— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

MDC NYSE

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.
1W: +0.1% 1M: +0.3% 3M: +1.1% 1Y: +65.4% 3Y: +16.3% 5Y: +169.0%
$62.98
Last traded 2024-04-18 — delisted
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · $4.7B mcap · 75M float · 2.62% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
36.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 2.8%  ·  5Y Avg: 10.8%
Cost Advantage
16
Intangibles
32
Switching Cost
50
Network Effect
23
Scale ★
60
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MDC has No discernible competitive edge (36.2/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 2.8% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 5Hold: 12Sell: 3Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2022-11-22 J.P. Morgan — $38 $28 -10 -10.0% $31.11
2022-08-01 Raymond James — Initiated $44 — +21.4% $36.25
2022-07-12 J.P. Morgan — Initiated $38 — +6.7% $35.63
2022-06-17 Wells Fargo Deepa Raghavan Initiated $27 — -8.9% $29.64

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 15 Grade D
Profitability
11
Balance Sheet
77
Earnings Quality
53
Growth
40
Value
40
Momentum
0
Safety
50
Cash Flow
29
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MDC scores highest in Balance Sheet (77/100) and lowest in Momentum (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.33
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
47.22
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.63
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 72.4/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -2.60x
Accruals: 6.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MDC scores 2.33, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MDC scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MDC's score of 47.22 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MDC's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MDC receives an estimated rating of A (score: 72.4/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MDC's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
54.77x
PEG
-0.87x
P/S
0.63x
P/B
0.85x
P/FCF
-0.00x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-0.60x
EV/Revenue
-0.01x
EV/EBIT
4.00x
EV/FCF
0.20x
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 54.8x earnings, MDC is priced for high growth expectations.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.779
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-7.897
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.002
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.181
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.501
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
2.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MDC's ROE of 2.5% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.181), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$62.98
Median 1Y
$67.91
5th Pctile
$31.87
95th Pctile
$144.31
Ann. Volatility
43.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 25.1% 24.3% 24.8% 24.8% 23.6% 19.8% 16.9% 13.1% 11.5% 12.4% 12.7% 12.7% 13.2% 10.2% 8.4% 8.0% 2.5% 3.6% 2.4% 2.5% 2.54%
ROA 13.2% 13.0% 13.0% 13.3% 12.6% 10.9% 9.5% 7.5% 6.7% 7.3% 8.0% 7.8% 8.2% 6.3% 5.5% 5.0% 1.6% 2.4% 1.6% 1.7% 1.69%
ROIC 16.4% 15.7% 16.4% 17.0% 16.8% 16.4% 15.9% 13.0% 10.9% 10.3% 19.6% 17.0% 15.4% 12.0% 9.5% 7.9% 2.8% 2.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.10%
ROCE 12.7% 8.5% 9.4% 10.7% 14.6% 18.8% 24.5% 21.7% 20.8% 20.9% 11.7% 9.6% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% -0.2% -0.23%
Gross Margin 24.8% 23.9% 26.0% 27.3% 23.2% 15.7% 17.7% 17.4% 19.5% 20.2% 7.4% 6.8% 5.7% 5.1% 6.1% 4.2% 3.6% 7.3% 15.0% 16.0% 16.03%
Operating Margin 15.5% 15.3% 15.9% 18.4% 12.9% 7.5% 9.7% 9.6% 11.3% 8.8% 3.1% 1.0% 2.7% 1.3% 1.5% 43.4% -1.0% 2.2% -1.0% 1.8% 1.80%
Net Margin 11.2% 11.1% 11.7% 12.7% 10.0% 5.3% 7.7% 8.2% 9.7% 8.9% 3.1% 1.6% 3.1% 88.5% 1.6% 78.2% -1.0% 2.2% -0.7% 2.2% 2.21%
EBITDA Margin 16.3% 15.6% 17.5% 19.2% 14.4% 11.8% 47.0% 15.0% 16.4% 18.5% 3.1% 1.0% 2.7% 1.3% 1.5% 43.4% -73.3% 2.0% 0.8% 1.8% 1.80%
FCF Margin -3.4% -4.5% -1.2% -1.4% 3.4% 15.3% 21.6% 26.4% 24.1% 11.2% 7.5% 7.2% 23.6% 1.2% -2.6% -3.8% -5.7% -12.9% -3.6% -4.7% -4.68%
OCF Margin -2.8% -4.0% -0.6% -0.9% 3.9% 15.8% 22.1% 26.9% 24.6% 12.1% 8.6% 9.0% 27.2% 1.4% -2.3% -3.5% -5.5% -11.7% -2.5% -3.7% -3.72%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.81%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 11.66%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.93%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.59%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.10%
Cash ROA snapshot only -3.52%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -5.11%
CROIC snapshot only -6.44%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.53%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.84%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 9.99%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 5.38 6.35 4.08 3.33 2.87 3.88 5.56 8.52 8.51 10.40 11.56 12.53 11.73 14.90 18.00 20.80 65.26 31.71 — — 54.765
P/S Ratio 0.60 0.69 0.46 0.39 0.33 0.38 0.50 0.66 0.64 0.90 1.33 1.91 3.30 32.39 33.89 35.06 40.91 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.632
P/B Ratio 1.22 1.40 0.92 0.75 0.62 0.71 0.88 1.05 0.93 1.23 1.41 1.70 1.65 1.63 1.61 1.64 1.65 0.87 — — 0.854
P/FCF -17.90 -15.33 -39.68 -27.29 9.52 2.49 2.32 2.49 2.65 8.04 17.67 26.57 14.00 27.38 -13.04 -9.26 -7.18 -7.50 -0.00 -0.00 -0.000
P/OCF — — — — 8.32 2.41 2.27 2.45 2.60 7.42 15.37 21.16 12.14 22.49 — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA 5.26 5.95 4.11 3.44 2.99 2.88 2.37 3.03 2.86 3.81 4.52 6.70 7.79 13.95 18.76 21.00 58.48 34.25 -0.54 -0.60 -0.601
EV/Revenue 0.79 0.91 0.66 0.59 0.50 0.45 0.50 0.62 0.61 0.90 0.87 1.51 2.69 28.31 31.79 33.08 40.35 0.91 -0.01 -0.01 -0.009
EV/EBIT 7.67 13.78 8.60 6.60 4.06 2.97 2.42 3.10 2.93 3.90 5.44 9.12 16.25 — — 137.44 303.27 290.46 -3.64 4.00 4.004
EV/FCF -23.72 -20.20 -57.47 -41.28 14.49 2.94 2.33 2.34 2.52 8.05 11.63 20.99 11.39 23.94 -12.23 -8.74 -7.09 -7.08 0.26 0.20 0.199
Earnings Yield 18.6% 15.7% 24.5% 30.0% 34.8% 25.8% 18.0% 11.7% 11.7% 9.6% 8.7% 8.0% 8.5% 6.7% 5.6% 4.8% 1.5% 3.2% — — —
FCF Yield -5.6% -6.5% -2.5% -3.7% 10.5% 40.2% 43.1% 40.1% 37.8% 12.4% 5.7% 3.8% 7.1% 3.7% -7.7% -10.8% -13.9% -13.3% — — —
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -0.083
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only -0.743
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 6.12 5.67 8.15 8.42 8.96 6.88 7.59 7.68 7.78 10.48 35.32 30.77 35.73 36.15 32.20 32.76 39.32 42.42 36.08 36.93 36.926
Quick Ratio 1.70 1.24 1.61 1.60 1.88 2.20 2.75 3.04 3.00 4.12 35.32 7.27 7.63 5.18 2.38 32.76 0.57 1.78 0.29 0.36 0.357
Debt/Equity 0.75 0.67 0.63 0.59 0.57 0.54 0.52 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/Equity 0.40 0.45 0.41 0.38 0.32 0.13 0.00 -0.07 -0.04 0.00 -0.48 -0.36 -0.31 -0.21 -0.10 -0.09 -0.02 -0.05 -0.01 -0.01 -0.013
Debt/Assets 0.38 0.35 0.34 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Debt/EBITDA 2.42 2.17 1.94 1.79 1.82 1.86 1.39 1.54 1.60 1.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.29 1.43 1.27 1.16 1.02 0.44 0.01 -0.20 -0.14 0.00 -2.35 -1.78 -1.78 -2.01 -1.23 -1.26 -0.81 -2.01 -0.54 -0.60 -0.601
Interest Coverage — — 556.24 313.14 182.84 50.54 3.09 2.66 2.50 2.64 11.10 11.91 13.76 — — — — — — — —
Equity Multiplier 1.98 1.91 1.87 1.82 1.77 1.73 1.70 1.68 1.67 1.67 1.49 1.58 1.56 1.59 1.57 1.63 1.65 1.48 1.43 1.43 1.434
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.357
Defensive Interval snapshot only 34.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.18 1.19 1.15 1.14 1.11 1.11 1.06 0.97 0.89 0.84 0.70 0.51 0.29 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.77 0.98 1.18 1.181
Inventory Turnover 1.26 1.21 1.18 1.13 1.14 1.21 1.21 1.16 1.09 1.11 1.66 0.48 0.14 -0.22 -0.35 -0.35 -0.11 0.78 0.97 1.86 1.862
Receivables Turnover 46.39 61.44 48.84 43.43 46.48 53.20 60.19 54.55 48.28 39.45 106.82 56.33 28.19 2.11 12.81 12.38 10.61 143.75 556.40 — —
Payables Turnover 20.22 25.96 23.15 21.53 19.47 26.58 24.47 21.92 21.96 24.25 18.32 10.01 3.07 -5.62 -5.12 -4.21 -3.77 28.57 32.54 40.08 40.080
DSO 8 6 7 8 8 7 6 7 8 9 3 6 13 173 28 29 34 3 1 0 0.0 days
DIO 290 302 309 323 321 301 303 316 334 330 220 764 2672 — — — — 469 374 196 196.0 days
DPO 18 14 16 17 19 14 15 17 17 15 20 36 119 — — — — 13 11 9 9.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 280 293 301 315 310 294 294 306 325 324 203 734 2566 — — — — 459 364 187 186.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 73.225
Cash Velocity snapshot only 107.399
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.057
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 32.6% 34.7% 27.4% 16.3% 13.0% 8.8% 1.1% -6.8% -15.0% -18.8% -34.1% -50.9% -69.7% -96.8% -96.1% -94.6% -91.9% 32.6% 42.4% 53.5% 53.47%
Net Income 78.6% 56.1% 38.5% 26.4% 15.5% -2.0% -19.1% -38.4% -44.0% -28.7% -15.8% -3.5% 13.6% -19.4% -35.7% -39.8% -82.0% -53.0% -61.5% -53.8% -53.75%
EPS 74.4% 42.6% 38.2% 26.1% 15.6% -2.1% -20.3% -40.1% -46.6% -31.4% -18.5% -5.4% 13.3% -19.7% -35.7% -39.8% -82.0% -53.0% — — —
FCF -2.8% -3.8% 10.1% 16.0% 2.2% 4.7% 19.9% 18.2% 5.0% -40.9% -77.1% -86.7% -70.4% -66.1% -2.4% -3.9% -2.9% -4.7% 40.1% 32.6% 32.58%
EBITDA 80.8% 66.5% 50.7% 39.7% 24.4% 10.9% 32.8% 10.8% 8.8% 22.4% -40.0% -46.0% -51.0% -72.4% -65.6% -61.9% -83.9% -56.0% -56.0% -46.5% -46.46%
Op. Income 82.5% 68.5% 50.2% 39.7% 22.7% 0.0% -18.9% -43.4% -49.2% -41.2% -33.2% -25.3% -17.1% -33.7% -46.6% -43.2% -80.2% -56.0% -65.1% -56.7% -56.66%
OCF Growth snapshot only 42.76%
Asset Growth snapshot only 66.01%
Equity Growth snapshot only 88.25%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 19.9% 19.7% 20.6% 21.4% 22.6% 20.2% 18.0% 13.5% 8.4% 6.0% -5.3% -19.0% -33.7% -69.5% -70.3% -70.8% -72.5% -4.4% 3.9% 13.3% 13.27%
Revenue 5Y 18.2% 17.7% 16.8% 16.4% 16.9% 17.3% 16.0% 13.6% 10.6% 8.7% 3.2% -3.9% -13.8% -46.2% -46.8% -47.7% -50.0% 5.0% 7.7% 9.5% 9.50%
EPS 3Y 41.5% 35.4% 38.7% 44.0% 45.1% 31.0% 25.9% 11.6% 2.5% -1.4% -3.5% -10.6% -11.2% -18.6% -25.3% -30.1% -52.3% -36.3% — — —
EPS 5Y 42.2% 37.6% 36.3% 36.7% 30.1% 29.3% 22.9% 13.4% 11.9% 10.7% 11.6% 11.1% 13.1% 4.4% 0.9% -4.5% -26.2% -18.4% — — —
Net Income 3Y 45.7% 39.6% 42.2% 47.1% 47.6% 33.1% 28.2% 14.7% 4.9% 2.9% -2.0% -9.1% -9.8% -17.4% -24.1% -29.0% -51.5% -35.4% -40.7% -35.5% -35.47%
Net Income 5Y 45.6% 40.9% 39.5% 39.4% 32.5% 31.7% 25.6% 16.2% 14.9% 13.7% 14.4% 13.6% 15.4% 6.3% 2.7% -2.6% -25.1% -16.2% -25.3% -26.9% -26.86%
EBITDA 3Y 53.6% 41.4% 45.4% 49.9% 50.6% 41.6% 55.0% 43.8% 34.7% 31.2% 6.3% -5.8% -12.8% -28.0% -35.0% -38.9% -55.8% -47.1% -55.0% -52.1% -52.06%
EBITDA 5Y 41.7% 38.5% 37.2% 37.7% 31.1% 37.6% 42.4% 35.8% 37.4% 30.9% 19.6% 15.1% 12.7% -0.9% -5.1% -9.4% -28.0% -22.8% -28.9% -29.8% -29.79%
Gross Profit 3Y 29.5% 28.9% 30.6% 33.2% 33.0% 26.5% 20.5% 10.3% 2.0% 0.2% -1.9% -4.1% -5.7% -10.0% -14.3% -19.9% -26.6% -17.5% -13.1% -4.2% -4.22%
Gross Profit 5Y 26.7% 26.1% 25.7% 26.0% 26.0% 23.6% 19.6% 13.4% 8.7% 8.1% 8.9% 10.3% 10.8% 7.3% 4.8% 0.3% -6.6% -3.2% -4.7% -5.4% -5.37%
Op. Income 3Y 44.6% 42.5% 46.2% 50.7% 49.8% 38.7% 32.4% 15.4% 4.4% -0.3% -6.7% -16.1% -19.8% -27.0% -33.9% -37.9% -56.3% -44.4% -50.1% -43.1% -43.14%
Op. Income 5Y 41.9% 39.0% 37.7% 38.3% 38.2% 35.7% 29.6% 19.3% 13.5% 11.2% 11.1% 7.7% 7.2% 0.8% -3.7% -8.2% -28.5% -22.0% -31.4% -32.0% -32.01%
FCF 3Y — — — — — 2.0% — 2.4% 1.3% — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — 0.3% 69.3% — — — — 27.5% 19.0% — 39.6% — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — 1.3% 1.5% — 1.9% 1.1% — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — 2.8% 69.1% — — — — 23.7% 17.0% 85.2% 29.9% — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y 18.8% 18.3% 18.6% 19.2% 19.1% 17.1% 16.4% 15.6% 15.0% 13.4% 5.2% 0.2% -2.2% -1.9% -2.5% -3.1% -3.3% 15.3% 14.1% 13.5% 13.45%
Assets 5Y 14.5% 14.4% 15.1% 15.6% 15.7% 14.0% 13.8% 13.7% 13.5% 13.4% 10.9% 7.8% 7.6% 7.0% 6.8% 6.3% 5.9% 16.3% 12.5% 12.1% 12.14%
Equity 3Y 17.0% 18.1% 19.0% 20.1% 20.9% 20.2% 20.0% 19.8% 18.3% 16.8% 15.5% 6.7% 5.9% 4.3% 3.3% 0.6% -1.0% 21.5% 20.9% 19.6% 19.62%
Book Value 3Y 13.7% 14.5% 16.0% 17.5% 18.9% 18.3% 17.9% 16.7% 15.6% 11.8% 13.6% 4.9% 4.2% 2.8% 1.7% -1.0% -2.7% 19.7% — — —
Dividend 3Y 6.9% 6.7% 7.6% 7.3% 7.3% 4.6% 2.1% -0.4% -0.6% -1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 0.6% 7.5% -1.5% -3.6% -4.9% 10.9% — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.88 0.74 0.62 0.19 0.00 0.04 0.14 0.23 0.35 0.46 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.000
Earnings Stability 0.82 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.92 0.82 0.58 0.49 0.54 0.47 0.23 0.18 0.04 0.00 0.08 0.26 0.45 0.70 0.83 0.830
Margin Stability 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.84 0.85 0.88 0.88 0.86 0.85 0.89 0.89 0.68 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.85 0.89 0.94 0.99 0.92 0.85 0.82 0.89 0.94 0.99 0.95 0.92 0.86 0.84 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.44 0.56 0.68 0.77 0.86 0.98 0.79 0.52 0.44 0.67 0.83 0.96 0.87 0.79 0.57 0.50 0.00 0.28 0.11 0.26 0.265
ROE Trend 0.09 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.02 -0.02 -0.05 -0.10 -0.11 -0.08 -0.07 -0.04 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.10 -0.09 -0.09 -0.09 -0.088
Gross Margin Trend 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 -0.00 -0.03 -0.06 -0.07 -0.05 0.02 0.17 0.48 5.99 5.68 4.98 4.34 -3.04 -2.96 -2.72 -2.716
FCF Margin Trend -0.04 -0.04 0.01 -0.01 0.04 0.18 0.23 0.28 0.24 0.06 -0.03 -0.05 0.10 1.05 -2.74 -3.95 -5.93 -0.78 1.23 1.81 1.810
Sustainable Growth Rate 20.2% 19.3% 19.6% 19.7% 18.4% 14.8% 12.0% 8.3% 6.7% 7.6% 7.8% 7.3% 8.1% 3.8% 3.4% 2.7% -2.4% -3.2% -4.3% -4.9% -4.87%
Internal Growth Rate 11.8% 11.5% 11.4% 11.8% 10.9% 8.8% 7.3% 5.0% 4.1% 4.7% 5.2% 4.7% 5.2% 2.4% 2.2% 1.7% — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.25 -0.36 -0.05 -0.08 0.34 1.61 2.45 3.48 3.28 1.40 0.75 0.59 0.97 0.66 -1.23 -2.10 -8.72 -3.85 -1.52 -2.60 -2.599
FCF/OCF 1.21 1.14 1.96 1.61 0.87 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.92 0.87 0.80 0.87 0.82 1.12 1.07 1.04 1.10 1.41 1.26 1.259
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -3.273
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -2.403
CapEx/Revenue 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 3.6% 25.8% 28.3% 24.5% 23.0% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 0.96%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.301
Accruals Ratio 0.16 0.18 0.14 0.14 0.08 -0.07 -0.14 -0.19 -0.15 -0.03 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.12 0.16 0.15 0.11 0.04 0.06 0.061
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.413
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.723
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 3.6% 3.3% 5.1% 6.3% 7.7% 6.5% 5.2% 4.3% 4.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.4% 3.3% 4.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.0% 6.0% — — 3.41%
Dividend/Share $1.50 $1.62 $1.75 $1.85 $1.95 $1.95 $1.94 $1.93 $1.96 $2.04 $2.09 $2.12 $2.09 $2.64 $2.10 $1.99 $1.89 $3.76 — — $2.15
Payout Ratio 19.5% 20.7% 20.8% 20.8% 22.0% 25.3% 29.0% 36.2% 41.5% 38.7% 38.4% 42.2% 39.0% 62.3% 59.9% 65.8% 2.0% 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.92%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — 73.1% 16.2% 12.1% 10.6% 12.9% 29.9% 58.8% 89.5% 46.5% 1.1% — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 94.7% 89.9% 85.8% 82.4% 22.0% 25.3% 31.4% 37.3% 43.0% 40.1% 39.9% 43.9% 41.5% 65.6% 63.8% 68.1% 2.0% 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.92%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0
Chowder Number 0.37 0.36 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.27 0.18 0.11 0.10 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.10 0.34 0.03 -0.03 -0.07 0.48 — — —
Buyback Yield 14.0% 10.9% 15.9% 18.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% — — —
Net Buyback Yield 13.0% 10.4% 15.2% 17.7% -0.9% 0.0% 0.0% -0.4% -0.5% 0.1% -0.2% -0.7% -0.5% 0.0% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% 0.0% — — —
Total Shareholder Return 16.6% 13.7% 20.4% 24.0% 6.8% 6.5% 5.2% 3.8% 4.4% 3.9% 3.2% 2.7% 2.8% 4.2% 2.8% 2.6% 2.5% 6.0% — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.78 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.81 0.84 0.93 0.99 0.89 0.86 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.779
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.37 2.16 1.93 1.75 1.23 0.88 0.59 0.51 0.47 0.49 0.93 1.14 2.03 — — 7.83 5.48 12.10 8.38 -7.90 -7.897
EBIT Margin 0.10 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.12 0.15 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.002
Asset Turnover 1.18 1.19 1.15 1.14 1.11 1.11 1.06 0.97 0.89 0.84 0.70 0.51 0.29 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.77 0.98 1.18 1.181
Equity Multiplier 1.91 1.87 1.92 1.86 1.87 1.82 1.78 1.75 1.72 1.70 1.59 1.64 1.62 1.63 1.53 1.61 1.61 1.52 1.48 1.50 1.501
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $7.67 $7.85 $8.38 $8.87 $8.87 $7.68 $6.68 $5.31 $4.74 $5.27 $5.44 $5.03 $5.37 $4.23 $3.50 $3.03 $0.97 $1.99 — — —
Book Value/Share $33.76 $35.52 $37.17 $39.44 $41.38 $42.25 $42.29 $42.97 $43.18 $44.37 $44.59 $37.01 $38.22 $38.58 $39.10 $38.30 $38.16 $72.49 — — $73.03
Tangible Book/Share $33.68 $35.44 $37.09 $39.36 $41.29 $42.14 $42.21 $42.89 $43.10 $44.29 $44.59 $37.01 $38.22 $38.58 $39.10 $38.30 $38.16 $69.40 — — —
Revenue/Share $68.87 $71.87 $74.55 $75.79 $77.88 $78.14 $74.27 $68.67 $63.16 $60.99 $47.41 $33.04 $19.08 $1.94 $1.86 $1.80 $1.54 $65.25 — — $100.06
FCF/Share $-2.31 $-3.25 $-0.86 $-1.08 $2.67 $11.98 $16.02 $18.15 $15.24 $6.81 $3.56 $2.37 $4.50 $2.30 $-4.83 $-6.80 $-8.77 $-8.40 — — $-2.40
OCF/Share $-1.91 $-2.84 $-0.44 $-0.67 $3.06 $12.38 $16.40 $18.50 $15.54 $7.38 $4.09 $2.98 $5.19 $2.80 $-4.30 $-6.36 $-8.41 $-7.65 — — $-1.66
Cash/Share $11.75 $8.08 $7.98 $8.10 $10.29 $17.42 $21.81 $24.40 $23.39 $22.56 $21.51 $13.24 $11.74 $7.92 $3.89 $3.56 $0.86 $3.49 — — $0.93
EBITDA/Share $10.41 $11.04 $12.03 $13.02 $12.97 $12.23 $15.75 $14.02 $13.46 $14.39 $9.15 $7.42 $6.58 $3.95 $3.15 $2.83 $1.06 $1.74 — — —
Debt/Share $25.18 $23.91 $23.30 $23.25 $23.58 $22.80 $21.93 $21.56 $21.49 $22.61 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 — — —
Net Debt/Share $13.43 $15.83 $15.32 $15.15 $13.29 $5.37 $0.12 $-2.84 $-1.90 $0.06 $-21.51 $-13.24 $-11.74 $-7.92 $-3.89 $-3.56 $-0.86 $-3.49 — — —
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.326
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 6.552
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 6 5 7 6 4 4 4 6 5 6 6 5 2 3 3 4 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -1.54 -1.50 -1.95 -1.98 -1.99 -2.30 -3.04 -3.28 -3.36 -2.77 -12.63 -6.19 -3.55 -4.29 -1.36 -0.20 -2.82 153.40 60.80 47.22 47.218
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.628
EVA snapshot only $-429881655.87
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 70.80 69.43 76.28 76.39 81.77 89.56 77.63 73.08 73.81 72.62 89.00 89.00 86.94 86.23 86.17 86.84 82.97 86.61 72.45 72.44 72.441
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Credit Trend snapshot only -14.404
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 66
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 67

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