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JMP NYSE

JMP Group LLC
1W: -2.3% 1M: +0.1% 3M: +4.8% 1Y: +189.6% 3Y: +50.6% 5Y: +33.7%
$7.50
Last traded 2021-11-15 — delisted
NYSE · Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
48.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 131.5%  ·  5Y Avg: 13.3%
Cost Advantage ★
70
Intangibles
63
Switching Cost
17
Network Effect
44
Scale
55
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. JMP shows a Weak competitive edge (48.9/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 131.5% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 87 Grade A+
Profitability
96
Balance Sheet
71
Earnings Quality
45
Growth
81
Value
79
Momentum
100
Safety
100
Cash Flow
100
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. JMP scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Earnings Quality (45/100). An overall grade of A+ places JMP among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
11.00
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.09
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.10
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA+
Score: 91.1/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.27x
Accruals: -19.9%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. JMP scores 11.00, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. JMP scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. JMP's score of -2.09 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. JMP's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. JMP receives an estimated rating of AA+ (score: 91.1/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). JMP's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-31.25x
PEG
-0.01x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
2.34x
P/FCF
1.98x
P/OCF
1.98x
EV/EBITDA
1.80x
EV/Revenue
0.47x
EV/EBIT
5.45x
EV/FCF
1.21x
Earnings Yield
22.34%
FCF Yield
50.57%
Shareholder Yield
0.01%
Graham Number
$12.65
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. JMP currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful. An earnings yield of 22.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $12.65 per share, suggesting a potential 69% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.748
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
2.661
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.086
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.921
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.129
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
49.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. JMP's ROE of 49.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.13x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$14.18
Price/Value
0.53x
Margin of Safety
47.34%
Premium
-47.34%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with JMP's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. JMP trades at a -47% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $14.18, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of -31.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$7.50
Median 1Y
$7.08
5th Pctile
$3.65
95th Pctile
$13.92
Ann. Volatility
38.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
ROE 2.4% -3.1% -10.5% -12.3% -14.7% -11.0% -5.1% -3.6% -2.4% 3.5% 4.9% -0.4% -9.0% -33.8% -32.1% -32.1% -7.5% 13.7% 16.8% 49.1% 49.15%
ROA 0.2% -0.3% -1.1% -1.2% -1.4% -1.2% -0.4% -0.3% -0.2% 0.5% 0.5% -0.0% -0.8% -11.4% -9.5% -9.0% -2.0% 6.4% 6.5% 15.7% 15.71%
ROIC 8.7% 14.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 24.6% 55.6% 12.9% 1.3% -12.1% -16.0% -16.5% -2.7% 11.7% 18.8% 1.3% 1.31%
ROCE 16.9% 13.2% 8.9% 8.8% 8.8% 7.2% 8.9% 25.6% 26.1% 34.6% 27.5% 16.2% 2.1% -6.6% -4.3% -2.0% 6.9% -2.7% 27.8% 7.9% 7.89%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin 15.1% 9.2% -3.3% 27.4% 30.4% 12.6% 32.5% 42.9% 48.7% 44.4% 1.1% -15.7% -24.2% -4.8% 10.3% -5.9% 28.2% 8.3% 10.6% 38.3% 38.32%
Net Margin 2.2% -19.2% -28.7% -3.9% -4.3% -0.9% -4.4% 0.8% -0.6% 19.2% -4.1% -19.1% -27.8% -3.0% 3.8% -12.3% 17.3% 3.0% 7.8% 29.8% 29.85%
EBITDA Margin 16.0% 10.3% -2.2% 28.3% 31.2% 13.4% 33.0% 44.6% 50.0% 51.5% -4.0% -11.9% -22.5% -4.3% 11.2% -5.6% 29.0% 8.9% 14.0% 39.8% 39.84%
FCF Margin 6.3% -12.1% -9.1% -8.7% 0.1% 13.0% 7.1% 15.2% 15.2% -0.0% 3.5% -16.2% -20.6% 0.3% -8.5% 4.7% 24.2% 20.9% 34.3% 38.6% 38.59%
OCF Margin 6.7% -11.7% -8.8% -8.4% 0.4% 13.3% 7.7% 15.9% 16.0% 1.2% 4.8% -14.7% -19.2% 1.6% -7.5% 5.1% 24.6% 21.0% 34.4% 38.6% 38.64%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.44%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -3.23%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.76%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 33.55%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 26.77%
Cash ROA snapshot only 33.66%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 2.78%
CROIC snapshot only 2.78%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 18.27%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 22.79%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 71.70%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.09%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
P/E Ratio 45.27 -36.20 -10.00 -8.82 -7.64 -9.58 -23.70 -34.39 -38.03 25.39 20.15 -215.20 -9.57 -2.01 -2.60 -2.46 -16.35 15.19 12.12 4.48 -31.250
P/S Ratio 0.99 1.09 0.98 0.99 1.03 0.89 0.83 0.82 0.59 0.59 0.68 0.62 0.64 0.62 0.71 0.61 0.70 0.86 0.80 0.76 0.000
P/B Ratio 1.11 1.15 1.13 1.20 1.26 1.17 1.30 1.33 0.99 0.93 1.08 0.92 1.02 0.91 0.98 0.92 1.22 1.85 1.83 1.75 2.337
P/FCF 15.80 -9.04 -10.86 -11.44 831.02 6.81 11.83 5.39 3.87 -2869.96 19.27 -3.82 -3.09 206.51 -8.31 13.07 2.87 4.14 2.34 1.98 1.977
P/OCF 14.92 — — — 249.14 6.64 10.91 5.15 3.67 48.67 14.28 — — 37.68 — 11.86 2.84 4.12 2.34 1.98 1.975
EV/EBITDA 29.82 5.73 52.93 52.43 44.79 45.40 30.65 28.20 24.62 2.52 3.54 5.49 38.41 -6.90 -5.76 -5.31 515.73 8.13 5.68 1.80 1.803
EV/Revenue 7.23 1.18 7.15 7.14 7.89 8.19 8.34 8.79 8.72 1.10 1.29 1.33 1.88 2.33 1.57 1.31 0.89 1.15 0.83 0.47 0.467
EV/EBIT 27.09 5.20 49.45 49.41 42.05 46.83 30.76 28.45 24.88 2.55 3.53 5.71 60.17 -20.21 -20.51 -26.09 6.05 8.51 8.17 5.45 5.450
EV/FCF 115.05 -9.77 -78.91 -82.33 6358.47 62.95 118.18 57.84 57.29 -5369.60 36.57 -8.22 -9.12 777.65 -18.52 28.07 3.67 5.50 2.42 1.21 1.209
Earnings Yield 2.2% -2.8% -10.0% -11.3% -13.1% -10.4% -4.2% -2.9% -2.6% 3.9% 5.0% -0.5% -10.5% -49.8% -38.5% -40.6% -6.1% 6.6% 8.3% 22.3% 22.34%
FCF Yield 6.3% -11.1% -9.2% -8.7% 0.1% 14.7% 8.5% 18.6% 25.8% -0.0% 5.2% -26.2% -32.4% 0.5% -12.0% 7.7% 34.8% 24.2% 42.7% 50.6% 50.57%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.753
EV/OCF snapshot only 1.208
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 0.467
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 1.921
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.01%
Graham Number snapshot only $12.65
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
Current Ratio 0.12 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 2.61 1.75 1.67 1.43 1.67 0.87 10.59 14.77 0.86 1.41 11.55 11.550
Quick Ratio 0.12 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 2.61 1.75 1.67 1.43 1.67 0.87 10.59 14.77 0.86 1.41 11.55 11.550
Debt/Equity 7.69 0.80 7.96 8.31 9.27 10.17 12.30 13.79 14.56 1.29 1.67 1.73 2.79 3.26 2.04 2.11 1.79 1.52 1.30 0.61 0.614
Net Debt/Equity 6.97 0.09 7.11 7.44 8.38 9.65 11.73 12.95 13.72 0.81 0.97 1.06 1.98 2.51 1.20 1.06 0.34 0.61 0.06 -0.68 -0.681
Debt/Assets 0.82 0.10 0.83 0.81 0.83 0.86 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.50 0.53 0.53 0.75 0.89 0.55 0.53 0.47 1.59 0.76 0.23 0.233
Debt/EBITDA 28.37 3.72 51.12 50.41 43.07 42.63 28.92 27.23 24.38 1.88 2.88 4.79 35.70 -6.57 -5.40 -5.66 592.91 5.04 3.89 1.03 1.032
Net Debt/EBITDA 25.72 0.43 45.64 45.14 38.94 40.48 27.58 25.57 22.96 1.18 1.67 2.94 25.40 -5.07 -3.18 -2.84 111.62 2.01 0.18 -1.14 -1.144
Interest Coverage 1.09 0.83 0.53 0.53 0.66 0.61 0.96 0.99 1.00 1.16 1.07 0.86 0.19 -1.17 -0.82 -0.58 2.32 2.86 2.50 3.05 3.049
Equity Multiplier 9.43 7.72 9.60 10.24 11.18 11.79 14.11 15.72 16.62 2.56 3.13 3.25 3.73 3.66 3.69 3.96 3.84 0.96 1.71 2.64 2.636
Cash Ratio snapshot only 9.086
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 9.218
Cash to Debt snapshot only 2.109
FCF to Debt snapshot only 1.444
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
Asset Turnover 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.21 0.16 0.13 0.12 0.37 0.35 0.36 0.47 1.13 0.98 0.92 0.921
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 6.09 5.48 5.55 4.61 8.28 9.93 6.90 5.54 12.91 16.54 8.98 9.94 10.23 12.55 7.80 6.17 7.90 9.47 6.42 8.26 8.258
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 —
DSO 60 67 66 79 44 37 53 66 28 22 41 37 36 29 47 59 46 39 57 44 44.2 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DPO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 13.098
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.774
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.148
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
Revenue -4.0% -12.7% -5.8% -5.8% -11.8% 3.2% 15.4% 15.6% 20.1% 11.1% -13.6% -24.1% -30.4% -44.8% -35.1% -23.9% 12.2% 88.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.56%
Net Income 15.1% -2.0% -3.4% -14.9% -6.4% -2.2% 58.7% 75.5% 86.2% 1.3% 1.8% 90.8% -2.0% -8.4% -6.2% -64.4% 28.3% 1.3% 1.5% 2.8% 2.76%
EPS 14.9% -2.1% -3.3% -15.2% -6.4% -2.1% 58.5% 75.8% 86.0% 1.3% 1.9% 89.7% -2.3% -9.1% -6.5% -63.4% 30.2% 1.3% 1.5% 2.6% 2.63%
FCF 2.3% -1.5% -1.4% -1.9% -98.3% 2.1% 1.9% 3.0% 146.2% -1.0% -56.8% -1.8% -1.9% 9.1% -2.6% 1.2% 2.3% 130.6% 9.3% 20.2% 20.18%
EBITDA 4.6% -13.1% -37.0% -44.2% -35.9% -9.9% 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 1.7% 15.9% -40.9% -90.4% -1.4% -1.5% -1.8% -96.1% 1.8% 2.1% 3.7% 3.69%
Op. Income 4.4% -13.5% -38.5% -45.9% -37.0% -10.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.5% 1.7% 15.0% -43.1% -93.6% -1.5% -1.6% -2.0% -1.9% 1.7% 1.8% 3.2% 3.19%
OCF Growth snapshot only 18.25%
Asset Growth snapshot only 12.20%
Equity Growth snapshot only 68.51%
Debt Growth snapshot only -50.97%
Shares Change snapshot only 8.52%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -98.14%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
Revenue 3Y -3.5% -9.6% -13.9% -13.3% -13.2% -12.2% -5.6% -3.9% 0.6% 0.0% -2.0% -6.2% -9.7% -14.1% -13.5% -12.6% -2.1% 5.0% 5.0% 13.9% 13.94%
Revenue 5Y 3.3% 3.3% 4.1% 4.2% 3.4% 6.3% 8.1% 5.0% -1.0% -3.3% -8.7% -10.6% -11.4% -16.1% -14.0% -12.5% -4.5% 0.8% 4.7% 10.0% 10.00%
EPS 3Y -5.3% — — — — — — — — -2.5% — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — -17.9% -19.9% — — — — — — 19.8% — 1.1% 1.06%
Net Income 3Y -6.9% — — — — — — — — -3.2% — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — -19.5% -22.0% — — — — — — 18.5% — 1.0% 1.05%
EBITDA 3Y -5.7% -15.1% -28.0% -27.0% -23.2% -22.3% -7.0% 1.0% 17.4% 27.9% 19.2% -4.5% -47.0% — — — -79.1% -3.2% -14.6% 7.1% 7.12%
EBITDA 5Y 0.0% -2.4% -7.3% -8.0% -14.4% -12.6% -3.3% -1.1% 5.3% 8.1% 0.1% -9.4% -36.2% — — — -63.9% -6.6% -1.9% 12.6% 12.64%
Gross Profit 3Y -3.5% -9.6% -13.9% -13.3% -13.2% -12.2% -5.6% -3.9% 0.6% 0.0% -2.0% -6.2% -9.7% -14.1% -13.5% -12.6% -2.1% 5.0% 5.0% 13.9% 13.94%
Gross Profit 5Y 3.3% 3.3% 4.1% 4.2% 3.4% 6.3% 8.1% 5.0% -1.0% -3.3% -8.7% -10.6% -11.4% -16.1% -14.0% -12.5% -4.5% 0.8% 4.7% 10.0% 10.00%
Op. Income 3Y -6.2% -15.8% -29.3% -28.3% -24.1% -23.2% -7.2% 0.8% 17.7% 27.6% 20.1% -5.2% -53.7% — — — — -3.1% -16.7% 6.0% 5.95%
Op. Income 5Y -0.3% -2.9% -8.1% -8.8% -15.1% -13.2% -3.4% -1.3% 5.2% 7.4% -0.1% -10.3% -41.4% — — — — -6.7% -2.8% 12.2% 12.22%
FCF 3Y -35.8% — — — -69.9% — — — — — -48.0% — — — — — 4.7% 23.0% 77.9% 55.5% 55.47%
FCF 5Y -10.5% — — — -52.4% — -16.8% -4.2% -7.5% — — — — — — — — 1.2% 12.8% 45.9% 45.92%
OCF 3Y -34.8% — — — -57.7% — — 1.0% — -62.3% -43.8% — — — — — 2.8% 22.1% 73.3% 53.2% 53.15%
OCF 5Y -11.3% — — — -41.7% — -16.2% -3.5% -6.7% -44.3% — — — — — 8.8% — -0.5% 11.5% 45.0% 44.96%
Assets 3Y 3.6% -6.0% -4.3% -8.6% -7.5% -6.3% -2.5% 1.2% 2.9% -43.6% -41.9% -41.5% -41.1% -40.1% -40.8% -40.9% -39.2% -61.3% -54.1% -44.0% -44.01%
Assets 5Y 12.2% 7.1% 9.6% 10.3% 10.6% 10.0% 4.7% 6.6% 6.6% -26.9% -27.0% -29.6% -29.9% -32.4% -31.2% -30.5% -28.3% -44.6% -36.9% -27.2% -27.16%
Equity 3Y -1.9% -4.3% -8.0% -9.7% -10.1% -10.5% -13.3% -12.9% -12.5% -11.0% -14.4% -16.1% -19.8% -23.3% -18.6% -18.8% -13.2% -10.5% -7.4% 1.5% 1.53%
Book Value 3Y -0.2% -1.4% -5.1% -6.6% -8.1% -11.2% -11.5% -13.6% -12.5% -10.4% -14.0% -12.6% -16.9% -20.7% -16.1% -16.3% -10.8% -9.1% -6.7% 2.2% 2.22%
Dividend 3Y -4.7% -9.1% -6.1% -0.9% -0.3% -0.0% 1.7% -1.3% 0.5% -3.6% -9.1% -12.4% -20.7% -26.8% -32.7% -41.7% -82.6% -80.6% -77.9% -72.6% -72.56%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
Revenue Stability 0.10 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.16 0.10 0.29 0.49 0.63 0.72 0.74 0.72 0.77 0.80 0.44 0.06 0.00 0.08 0.078
Earnings Stability 0.08 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.37 0.52 0.44 0.58 0.40 0.43 0.33 0.41 0.46 0.57 0.38 0.45 0.09 0.01 0.05 0.19 0.187
Margin Stability 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.89 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend -0.03 -0.07 -0.14 -0.16 -0.18 -0.12 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.11 0.14 0.08 -0.01 -0.41 -0.38 -0.35 -0.01 0.33 0.31 0.58 0.581
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Margin Trend 0.07 -0.18 -0.17 -0.13 -0.01 0.09 -0.00 0.15 0.12 -0.00 0.05 -0.19 -0.28 -0.06 -0.14 0.05 0.27 0.21 0.37 0.44 0.444
Sustainable Growth Rate -4.4% — — — — — — — — -4.2% -2.2% — — — — — — 13.7% 16.8% 49.1% 49.13%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.9% 6.9% 18.6% 18.62%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
OCF/Net Income 3.03 3.88 0.89 0.74 -0.03 -1.44 -2.17 -6.68 -10.36 0.52 1.41 51.09 2.88 -0.05 0.28 -0.21 -5.76 3.68 5.18 2.27 2.266
FCF/OCF 0.94 1.03 1.03 1.04 0.30 0.97 0.92 0.95 0.95 -0.02 0.74 1.10 1.07 0.18 1.13 0.91 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.999
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.264
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.492
CapEx/Revenue 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.04%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.142
Accruals Ratio -0.00 0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.00 -0.00 0.02 0.02 -0.12 -0.07 -0.11 -0.13 -0.17 -0.27 -0.20 -0.199
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.299
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 739.083
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
Dividend Yield 6.3% 5.9% 6.7% 6.6% 6.4% 7.2% 6.8% 6.8% 9.5% 8.6% 7.1% 7.0% 5.6% 5.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.39 $0.36 $0.37 $0.37 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.37 $0.32 $0.28 $0.24 $0.18 $0.13 $0.08 $0.04 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 2.9% — — — — — — — — 2.2% 1.4% — — — — — — 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.05%
FCF Payout Ratio 99.7% — — — 53.2% 48.9% 80.2% 36.6% 36.6% — 1.4% — — 10.8% — 22.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.02%
Total Payout Ratio 5.0% — — — — — — — — 3.1% 4.0% — — — — — — 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.05%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.12 -0.26 -0.18 -0.06 -0.01 0.09 0.06 0.05 0.11 -0.03 -0.19 -0.34 -0.50 -0.59 -0.69 -0.80 -0.99 -0.99 -0.99 -0.98 -0.980
Buyback Yield 4.8% 2.8% 2.3% 3.1% 1.7% 2.9% 2.8% 2.4% 3.9% 3.6% 12.7% 14.4% 13.7% 17.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 4.8% 2.8% 2.3% 3.1% 1.7% 2.9% 2.8% 2.4% 3.9% 3.6% 12.7% 14.4% 13.7% 17.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 11.1% 8.7% 9.0% 9.7% 8.1% 10.0% 9.6% 9.2% 13.4% 12.2% 19.8% 21.4% 19.4% 22.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.01%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.04 0.64 0.78 0.88 1.37 0.83 2.99 5.16 39.05 0.38 1.39 0.08 0.49 0.70 0.69 0.71 0.58 0.65 0.66 0.75 0.748
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.08 -0.21 -0.87 -0.88 -0.53 -0.64 -0.04 -0.01 -0.00 0.14 0.07 -0.16 -4.35 3.83 5.12 6.96 -0.50 0.65 0.99 2.66 2.661
EBIT Margin 0.27 0.23 0.14 0.14 0.19 0.17 0.27 0.31 0.35 0.43 0.37 0.23 0.03 -0.12 -0.08 -0.05 0.15 0.14 0.10 0.09 0.086
Asset Turnover 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.21 0.16 0.13 0.12 0.37 0.35 0.36 0.47 1.13 0.98 0.92 0.921
Equity Multiplier 9.83 8.92 9.82 9.88 10.21 9.55 11.67 12.77 13.71 7.35 9.06 10.07 11.15 2.97 3.37 3.55 3.79 2.13 2.59 3.13 3.129
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.14 $-0.17 $-0.55 $-0.64 $-0.73 $-0.53 $-0.23 $-0.15 $-0.10 $0.15 $0.19 $-0.02 $-0.34 $-1.20 $-1.07 $-1.03 $-0.24 $0.39 $0.51 $1.67 $1.67
Book Value/Share $5.53 $5.29 $4.81 $4.68 $4.45 $4.31 $4.12 $3.99 $3.93 $4.04 $3.63 $3.72 $3.18 $2.64 $2.85 $2.74 $3.16 $3.24 $3.35 $4.26 $3.21
Tangible Book/Share $5.53 $5.29 $4.81 $4.68 $4.45 $4.31 $4.12 $3.99 $3.93 $4.04 $3.63 $3.72 $3.18 $2.64 $2.85 $2.74 $3.16 $3.24 $3.35 $4.26 $4.26
Revenue/Share $6.19 $5.55 $5.55 $5.66 $5.43 $5.70 $6.43 $6.48 $6.63 $6.40 $5.77 $5.54 $5.06 $3.88 $3.94 $4.15 $5.53 $6.92 $7.62 $9.79 $5.54
FCF/Share $0.39 $-0.67 $-0.50 $-0.49 $0.01 $0.74 $0.45 $0.99 $1.01 $-0.00 $0.20 $-0.90 $-1.05 $0.01 $-0.33 $0.19 $1.34 $1.44 $2.62 $3.78 $1.36
OCF/Share $0.41 $-0.65 $-0.49 $-0.47 $0.02 $0.76 $0.49 $1.03 $1.06 $0.08 $0.27 $-0.81 $-0.97 $0.06 $-0.30 $0.21 $1.36 $1.45 $2.62 $3.78 $1.38
Cash/Share $3.96 $3.76 $4.10 $4.06 $3.95 $2.21 $2.34 $3.36 $3.33 $1.96 $2.55 $2.48 $2.56 $1.97 $2.39 $2.89 $4.59 $2.96 $4.13 $5.52 $4.66
EBITDA/Share $1.50 $1.15 $0.75 $0.77 $0.96 $1.03 $1.75 $2.02 $2.35 $2.78 $2.10 $1.34 $0.25 $-1.31 $-1.07 $-1.02 $0.01 $0.98 $1.12 $2.53 $2.53
Debt/Share $42.54 $4.26 $38.30 $38.88 $41.20 $43.84 $50.63 $55.03 $57.17 $5.22 $6.07 $6.44 $8.86 $8.61 $5.81 $5.79 $5.65 $4.93 $4.34 $2.62 $2.62
Net Debt/Share $38.57 $0.50 $34.20 $34.81 $37.25 $41.63 $48.29 $51.67 $53.84 $3.27 $3.52 $3.95 $6.31 $6.64 $3.42 $2.90 $1.06 $1.97 $0.20 $-2.90 $-2.90
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 11.004
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 4.948
Piotroski F-Score 5 4 3 3 3 2 5 3 5 7 8 5 4 3 2 4 6 5 6 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.89 -3.21 -2.76 -1.45 -2.73 -2.65 -2.25 -3.02 -2.56 -4.51 -5.00 -4.42 -4.40 1.13 -1.62 -1.64 -1.99 1.67 -3.54 -2.09 -2.092
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.104
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 11.72%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.04
EVA snapshot only $35206943.13
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA+
Credit Score 23.34 22.41 14.41 12.33 13.55 13.39 12.20 12.14 12.76 61.77 57.95 37.67 31.79 20.50 14.58 23.32 40.52 72.39 87.53 91.10 91.101
Credit Grade snapshot only 2
Credit Trend snapshot only 67.777
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 65.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 85
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 88

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