MPC Smart Money
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
1W: -8.2%
1M: +11.9%
3M: +41.2%
YTD: +165.2%
1Y: +123.2%
3Y: +203.0%
5Y: +620.6%
$435.98
-34.66 (-7.36%)
Pre-Market: $441.00 (+5.02, +1.15%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.0%
$411
$434
$457
$480
$503
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 62% of companies Debt: 21.9% of company value Bonds: $327.3M held by 223 funds, 104 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $9.12 (down 98%), Marathon Petroleum Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $34.29B against a stock market value of $122.43B.
Distance to default 6.45 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $17.47B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 36.4%; Altman Z'' 3.33. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $9.12 (down 98%), Marathon Petroleum Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $34.29B against a stock market value of $122.43B.
Distance to default 6.45 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $17.47B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 36.4%; Altman Z'' 3.33. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 20262,046
Institutions Holding
+45 vs prior
45.1%
Ownership
+1.73%
178
New
685
Increased
804
Reduced
94
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Lyon Shawn M | officer: svp log & storage, mplx gp llc | S-Sale | 1,000 | $375.75 | $376K | Filing |
| 2026-08-28 | Lyon Shawn M | officer: svp log & storage, mplx gp llc | S-Sale | 425 | $368.51 | $157K | Filing |
| 2026-08-27 | Brzezinski Erin M | officer: vp and controller | S-Sale | 570 | $362.79 | $207K | Filing |
| 2026-08-17 | Benson Molly R | officer: chief legal ofc & corp sec | S-Sale | 5,000 | $358.57 | $1.8M | Filing |
| 2026-08-17 | Benson Molly R | officer: chief legal ofc & corp sec | S-Sale | 7,196 | $358.57 | $2.6M | Filing |
| 2026-08-13 | Lyon Shawn M | officer: svp log & storage, mplx gp llc | S-Sale | 2,500 | $350.00 | $875K | Filing |
| 2026-08-12 | Henschen Michael A II | officer: ex vp, refining | S-Sale | 6,011 | $341.56 | $2.1M | Filing |
| 2026-08-03 | Mannen Maryann T. | officer: chairman, president & ceo | F-Tax Withholding | 908 | $311.78 | $283K | Filing |
| 2026-06-04 | Henschen Michael A II | officer: ex vp, refining | S-Sale | 1,372 | $268.75 | $369K | Filing |
| 2026-06-04 | Henschen Michael A II | officer: ex vp, refining | S-Sale | 4,964 | $268.85 | $1.3M | Filing |
| 2026-05-13 | Hessling Ricky D. | officer: chief commercial officer | S-Sale | 1,000 | $250.00 | $250K | Filing |
| 2026-04-30 | Rucker Kim K.W. | director | A-Grant/Award | 728 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-30 | SEMPLE FRANK M | director | A-Grant/Award | 728 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-30 | STICE J MICHAEL | director | A-Grant/Award | 728 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-30 | SURMA JOHN P | director | A-Grant/Award | 728 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-30 | Al Khayyal Abdulaziz Fahd | director | A-Grant/Award | 728 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-30 | Bayh Evan | director | A-Grant/Award | 728 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-30 | CAMPBELL JEFFREY C | director | A-Grant/Award | 728 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-30 | COHEN JONATHAN Z | director | A-Grant/Award | 728 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-30 | Ellison-Taylor Kimberly N | director | A-Grant/Award | 728 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-30 | Paterson Eileen P. | director | A-Grant/Award | 728 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-12 | Hessling Ricky D. | officer: chief commercial officer | S-Sale | 478 | $228.00 | $109K | Filing |
| 2026-03-12 | Hessling Ricky D. | officer: chief commercial officer | S-Sale | 559 | $230.00 | $129K | Filing |
| 2026-03-11 | Hessling Ricky D. | officer: chief commercial officer | S-Sale | 325 | $226.00 | $73K | Filing |
| 2026-03-11 | Hessling Ricky D. | officer: chief commercial officer | S-Sale | 1,485 | $224.51 | $333K | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
25 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-09-22 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-09-22 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-24 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-24 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-24 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-24 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-23 | David J. Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-10 | Daniel Milton Newhouse | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-10 | Dan Newhouse | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-09 | Daniel Milton Newhouse | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-03-11 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-03-11 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-03-11 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-03-10 | David J. Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-02-26 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-02-26 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-02-25 | David J. Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-08-14 | David Taylor | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-08-13 | David J. Taylor | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-07-18 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-07-18 | David Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-07-17 | David J. Taylor | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-05-15 | Rob Bresnahan | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-05-14 | Robert P. Bresnahan | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 26,006,017 | $6.6B | +1,611,175 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 19,074,289 | $4.9B | -95,805 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 18,471,905 | $4.7B | -553,115 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 15,631,265 | $4.0B | -40,848 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 8,351,157 | $2.1B | +529,633 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 5,887,382 | $1.5B | -186,161 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC | 5,684,963 | $1.5B | -88,806 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FMR LLC | 5,419,718 | $1.4B | +508,637 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Bank of New York Mellon Corp | 4,027,107 | $1.0B | +73,789 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Boston Partners | 3,515,417 | $906M | -2,133,787 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | 3,252,153 | $831M | -2,385,034 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 3,126,059 | $799M | -50,810 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 3,056,082 | $781M | -31,900 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 2,884,591 | $738M | +129,748 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 2,736,206 | $709M | -699,606 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Sixth Street Partners Management Company | 2,622,511 | $670M | +2,622,511 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 2,622,511 | $670M | -106,878 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORGES BANK | 2,465,801 | $630M | +2,465,801 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE | 2,432,168 | $622M | -162,916 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Invesco Ltd. | 2,341,034 | $599M | -487,611 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |