— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 1MO.F (FSX) · $vol 0M

MOMO NASDAQ

Hello Group Inc.
1W: -4.3% 1M: -9.2% 3M: -24.2% YTD: -34.5% 1Y: -35.4% 3Y: -23.9% 5Y: -51.3%
$4.45
+0.00 (+0.00%)
After Hours: $4.50 (+0.05, +1.12%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.9%
$4 $4 $4 $5 $5
NASDAQ · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 38 · $639.2M mcap · 159M float · 0.467% daily turnover · Short 53% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 97% of companies Debt: 1.6% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.00 (down more than 99.9%), Hello Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $10.2M against a stock market value of $639.2M.
Distance to default 25.70 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $392K (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 28.8%; Altman Z'' 9.00. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$9
Avg Target
$9
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 10Hold: 7Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$9.05
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-06-04 UBS — Initiated $10 — +74.7% $5.72
2025-12-10 Jefferies — Initiated $8 — +19.3% $6.79
2024-05-15 Morgan Stanley Alex Poon $9 $6 -3 -0.9% $6.05
2022-12-09 Morgan Stanley — Initiated $9 — -1.5% $9.13

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

S-
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
5
P/E
4
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MOMO receives an overall rating of S-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (5/5), D/E (5/5), P/E (4/5), P/B (4/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-26 A+ S-
2026-10-12 A A+
2026-10-01 S- A
2026-09-24 A+ S-
2026-08-28 A A+
2026-05-18 A+ A
2026-05-11 A A+
2026-02-18 A- A
2026-02-09 A A-
2026-02-04 A- A

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A
Profitability
39
Balance Sheet
95
Earnings Quality
93
Growth
53
Value
—
Momentum
83
Safety
—
Cash Flow
63

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
8/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.79
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-11.86
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A+
Score: 78.8/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.34x
Accruals: -2.5%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MOMO scores 8/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MOMO's score of -2.79 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MOMO's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MOMO receives an estimated rating of A+ (score: 78.8/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MOMO's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
4.28x
PEG
0.10x
P/S
0.42x
P/B
0.42x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$105.43
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 4.3x earnings, MOMO trades at a deep value multiple. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $105.43 per share, suggesting a potential 2269% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.796
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.079
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.129
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.676
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.365
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
10.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MOMO's ROE of 10.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.676), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$273.76
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MOMO's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. MOMO trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $273.76, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 4.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$4.45
Median 1Y
$3.00
5th Pctile
$1.17
95th Pctile
$7.69
Ann. Volatility
57.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
1,166
-16.1% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$8,648,925
Rev: $10,084,646,207
Profit / Employee
$674,953
NI: $786,994,921
SGA / Employee
$1,509,021
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$646,046
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 13.8% -23.2% -25.3% -25.4% -25.1% 14.1% 15.7% 17.2% 17.4% 17.5% 14.8% 12.6% 11.4% 8.9% 12.6% 7.7% 6.7% 7.1% 6.7% 10.2% 10.18%
ROA 8.8% -14.1% -14.8% -16.5% -16.6% 8.8% 9.3% 11.4% 12.1% 12.3% 9.3% 8.4% 7.6% 6.0% 8.0% 5.0% 4.7% 5.0% 4.8% 7.5% 7.46%
ROIC 16.1% 22.2% 20.5% 35.7% 29.7% 40.0% 58.2% 28.9% 24.2% 23.0% 17.6% 13.5% 11.1% 8.5% 14.0% 8.9% 22.7% 26.0% 26.2% 38.8% 38.79%
ROCE 13.1% -12.9% -14.2% -16.7% -21.2% 19.0% 20.5% 21.3% 17.9% 19.2% 19.9% 17.8% 19.5% 16.3% 15.2% 15.3% 13.4% 14.0% 13.8% 11.3% 11.26%
Gross Margin 41.9% 40.4% 42.1% 42.2% 41.7% 40.4% 41.0% 42.0% 41.8% 41.1% 41.3% 40.7% 39.3% 34.6% 37.8% 38.6% 37.4% 37.4% 38.7% 35.7% 35.67%
Operating Margin 11.7% 9.3% 10.4% 9.8% 16.1% 14.8% 14.2% 20.5% 19.1% 19.0% 17.2% 15.8% 15.4% 9.0% 11.9% 15.4% 12.9% 11.9% 13.0% 9.1% 9.08%
Net Margin 10.8% -1.2% 9.2% 11.1% 14.5% 12.4% 13.8% 18.7% 18.0% 15.1% 0.2% 14.8% 16.8% 7.1% 14.2% -5.4% 13.2% 9.2% 12.2% 9.6% 9.55%
EBITDA Margin 16.7% -1.1% 15.6% 17.2% 21.0% 16.3% 19.8% 25.0% 24.2% 23.7% 23.0% 19.9% 20.9% 12.4% 17.4% 20.1% 13.6% 15.3% 16.3% 10.1% 10.09%
FCF Margin 12.5% 10.0% 7.1% 10.0% 9.6% 9.1% 12.7% 17.9% 17.6% 14.2% 13.8% 9.5% 9.7% 12.8% 11.5% 11.1% 8.3% 6.7% 6.1% 10.1% 10.14%
OCF Margin 13.2% 10.7% 7.7% 10.7% 10.2% 9.7% 13.3% 18.4% 19.8% 19.0% 19.0% 16.6% 15.0% 15.5% 14.1% 12.0% 10.2% 11.4% 10.8% 14.8% 14.79%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.17%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 3.21%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.17%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 22.19%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 8.77%
Cash ROA snapshot only 11.18%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 61.41%
CROIC snapshot only 42.12%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 9.34%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 13.87%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 7.53%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 18.27%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.14%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.277
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.422
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.421
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.103
Graham Number snapshot only $105.43
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 4.23 3.74 2.91 5.66 2.24 2.47 2.24 2.60 3.72 3.74 2.36 2.55 1.83 1.88 2.06 2.29 5.20 4.68 4.35 5.13 5.134
Quick Ratio 4.23 3.74 2.91 5.66 2.24 2.45 2.24 2.60 3.72 3.74 2.00 2.55 1.83 1.88 2.06 2.29 5.20 4.68 4.35 5.13 5.134
Debt/Equity 0.34 0.46 0.46 0.37 0.27 0.26 0.27 0.23 0.20 0.19 0.33 0.34 0.42 0.40 0.26 0.25 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.006
Net Debt/Equity -0.30 -0.34 -0.31 -0.70 -0.62 -0.73 -0.79 -0.51 -0.42 -0.39 -0.32 -0.22 -0.14 -0.14 -0.30 -0.32 -0.77 -0.77 -0.78 -0.78 -0.777
Debt/Assets 0.22 0.27 0.26 0.23 0.19 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.20 0.22 0.25 0.25 0.17 0.17 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.005
Debt/EBITDA 1.69 -2.75 -2.43 -1.71 -1.32 1.25 1.20 0.99 0.89 0.82 1.29 1.49 1.94 2.27 1.53 1.50 0.10 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.049
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.50 2.05 1.63 3.23 2.98 -3.54 -3.56 -2.24 -1.89 -1.65 -1.25 -0.97 -0.64 -0.78 -1.76 -1.91 -5.19 -4.98 -5.04 -6.07 -6.071
Interest Coverage 34.85 -27.30 -28.48 -28.19 -25.17 25.18 29.22 41.69 47.63 43.53 36.37 26.06 20.83 15.30 13.36 14.22 14.48 22.60 37.77 70.32 70.323
Equity Multiplier 1.53 1.73 1.79 1.59 1.48 1.47 1.57 1.43 1.40 1.37 1.61 1.56 1.63 1.61 1.51 1.50 1.23 1.24 1.26 1.23 1.227
Cash Ratio snapshot only 4.650
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 75.453
Cash to Debt snapshot only 124.887
FCF to Debt snapshot only 15.007
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1238.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.65 0.71 0.68 0.71 0.70 0.74 0.72 0.76 0.77 0.75 0.69 0.68 0.63 0.61 0.61 0.62 0.65 0.64 0.67 0.68 0.676
Inventory Turnover 7703.14 7890.26 7749.52 7512.71 7232.49 150.94 — 1540.16 1540.69 143.53 9.11 1413.29 1398.80 — 8.66 — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 64.88 71.97 69.39 63.68 63.91 64.10 63.89 58.94 62.65 61.40 62.94 58.11 57.40 53.72 51.11 49.35 47.85 47.20 32.10 43.63 43.630
Payables Turnover 12.14 11.79 12.32 11.62 11.50 10.98 11.38 11.42 11.25 11.37 11.12 10.64 10.33 10.48 10.64 10.64 11.29 10.73 10.67 10.59 10.592
DSO 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 11 8 8.4 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 40 0 0 0 42 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 30 31 30 31 32 33 32 32 32 32 33 34 35 35 34 34 32 34 34 34 34.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -24 -26 -24 -26 -26 -25 -26 -26 -26 -24 13 -28 -29 -28 15 -27 -25 -26 -23 -26 -26.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 6.938
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.185
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.323
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue -7.7% -2.3% -3.9% -6.2% -10.0% -13.6% -13.6% -10.4% -8.2% -5.1% -4.8% -8.3% -10.3% -11.7% -10.2% -7.3% -4.3% -2.1% -2.9% -3.5% -3.50%
Net Income -21.2% -2.4% -2.5% -2.6% -2.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 32.0% -0.5% -23.6% -32.2% -47.3% -12.2% -38.8% -42.0% -22.8% -47.2% 30.3% 30.28%
EPS -18.5% -2.6% -2.7% -2.6% -2.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 37.1% 4.6% -17.3% -26.2% -42.0% -1.2% -30.6% -37.4% -17.1% -43.2% 38.6% 38.56%
FCF -48.5% -50.5% -65.5% -30.5% -31.3% -21.7% 55.1% 60.2% 68.5% 48.4% 3.2% -51.2% -50.6% -20.4% -25.1% 7.8% -17.9% -49.0% -48.5% -11.7% -11.71%
EBITDA -27.0% -1.5% -1.6% -1.7% -1.7% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.2% 25.8% 23.3% 1.6% -8.0% -27.7% -33.9% -27.8% -30.7% -14.7% -10.4% -25.0% -24.96%
Op. Income -33.6% -19.3% -21.0% -33.9% -28.0% -16.1% -5.9% 42.6% 39.3% 35.6% 32.2% -0.3% -11.9% -30.8% -38.5% -33.0% -30.5% -11.0% -0.9% -12.5% -12.50%
OCF Growth snapshot only 18.93%
Asset Growth snapshot only -19.20%
Equity Growth snapshot only -1.06%
Debt Growth snapshot only -97.55%
Shares Change snapshot only -5.97%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -14.30%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 6.3% 2.6% -0.7% -3.8% -6.5% -9.5% -10.1% -9.6% -8.6% -7.1% -7.5% -8.3% -9.5% -10.2% -9.6% -8.7% -7.6% -6.4% -6.0% -6.4% -6.39%
Revenue 5Y 45.0% 31.3% 22.1% 15.4% 10.5% 7.4% 4.8% 2.4% -0.1% -2.4% -4.2% -6.0% -7.6% -9.1% -9.1% -8.9% -8.1% -7.1% -7.2% -7.2% -7.16%
EPS 3Y -10.0% — — — — -17.5% -18.2% -11.8% -4.7% 2.7% -3.2% -6.4% -7.8% — — — — -12.9% -16.2% -7.4% -7.37%
EPS 5Y 32.7% — — — — -6.2% -7.4% -6.9% -5.0% -3.4% -4.2% -4.8% -8.1% -14.9% -10.8% -17.0% -16.7% -12.2% -12.6% -4.6% -4.62%
Net Income 3Y -10.5% — — — — -20.5% -21.0% -14.8% -8.7% -2.0% -7.7% -11.6% -13.1% — — — — -18.7% -22.7% -15.3% -15.27%
Net Income 5Y 34.5% — — — — -6.6% -7.6% -7.5% -7.1% -6.0% -5.9% -8.1% -11.9% -18.9% -15.5% -22.0% -21.4% -17.5% -18.3% -11.3% -11.25%
EBITDA 3Y -6.0% — — — — -19.9% -20.5% -17.2% -13.5% -5.9% -4.0% -5.2% -6.5% — — — — -8.1% -9.9% -18.0% -18.03%
EBITDA 5Y 45.3% — — — — -2.5% -4.6% -5.6% -5.9% -4.8% -2.0% -4.5% -7.9% -14.1% -16.4% -16.1% -16.2% -12.5% -12.1% -14.3% -14.32%
Gross Profit 3Y 3.9% -0.4% -3.8% -7.9% -11.6% -14.9% -15.5% -14.7% -13.1% -10.9% -10.6% -11.0% -11.9% -12.8% -12.5% -11.7% -11.0% -9.3% -8.6% -9.5% -9.50%
Gross Profit 5Y 36.6% 24.1% 15.5% 9.5% 5.4% 3.2% 0.7% -0.9% -2.7% -4.6% -6.2% -8.7% -11.0% -13.5% -13.8% -13.6% -12.7% -11.0% -10.7% -10.6% -10.62%
Op. Income 3Y -12.8% -14.8% -11.2% -18.2% -20.1% -23.1% -23.3% -17.8% -12.7% -2.8% -0.6% -2.0% -4.1% -7.7% -8.5% -1.6% -5.2% -5.8% -7.0% -16.4% -16.37%
Op. Income 5Y 39.4% 14.0% 2.3% -6.7% -8.6% -7.5% -8.9% -8.1% -7.9% -6.8% -2.7% -4.9% -9.0% -15.7% -18.2% -18.0% -16.4% -10.8% -9.7% -11.2% -11.23%
FCF 3Y -12.3% -22.3% -33.9% -29.1% -35.5% -39.8% -30.4% -18.2% -15.9% -16.8% -18.0% -18.4% -17.0% -2.6% 6.2% -5.6% -11.9% -15.5% -26.5% -22.6% -22.56%
FCF 5Y 15.6% 0.4% -12.9% -10.9% -14.0% -15.4% -11.0% -6.6% -4.9% -11.4% -14.3% -22.6% -25.9% -23.8% -23.6% -22.0% -24.8% -25.2% -26.6% -12.4% -12.35%
OCF 3Y -13.4% -22.6% -33.4% -29.0% -35.0% -39.2% -30.2% -18.7% -13.6% -9.6% -9.9% -3.2% -5.5% 1.7% 10.4% -5.1% -7.9% -1.2% -12.3% -13.0% -12.95%
OCF 5Y 15.4% 1.0% -12.2% -10.5% -13.7% -15.6% -11.6% -7.4% -4.2% -7.5% -9.8% -14.5% -19.9% -21.3% -21.0% -21.5% -22.2% -17.4% -18.4% -6.3% -6.28%
Assets 3Y 7.6% -1.5% -2.2% -6.0% -10.1% -11.0% -11.1% -11.2% -10.8% -11.3% -8.9% -7.9% -6.5% 0.5% -2.4% 0.2% -3.9% -4.5% -5.5% -5.4% -5.41%
Assets 5Y 38.0% 27.6% 24.4% 19.3% 15.6% 13.2% 12.3% 2.5% -1.9% -3.1% -1.4% -2.4% -3.1% -3.9% -6.2% -6.0% -9.6% -9.9% -10.4% -9.8% -9.83%
Equity 3Y 12.5% -1.8% -1.2% -3.1% -5.9% -7.7% -7.7% -7.1% -6.4% -6.9% -8.3% -9.0% -8.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.2% 2.3% 1.0% 1.6% -0.4% -0.43%
Book Value 3Y 13.2% 2.4% 0.3% -1.9% -3.8% -4.2% -4.5% -3.9% -2.3% -2.5% -3.9% -3.6% -2.9% 6.7% 9.1% 11.6% 10.2% 8.1% 10.2% 8.9% 8.85%
Dividend 3Y -8.2% -4.8% -7.3% 0.9% 1.9% 3.2% 2.9% 7.1% 8.1% 9.4% 9.5% -2.2% -2.0% -6.0% -4.2% -15.1% -16.3% -15.9% -14.9% 1.7% 1.73%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.75 0.65 0.56 0.44 0.32 0.18 0.09 0.02 0.01 0.31 0.71 0.94 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.972
Earnings Stability 0.30 0.22 0.30 0.38 0.45 0.26 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.039
Margin Stability 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.921
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.92 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.95 0.84 0.83 0.91 0.81 0.88 0.879
Earnings Smoothness 0.76 — — — — — — — — 0.72 1.00 0.73 0.62 0.38 0.87 0.52 0.47 0.74 0.38 0.74 0.737
ROE Trend -0.05 -0.46 -0.50 -0.49 -0.46 0.21 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.18 -0.06 -0.02 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 0.00 0.001
Gross Margin Trend -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.021
FCF Margin Trend -0.13 -0.15 -0.16 -0.09 -0.08 -0.06 -0.01 0.06 0.07 0.05 0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.00 -0.002
Sustainable Growth Rate 7.8% — — — — 6.1% 7.4% 8.4% 8.8% 9.0% 5.9% 5.9% 4.9% 2.8% 6.1% 4.6% 3.6% 4.0% 3.6% 7.6% 7.63%
Internal Growth Rate 5.3% — — — — 4.0% 4.6% 5.9% 6.6% 6.7% 3.8% 4.1% 3.4% 1.9% 4.1% 3.1% 2.6% 2.9% 2.6% 5.9% 5.92%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.98 -0.54 -0.36 -0.46 -0.43 0.82 1.03 1.24 1.26 1.16 1.40 1.34 1.26 1.58 1.06 1.47 1.41 1.47 1.50 1.34 1.340
FCF/OCF 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.96 0.97 0.89 0.75 0.73 0.57 0.64 0.83 0.82 0.92 0.82 0.58 0.56 0.69 0.686
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.919
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.072
CapEx/Revenue 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 2.2% 4.8% 5.2% 7.1% 5.3% 2.7% 2.6% 0.9% 1.9% 4.8% 4.7% 4.6% 4.65%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 4.954
Accruals Ratio 0.00 -0.22 -0.20 -0.24 -0.24 0.02 -0.00 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.025
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.083
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.996
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.28%
Dividend/Share $3.90 $4.34 $4.20 $3.89 $3.98 $4.14 $4.11 $4.58 $4.71 $4.90 $4.92 $3.90 $4.03 $4.03 $4.14 $2.08 $2.04 $2.10 $2.16 $1.78 $1.86
Payout Ratio 43.1% — — — — 56.3% 52.8% 51.2% 49.1% 48.6% 60.4% 52.8% 56.9% 68.9% 51.4% 40.5% 46.1% 43.2% 47.1% 25.1% 25.06%
FCF Payout Ratio 46.3% 58.5% 84.8% 61.4% 66.8% 73.4% 53.7% 42.5% 44.0% 56.3% 59.3% 68.6% 70.1% 52.9% 59.2% 29.9% 40.1% 50.2% 55.6% 27.3% 27.26%
Total Payout Ratio 96.8% — — — — 82.6% 77.6% 72.7% 57.8% 59.4% 80.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 1.00%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 1.40 1.40 1.30 1.33 0.73 0.75 0.77 0.78 0.76 0.60 0.58 0.58 0.55 0.80 0.49 0.47 0.49 0.46 0.80 0.796
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.96 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.98 1.02 1.01 1.01 1.08 1.079
EBIT Margin 0.18 -0.14 -0.15 -0.17 -0.17 0.17 0.18 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.13 0.129
Asset Turnover 0.65 0.71 0.68 0.71 0.70 0.74 0.72 0.76 0.77 0.75 0.69 0.68 0.63 0.61 0.61 0.62 0.65 0.64 0.67 0.68 0.676
Equity Multiplier 1.57 1.65 1.71 1.54 1.51 1.60 1.68 1.51 1.44 1.42 1.59 1.50 1.51 1.49 1.56 1.53 1.43 1.43 1.39 1.37 1.365
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $9.03 $-14.73 $-15.16 $-14.74 $-14.79 $7.35 $7.79 $8.95 $9.59 $10.08 $8.15 $7.39 $7.08 $5.85 $8.05 $5.13 $4.43 $4.85 $4.58 $7.11 $7.11
Book Value/Share $66.40 $52.94 $49.36 $47.48 $49.36 $53.07 $50.38 $53.87 $58.08 $60.39 $57.01 $59.19 $60.79 $64.35 $64.05 $66.03 $66.03 $67.11 $67.35 $69.48 $70.51
Tangible Book/Share $45.33 $52.80 $49.23 $47.37 $49.25 $52.96 $50.27 $53.78 $57.98 $60.30 $56.93 $59.11 $60.72 $63.10 $61.50 $63.40 $60.84 $62.04 $62.35 $64.53 $64.53
Revenue/Share $67.06 $74.04 $69.99 $63.21 $62.35 $62.17 $60.18 $60.11 $60.91 $61.28 $60.23 $59.68 $59.49 $59.54 $60.85 $62.78 $61.36 $62.64 $63.60 $64.43 $65.48
FCF/Share $8.41 $7.42 $4.96 $6.34 $5.97 $5.65 $7.65 $10.77 $10.70 $8.70 $8.30 $5.69 $5.75 $7.62 $7.00 $6.96 $5.08 $4.18 $3.88 $6.54 $6.63
OCF/Share $8.83 $7.90 $5.41 $6.77 $6.39 $6.04 $7.99 $11.06 $12.05 $11.65 $11.44 $9.92 $8.92 $9.23 $8.55 $7.53 $6.23 $7.16 $6.86 $9.53 $9.67
Cash/Share $42.47 $42.72 $38.20 $50.50 $44.08 $52.29 $53.15 $39.95 $36.09 $35.25 $36.75 $33.39 $33.57 $34.61 $35.53 $37.99 $51.49 $52.54 $52.90 $54.40 $55.20
EBITDA/Share $13.33 $-8.90 $-9.41 $-10.22 $-10.24 $10.91 $11.17 $12.35 $13.01 $14.25 $14.47 $13.59 $13.03 $11.34 $10.77 $11.14 $9.74 $10.40 $10.38 $8.89 $8.89
Debt/Share $22.48 $24.48 $22.83 $17.46 $13.56 $13.63 $13.37 $12.24 $11.53 $11.69 $18.64 $20.21 $25.26 $25.79 $16.52 $16.69 $0.94 $0.78 $0.56 $0.44 $0.44
Net Debt/Share $-20.00 $-18.24 $-15.37 $-33.04 $-30.52 $-38.66 $-39.78 $-27.71 $-24.56 $-23.56 $-18.11 $-13.18 $-8.31 $-8.82 $-19.01 $-21.30 $-50.55 $-51.76 $-52.34 $-53.96 $-53.96
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 8 8 6 4 4 4 5 5 7 8 8 8 8
Beneish M-Score -2.41 -3.63 -3.65 -4.15 -4.20 -2.65 -2.78 -2.56 -2.36 -2.09 -2.19 -2.42 -2.67 -2.73 -2.42 -2.45 -2.50 -2.53 -1.95 -2.79 -2.788
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -11.863
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 14.37%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $44.30
EVA snapshot only $699412151.25
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A+
Credit Score 75.88 51.99 51.47 53.22 52.54 78.22 76.26 79.82 79.11 79.62 75.51 75.93 71.38 69.35 73.41 74.11 76.16 79.77 78.98 78.81 78.815
Credit Grade snapshot only 5
Credit Trend snapshot only 4.702
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 125.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 65
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 77

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