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LOPE NASDAQ

Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
1W: -0.9% 1M: +9.1% 3M: +6.8% YTD: -2.8% 1Y: -27.1% 3Y: +38.2% 5Y: +81.8%
$157.31
-3.40 (-2.12%)
After Hours: $156.00 (-1.31, -0.83%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.0%
$153 $158 $163 $168 $173
NASDAQ · Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services · Tech Score Buy · Power 66 · $4.2B mcap · 25M float · 1.31% daily turnover · Short 64% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 90% of companies Debt: 2.4% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.29 (down 99.8%), Grand Canyon Education, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $104.2M against a stock market value of $4.19B.
Distance to default 13.90 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $52.1M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 32.0%; Altman Z'' 16.40. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+11.8% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+6.3% YTD avg
2026 Now
🌧️
Rainy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+11.8%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+6.3%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-4.9%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
36%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌧️
+2.3%
Midterm
⛅
+3.0%
50% win 31% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+3.8%
Midterm
☀️
+9.2%
78% win 43% vol
Mar
20yr
⛅
+7.5%
Midterm
☀️
+18.8%
67% win 34% vol
Apr
20yr
☁️
+7.6%
Midterm
☀️
+15.8%
50% win 29% vol
May
20yr
🌫️
+8.4%
Midterm
☀️
+14.7%
56% win 34% vol
Jun
20yr
☀️
+10.0%
Midterm
☀️
+16.2%
44% win 26% vol
Jul
20yr
🌫️
+8.8%
Midterm
☀️
+17.0%
67% win 30% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+10.1%
Midterm
⛅
+4.2%
61% win 40% vol
Sep
20yr
☀️
+12.3%
Midterm
☀️
+7.6%
56% win 29% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+11.6%
Midterm
☀️
+12.5%
50% win 36% vol
Now: +3.8%
Nov
20yr
💨
+17.3%
Midterm
☀️
+17.6%
56% win 41% vol
Dec
20yr
☀️
+2.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-5.7%
56% win 30% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -4.9%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms