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MNR NYSE

Mach Natural Resources LP
1W: -1.3% 1M: +2.9% 3M: -20.6% YTD: -1.8% 1Y: -10.8%
$10.62
+0.05 (+0.47%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.0%
$10 $11 $11 $11 $12
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Tech Score Sell · Power 45 · $1.8B mcap · 39M float · 1.46% daily turnover · Short 22% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 60% of companies Debt: 40.2% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.39 (down 96%), Mach Natural Resources LP would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.19B against a stock market value of $1.77B.
Distance to default 6.25 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $585.0M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 29.5%; Altman Z'' 1.23. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
53.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 9.7%
Cost Advantage
54
Intangibles
70
Switching Cost
65
Network Effect
23
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MNR shows a Weak competitive edge (53.0/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 9.7% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$16
Low
$17
Avg Target
$19
High
Based on 4 analysts since Aug 6, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 7Hold: 6Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$17.00
Analysts4
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-10-20 Northland Securities Jeff Grampp $17 $19 +2 +75.8% $10.80
2026-09-29 Raymond James John Freeman $19 $16 -3 +55.0% $10.32
2026-09-04 Capital One Financial — Initiated $16 — +28.1% $12.49
2026-08-10 Northland Securities — $20 $17 -3 +31.2% $12.96
2026-07-14 Raymond James — $18 $19 +1 +45.7% $13.04
2026-07-13 Stephens — Initiated $20 — +56.2% $12.80
2026-06-18 Raymond James — Initiated $18 — +46.2% $12.31
2026-01-06 Stifel Nicolaus Selman Akyol Initiated $18 — +60.9% $11.19
2025-11-10 Northland Securities — $21 $20 -1 +72.8% $11.57
2025-10-14 Northland Securities — Initiated $21 — +71.0% $12.28

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
2
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MNR receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-22 A- A
2026-10-19 A A-
2026-10-16 A- A
2026-10-01 B+ A-
2026-08-10 A- B+
2026-07-30 B+ A-
2026-07-27 A- B+
2026-05-18 A A-
2026-05-11 B+ A
2026-05-08 A B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 47 Grade A+
Profitability
78
Balance Sheet
53
Earnings Quality
64
Growth
42
Value
86
Momentum
70
Safety
15
Cash Flow
40
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MNR scores highest in Value (86/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). An overall grade of A+ places MNR among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.20
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
20.63
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.77
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 41.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.29x
Accruals: -10.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MNR scores 1.20, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MNR scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MNR's score of 20.63 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MNR's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MNR receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 41.1/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MNR's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
18.63x
PEG
-0.26x
P/S
1.22x
P/B
0.97x
P/FCF
13.31x
P/OCF
3.80x
EV/EBITDA
5.58x
EV/Revenue
2.26x
EV/EBIT
23.70x
EV/FCF
20.52x
Earnings Yield
11.47%
FCF Yield
7.51%
Shareholder Yield
13.55%
Graham Number
$18.92
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 18.6x earnings, MNR trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 11.5% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $18.92 per share, suggesting a potential 78% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
2.421
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.728
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.095
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.482
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.867
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
15.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MNR's ROE of 15.1% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.482), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 2.42 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$12.32
Price/Value
1.03x
Margin of Safety
-2.57%
Premium
2.57%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MNR's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. MNR trades at a 3% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $12.32, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 18.6x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 754 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$10.62
Median 1Y
$9.40
5th Pctile
$5.75
95th Pctile
$15.41
Ann. Volatility
28.9%
Analyst Target
$17.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Michael P. Landy
President and Chief Executive Officer
$911,630 $3,610 $1,276,620
Kevin S. Miller
Chief Financial and Accounting Officer
$565,950 $3,610 $814,363
Eugene W. Landy
Chairman of the Board
$430,500 $3,610 $807,160
Michael D. Prashad
General Counsel
$260,192 $— $291,330
Richard P. Molke
VP of Asset Management
$254,808 $— $285,346

CEO Pay Ratio

19:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $1,276,620
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $67,424
Employees: 840

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
840
+66.3% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,302,501
Rev: $1,094,101,000
Profit / Employee
$170,219
NI: $142,984,000
SGA / Employee
$67,424
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -15.5% -12.5% -9.3% -2.9% 31.0% 27.3% 31.7% 18.3% 16.1% 14.6% 15.1% 15.13%
ROA -8.0% -6.2% -4.6% -1.5% 16.0% 15.1% 17.3% 9.6% 9.4% 7.9% 8.1% 8.11%
ROIC 3.0% 6.8% 10.9% 15.8% 15.6% 14.9% 16.3% 6.6% 7.1% 9.5% 9.7% 9.74%
ROCE 4.9% 8.5% 12.2% 16.2% 14.6% 13.0% 14.1% 5.1% 6.2% 3.6% 4.2% 4.17%
Gross Margin 37.4% 32.4% 34.1% 40.7% 29.0% 27.6% 41.6% 58.7% 29.7% 25.1% 98.7% 98.67%
Operating Margin 30.6% 28.1% 29.4% 37.1% 24.9% 22.8% 38.6% -7.0% 26.1% 22.8% 30.2% 30.17%
Net Margin -1.0% 17.4% 16.5% 26.4% 94.4% 7.0% 31.1% -13.1% 55.8% -9.2% 24.2% 24.19%
EBITDA Margin 78.6% 56.6% 56.1% 62.5% 55.7% 42.9% 58.5% 48.6% 50.3% 10.1% 54.4% 54.43%
FCF Margin 30.6% 34.3% 29.0% 27.8% 29.3% 29.9% 23.3% 21.5% 6.6% 7.3% 11.0% 11.01%
OCF Margin 60.5% 60.3% 56.1% 52.6% 52.1% 52.6% 51.4% 50.0% 43.1% 40.2% 38.5% 38.53%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.88%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.31%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.60%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 9.70%
Cash ROA snapshot only 15.19%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 18.65%
CROIC snapshot only 5.33%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 20.13%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 6.94%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 3.64%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.84%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio -6.25 -9.93 -14.07 -36.39 4.30 4.56 4.12 5.59 5.08 10.03 8.72 18.632
P/S Ratio 6.35 3.37 2.20 1.42 1.64 1.64 1.62 1.59 1.24 1.77 1.47 1.224
P/B Ratio 0.97 1.24 1.30 1.06 1.33 1.14 1.18 0.83 0.62 1.27 1.15 0.965
P/FCF 20.73 9.83 7.58 5.12 5.62 5.48 6.94 7.41 18.69 24.33 13.31 13.309
P/OCF 10.50 5.59 3.92 2.71 3.16 3.12 3.15 3.18 2.86 4.41 3.80 3.804
EV/EBITDA 12.79 7.51 5.11 3.32 4.02 3.89 3.94 5.18 4.33 6.46 5.58 5.577
EV/Revenue 10.06 4.96 3.19 2.07 2.33 2.13 2.18 2.68 2.19 2.60 2.26 2.260
EV/EBIT 18.44 12.51 9.04 5.80 7.78 7.97 7.54 15.84 12.23 29.51 23.70 23.705
EV/FCF 32.81 14.47 11.01 7.47 7.95 7.11 9.36 12.47 33.12 35.71 20.52 20.517
Earnings Yield -16.0% -10.1% -7.1% -2.7% 23.2% 22.0% 24.3% 17.9% 19.7% 10.0% 11.5% 11.47%
FCF Yield 4.8% 10.2% 13.2% 19.5% 17.8% 18.2% 14.4% 13.5% 5.4% 4.1% 7.5% 7.51%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.152
EV/OCF snapshot only 5.865
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.244
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 11.226
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 13.55%
Graham Number snapshot only $18.92
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.25 1.00 1.05 1.24 0.91 0.69 0.79 1.00 1.05 0.83 0.88 0.875
Quick Ratio 1.14 0.91 0.96 1.16 0.84 0.61 0.69 0.87 0.93 0.73 0.76 0.758
Debt/Equity 0.69 0.72 0.72 0.64 0.64 0.34 0.42 0.59 0.50 0.62 0.65 0.646
Net Debt/Equity 0.56 0.59 0.59 0.49 0.55 0.34 0.41 0.57 0.48 0.60 0.62 0.624
Debt/Assets 0.36 0.35 0.36 0.34 0.33 0.21 0.25 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.324
Debt/EBITDA 5.78 2.95 1.94 1.36 1.37 0.91 1.04 2.20 1.96 2.16 2.03 2.030
Net Debt/EBITDA 4.71 2.41 1.59 1.04 1.18 0.89 1.02 2.10 1.89 2.06 1.96 1.959
Interest Coverage 18.46 5.27 3.98 3.83 2.77 2.66 3.58 2.60 3.12 4.66 3.68 3.683
Equity Multiplier 1.93 2.03 2.01 1.90 1.95 1.63 1.70 1.92 1.61 2.00 1.99 1.993
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.114
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 15.652
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.035
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.134
Defensive Interval snapshot only 195.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.08 0.18 0.30 0.39 0.42 0.42 0.44 0.34 0.38 0.45 0.48 0.482
Inventory Turnover 3.62 8.76 15.76 22.22 22.91 22.67 24.40 16.18 21.17 24.88 19.86 19.862
Receivables Turnover 1.37 2.67 4.51 6.87 6.38 6.10 6.86 5.90 5.85 6.90 8.00 8.001
Payables Turnover 2.39 4.34 11.22 13.19 12.52 11.74 14.63 9.39 11.57 12.87 10.26 10.260
DSO 266 136 81 53 57 60 53 62 62 53 46 45.6 days
DIO 101 42 23 16 16 16 15 23 17 15 18 18.4 days
DPO 152 84 33 28 29 31 25 39 32 28 36 35.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 214 94 72 42 44 45 43 46 48 39 28 28.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.549
Operating Cycle snapshot only 64.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 35.178
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.537
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 4.3% 1.3% 52.3% 11.6% 21.2% 39.1% 44.1% 44.06%
Net Income — — — — 3.0% 3.4% 4.8% 9.1% -22.8% -31.8% -38.3% -38.28%
EPS — — — — 2.8% 3.0% 4.1% 7.2% -37.5% -54.5% -56.5% -56.51%
FCF — — — — 4.1% 98.4% 22.3% -13.5% -72.6% -66.2% -31.9% -31.90%
EBITDA — — — — 2.9% 88.0% 34.9% -7.5% 5.9% 2.4% 5.4% 5.41%
Op. Income — — — — 4.2% 1.2% 63.7% -29.7% -15.8% 1.8% -7.8% -7.78%
OCF Growth snapshot only 7.95%
Asset Growth snapshot only 57.45%
Equity Growth snapshot only 34.02%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.05%
Shares Change snapshot only 41.93%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -32.62%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.90 0.99 0.99 0.995
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.62 0.55 0.46 0.461
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.93 0.95 0.74 0.741
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — 0.74 0.62 0.53 0.527
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — 0.04 0.06 0.04 0.035
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 0.03 0.03 0.18 0.184
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.23 -0.25 -0.15 -0.151
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — 5.1% 5.2% 7.5% 2.0% 2.3% -2.4% -2.7% -2.74%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — 2.7% 3.0% 4.3% 1.0% 1.4% — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.60 -1.78 -3.59 -13.44 1.36 1.46 1.31 1.76 1.77 2.28 2.29 2.292
FCF/OCF 0.51 0.57 0.52 0.53 0.56 0.57 0.45 0.43 0.15 0.18 0.29 0.286
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.655
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.951
CapEx/Revenue 29.9% 26.0% 27.1% 24.8% 22.9% 22.7% 28.1% 28.5% 36.5% 32.9% 27.5% 27.52%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.888
Accruals Ratio -0.13 -0.17 -0.21 -0.22 -0.06 -0.07 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.10 -0.10 -0.105
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.145
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.813
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 6.4% 11.1% 19.0% 19.4% 17.8% 18.5% 16.0% 16.8% 11.6% 13.5% 16.95%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.95 $1.70 $2.55 $2.91 $2.48 $2.54 $2.06 $1.86 $1.63 $1.71 $1.80
Payout Ratio — — — — 83.7% 80.9% 76.2% 89.3% 85.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.18%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 62.6% 84.3% 97.2% 1.1% 97.4% 1.3% 1.2% 3.1% 2.8% 1.8% 1.80%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — 83.8% 81.1% 76.2% 89.3% 85.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.18%
Div. Increase Streak — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — 2.27 1.05 0.21 -0.04 0.10 0.09 0.092
Buyback Yield 5.8% 4.7% 4.6% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -8.9% -7.2% -7.0% -17.8% -8.0% -22.3% -21.5% -13.5% -15.2% -0.0% -0.1% -0.08%
Total Shareholder Return -8.9% -0.8% 4.1% 1.2% 11.4% -4.5% -3.0% 2.5% 1.6% 11.6% 13.5% 13.47%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -1.97 -1.06 -0.59 -0.15 2.00 2.16 1.88 2.74 2.00 2.55 2.42 2.421
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.95 0.81 0.75 0.74 0.64 0.62 0.72 0.61 0.68 0.79 0.73 0.728
EBIT Margin 0.55 0.40 0.35 0.36 0.30 0.27 0.29 0.17 0.18 0.09 0.10 0.095
Asset Turnover 0.08 0.18 0.30 0.39 0.42 0.42 0.44 0.34 0.38 0.45 0.48 0.482
Equity Multiplier 1.93 2.03 2.01 1.90 1.94 1.81 1.84 1.91 1.72 1.84 1.87 1.867
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-1.94 $-1.50 $-1.08 $-0.37 $3.48 $3.07 $3.33 $2.31 $2.17 $1.40 $1.45 $1.45
Book Value/Share $12.54 $12.04 $11.69 $12.62 $11.26 $12.28 $11.62 $15.53 $17.86 $10.98 $10.97 $11.00
Tangible Book/Share $12.54 $12.04 $11.69 $12.62 $11.26 $12.28 $11.62 $15.53 $17.86 $10.98 $10.97 $10.97
Revenue/Share $1.91 $4.43 $6.94 $9.44 $9.10 $8.53 $8.50 $8.09 $8.94 $7.91 $8.62 $8.65
FCF/Share $0.59 $1.52 $2.01 $2.62 $2.66 $2.55 $1.98 $1.74 $0.59 $0.58 $0.95 $0.95
OCF/Share $1.16 $2.67 $3.89 $4.96 $4.74 $4.49 $4.37 $4.05 $3.85 $3.18 $3.32 $3.33
Cash/Share $1.61 $1.59 $1.52 $1.90 $0.99 $0.07 $0.12 $0.42 $0.32 $0.31 $0.25 $0.25
EBITDA/Share $1.50 $2.93 $4.34 $5.90 $5.27 $4.66 $4.70 $4.19 $4.51 $3.18 $3.49 $3.49
Debt/Share $8.68 $8.65 $8.43 $8.05 $7.19 $4.22 $4.90 $9.21 $8.85 $6.86 $7.09 $7.09
Net Debt/Share $7.07 $7.06 $6.91 $6.15 $6.20 $4.15 $4.79 $8.79 $8.52 $6.55 $6.85 $6.85
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — 1.199
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.390
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 3 3 6 6 7 6 6 5 6 6
Beneish M-Score — — — — -2.48 -2.19 -1.76 -2.36 75.17 -2.20 20.63 20.631
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.767
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 63.93%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-9.02
EVA snapshot only $-7753000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 48.93 47.28 51.14 57.33 53.53 67.17 65.43 40.44 46.46 45.52 41.06 41.059
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only -24.371
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 35
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 33

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