— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: JRNGF (OTC) · $vol 0M

JOY.TO TSX

Journey Energy Inc.
1W: -4.2% 1M: -15.6% 3M: +22.4% YTD: +45.5% 1Y: +96.1% 3Y: -8.6% 5Y: +301.6%
C$4.99 ($3.50)
-0.01 (-0.20%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.3%
C$4 C$5 C$5 C$5 C$6
TSX · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Tech Score Sell · Power 35 · C$336.7M mcap · 60M float · 0.686% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. JOY.TO receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROA (5/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 A- B+
2026-08-12 B A-
2026-07-25 B+ B
2026-07-02 B B+
2026-05-20 B+ B
2026-05-19 B B+
2026-05-11 A B
2026-05-08 A- A
2026-05-06 A A-
2026-05-04 A- A

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 46 Grade A+
Profitability
67
Balance Sheet
60
Earnings Quality
76
Growth
51
Value
69
Momentum
81
Safety
15
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. JOY.TO scores highest in Momentum (81/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). An overall grade of A+ places JOY.TO among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.89
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.82
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 43.1/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.22x
Accruals: -5.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. JOY.TO scores 0.89, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. JOY.TO scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. JOY.TO's score of -2.51 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. JOY.TO's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. JOY.TO receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 43.1/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). JOY.TO's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
13.15x
PEG
0.25x
P/S
1.90x
P/B
0.95x
P/FCF
-1381.67x
P/OCF
4.84x
EV/EBITDA
4.71x
EV/Revenue
1.88x
EV/EBIT
13.10x
EV/FCF
-1600.65x
Earnings Yield
9.32%
FCF Yield
-0.07%
Shareholder Yield
0.31%
Graham Number
$6.71
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 13.1x earnings, JOY.TO trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 9.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $6.71 per share, suggesting a potential 35% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.939
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.123
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.143
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.301
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.666
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
7.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. JOY.TO's ROE of 7.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.301), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.94 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$14.68
Price/Value
0.28x
Margin of Safety
72.14%
Premium
-72.14%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with JOY.TO's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. JOY.TO trades at a -72% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $14.68, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 13.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$5.02
Median 1Y
$2.50
5th Pctile
$0.29
95th Pctile
$21.54
Ann. Volatility
126.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 10.9% 3.1% 2.4% 2.1% 51.1% 84.1% 71.0% 51.9% 45.7% 5.3% 4.0% 3.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 4.9% 6.0% 7.6% 3.6% 7.6% 7.56%
ROA 40.4% 30.7% 35.9% 42.9% 16.9% 31.2% 30.2% 23.6% 22.0% 2.5% 2.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 2.7% 3.4% 4.5% 2.1% 4.5% 4.54%
ROIC 14.9% 21.3% 27.3% 36.0% 35.8% 48.9% 47.4% 42.9% 37.0% 5.6% 4.3% 4.2% 3.2% 1.9% 2.3% 3.4% 4.1% 5.6% 3.0% 7.0% 6.99%
ROCE 48.9% 35.8% 39.6% 43.6% 19.2% 13.7% 12.1% 7.9% 7.3% 5.9% 4.7% 4.6% 2.9% 2.9% 3.8% 5.4% 6.3% 6.0% 2.7% 4.8% 4.79%
Gross Margin 71.1% 60.3% 72.2% 70.8% 70.0% 61.0% 67.6% 60.5% 64.3% 20.8% 22.4% 35.8% 15.9% 61.0% 63.3% 61.4% 61.2% 20.9% -5.5% 55.8% 55.76%
Operating Margin 32.9% 19.1% 34.2% 36.2% 32.3% 18.0% 20.0% 0.1% 11.5% 14.7% 15.7% -1.2% 7.6% 0.6% 16.1% 9.4% 12.1% 10.8% -18.6% 50.6% 50.63%
Net Margin 2.8% 14.0% 30.0% 40.1% 28.5% 1.4% 11.0% -3.2% 12.9% 7.5% 7.4% -5.6% 1.5% 7.4% 14.4% 8.7% 8.3% 23.2% -18.6% 36.4% 36.41%
EBITDA Margin 3.0% 42.0% 46.6% 46.9% 43.5% 37.8% 34.0% 22.5% 39.2% 39.5% 40.5% 24.9% 35.3% 35.2% 41.7% 39.1% 37.4% 39.7% 16.6% 57.0% 56.98%
FCF Margin 24.6% 29.2% 28.7% 22.7% 25.4% 1.9% -0.6% -5.5% -12.1% 9.2% 5.0% 8.4% 5.4% -4.1% -0.1% -9.8% -7.5% -2.9% -5.4% -0.1% -0.12%
OCF Margin 26.8% 33.0% 40.0% 39.8% 46.3% 44.8% 38.4% 35.0% 25.2% 30.3% 30.8% 30.9% 31.2% 20.3% 22.3% 23.2% 25.0% 25.7% 29.4% 33.5% 33.46%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.24%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 29.66%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.09%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.61%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 6.99%
Cash ROA snapshot only 10.06%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 14.32%
CROIC snapshot only -0.05%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 16.33%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 16.08%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.84%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.82%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 0.61 1.53 3.23 2.03 4.45 2.04 2.60 2.83 3.31 16.34 17.59 15.55 33.22 24.20 12.62 7.98 11.20 8.27 29.79 10.73 13.149
P/S Ratio 0.74 1.22 2.46 1.50 1.34 1.33 1.53 1.41 1.51 1.18 1.08 0.98 0.95 0.71 0.66 0.67 1.10 1.10 2.12 1.62 1.897
P/B Ratio 0.98 1.79 3.30 1.91 1.67 1.11 1.25 1.09 1.16 0.82 0.69 0.59 0.51 0.38 0.36 0.38 0.64 0.60 1.05 0.78 0.950
P/FCF 3.00 4.18 8.56 6.62 5.26 69.32 -259.08 -25.66 -12.50 12.76 21.46 11.63 17.81 -17.50 -1278.56 -6.86 -14.65 -37.57 -39.62 -1381.67 -1381.673
P/OCF 2.75 3.69 6.15 3.77 2.88 2.96 3.99 4.04 6.01 3.88 3.52 3.18 3.06 3.49 2.94 2.90 4.39 4.26 7.21 4.84 4.839
EV/EBITDA 0.85 1.47 2.60 1.79 3.24 3.82 4.37 4.89 5.17 4.10 3.73 3.33 3.49 2.85 2.52 2.27 3.37 3.42 6.99 4.71 4.708
EV/Revenue 1.33 1.62 2.65 1.62 1.46 1.66 1.78 1.69 1.74 1.38 1.31 1.22 1.23 0.97 0.88 0.86 1.29 1.35 2.42 1.88 1.876
EV/EBIT 0.99 1.81 3.18 2.12 4.62 5.63 6.76 9.81 11.85 10.14 10.76 9.62 14.25 11.39 8.04 5.83 8.00 8.38 30.42 13.10 13.101
EV/FCF 5.40 5.56 9.22 7.15 5.75 86.64 -300.69 -30.71 -14.40 14.97 25.88 14.42 22.94 -24.03 -1710.13 -8.83 -17.26 -46.20 -45.22 -1600.65 -1600.649
Earnings Yield 1.6% 65.6% 30.9% 49.4% 22.5% 49.1% 38.5% 35.4% 30.2% 6.1% 5.7% 6.4% 3.0% 4.1% 7.9% 12.5% 8.9% 12.1% 3.4% 9.3% 9.32%
FCF Yield 33.3% 23.9% 11.7% 15.1% 19.0% 1.4% -0.4% -3.9% -8.0% 7.8% 4.7% 8.6% 5.6% -5.7% -0.1% -14.6% -6.8% -2.7% -2.5% -0.1% -0.07%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.253
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.778
EV/OCF snapshot only 5.606
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.898
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 10.783
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.31%
Graham Number snapshot only $6.71
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.52 0.77 1.13 1.27 1.00 0.49 0.72 0.44 0.51 0.44 0.67 0.68 0.65 0.57 0.64 0.54 0.58 0.65 0.52 0.58 0.578
Quick Ratio 0.52 0.77 1.13 1.27 1.00 0.49 0.72 0.44 0.51 0.44 0.67 0.68 0.65 0.57 0.64 0.54 0.58 0.65 0.52 0.58 0.578
Debt/Equity 0.88 0.77 0.60 0.44 0.40 0.39 0.26 0.25 0.22 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.17 0.14 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.12 0.123
Net Debt/Equity 0.78 0.59 0.25 0.15 0.15 0.28 0.20 0.21 0.18 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.12 0.123
Debt/Assets 0.21 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.077
Debt/EBITDA 0.42 0.48 0.44 0.39 0.71 1.07 0.80 0.93 0.86 0.84 0.93 0.92 1.01 0.91 0.74 0.51 0.51 0.66 0.87 0.64 0.644
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.38 0.36 0.18 0.13 0.28 0.76 0.61 0.80 0.68 0.60 0.64 0.64 0.78 0.78 0.64 0.51 0.51 0.64 0.87 0.64 0.644
Interest Coverage — — — — 34.12 14.71 8.50 4.05 4.30 3.97 5.33 5.38 2.33 2.43 2.61 3.65 4.19 3.93 1.68 4.14 4.138
Equity Multiplier 4.22 4.24 3.32 2.62 2.46 2.25 2.01 1.99 1.87 1.93 1.90 1.87 1.84 1.79 1.74 1.74 1.68 1.62 1.68 1.60 1.600
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.000
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 11.516
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.000
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.005
Defensive Interval snapshot only 227.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.33 0.38 0.47 0.58 0.56 0.48 0.51 0.47 0.48 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.29 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.35 0.34 0.30 0.30 0.301
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 9.24 8.41 9.16 9.67 11.18 9.54 9.53 8.47 8.66 8.08 7.04 7.49 6.51 7.00 7.78 8.97 10.57 7.81 7.04 8.27 8.270
Payables Turnover 2.08 2.28 2.38 2.61 2.43 2.30 2.31 2.27 2.22 2.13 2.60 2.88 3.53 2.59 2.48 2.22 2.44 2.52 2.76 2.55 2.553
DSO 39 43 40 38 33 38 38 43 42 45 52 49 56 52 47 41 35 47 52 44 44.1 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 175 160 153 140 150 159 158 161 164 171 140 127 104 141 147 164 149 145 132 143 143.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -136 -116 -113 -102 -118 -120 -119 -118 -122 -126 -89 -78 -47 -89 -100 -124 -115 -98 -80 -99 -98.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.369
Cash Velocity snapshot only 44367.750
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.328
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 37.7% 82.4% 99.8% 1.1% 1.0% 92.1% 71.4% 24.9% 14.8% -7.6% -18.1% -18.8% -28.5% -20.1% -9.7% -0.7% 17.6% 11.3% -6.4% -6.7% -6.65%
Net Income 2.3% 2.8% 9.6% 4.4% -50.0% 56.6% 33.0% -15.6% 74.8% -89.8% -91.5% -89.8% -95.5% -67.5% -23.8% 32.7% 3.0% 4.0% 28.3% 67.3% 67.25%
EPS 2.1% 2.5% 8.1% 3.0% -56.8% 51.5% 16.3% -16.9% 55.2% -91.2% -91.8% -89.8% -95.5% -66.9% -24.3% 21.0% 2.9% 3.9% 27.6% 60.2% 60.16%
FCF 4.3% 7.0% 3.1% 1.4% 1.1% -87.4% -1.0% -1.3% -1.5% 3.4% 8.0% 2.2% 1.3% -1.4% -1.0% -2.2% -2.6% 19.7% -96.7% 98.9% 98.88%
EBITDA 4.8% 23.6% 1.8% 1.6% -41.9% -24.3% -31.4% -52.4% -14.1% -28.6% -29.5% -14.4% -25.2% -19.0% -10.3% 3.6% 28.2% 28.9% -6.9% -2.2% -2.20%
Op. Income 1.7% 2.0% 6.0% 10.6% 2.2% 1.5% 79.5% -30.5% -53.6% -64.2% -69.3% -51.8% -47.3% -61.6% -44.2% -18.1% 21.8% 1.5% -17.0% 88.7% 88.71%
OCF Growth snapshot only 34.53%
Asset Growth snapshot only 0.07%
Equity Growth snapshot only 8.69%
Debt Growth snapshot only 23.63%
Shares Change snapshot only 4.43%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -6.0% 2.5% 8.4% 19.6% 27.0% 29.6% 36.3% 41.8% 47.3% 47.9% 41.0% 28.9% 18.4% 12.3% 8.2% 0.2% -1.2% -6.3% -11.5% -9.0% -9.05%
Revenue 5Y 3.8% 7.3% 8.8% 12.4% 14.7% 16.7% 17.4% 15.6% 14.1% 13.8% 12.4% 11.7% 11.0% 10.0% 13.4% 18.1% 21.9% 23.6% 18.8% 14.7% 14.67%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — -4.8% -30.4% -68.8% -64.7% -58.4% -53.3% -35.0% -47.7% -57.1% -41.8% -41.81%
EPS 5Y 22.2% 9.8% 8.1% 8.3% -0.5% — — — — — — — — — — — — — -3.6% -8.1% -8.13%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 6.3% -22.2% -66.0% -62.7% -55.8% -51.4% -31.9% -44.9% -56.3% -39.0% -38.98%
Net Income 5Y 25.6% 14.2% 12.4% 11.9% 2.7% — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.3% 0.9% 0.87%
EBITDA 3Y — 1.1% 97.5% 81.6% 63.8% 56.0% — — — — 10.0% 1.5% -28.0% -24.1% -24.3% -25.0% -6.3% -9.3% -16.2% -4.6% -4.62%
EBITDA 5Y 8.7% 25.4% 21.1% 20.7% 22.3% — — — — 38.8% 30.1% 19.6% 23.0% 17.0% — — — — 2.1% 1.1% 1.14%
Gross Profit 3Y -2.3% 7.2% 13.7% 27.6% 38.5% 39.2% 53.4% 68.7% 79.7% 76.4% 36.3% 11.3% -15.9% -9.2% -4.4% -8.7% -4.7% -13.7% -26.0% -23.6% -23.58%
Gross Profit 5Y 7.3% 10.7% 11.4% 15.9% 18.7% 21.5% 22.1% 18.9% 15.7% 12.7% 6.6% 3.0% -5.6% 0.4% 12.8% 25.6% 36.6% 36.4% 13.6% 5.2% 5.18%
Op. Income 3Y 76.3% — — — — — — — — — — 57.3% -7.9% -30.1% -32.5% -35.0% -33.2% -30.3% -47.8% -9.3% -9.32%
Op. Income 5Y — — 36.1% 42.2% 97.6% — — — 52.0% — — — — — — — — — — 43.2% 43.17%
FCF 3Y — — — — — -12.2% — — — 65.1% 0.1% -3.1% -28.7% — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y 3.2% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y -3.9% 38.5% 68.0% 61.7% 1.0% 56.6% 61.7% 60.7% 43.9% 79.1% 63.0% 40.5% 24.6% -4.5% -10.9% -16.2% -19.5% -22.2% -19.1% -10.4% -10.40%
OCF 5Y 6.6% 18.7% 23.8% 24.0% 24.1% 23.7% 17.8% 17.3% 14.1% 34.0% 38.6% 27.2% 36.3% 5.1% 12.7% 17.3% 20.0% 34.1% 28.5% 22.7% 22.75%
Assets 3Y -6.5% -2.1% -4.1% -1.5% -0.2% 22.8% 30.7% 28.3% 26.3% 28.5% 33.2% 31.6% 21.3% 17.9% 17.3% 14.9% 11.9% -3.4% -1.7% -1.1% -1.11%
Assets 5Y -6.9% -5.9% -5.9% -6.8% -4.9% 8.9% 8.4% 8.3% 7.7% 9.9% 8.3% 8.0% 7.3% 11.2% 16.1% 15.3% 14.6% 14.9% 17.9% 17.6% 17.59%
Equity 3Y 3.4% 14.8% 27.6% 53.8% 61.4% 1.1% — — — — — — 60.1% 57.1% 45.3% 31.8% 27.2% 7.6% 4.5% 6.4% 6.44%
Book Value 3Y -5.1% 1.9% 13.3% 33.5% 40.5% 87.9% — — — — — — 46.8% 48.8% 36.8% 26.8% 21.4% 2.3% 2.7% 1.5% 1.50%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.00 0.05 0.11 0.23 0.31 0.35 0.43 0.53 0.52 0.55 0.55 0.59 0.51 0.45 0.49 0.51 0.43 0.35 0.23 0.28 0.278
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.10 0.13 0.15 0.17 0.83 0.88 0.84 0.74 0.38 0.39 0.34 0.23 0.09 0.12 0.10 0.03 0.00 0.14 0.20 0.197
Margin Stability 0.78 0.77 0.86 0.80 0.76 0.74 0.83 0.79 0.77 0.75 0.82 0.79 0.66 0.76 0.79 0.72 0.61 0.69 0.78 0.76 0.761
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.87 0.94 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.87 0.50 0.50 0.89 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.56 0.72 0.83 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.72 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.50 0.497
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — -0.64 -0.81 -0.71 -0.63 -0.35 -0.28 -0.23 -0.16 -0.13 0.04 0.00 0.03 0.030
Gross Margin Trend 0.22 0.22 0.19 0.20 0.18 0.19 0.09 0.01 -0.04 -0.12 -0.22 -0.29 -0.42 -0.27 -0.10 0.01 0.18 0.08 -0.06 -0.07 -0.067
FCF Margin Trend 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.10 0.10 -0.16 -0.22 -0.27 -0.37 -0.06 -0.09 -0.00 -0.01 -0.10 -0.02 -0.11 -0.04 -0.06 -0.08 0.01 0.006
Sustainable Growth Rate 10.9% 3.1% 2.4% 2.1% 51.1% 84.1% 71.0% 51.9% 45.7% 5.3% 4.0% 3.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 4.9% 6.0% 7.6% 3.6% 7.6% 7.56%
Internal Growth Rate 67.7% 44.4% 56.0% 75.1% 20.3% 45.2% 43.2% 30.9% 28.2% 2.6% 2.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 2.8% 3.5% 4.7% 2.2% 4.8% 4.75%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.22 0.41 0.53 0.54 1.54 0.69 0.65 0.70 0.55 4.21 5.00 4.90 10.85 6.92 4.29 2.76 2.55 1.94 4.13 2.22 2.217
FCF/OCF 0.92 0.88 0.72 0.57 0.55 0.04 -0.02 -0.16 -0.48 0.30 0.16 0.27 0.17 -0.20 -0.00 -0.42 -0.30 -0.11 -0.18 -0.00 -0.004
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.008
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.840
CapEx/Revenue 2.2% 3.8% 11.3% 17.1% 20.9% 42.9% 39.0% 40.5% 37.3% 21.1% 25.7% 22.4% 25.8% 24.3% 22.3% 33.0% 32.5% 28.6% 34.8% 33.6% 33.58%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.315
Accruals Ratio 0.31 0.18 0.17 0.20 -0.09 0.10 0.11 0.07 0.10 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.07 -0.06 -0.055
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.068
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.997
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 15.5% 16.2% 39.1% 11.1% 5.9% 3.6% 2.9% 3.5% 7.3% 3.4% 3.36%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.31%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.1% -3.1% -3.8% -5.1% -4.6% -5.8% -6.7% -5.2% -6.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% -0.2% -9.6% -12.4% -0.1% 0.4% -2.9% -5.1% -5.12%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.1% -3.1% -3.8% -5.1% -4.6% -5.8% -6.7% -5.2% -6.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% -0.2% -9.6% -12.4% -0.1% 0.4% -2.9% -5.1% -5.12%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.04 1.08 2.54 2.65 3.91 4.46 0.79 0.78 0.76 0.73 0.72 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.94 1.26 0.94 0.939
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.90 0.89 0.91 0.94 0.88 0.87 0.85 0.74 0.70 0.67 0.65 0.65 0.46 0.48 0.62 0.73 0.76 0.88 0.71 1.12 1.123
EBIT Margin 1.34 0.89 0.83 0.76 0.32 0.29 0.26 0.17 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.09 0.09 0.11 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.08 0.14 0.143
Asset Turnover 0.33 0.38 0.47 0.58 0.56 0.48 0.51 0.47 0.48 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.29 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.35 0.34 0.30 0.30 0.301
Equity Multiplier 26.90 10.01 6.80 5.00 3.02 2.70 2.35 2.20 2.08 2.08 1.95 1.93 1.86 1.86 1.82 1.80 1.76 1.70 1.71 1.67 1.666
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.45 $1.77 $1.99 $2.33 $1.06 $2.68 $2.31 $1.94 $1.64 $0.24 $0.19 $0.20 $0.07 $0.08 $0.14 $0.24 $0.29 $0.38 $0.18 $0.38 $0.38
Book Value/Share $1.53 $1.50 $1.95 $2.48 $2.82 $4.92 $4.80 $5.03 $4.69 $4.73 $4.83 $5.23 $4.83 $4.96 $4.99 $5.05 $5.04 $5.26 $5.19 $5.25 $5.25
Tangible Book/Share $1.53 $1.50 $1.95 $2.48 $2.82 $4.92 $4.80 $5.03 $4.69 $4.73 $4.83 $5.23 $4.83 $4.96 $4.99 $5.05 $5.04 $5.26 $5.19 $5.25 $5.25
Revenue/Share $2.02 $2.21 $2.61 $3.15 $3.53 $4.11 $3.91 $3.87 $3.60 $3.28 $3.08 $3.12 $2.59 $2.67 $2.76 $2.83 $2.96 $2.90 $2.57 $2.53 $2.53
FCF/Share $0.50 $0.65 $0.75 $0.71 $0.90 $0.08 $-0.02 $-0.21 $-0.44 $0.30 $0.16 $0.26 $0.14 $-0.11 $-0.00 $-0.28 $-0.22 $-0.08 $-0.14 $-0.00 $-0.00
OCF/Share $0.54 $0.73 $1.04 $1.25 $1.63 $1.84 $1.50 $1.36 $0.91 $1.00 $0.95 $0.96 $0.81 $0.54 $0.62 $0.66 $0.74 $0.75 $0.76 $0.85 $0.85
Cash/Share $0.15 $0.27 $0.68 $0.72 $0.69 $0.54 $0.30 $0.16 $0.21 $0.26 $0.31 $0.31 $0.21 $0.12 $0.10 $0.00 $0.00 $0.02 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
EBITDA/Share $3.16 $2.44 $2.65 $2.85 $1.59 $1.79 $1.59 $1.34 $1.21 $1.10 $1.08 $1.14 $0.91 $0.91 $0.96 $1.07 $1.14 $1.14 $0.89 $1.01 $1.01
Debt/Share $1.34 $1.16 $1.17 $1.10 $1.13 $1.91 $1.27 $1.24 $1.04 $0.93 $1.00 $1.04 $0.92 $0.83 $0.71 $0.55 $0.58 $0.75 $0.77 $0.65 $0.65
Net Debt/Share $1.19 $0.89 $0.49 $0.38 $0.44 $1.36 $0.96 $1.08 $0.83 $0.67 $0.69 $0.73 $0.71 $0.70 $0.61 $0.54 $0.58 $0.73 $0.77 $0.65 $0.65
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.886
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.709
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 6 7 6 6 4 3 4 4 4 5 6 7 5 6 7 7 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score -0.53 -0.68 -0.97 -0.38 -2.18 -1.55 -1.50 -1.89 -1.08 -1.96 -1.93 -2.81 -1.80 -3.04 -3.20 -2.99 -3.11 -1.78 -8.76 -2.51 -2.515
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.817
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 5.58%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.66
EVA snapshot only $-12498358.06
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 64.25 67.66 67.06 72.12 67.93 47.84 46.66 39.18 41.55 55.01 49.63 50.86 40.20 39.16 39.68 43.38 44.35 43.39 37.13 43.09 43.091
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.291
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 36
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 36

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