M NYSE
Macy's, Inc.
1W: -0.1%
1M: +4.2%
3M: -6.2%
YTD: +3.6%
1Y: +27.5%
3Y: +128.1%
5Y: -1.4%
$23.86
+0.27 (+1.14%)
After Hours: $23.45 (-0.41, -1.74%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.4%
$22
$23
$24
$25
$26
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 51% of companies Debt: 45.2% of company value Bonds: $219.5M held by 198 funds, 208 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.72 (down 97%), Macy's, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.09B against a stock market value of $6.16B.
Distance to default 5.18 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-08-01, debt counted $1.22B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 40.9%; Altman Z'' 3.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.72 (down 97%), Macy's, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.09B against a stock market value of $6.16B.
Distance to default 5.18 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-08-01, debt counted $1.22B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 40.9%; Altman Z'' 3.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Weather
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Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+4.2% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+16.7% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛅
Partly Cloudy
Tracking typical
20yr Avg YTD
+4.2%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+16.7%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+4.8%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
49%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌫️
+0.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.5%
40% win
49% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+2.1%
Midterm
☀️
+7.1%
55% win
43% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+0.4%
Midterm
☀️
+10.4%
60% win
60% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+3.5%
Midterm
☀️
+14.3%
45% win
50% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+2.0%
Midterm
☀️
+14.6%
50% win
55% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
-0.6%
Midterm
☀️
+7.8%
55% win
50% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
-0.7%
Midterm
☀️
+8.7%
60% win
42% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
-0.0%
Midterm
☀️
+9.5%
45% win
52% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+1.7%
Midterm
☀️
+13.9%
55% win
43% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+4.3%
Midterm
☀️
+18.4%
52% win
49% vol
Now:
+4.7%
Nov
20yr
💨
+10.1%
Midterm
☀️
+23.8%
70% win
61% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+1.7%
Midterm
🌧️
-6.4%
50% win
48% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +4.8%