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Not Investment Advice

JEF NYSE

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.
1W: +2.6% 1M: -2.0% 3M: -15.6% YTD: -25.6% 1Y: -16.2% 3Y: +55.6% 5Y: +33.8%
$46.19
+0.76 (+1.67%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.6%
$42 $43 $45 $46 $48
NYSE · Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets · Tech Score Neutral · Power 44 · $8.7B mcap · 149M float · 1.53% daily turnover · Short 55% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: not rated, financial company (lending is its business) Bonds: $814.7M held by 394 funds, 144 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Not rated: lending and leverage are a financial company's business, which the model misreads.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+6.5% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-8.4% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+6.5%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-8.4%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-25.6%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
41%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+1.9%
Midterm
☁️
-0.9%
50% win 37% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
+1.9%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.4%
55% win 35% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+0.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.5%
45% win 53% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+3.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.0%
70% win 41% vol
May
20yr
🌫️
+2.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.2%
55% win 37% vol
Jun
20yr
🌫️
+2.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.8%
55% win 34% vol
Jul
20yr
⛅
+6.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.1%
70% win 32% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+6.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.1%
45% win 32% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
+6.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.1%
55% win 35% vol
Oct
20yr
🌫️
+7.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.2%
52% win 41% vol
Now: +1.0%
Nov
20yr
💨
+9.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.1%
60% win 47% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+2.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.3%
65% win 34% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -25.6%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms