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KORI.PA PAR

Korian
1W: +0.4% 1M: -2.0% 3M: +5.6% 1Y: -48.6% 3Y: -73.9% 5Y: -70.8%
€7.36
Last traded 2023-06-21 — delisted
PAR · Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilities · €778.6M mcap · 63M float · 0.448% daily turnover

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 21 Grade D
Profitability
7
Balance Sheet
19
Earnings Quality
52
Growth
34
Value
50
Momentum
36
Safety
15
Cash Flow
46
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. KORI.PA scores highest in Earnings Quality (52/100) and lowest in Profitability (7/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.70
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.04
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.95
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 17.8/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -11.79x
Accruals: -10.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. KORI.PA scores 0.70, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. KORI.PA scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. KORI.PA's score of -2.04 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. KORI.PA's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. KORI.PA receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 17.8/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-27.26x
PEG
-0.27x
P/S
0.15x
P/B
0.46x
P/FCF
1.92x
P/OCF
0.91x
EV/EBITDA
5.74x
EV/Revenue
0.97x
EV/EBIT
19.91x
EV/FCF
13.22x
Earnings Yield
-9.36%
FCF Yield
51.95%
Shareholder Yield
8.49%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. KORI.PA currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.191
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-0.228
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.049
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.625
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.987
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-3.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. KORI.PA's ROE of -3.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.99x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.19 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$7.30
Median 1Y
$5.87
5th Pctile
$3.33
95th Pctile
$10.35
Ann. Volatility
35.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE 9.4% 9.0% 7.3% 9.7% 9.0% 13.4% 14.5% 12.5% 13.1% 9.5% 7.6% 5.4% 4.6% 4.4% 4.5% 3.5% 2.5% -2.4% -3.5% -3.3% -3.29%
ROA 3.2% 3.0% 2.5% 3.2% 3.0% 4.6% 4.7% 4.1% 3.4% 2.6% 2.0% 1.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% -0.6% -0.8% -0.8% -0.83%
ROIC 6.5% 6.1% 5.6% 8.1% 8.2% 11.6% 11.7% 9.5% 6.5% 5.3% 4.9% 4.7% 5.1% 5.5% 5.7% 5.4% 4.5% 4.4% 3.7% 3.8% 3.78%
ROCE 8.6% 7.9% 8.1% 7.9% 8.0% 8.9% 9.4% 9.4% 7.0% 7.3% 6.3% 5.9% 5.3% 5.1% 5.1% 5.5% 5.7% 4.3% 4.0% 3.9% 3.86%
Gross Margin 43.4% 41.6% 41.4% 41.8% 40.1% 40.5% 39.9% 41.0% 12.9% 12.5% 10.6% 10.4% 10.9% 8.3% 8.2% 31.0% 11.1% 13.9% 31.4% 12.6% 12.59%
Operating Margin 8.6% 5.6% 7.8% 8.2% 8.1% 9.9% 9.1% 9.1% 10.2% 10.5% 7.5% 8.2% 7.9% 9.9% 7.6% 6.1% 5.8% 7.2% 4.6% 5.5% 5.46%
Net Margin 3.9% 0.7% 2.2% 6.5% 2.5% 7.8% 3.4% 4.0% 2.9% 3.5% 0.6% 1.5% 1.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% -4.2% -2.0% 0.5% 0.47%
EBITDA Margin 13.2% 10.6% 13.2% 13.3% 13.2% 14.9% 13.6% 14.4% 23.9% 24.0% 20.5% 22.3% 21.1% 23.3% 20.2% 23.2% 18.8% 15.9% 9.5% 19.7% 19.72%
FCF Margin 4.2% 5.0% 5.3% 4.6% 5.1% 5.6% 5.4% 4.8% 5.7% 6.3% 6.5% 7.0% 7.6% 6.3% 5.4% 4.8% 4.1% 4.5% 6.4% 7.3% 7.33%
OCF Margin 10.1% 10.3% 10.9% 9.9% 10.4% 11.3% 10.9% 11.8% 13.8% 14.6% 16.5% 18.1% 19.2% 19.1% 18.1% 17.3% 16.2% 15.4% 17.4% 15.6% 15.58%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.65%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 5.11%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.38%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.46%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.67%
Cash ROA snapshot only 9.84%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 12.58%
CROIC snapshot only 5.92%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.68%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.11%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 5.26%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio 15.25 17.88 13.89 10.42 12.10 7.36 6.85 8.23 9.26 14.61 22.32 34.00 42.29 38.48 19.31 10.20 9.96 -12.78 -8.70 -10.68 -27.259
P/S Ratio 0.45 0.45 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.41 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.73 0.63 0.31 0.13 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.147
P/B Ratio 0.98 1.12 1.00 0.98 1.04 0.88 0.88 0.92 1.12 1.36 1.66 1.66 1.67 1.48 0.76 0.34 0.24 0.30 0.30 0.34 0.461
P/FCF 10.66 8.97 6.73 7.83 7.28 6.29 6.39 7.62 7.24 7.97 9.19 9.95 9.58 10.03 5.74 2.78 2.29 2.50 1.93 1.92 1.925
P/OCF 4.41 4.36 3.28 3.58 3.59 3.13 3.18 3.09 2.99 3.44 3.64 3.86 3.80 3.30 1.71 0.78 0.57 0.72 0.71 0.91 0.906
EV/EBITDA 6.07 6.28 6.18 6.13 6.10 5.40 5.40 5.60 7.81 7.23 7.39 6.96 7.35 6.81 5.41 4.51 4.50 4.82 5.82 5.74 5.736
EV/Revenue 0.81 0.79 0.80 0.77 0.77 0.74 0.74 0.79 1.31 1.39 1.54 1.58 1.61 1.49 1.17 0.99 0.96 0.94 1.03 0.97 0.970
EV/EBIT 9.21 9.95 9.95 10.22 10.28 8.64 8.38 8.66 13.89 14.64 17.62 18.81 21.38 20.17 16.34 13.70 13.52 17.19 19.37 19.91 19.909
EV/FCF 19.41 15.85 14.96 16.99 15.05 13.08 13.69 16.43 23.03 22.10 23.54 22.39 21.11 23.67 21.79 20.42 23.65 21.01 16.20 13.22 13.223
Earnings Yield 6.6% 5.6% 7.2% 9.6% 8.3% 13.6% 14.6% 12.2% 10.8% 6.8% 4.5% 2.9% 2.4% 2.6% 5.2% 9.8% 10.0% -7.8% -11.5% -9.4% -9.36%
FCF Yield 9.4% 11.2% 14.9% 12.8% 13.7% 15.9% 15.7% 13.1% 13.8% 12.5% 10.9% 10.1% 10.4% 10.0% 17.4% 35.9% 43.7% 40.0% 51.8% 52.0% 51.95%
EV/OCF snapshot only 6.224
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.337
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 16.378
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 8.49%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 0.64 0.92 0.55 0.63 0.68 0.72 0.67 0.72 0.52 0.47 0.66 0.72 0.78 0.90 0.89 0.65 0.55 0.80 0.59 0.56 0.564
Quick Ratio 0.64 0.92 0.54 0.62 0.67 0.72 0.66 0.71 0.51 0.45 0.64 0.71 0.76 0.89 0.88 0.64 0.54 0.79 0.58 0.56 0.556
Debt/Equity 0.92 1.13 1.31 1.30 1.31 1.16 1.19 1.28 2.58 2.54 2.84 2.44 2.31 2.36 2.37 2.34 2.39 2.39 2.40 2.16 2.162
Net Debt/Equity 0.81 0.86 1.23 1.14 1.11 0.95 1.01 1.07 2.43 2.41 2.60 2.08 2.02 2.01 2.12 2.13 2.28 2.20 2.25 2.02 2.021
Debt/Assets 0.33 0.38 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.43 0.60 0.59 0.62 0.58 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.57 0.57 0.56 0.57 0.56 0.560
Debt/EBITDA 3.11 3.59 3.63 3.75 3.70 3.42 3.41 3.61 5.68 4.88 4.94 4.55 4.60 4.61 4.46 4.27 4.26 4.61 5.47 5.24 5.241
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.73 2.73 3.40 3.31 3.15 2.80 2.88 3.00 5.36 4.63 4.50 3.87 4.02 3.92 3.99 3.89 4.07 4.25 5.13 4.90 4.901
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — 7.09 3.68 2.29 1.60 1.48 1.47 1.47 2.13 1.96 2.24 1.53 0.94 0.937
Equity Multiplier 2.80 3.00 3.31 3.21 3.21 2.89 2.95 2.98 4.33 4.28 4.58 4.18 4.02 4.10 4.12 4.12 4.22 4.24 4.19 3.86 3.862
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.178
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.252
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.065
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.083
Defensive Interval snapshot only 577.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 1.09 1.19 0.97 0.95 0.97 0.95 0.92 0.92 0.77 0.77 0.75 0.72 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.63 0.65 0.65 0.60 0.62 0.625
Inventory Turnover 391.76 442.61 357.83 375.87 383.61 388.77 326.32 287.57 291.53 232.04 233.83 248.42 208.14 237.01 246.27 231.88 206.20 284.13 265.20 299.98 299.981
Receivables Turnover 33.52 40.00 30.72 35.74 33.67 35.39 32.38 32.03 30.63 29.24 28.57 27.18 24.82 25.23 24.67 23.33 21.12 49.02 16.86 20.07 20.068
Payables Turnover 13.57 15.02 14.63 13.17 14.67 14.57 15.21 13.64 15.48 16.13 19.14 17.22 17.42 16.94 18.37 14.67 15.22 13.98 13.04 13.38 13.375
DSO 11 9 12 10 11 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 15 14 15 16 17 7 22 18 18.2 days
DIO 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1.2 days
DPO 27 24 25 28 25 25 24 27 24 23 19 21 21 22 20 25 24 26 28 27 27.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -15 -14 -12 -17 -13 -14 -12 -14 -10 -9 -5 -6 -4 -6 -4 -8 -5 -17 -5 -8 -7.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.339
Operating Cycle snapshot only 19.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 17.385
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.583
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 84.4% 94.6% 85.5% 55.2% 39.2% 27.5% 18.1% 16.4% 14.8% 13.7% 14.6% 15.7% 16.9% 17.8% 18.6% 17.8% 17.5% 16.7% 1.3% 2.2% 2.17%
Net Income 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.1% 46.6% 1.5% 1.3% 50.8% 66.7% -19.3% -39.1% -46.2% -54.7% -43.6% -29.3% -24.3% -36.7% -1.6% -1.9% -2.0% -2.02%
EPS 80.7% 40.9% 1.5% 93.0% 34.4% 1.2% 1.1% 47.2% 51.9% -25.6% -64.9% -73.1% -77.7% -72.4% -43.2% 11.3% 5.6% -1.8% -2.2% -1.7% -1.71%
FCF 3.2% 3.7% 13.5% 92.3% 70.4% 44.0% 20.1% 22.3% 28.2% 26.7% 37.8% 70.3% 56.5% 17.9% -2.0% -18.8% -37.6% -17.3% 19.7% 54.5% 54.55%
EBITDA 1.2% 1.1% 99.9% 50.1% 31.4% 38.3% 25.9% 29.5% 53.1% 59.7% 73.2% 86.8% 52.3% 34.1% 23.9% 14.3% 14.2% 3.9% -17.4% -21.4% -21.36%
Op. Income 1.1% 96.7% 93.6% 37.3% 18.3% 36.9% 30.4% 39.5% 46.9% 30.1% 20.5% 15.7% 3.8% 1.5% 6.9% 2.0% 0.8% -7.4% -26.1% -23.0% -22.98%
OCF Growth snapshot only -7.77%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.15%
Equity Growth snapshot only 4.32%
Debt Growth snapshot only -3.50%
Shares Change snapshot only 43.05%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -20.35%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 40.5% 43.2% 46.1% 46.3% 46.5% 46.7% 45.7% 45.0% 43.4% 41.3% 35.9% 27.9% 23.2% 19.5% 17.1% 16.6% 16.4% 16.0% 11.3% 11.7% 11.67%
Revenue 5Y 80.0% 67.6% 53.7% 47.5% 43.5% 40.4% 38.0% 36.0% 34.7% 33.6% 33.4% 33.4% 33.4% 33.4% 33.3% 32.9% 32.3% 31.1% 24.7% 20.3% 20.28%
EPS 3Y 12.4% 16.2% 18.3% 24.6% 19.8% 37.3% 43.1% 38.6% 54.5% 32.4% 21.8% -8.6% -23.1% -23.1% -25.2% -23.9% -29.0% — — — —
EPS 5Y 20.6% 6.6% 3.8% 5.8% 6.0% 18.4% 22.5% 20.3% 23.7% 20.9% 4.1% -5.2% -10.3% -11.9% -10.2% -4.5% -2.8% — — — —
Net Income 3Y 48.9% 53.7% 55.7% 68.6% 61.0% 85.3% 90.9% 85.4% 80.6% 66.1% 51.8% 19.7% 3.4% 3.8% -0.2% -15.0% -21.8% — — — —
Net Income 5Y 46.7% 29.7% 26.4% 31.0% 31.3% 47.1% 49.8% 47.4% 51.8% 48.4% 39.7% 31.2% 25.8% 23.7% 24.5% 21.0% 11.1% — — — —
EBITDA 3Y 45.8% 48.5% 53.5% 53.1% 52.5% 55.9% 55.5% 55.9% 63.8% 65.5% 63.4% 53.7% 45.2% 43.6% 39.3% 40.4% 38.6% 30.5% 21.0% 18.9% 18.86%
EBITDA 5Y 61.5% 47.9% 40.9% 37.1% 37.2% 39.5% 38.8% 38.6% 44.2% 48.6% 51.1% 54.1% 52.6% 52.0% 51.8% 51.9% 50.2% 44.5% 34.9% 26.7% 26.69%
Gross Profit 3Y 9.7% 11.4% 12.8% 12.3% 11.5% 11.3% 10.2% 9.5% 7.0% 3.1% -4.5% -18.5% -22.3% -26.7% -29.2% -17.7% -17.5% -15.3% -11.7% -19.2% -19.18%
Gross Profit 5Y 55.7% 44.5% 31.8% 25.9% 21.9% 19.0% 16.8% 15.2% 9.7% 3.7% -3.0% -12.1% -12.9% -14.7% -15.8% -8.1% -5.8% -1.6% 2.4% -3.0% -2.95%
Op. Income 3Y 43.1% 43.5% 48.0% 46.4% 45.0% 50.8% 51.7% 52.3% 54.9% 51.8% 44.9% 30.4% 21.7% 21.8% 18.9% 18.1% 15.4% 6.9% -1.6% -3.1% -3.13%
Op. Income 5Y 56.5% 41.4% 36.3% 32.6% 33.7% 38.7% 37.7% 36.6% 38.5% 39.4% 38.5% 38.3% 36.0% 35.2% 35.1% 33.0% 31.2% 26.9% 19.2% 11.7% 11.74%
FCF 3Y — — — — — 2.6% 1.0% 61.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 58.8% 50.6% 29.1% 17.5% 19.1% 7.8% 7.3% 17.4% 28.8% 28.80%
FCF 5Y 40.8% 29.1% 44.6% 57.0% — — — — — — — — — 1.3% 62.9% 42.5% 55.0% 53.1% 94.9% 38.1% 38.11%
OCF 3Y 55.6% 59.9% 62.6% 54.4% 53.5% 55.7% 49.6% 50.3% 63.6% 60.4% 74.1% 54.9% 52.7% 47.0% 38.4% 40.2% 35.1% 28.7% 30.0% 22.6% 22.55%
OCF 5Y 66.8% 48.6% 51.1% 46.4% 53.3% 62.7% 52.7% 48.9% 52.4% 53.1% 54.4% 55.3% 55.3% 53.5% 49.8% 46.6% 47.8% 43.2% 46.3% 30.9% 30.87%
Assets 3Y 45.3% 46.8% 50.2% 50.8% 50.6% 50.5% 50.7% 50.6% 65.9% 67.8% 36.7% 35.9% 37.3% 35.4% 31.6% 30.9% 30.2% 28.7% 26.2% 23.2% 23.22%
Assets 5Y 43.9% 37.5% 39.0% 39.0% 35.5% 33.4% 33.7% 34.5% 44.0% 43.1% 45.0% 47.4% 47.7% 46.9% 46.5% 45.5% 44.5% 45.6% 25.7% 22.1% 22.10%
Equity 3Y 44.6% 40.8% 41.4% 42.3% 44.4% 51.9% 53.0% 53.1% 51.1% 50.8% 11.6% 18.4% 21.8% 22.0% 22.4% 20.5% 18.8% 13.3% 12.2% 13.0% 13.04%
Book Value 3Y 9.2% 6.4% 7.4% 5.2% 7.5% 12.6% 14.7% 14.5% 29.3% 20.2% -10.5% -9.7% -9.5% -9.6% -8.3% 7.8% 7.8% -4.0% -4.9% -9.5% -9.51%
Dividend 3Y 4.3% 32.0% 42.0% -11.9% -11.3% -28.0% -27.1% -28.5% -18.2% -25.0% -23.0% -38.0% -35.0% -30.1% -27.5% 31.4% 27.1% 21.8% 16.5% -16.4% -16.39%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.90 0.86 0.84 0.87 0.88 0.87 0.89 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.95 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.95 0.96 0.965
Earnings Stability 0.65 0.60 0.53 0.60 0.73 0.65 0.67 0.82 0.86 0.79 0.67 0.61 0.51 0.39 0.31 0.17 0.04 0.08 0.14 0.30 0.303
Margin Stability 0.74 0.72 0.67 0.63 0.63 0.62 0.59 0.56 0.55 0.52 0.45 0.37 0.32 0.27 0.20 0.19 0.23 0.29 0.36 0.37 0.375
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.84 0.82 0.50 0.83 0.88 0.90 0.85 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.17 0.21 0.15 0.28 0.62 0.16 0.21 0.60 0.50 0.79 0.51 0.40 0.25 0.44 0.66 0.72 0.55 — — — —
ROE Trend -0.00 -0.01 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.05 0.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.09 -0.09 -0.07 -0.073
Gross Margin Trend -0.43 -0.37 -0.31 -0.27 -0.21 -0.14 -0.08 -0.03 -0.09 -0.16 -0.23 -0.30 -0.26 -0.23 -0.20 -0.11 -0.07 -0.02 0.06 0.02 0.021
FCF Margin Trend 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 0.00 0.01 0.014
Sustainable Growth Rate 6.5% 4.1% 3.9% 6.4% 5.8% 10.7% 11.8% 10.1% 10.7% 7.5% 5.6% 4.4% 3.3% 3.1% 2.9% 0.7% -0.5% — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 2.3% 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.0% 3.8% 4.0% 3.4% 2.9% 2.1% 1.5% 1.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 3.46 4.10 4.23 2.91 3.37 2.35 2.16 2.66 3.09 4.25 6.14 8.81 11.12 11.66 11.28 13.04 17.35 -17.73 -12.30 -11.79 -11.788
FCF/OCF 0.41 0.49 0.49 0.46 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.41 0.41 0.43 0.40 0.39 0.40 0.33 0.30 0.28 0.25 0.29 0.37 0.47 0.471
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -5.548
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.922
CapEx/Revenue 5.9% 5.3% 5.6% 5.4% 5.2% 5.7% 5.5% 7.0% 8.1% 8.3% 10.0% 11.1% 11.6% 12.8% 12.7% 12.4% 12.1% 11.0% 11.0% 8.2% 8.24%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.685
Accruals Ratio -0.08 -0.09 -0.08 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.09 -0.10 -0.12 -0.11 -0.11 -0.11 -0.10 -0.10 -0.11 -0.11 -0.11 -0.106
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.091
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.652
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 3.2% 2.9% 2.7% 2.7% 2.4% 2.0% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.8% 7.9% 11.9% 11.6% 11.6% 8.4% 4.76%
Dividend/Share $0.47 $0.81 $0.80 $0.73 $0.73 $0.67 $0.67 $0.62 $0.58 $0.52 $0.34 $0.17 $0.19 $0.21 $0.25 $0.77 $0.87 $0.85 $0.85 $0.62 $0.35
Payout Ratio 30.6% 53.9% 47.1% 33.4% 35.4% 20.1% 18.7% 19.4% 18.6% 20.8% 27.1% 19.3% 27.4% 31.0% 34.8% 80.8% 1.2% — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 21.4% 27.0% 22.8% 25.1% 21.3% 17.2% 17.4% 17.9% 14.5% 11.4% 11.2% 5.7% 6.2% 8.1% 10.3% 22.1% 27.3% 29.0% 22.5% 16.3% 16.26%
Total Payout Ratio 32.9% 54.3% 47.9% 33.7% 36.8% 20.3% 18.9% 22.2% 21.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 33.8% 65.2% 88.5% 1.3% — — — —
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Chowder Number 1.65 4.35 5.57 0.72 0.72 -0.05 -0.05 -0.10 -0.11 -0.15 -0.10 -0.46 -0.33 -0.15 -0.07 2.24 1.87 2.09 1.72 0.22 0.224
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 5.5% 4.5% 3.5% 3.2% 0.1% 1.6% 0.8% 1.4% 0.7% 3.1% 0.0% 0.04%
Net Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 5.5% 4.5% -8.7% -8.0% -14.2% -26.8% -10.3% -27.6% -34.3% -39.0% -49.8% -49.80%
Total Shareholder Return 2.2% 3.0% 3.4% 3.2% 3.0% 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 2.3% 6.9% 5.7% -8.2% -7.4% -13.4% -25.0% -2.4% -15.7% -22.6% -27.3% -41.4% -41.35%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.57 0.54 0.54 0.82 0.81 1.05 1.03 0.84 0.85 0.67 0.67 0.65 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.62 0.51 4.03 2.01 1.19 1.191
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.58 0.58 0.60 0.55 0.51 0.54 0.55 0.58 0.56 0.54 0.46 0.38 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.29 0.26 -0.04 -0.13 -0.23 -0.228
EBIT Margin 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.049
Asset Turnover 1.09 1.19 0.97 0.95 0.97 0.95 0.92 0.92 0.77 0.77 0.75 0.72 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.63 0.65 0.65 0.60 0.62 0.625
Equity Multiplier 2.93 3.03 2.90 2.99 3.01 2.94 3.11 3.08 3.81 3.60 3.79 3.64 4.15 4.17 4.32 4.15 4.12 4.17 4.15 3.99 3.987
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.53 $1.50 $1.71 $2.18 $2.05 $3.33 $3.58 $3.21 $3.12 $2.48 $1.26 $0.86 $0.69 $0.68 $0.71 $0.96 $0.73 $-0.57 $-0.84 $-0.68 $-0.68
Book Value/Share $23.66 $24.07 $23.64 $23.19 $23.88 $27.81 $27.88 $28.61 $25.85 $26.62 $16.91 $17.64 $17.55 $17.79 $18.22 $29.07 $29.89 $24.62 $23.95 $21.20 $17.38
Tangible Book/Share $-18.28 $-18.60 $-24.24 $-21.44 $-21.01 $-17.12 $-18.08 $-17.66 $-18.59 $-19.67 $-13.37 $-10.65 $-9.52 $-9.68 $-10.16 $-16.05 $-18.56 $-14.06 $-14.50 $-10.81 $-10.81
Revenue/Share $52.28 $60.03 $66.10 $63.68 $66.74 $69.02 $70.87 $72.38 $69.83 $72.31 $46.89 $41.82 $40.14 $41.68 $44.66 $72.41 $78.60 $65.62 $59.37 $51.71 $22.83
FCF/Share $2.19 $2.99 $3.53 $2.90 $3.41 $3.89 $3.84 $3.46 $3.99 $4.54 $3.06 $2.94 $3.07 $2.62 $2.41 $3.51 $3.19 $2.92 $3.78 $3.79 $2.59
OCF/Share $5.28 $6.16 $7.23 $6.33 $6.91 $7.82 $7.72 $8.53 $9.64 $10.53 $7.73 $7.58 $7.72 $7.96 $8.06 $12.50 $12.72 $10.13 $10.33 $8.06 $3.92
Cash/Share $2.65 $6.49 $1.94 $3.55 $4.67 $5.78 $5.18 $6.16 $3.83 $3.59 $4.20 $6.48 $5.13 $6.19 $4.64 $6.03 $3.21 $4.66 $3.55 $2.97 $2.24
EBITDA/Share $6.99 $7.55 $8.53 $8.03 $8.42 $9.42 $9.75 $10.15 $11.75 $13.87 $9.74 $9.47 $8.80 $9.10 $9.69 $15.90 $16.75 $12.74 $10.51 $8.74 $8.74
Debt/Share $21.77 $27.08 $30.96 $30.09 $31.20 $32.19 $33.26 $36.64 $66.77 $67.73 $48.09 $43.08 $40.50 $41.90 $43.27 $67.92 $71.37 $58.77 $57.49 $45.82 $45.82
Net Debt/Share $19.13 $20.59 $29.02 $26.54 $26.53 $26.41 $28.08 $30.48 $62.94 $64.15 $43.89 $36.61 $35.36 $35.70 $38.63 $61.89 $68.15 $54.11 $53.94 $42.85 $42.85
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.701
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.246
Piotroski F-Score 7 6 5 5 6 5 6 6 4 3 3 4 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.27 -2.16 -2.53 -1.43 -1.47 -2.14 -1.31 -2.68 -1.33 -1.29 -1.13 -0.72 -2.32 -2.08 -2.24 -3.19 -2.58 -3.86 -3.71 -2.04 -2.041
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.955
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-49.38
EVA snapshot only $-694237680.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 47.38 48.29 45.41 44.69 45.65 46.19 45.19 45.73 34.30 28.61 26.05 22.60 21.12 23.70 22.87 26.27 22.95 26.82 22.79 17.81 17.814
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -8.457
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 11
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 7

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