Also trades as: 0QF.F (FSX) · $vol 6M
MRNA NASDAQ
Moderna, Inc.
1W: -12.4%
1M: -0.0%
3M: +256.3%
YTD: +374.0%
1Y: +681.3%
3Y: +76.3%
5Y: -52.6%
$207.97
+9.12 (+4.59%)
After Hours: $206.43 (-1.54, -0.74%)
Weekly Expected Move ±15.2%
$139
$170
$200
$231
$261
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 69% of companies Debt: 1.6% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.44 (down 99.8%), Moderna, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.29B against a stock market value of $79.39B.
Distance to default 3.50 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $347.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 132.3%; Altman Z'' 3.29. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.44 (down 99.8%), Moderna, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.29B against a stock market value of $79.39B.
Distance to default 3.50 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $347.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 132.3%; Altman Z'' 3.29. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Overview
News
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Dividends
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+57.1% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-46.5% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+57.1%
Day 181 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-46.5%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+395.8%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
64%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+0.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-26.5%
57% win
72% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+1.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-37.1%
38% win
104% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+4.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-26.7%
50% win
84% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+25.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-39.5%
62% win
66% vol
May
20yr
💨
+37.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-39.0%
62% win
79% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+35.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-36.2%
50% win
59% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+57.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-31.6%
62% win
66% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+47.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-43.7%
38% win
226% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+50.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-49.7%
62% win
60% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+40.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-36.0%
50% win
64% vol
Now:
+8.0%
Nov
20yr
💨
+89.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-25.2%
71% win
84% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-5.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.9%
38% win
72% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +395.8%