MOH NYSE
Molina Healthcare, Inc.
1W: -9.3%
1M: +5.1%
3M: +0.2%
YTD: +11.7%
1Y: +22.1%
3Y: -42.9%
5Y: -29.3%
$199.46
-5.33 (-2.60%)
Pre-Market: $197.47 (-1.99, -1.00%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.4%
$187
$198
$209
$221
$232
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 62% of companies Debt: 27.5% of company value Bonds: $576.6M held by 311 funds, 151 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $7.04 (down 96%), Molina Healthcare, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $3.95B against a stock market value of $10.41B.
Distance to default 4.05 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $1.89B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 52.5%; Altman Z'' 3.37. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $7.04 (down 96%), Molina Healthcare, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $3.95B against a stock market value of $10.41B.
Distance to default 4.05 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $1.89B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 52.5%; Altman Z'' 3.37. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+13.8% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+31.9% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+13.8%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+31.9%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+11.7%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
48%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+4.6%
Midterm
⛅
+2.7%
50% win
38% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+6.3%
Midterm
☁️
-0.5%
60% win
49% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+9.2%
Midterm
☀️
+8.2%
60% win
43% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+9.6%
Midterm
☀️
+11.3%
55% win
47% vol
May
20yr
💨
+13.9%
Midterm
☀️
+16.2%
50% win
36% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+13.3%
Midterm
☀️
+20.4%
45% win
45% vol
Jul
20yr
🌫️
+12.9%
Midterm
☀️
+20.9%
60% win
45% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+13.9%
Midterm
☀️
+32.2%
50% win
37% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
+13.0%
Midterm
☀️
+31.3%
55% win
37% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+13.1%
Midterm
☀️
+31.5%
43% win
48% vol
Now:
+5.4%
Nov
20yr
💨
+15.2%
Midterm
☀️
+29.5%
55% win
43% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+0.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.7%
55% win
32% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +11.7%