— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 5631.T (JPX) · $vol 43M

JPSWY OTC

The Japan Steel Works, Ltd.
1W: -3.2% 1M: -1.8% 3M: -9.6% YTD: -7.7% 1Y: -22.3% 3Y: +53.6% 5Y: +72.8%
$23.08
-0.29 (-1.26%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±11.8%
$18 $20 $23 $26 $29
OTC · Industrials · Industrial - Machinery · Tech Score Sell · Power 47 · $3.4B mcap · 145M float · 0.0001% daily turnover · Short 72% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. JPSWY receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B B-
2026-09-04 B- B
2026-07-25 C+ B-
2026-07-01 B- C+
2026-05-15 B B-
2026-04-30 B- B
2026-04-27 B B-
2026-04-22 B- B
2026-04-01 B B-
2026-03-02 B- B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade D
Profitability
31
Balance Sheet
88
Earnings Quality
27
Growth
54
Value
—
Momentum
29
Safety
—
Cash Flow
8

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.27
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.83
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 69.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -0.41x
Accruals: 6.6%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. JPSWY scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. JPSWY's score of -2.27 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. JPSWY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. JPSWY receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 69.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). JPSWY's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
25.43x
PEG
2.30x
P/S
1.99x
P/B
2.47x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$2078.53
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 25.4x earnings, JPSWY commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $2078.53 per share, suggesting a potential 8906% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.691
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.981
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.103
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.671
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.041
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
9.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. JPSWY's ROE of 9.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.671), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$5101.15
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with JPSWY's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. JPSWY actually compounded EPS at 48.2% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. JPSWY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $5101.15, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 25.4x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$23.08
Median 1Y
$14.44
5th Pctile
$2.78
95th Pctile
$76.45
Ann. Volatility
104.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE 6.6% 7.2% 7.1% 9.6% 7.9% 6.1% 5.6% 7.8% 9.0% 9.6% 11.2% 8.5% 9.1% 9.0% 10.1% 9.7% 10.0% 11.6% 10.6% 9.6% 9.60%
ROA 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 4.3% 3.5% 2.7% 2.4% 3.5% 4.1% 4.4% 5.0% 4.0% 4.3% 4.3% 4.8% 4.7% 4.9% 5.8% 5.3% 4.7% 4.70%
ROIC 7.9% 8.0% 7.6% 10.9% 8.6% 7.5% 7.0% 7.7% 9.1% 10.1% 11.2% 11.0% 11.4% 10.8% 11.6% 11.1% 11.5% 16.4% 9.3% 8.0% 7.97%
ROCE 7.0% 6.5% 6.0% 7.8% 6.5% 5.9% 5.7% 6.7% 7.7% 8.2% 9.5% 8.7% 9.4% 9.5% 10.6% 9.9% 9.3% 10.9% 9.7% 9.5% 9.52%
Gross Margin 23.9% 23.8% 20.7% 21.7% 19.2% 19.0% 19.9% 23.5% 22.5% 22.3% 23.1% 22.1% 26.8% 22.5% 28.8% 21.1% 22.6% 24.4% 22.0% 24.4% 24.36%
Operating Margin 8.1% 7.5% 5.4% 8.0% 1.4% 4.2% 5.0% 10.2% 5.0% 5.5% 8.6% 8.6% 9.0% 6.6% 13.6% 7.6% 7.8% 10.2% 8.1% 10.6% 10.56%
Net Margin 6.6% 8.1% 4.2% 7.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.7% 11.3% 4.5% 4.2% 6.6% 6.8% 7.6% 3.9% 9.9% 7.4% 6.5% 8.4% 7.4% 5.8% 5.84%
EBITDA Margin 11.4% 12.2% 8.2% 10.4% 5.0% 6.9% 7.3% 12.7% 9.7% 6.8% 11.6% 11.1% 13.1% 9.6% 16.6% 10.3% 7.8% 15.3% 14.1% 14.2% 14.19%
FCF Margin 3.1% 3.2% 3.1% 3.8% 4.7% 5.1% 5.8% 5.8% 5.6% 5.9% 6.1% 5.6% 5.5% 5.0% 4.6% 1.4% -1.7% -4.5% -7.3% -9.4% -9.43%
OCF Margin 8.3% 7.9% 7.2% 7.8% 8.7% 8.0% 7.8% 6.7% 5.6% 5.9% 6.1% 6.6% 7.6% 8.1% 8.6% 6.1% 3.2% 0.7% -1.6% -2.8% -2.84%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.84%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 8.67%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.31%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.40%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 6.02%
Cash ROA snapshot only -1.83%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -3.53%
CROIC snapshot only -11.73%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 6.41%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 10.13%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 14.17%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 25.428
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.991
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.473
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 2.300
Graham Number snapshot only $2078.53
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.84 1.89 1.84 1.88 1.89 1.89 1.86 1.92 1.92 1.90 1.86 1.91 1.76 1.84 1.83 1.76 2.07 0.01 2.18 2.41 2.415
Quick Ratio 1.27 1.27 1.23 1.32 1.22 1.21 1.16 1.26 1.20 1.16 1.12 1.23 1.05 0.99 0.96 0.98 1.15 -0.98 1.19 1.33 1.335
Debt/Equity 0.41 0.39 0.40 0.39 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.29 0.00 0.34 0.42 0.416
Net Debt/Equity -0.22 -0.26 -0.26 -0.32 -0.33 -0.32 -0.28 -0.28 -0.26 -0.31 -0.28 -0.30 -0.27 -0.19 -0.16 -0.17 -0.17 -0.38 -0.05 0.05 0.050
Debt/Assets 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.14 0.00 0.17 0.21 0.205
Debt/EBITDA 3.02 2.93 3.14 2.62 2.25 2.38 2.44 2.14 1.83 1.86 1.64 1.73 1.65 1.49 1.33 1.42 1.92 0.01 2.09 2.47 2.468
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.62 -1.91 -2.04 -2.14 -2.51 -2.73 -2.40 -2.16 -1.81 -2.20 -1.75 -2.14 -1.82 -1.21 -0.97 -1.06 -1.13 -2.25 -0.31 0.30 0.296
Interest Coverage 48.99 45.77 41.70 56.85 49.36 48.09 50.62 67.47 77.90 84.46 97.72 91.94 93.30 116.75 190.49 253.61 700.54 168.16 82.65 48.56 48.561
Equity Multiplier 2.26 2.23 2.31 2.27 2.24 2.25 2.28 2.19 2.18 2.15 2.18 2.07 2.09 2.02 2.02 2.06 2.04 1.95 2.03 2.02 2.024
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.603
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 60.684
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.880
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.296
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1348.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.65 0.64 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.69 0.68 0.69 0.73 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.68 0.70 0.68 0.65 0.70 0.73 0.71 0.67 0.671
Inventory Turnover 2.17 2.07 2.08 2.37 2.15 2.17 2.08 2.29 2.12 1.99 1.89 2.08 1.79 1.69 1.58 1.64 1.70 1.64 1.63 1.58 1.578
Receivables Turnover 3.88 3.95 3.72 3.69 4.05 4.25 3.95 3.64 4.48 4.46 4.16 3.70 4.03 4.86 4.33 3.97 5.25 11.30 5.04 4.35 4.350
Payables Turnover 3.42 3.44 3.09 3.12 3.06 3.23 2.91 3.03 3.09 3.05 2.84 3.93 2.99 4.36 2.93 6.26 4.90 8.93 4.20 7.36 7.358
DSO 94 92 98 99 90 86 92 100 81 82 88 99 90 75 84 92 69 32 72 84 83.9 days
DIO 168 177 176 154 170 168 176 159 172 184 193 176 204 216 231 222 215 223 224 231 231.3 days
DPO 107 106 118 117 119 113 125 121 118 120 129 93 122 84 124 58 74 41 87 50 49.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 155 163 155 136 141 141 143 139 135 145 152 182 173 207 191 256 210 214 210 266 265.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.976
Operating Cycle snapshot only 315.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.567
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.550
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue -1.3% -1.1% 2.9% 8.0% 5.1% 13.6% 11.5% 11.7% 16.7% 8.4% 9.4% 5.8% -1.2% 2.2% 0.4% -1.6% 9.4% 10.6% 11.1% 12.1% 12.08%
Net Income 1.3% 30.5% 25.3% 1.0% 26.6% -10.3% -17.5% -14.2% 21.7% 66.5% 1.1% 19.2% 11.1% 3.7% 0.4% 25.8% 21.2% 42.6% 17.1% 8.6% 8.60%
EPS 1.3% 30.4% 25.3% 1.0% 26.6% -10.3% -17.6% -14.2% 21.6% 66.5% 1.1% 19.2% 11.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 42.6% 17.1% 8.6% 8.59%
FCF 105.8% 1.1% 4.9% 32.2% 58.7% 82.0% 1.1% 68.7% 40.6% 25.7% 13.8% 2.4% -3.9% -13.4% -24.6% -75.3% -1.3% -2.0% -2.8% -8.5% -8.52%
EBITDA 32.8% 29.2% 16.4% 47.4% 0.6% -8.7% -5.1% -8.9% 21.4% 29.9% 49.9% 24.1% 12.0% 22.3% 20.4% 21.3% 13.2% 21.8% 4.8% 17.5% 17.51%
Op. Income 1.6% 2.8% -7.4% 51.2% -4.0% -9.2% -2.1% -10.4% 28.6% 44.2% 67.5% 30.1% 22.4% 24.2% 25.0% 26.7% 22.0% 30.8% -1.2% 12.4% 12.45%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.52%
Asset Growth snapshot only 8.47%
Equity Growth snapshot only 10.42%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.04%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.01%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 24.60%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -3.1% -2.9% -2.1% -1.0% -1.0% 1.4% 2.3% 3.1% 6.6% 6.8% 7.8% 8.4% 6.6% 8.0% 7.0% 5.2% 8.1% 7.0% 6.9% 5.3% 5.28%
Revenue 5Y -2.9% -3.3% -1.5% 0.1% 0.5% 1.4% 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.7% 2.8% 2.3% 2.9% 3.3% 2.7% 5.5% 6.6% 7.0% 7.1% 7.06%
EPS 3Y -14.4% -12.7% -12.5% -11.3% -16.2% -12.1% -8.2% 8.7% 52.4% 24.9% 30.3% 27.5% 19.6% 45.7% 52.5% 37.1% 48.5% 70.1% 71.4% 48.2% 48.23%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — 94.4% 2.2% -0.7% -0.1% 3.5% -6.5% -4.4% 18.6% 27.2% 31.0% 56.9% 41.9% 39.1% 41.4% 41.41%
Net Income 3Y -14.4% -12.7% -12.4% -11.3% -16.1% -12.1% -8.1% 8.8% 52.4% 24.9% 30.4% 27.5% 19.6% 15.7% 21.1% 8.8% 17.9% 35.0% 36.1% 17.7% 17.66%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — 94.4% 2.3% -0.7% -0.1% 3.5% -6.5% -4.4% 3.3% 10.8% 14.0% 36.7% 23.6% 21.1% 23.1% 23.13%
EBITDA 3Y 0.9% -0.1% -2.8% -9.1% -13.1% -12.4% -9.5% -1.0% 17.5% 15.3% 18.3% 18.6% 11.0% 13.2% 19.7% 11.1% 15.4% 24.6% 23.7% 21.0% 20.96%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — 56.7% 6.0% 4.6% 3.4% 5.5% -3.2% -2.3% 1.3% 6.0% 7.9% 15.5% 17.9% 15.9% 18.9% 18.91%
Gross Profit 3Y -6.0% -6.1% -6.2% -3.7% -5.7% -4.9% -3.3% -0.6% 5.3% 6.6% 8.6% 10.3% 9.8% 10.9% 13.1% 8.5% 11.8% 13.4% 11.0% 9.7% 9.67%
Gross Profit 5Y -1.9% -1.8% -0.7% 2.7% 1.2% 0.7% -0.7% -0.0% 0.4% 0.9% 1.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 4.2% 3.9% 6.9% 8.3% 7.0% 9.0% 9.03%
Op. Income 3Y -18.1% -18.4% -20.5% -14.0% -20.1% -20.8% -17.4% -9.5% 7.8% 10.4% 14.9% 20.8% 14.7% 17.6% 27.0% 13.9% 24.3% 32.8% 27.4% 22.8% 22.84%
Op. Income 5Y -5.9% -5.5% -4.6% 4.6% -1.7% -5.8% -10.0% -8.3% -7.5% -6.6% -3.8% -5.8% -4.3% -2.3% 3.4% 4.1% 13.4% 17.0% 13.4% 20.2% 20.21%
FCF 3Y -12.6% -24.5% -31.7% -15.4% 12.8% 2.2% — — — 68.6% 35.3% 31.7% 29.0% 25.6% 21.2% -24.8% — — — — —
FCF 5Y -4.6% -6.4% -8.0% 3.3% 18.8% 51.7% — 27.9% 8.3% -0.3% -5.5% 0.9% 14.2% 1.0% — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y -4.6% -11.9% -18.0% -6.5% 10.0% 34.0% 1.5% 42.4% 11.8% 0.1% -7.1% -2.2% 3.4% 8.8% 13.8% -3.1% -22.7% -52.0% — — —
OCF 5Y 1.5% -2.3% -5.7% -1.4% 3.1% 5.3% 8.1% 0.4% -6.2% -8.8% -10.7% -3.8% 6.0% 22.0% 81.8% 22.2% -3.1% -32.7% — — —
Assets 3Y 1.7% 1.6% 2.5% 3.6% 1.6% 3.7% 3.9% 5.4% 4.9% 5.1% 5.5% 5.1% 5.2% 4.2% 4.1% 5.4% 6.2% 5.4% 6.6% 7.4% 7.42%
Assets 5Y 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 4.3% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.2% 2.7% 2.7% 3.3% 3.7% 3.4% 3.9% 4.2% 6.0% 5.6% 5.4% 6.0% 6.4% 6.43%
Equity 3Y 5.5% 4.5% 4.7% 5.2% 3.5% 3.8% 3.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.0% 6.8% 8.0% 8.0% 7.8% 8.8% 8.9% 9.5% 10.5% 10.8% 10.3% 10.27%
Book Value 3Y 5.5% 4.4% 4.7% 5.2% 3.5% 3.8% 3.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.0% 6.8% 8.0% 8.0% 35.8% 37.1% 37.2% 37.9% 39.2% 39.5% 38.9% 38.92%
Dividend 3Y -3.4% -9.3% -15.3% -11.3% -6.8% -10.9% -17.0% -34.9% — — — 13.2% — — — 1.0% 63.2% 44.4% 32.8% 35.6% 35.57%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.96 0.95 0.75 0.09 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.21 0.14 0.30 0.36 0.45 0.44 0.59 0.71 0.74 0.88 0.97 0.96 0.92 0.921
Earnings Stability 0.40 0.51 0.50 0.22 0.09 0.10 0.06 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.28 0.56 0.75 0.97 0.87 0.84 0.85 0.851
Margin Stability 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.94 0.93 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.91 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.93 0.931
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.88 0.90 0.50 0.89 0.96 0.93 0.94 0.91 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.96 0.99 1.00 0.90 0.92 0.83 0.93 0.97 0.966
Earnings Smoothness 0.21 0.74 0.78 0.32 0.76 0.89 0.81 0.85 0.80 0.50 0.27 0.82 0.90 0.96 1.00 0.77 0.81 0.65 0.84 0.92 0.918
ROE Trend -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.03 0.03 -0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.04 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.005
Gross Margin Trend -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0.00 -0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.001
FCF Margin Trend 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.04 -0.07 -0.10 -0.13 -0.13 -0.129
Sustainable Growth Rate 4.1% 5.1% 5.3% 7.8% 6.0% 4.7% 4.6% 7.3% 9.0% 9.6% 11.2% 7.9% 7.9% 7.2% 7.6% 7.3% 7.6% 9.1% 8.1% 6.9% 6.87%
Internal Growth Rate 1.8% 2.3% 2.4% 3.6% 2.7% 2.1% 2.0% 3.4% 4.3% 4.6% 5.3% 3.8% 3.8% 3.6% 3.8% 3.7% 3.8% 4.8% 4.2% 3.5% 3.48%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.87 1.57 1.48 1.19 1.62 2.01 2.16 1.34 1.01 0.97 0.86 1.17 1.20 1.31 1.23 0.84 0.46 0.09 -0.22 -0.41 -0.405
FCF/OCF 0.37 0.40 0.44 0.49 0.54 0.64 0.75 0.86 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.85 0.72 0.62 0.53 0.23 -0.52 -6.21 4.47 3.32 3.323
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.346
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -0.220
CapEx/Revenue 5.2% 4.7% 4.0% 3.9% 4.0% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.1% 3.1% 4.1% 4.7% 4.9% 5.2% 5.7% 6.6% 6.59%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.556
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.066
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.116
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.331
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.31%
Dividend/Share $11.56 $10.15 $8.74 $9.06 $9.37 $7.18 $5.00 $2.50 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $3.62 $7.25 $21.75 $28.99 $30.24 $31.49 $32.74 $33.99 $37.68 $47.00
Payout Ratio 37.7% 29.8% 25.8% 19.1% 24.1% 23.5% 17.9% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 13.8% 20.6% 24.1% 24.8% 24.8% 21.8% 24.2% 28.4% 28.44%
FCF Payout Ratio 54.1% 47.0% 40.0% 32.5% 27.6% 18.3% 11.0% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 15.8% 25.4% 37.2% 1.3% — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 37.7% 29.8% 25.8% 19.1% 24.1% 23.5% 17.9% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 13.8% 20.6% 24.1% 24.8% 24.8% 21.8% 24.2% 28.4% 28.44%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.71 0.68 0.65 0.66 0.65 0.67 0.69 0.71 0.74 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.77 0.77 0.75 0.76 0.69 0.691
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.98 1.14 1.23 1.24 1.29 1.14 1.07 1.31 1.27 1.25 1.21 0.99 1.01 0.98 1.00 1.02 1.02 1.04 1.02 0.98 0.981
EBIT Margin 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.103
Asset Turnover 0.65 0.64 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.69 0.68 0.69 0.73 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.68 0.70 0.68 0.65 0.70 0.73 0.71 0.67 0.671
Equity Multiplier 2.28 2.25 2.29 2.26 2.25 2.24 2.29 2.23 2.21 2.20 2.23 2.13 2.13 2.08 2.10 2.07 2.06 1.98 2.02 2.04 2.041
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $30.68 $34.07 $33.88 $47.40 $38.84 $30.56 $27.93 $40.68 $47.25 $50.88 $59.87 $48.51 $52.49 $105.46 $120.16 $122.01 $127.16 $150.42 $140.66 $132.50 $132.50
Book Value/Share $482.61 $491.38 $489.69 $507.81 $502.19 $507.77 $509.12 $540.51 $543.18 $554.58 $564.77 $601.27 $607.87 $1229.60 $1261.63 $1312.56 $1317.43 $1369.55 $1383.24 $1449.19 $1462.19
Tangible Book/Share $475.11 $484.38 $483.08 $501.18 $495.96 $501.94 $503.71 $535.29 $538.28 $549.69 $559.74 $595.64 $602.10 $1217.37 $1246.23 $1297.34 $1298.55 $1369.41 $1359.03 $1423.71 $1423.71
Revenue/Share $688.06 $676.71 $697.70 $726.49 $723.19 $768.65 $777.80 $811.02 $844.04 $833.22 $850.73 $857.83 $833.64 $1702.34 $1707.43 $1688.47 $1823.93 $1882.44 $1897.37 $1892.22 $1803.27
FCF/Share $21.36 $21.61 $21.87 $27.89 $33.91 $39.33 $45.34 $47.05 $47.65 $49.44 $51.61 $48.16 $45.81 $85.66 $77.84 $23.74 $-30.36 $-84.46 $-138.55 $-178.40 $0.00
OCF/Share $57.22 $53.60 $49.99 $56.46 $62.93 $61.32 $60.30 $54.52 $47.65 $49.44 $51.61 $56.86 $63.22 $137.88 $147.46 $102.84 $58.22 $13.60 $-31.02 $-53.68 $0.00
Cash/Share $301.68 $320.15 $324.32 $361.02 $311.87 $309.01 $287.17 $296.54 $288.86 $318.16 $301.24 $331.62 $308.48 $518.19 $493.12 $515.59 $613.78 $529.35 $540.42 $530.49 $516.20
EBITDA/Share $65.06 $66.20 $62.59 $75.74 $65.44 $60.42 $59.40 $69.02 $79.40 $78.47 $89.06 $85.68 $88.93 $191.87 $214.43 $207.85 $201.26 $233.75 $224.74 $244.23 $244.23
Debt/Share $196.58 $193.93 $196.82 $198.59 $147.30 $144.08 $144.84 $147.51 $145.01 $145.69 $145.66 $148.24 $146.56 $285.26 $285.72 $295.68 $386.29 $2.63 $470.22 $602.74 $602.74
Net Debt/Share $-105.10 $-126.21 $-127.49 $-162.43 $-164.57 $-164.92 $-142.33 $-149.03 $-143.85 $-172.46 $-155.58 $-183.38 $-161.92 $-232.93 $-207.39 $-219.91 $-227.49 $-526.72 $-70.20 $72.25 $72.25
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 5 6 5 7 7 5 6 7 8 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 6 6 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.39 -2.57 -2.47 -2.56 -2.63 -2.34 -2.52 -2.51 -2.37 -2.60 -2.50 -2.46 -2.56 -2.61 -2.72 -2.48 -2.32 -0.74 -2.00 -2.27 -2.274
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.830
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 11.35%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $651.14
EVA snapshot only $-4537771330.15
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 71.40 72.90 71.40 72.90 74.40 74.40 75.30 74.70 76.20 76.20 76.20 76.20 76.80 76.50 74.70 72.30 72.45 66.40 69.15 69.15 69.150
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only -3.150
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000

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