -20.6% YTD: -14.5% 1Y: -23.9% 3Y: +6.5% 5Y: -66.3%
$25.57
+0.33 (+1.31%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.4%
$24 $24 $25 $26 $27
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · Tech Score Sell · Power 42 · $34.1B mcap · 1.20B float · 0.659% daily turnover · Short 39% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 65% of companies Debt: 31.7% of company value Bonds: $119.2M held by 63 funds, 40 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.70 (down 97%), JD.com, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $15.82B against a stock market value of $34.09B.
Distance to default 6.82 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $8.04B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 29.9%; Altman Z'' 1.14. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+10.0% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-44.1% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+10.0%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-44.1%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-13.4%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
44%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+6.3%
Midterm
☀️
+15.1%
75% win 51% vol
Feb
20yr
🌫️
+9.7%
Midterm
☀️
+16.1%
58% win 42% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+8.5%
Midterm
☀️
+6.5%
58% win 68% vol
Apr
20yr
🌫️
+8.5%
Midterm
☀️
+6.9%
58% win 40% vol
May
20yr
💨
+7.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.0%
38% win 49% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+10.2%
Midterm
⛅
+2.8%
69% win 41% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+10.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.0%
54% win 40% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+11.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-15.5%
54% win 44% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+9.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-32.1%
31% win 45% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+9.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-46.6%
38% win 44% vol
Now: -3.9%
Nov
20yr
💨
+15.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-32.4%
58% win 54% vol
Dec
20yr
🌫️
-0.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-1.6%
42% win 42% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -13.4%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms