LTH NYSE
Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.
1W: +8.1%
1M: +9.7%
3M: -3.9%
YTD: +64.3%
1Y: +69.5%
3Y: +198.2%
5Y: +169.9%
$44.08
+0.22 (+0.50%)
After Hours: $44.47 (+0.39, +0.88%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.8%
$40
$41
$42
$43
$44
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 70% of companies Debt: 30.3% of company value Bonds: $41.6M held by 102 funds, 133 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.53 (down 99%), Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.26B against a stock market value of $9.80B.
Distance to default 7.59 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $764.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 36.9%; Altman Z 1.78. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.53 (down 99%), Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.26B against a stock market value of $9.80B.
Distance to default 7.59 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $764.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 36.9%; Altman Z 1.78. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+8.8% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-39.5% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+8.8%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-39.5%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+65.2%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
46%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+15.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.9%
60% win
49% vol
Feb
20yr
🌫️
+16.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.3%
60% win
46% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+15.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-17.1%
20% win
52% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+23.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.5%
40% win
46% vol
May
20yr
💨
+22.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.1%
60% win
57% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+25.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-25.1%
80% win
44% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+26.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-15.3%
60% win
39% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+25.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-32.4%
20% win
42% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+19.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-44.4%
20% win
35% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+6.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-40.2%
33% win
46% vol
Now:
+10.5%
Nov
20yr
💨
+22.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-26.8%
100% win
55% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-7.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-6.8%
0% win
40% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +65.2%