MDGL NASDAQ
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1W: -2.1%
1M: -15.3%
3M: -18.8%
YTD: -26.3%
1Y: +3.3%
3Y: +235.9%
5Y: +425.9%
$440.33
+2.59 (+0.59%)
After Hours: $455.06 (+14.73, +3.35%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.1%
$399
$416
$434
$452
$470
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 79% of companies Debt: 3.3% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.39 (down 99.7%), Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $347.8M against a stock market value of $10.11B.
Distance to default 9.46 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $171.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 43.5%; Altman Z'' -2.35. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.39 (down 99.7%), Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $347.8M against a stock market value of $10.11B.
Distance to default 9.46 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $171.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 43.5%; Altman Z'' -2.35. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☁️
Cloudy
+0.1% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-5.9% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+0.1%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-5.9%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-25.9%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
83%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+0.4%
Midterm
☁️
+0.4%
47% win
66% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-2.2%
Midterm
☀️
+8.3%
60% win
90% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-7.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.7%
35% win
96% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
-4.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-13.1%
55% win
82% vol
May
20yr
💨
-2.5%
Midterm
☀️
+20.0%
35% win
128% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
-4.0%
Midterm
☀️
+23.4%
45% win
79% vol
Jul
20yr
🌫️
-5.1%
Midterm
☀️
+16.5%
30% win
63% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
-0.9%
Midterm
☀️
+13.3%
50% win
56% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+4.5%
Midterm
☀️
+5.4%
45% win
76% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+1.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.8%
45% win
83% vol
Now:
-12.6%
Nov
20yr
💨
+5.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.6%
63% win
73% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+23.1%
Midterm
💨
+84.4%
53% win
232% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -25.9%