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Also trades as: MPW (NYSE) · $vol 38M · 0JZZ.L (LSE) · $vol 0M

MPT NYSE

Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
1W: -1.8% 1M: -21.6% 3M: -42.0% YTD: -44.9%
$2.71
-0.09 (-3.04%)
After Hours: $2.74 (+0.03, +0.92%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.6%
$2 $3 $3 $3 $3
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 30 · $1.7B mcap · 490M float · 1.90% daily turnover · Short 61% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: not rated, financial company (lending is its business) Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Not rated: lending and leverage are a financial company's business, which the model misreads.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
47.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 7.9%
Cost Advantage
53
Intangibles
35
Switching Cost
74
Network Effect
19
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MPT shows a Weak competitive edge (47.5/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 7.9% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$4
Low
$4
Avg Target
$4
High
Based on 1 analyst since Aug 10, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 11Hold: 13Sell: 4Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$3.80
Analysts1
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-02-09 consensus Sell Hold
2026-02-04 _new_coverage None ADDED
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-09-01 Wells Fargo — $5 $4 -1 -4.3% $3.97
2026-02-03 Maxim Group — Initiated $8 — +54.0% $5.20
2025-11-25 Wells Fargo — $8 $5 -2 -11.5% $5.65
2025-03-11 BNP Paribas Nate Crossett $4 $9 +5 +57.9% $5.70
2024-09-13 Truist Financial Michael Lewis $5 $6 +1 +7.1% $5.60
2024-09-13 Colliers Securities David Toti Initiated $6 — +16.1% $5.60
2024-09-12 Mizuho Securities Vikram Malhotra $20 $7 -13 +23.8% $5.65
2024-08-02 Wells Fargo Dori Kesten Initiated $8 — +62.0% $4.63
2024-07-01 BNP Paribas Nate Crossett Initiated $4 — -2.2% $4.09
2024-05-29 Truist Financial Michael Lewis $4 $5 +0 +0.4% $4.98
2024-05-13 RBC Capital Michael Carroll $10 $5 -5 -10.4% $5.58
2024-04-17 Deutsche Bank Omotayo Okusanya $15 $5 -10 +8.2% $4.62
2024-04-08 Truist Financial Michael Lewis Initiated $4 — +11.1% $4.05
2023-08-14 RBC Capital Michael Carroll $22 $10 -12 +28.7% $7.77
2022-12-21 Credit Suisse — $23 $11 -12 +0.6% $10.93
2022-09-22 Raymond James — $20 $18 -2 +40.6% $12.80
2022-09-16 Deutsche Bank — $17 $15 -2 +9.6% $13.69
2022-07-29 Mizuho Securities — Initiated $20 — +17.4% $17.03
2022-07-15 Raymond James — $26 $20 -6 +28.6% $15.55
2022-07-13 Deutsche Bank — $20 $17 -3 +8.4% $15.68
2022-06-30 Jefferies — $20 $15 -5 -2.5% $15.38
2022-05-20 RBC Capital — Initiated $22 — +21.3% $18.13
2022-05-02 Credit Suisse — Initiated $23 — +25.5% $18.32
2022-04-27 Deutsche Bank — Initiated $20 — +11.4% $17.96
2022-04-22 Jefferies Jonathan Petersen Initiated $20 — -1.6% $20.33
2021-11-22 Barclays Steven Valiquette Initiated $27 — +28.5% $21.01
2021-10-28 Raymond James Jonathan Hughes Initiated $26 — +25.2% $20.76
2021-05-03 KeyBanc Jordan Sadler Initiated $24 — +17.5% $20.43

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MPT receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-04 C C+
2026-08-17 B- C
2026-08-10 C B-
2026-07-30 C+ C
2026-07-02 C C+
2026-05-05 C+ C
2026-04-30 C C+
2026-04-22 C+ C
2026-04-01 C C+
2026-03-05 B- C

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 36 Grade C
Profitability
33
Balance Sheet
14
Earnings Quality
100
Growth
—
Value
49
Momentum
—
Safety
0
Cash Flow
57
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MPT scores highest in Earnings Quality (100/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-0.21
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-6.86
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 9.9/100
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.59x
Accruals: -0.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MPT scores -0.21, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MPT scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MPT's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MPT receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 9.9/100). The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MPT's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-52.00x
PEG
-0.09x
P/S
1.60x
P/B
0.36x
P/FCF
57.33x
P/OCF
57.33x
EV/EBITDA
28.67x
EV/Revenue
23.61x
EV/EBIT
43.38x
EV/FCF
250.51x
Earnings Yield
1.09%
FCF Yield
1.74%
Shareholder Yield
3.97%
Graham Number
$2.93
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. MPT currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $2.93 per share, suggesting a potential 4% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
3.744
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.029
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.544
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.035
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.278
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
0.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MPT's ROE of 0.7% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.28x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 3.74 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.43
Price/Value
10.75x
Margin of Safety
-975.05%
Premium
975.05%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MPT's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. MPT trades at a 975% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.43, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of -52.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 205 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2.80
Median 1Y
$1.25
5th Pctile
$0.63
95th Pctile
$2.46
Ann. Volatility
38.3%
Analyst Target
$3.80
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Edward K. Aldag,
Jr Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President
$600,000 $2,750,000 $6,565,750
R. Steven Hamner
Executive Vice President,
$400,000 $1,250,000 $3,262,225
Emmett E. McLean
Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer
$395,000 $880,000 $2,767,544

CEO Pay Ratio

6:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $6,565,750
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $1,077,909
Employees: 121

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
121
+2.5% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$8,033,240
Rev: $972,022,000
Profit / Employee
$-2,289,661
NI: $-277,049,000
SGA / Employee
$1,077,909
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 0.7% 0.7% 0.67%
ROA 0.2% 0.2% 0.20%
ROIC 1.2% 7.9% 7.85%
ROCE 0.9% 2.1% 2.07%
Gross Margin 96.1% 42.1% 42.11%
Operating Margin 55.6% 55.5% 55.48%
Net Margin 13.0% -1.0% -1.00%
EBITDA Margin 82.1% 82.6% 82.58%
FCF Margin -5.7% 9.4% 9.42%
OCF Margin -5.7% 9.4% 9.42%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 7.64%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.33%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 0.35%
CROIC snapshot only 0.35%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 2.12%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.58%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 13.10%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only -0.94%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 84.30 91.38 -52.000
P/S Ratio 10.98 5.40 1.600
P/B Ratio 0.61 0.61 0.363
P/FCF -194.08 57.33 57.333
P/OCF — 57.33 57.333
EV/EBITDA 58.50 28.67 28.667
EV/Revenue 48.03 23.61 23.606
EV/EBIT 90.62 43.38 43.378
EV/FCF -849.12 250.51 250.514
Earnings Yield 1.2% 1.1% 1.09%
FCF Yield -0.5% 1.7% 1.74%
EV/OCF snapshot only 250.514
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 34.361
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 42.495
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.97%
Graham Number snapshot only $2.93
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 11.12 0.31 0.307
Quick Ratio 11.12 0.31 0.307
Debt/Equity 2.15 2.16 2.157
Net Debt/Equity 2.06 2.07 2.069
Debt/Assets 0.66 0.66 0.658
Debt/EBITDA 47.18 23.05 23.048
Net Debt/EBITDA 45.13 22.11 22.106
Interest Coverage 1.00 1.04 1.036
Equity Multiplier 3.25 3.28 3.278
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.307
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.568
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.041
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.005
Defensive Interval snapshot only 2152.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.03 0.035
Inventory Turnover — — —
Receivables Turnover 0.27 — —
Payables Turnover — — —
DSO 1335 0 0.0 days
DIO 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle 1335 0 —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.047
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.289
Capital Intensity snapshot only 28.841
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — —
Earnings Stability — — —
Margin Stability — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — —
ROE Trend — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate -0.5% -1.8% -1.76%
Internal Growth Rate — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.43 1.59 1.594
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.594
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.114
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio 0.00 -0.00 -0.001
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.010
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.440
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 2.0% 4.0% 13.19%
Dividend/Share $0.09 $0.18 $0.36
Payout Ratio 1.7% 3.6% 3.63%
FCF Payout Ratio — 2.3% 2.27%
Total Payout Ratio 1.7% 3.6% 3.63%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -0.1% -0.3% -0.29%
Total Shareholder Return 1.9% 3.7% 3.68%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 115.18 3.74 3.744
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.00 0.03 0.029
EBIT Margin 0.53 0.54 0.544
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.03 0.035
Equity Multiplier 3.25 3.28 3.278
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.05 $0.05 $0.05
Book Value/Share $7.60 $7.52 $7.53
Tangible Book/Share $-12.66 $-12.79 $-12.79
Revenue/Share $0.42 $0.86 $1.70
FCF/Share $-0.02 $0.08 $0.38
OCF/Share $-0.02 $0.08 $0.38
Cash/Share $0.71 $0.66 $0.66
EBITDA/Share $0.35 $0.70 $0.70
Debt/Share $16.34 $16.23 $16.23
Net Debt/Share $15.63 $15.57 $15.57
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — -0.214
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.919
Piotroski F-Score 2 4 4
Beneish M-Score — — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.861
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-16.47
EVA snapshot only $-296452611.32
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 24.64 9.90 9.899
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 0
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 2

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