— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: MS (NYSE) · $vol 1037M · MS-PP (NYSE) · $vol 2M · MS-PO (NYSE) · $vol 2M · MS-PK (NYSE) · $vol 2M · MS-PF (NYSE) · $vol 2M · MS-PE (NYSE) · $vol 2M · MS-PQ (NYSE) · $vol 2M · MS-PA (NYSE) · $vol 2M · 0QYU.L (LSE) · $vol 2M · MS-PL (NYSE) · $vol 1M · MS.TO (TSX) · $vol 0M · DWD.DE (XETRA) · $vol 0M

MS-PI NYSE

Morgan Stanley
1W: -0.1% 1M: -4.1% 3M: -10.2% YTD: -11.8% 1Y: -12.1% 3Y: +6.6% 5Y: +0.6%
$22.15
-0.01 (-0.05%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±1.4%
$22 $22 $22 $23 $23
NYSE · Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 34 · $288.6B mcap · 40M float · 0.268% daily turnover
Credit Risk of going bust: not rated, financial company (lending is its business) Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Not rated: lending and leverage are a financial company's business, which the model misreads.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 22Hold: 16Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
3
D/E
1
P/E
4
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MS-PI receives an overall rating of C. Strongest factors: P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-14 A- C
2026-10-01 B A-
2026-08-14 B+ B
2026-08-10 A- B+
2026-08-05 C- A-
2026-07-15 B+ C-
2026-05-05 D+ B+
2026-04-15 C- D+
2026-02-20 C+ C-
2026-02-19 C C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 55 Grade C
Profitability
57
Balance Sheet
54
Earnings Quality
62
Growth
70
Value
91
Momentum
54
Safety
—
Cash Flow
29
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MS-PI scores highest in Value (91/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (29/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
1.15
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-3.17
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-13.39
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 56.2/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -0.00x
Accruals: 1.3%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. MS-PI scores 1.15, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MS-PI scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MS-PI's score of -3.17 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MS-PI's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MS-PI receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 56.2/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MS-PI's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
14.74x
PEG
0.51x
P/S
2.27x
P/B
2.46x
P/FCF
-314.02x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-2.84x
EV/Revenue
-0.65x
EV/EBIT
-3.17x
EV/FCF
739.46x
Earnings Yield
57.33%
FCF Yield
-0.32%
Shareholder Yield
22.06%
Graham Number
$148.71
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 14.7x earnings, MS-PI trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 57.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $148.71 per share, suggesting a potential 571% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.772
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.205
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.085
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
13.444
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
18.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MS-PI's ROE of 18.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 13.44x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$504.61
Price/Value
0.05x
Margin of Safety
95.47%
Premium
-95.47%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MS-PI's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. MS-PI actually compounded EPS at 30.0% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. At an intrinsic value of $504.61, MS-PI appears undervalued with a 95% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 14.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$22.15
Median 1Y
$22.40
5th Pctile
$17.66
95th Pctile
$28.42
Ann. Volatility
14.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
83,000
+3.8% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,385,337
Rev: $114,983,000,000
Profit / Employee
$203,145
NI: $16,861,000,000
SGA / Employee
$364,398
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
ROE 14.5% 13.9% 13.0% 12.1% 10.7% 10.2% 9.9% 9.8% 9.1% 9.5% 10.4% 11.0% 13.2% 13.9% 14.1% 15.1% 15.6% 16.4% 18.0% 18.1% 18.05%
ROA 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.34%
ROIC -16.9% -14.5% -3.3% 101.0% -19.0% 2.6% 68.3% 53.2% -38.8% 28.4% 17.0% 25.9% 21.3% 3.5% 4.5% 3.9% 36.1% -12.1% -6.3% -7.8% -7.80%
ROCE 4.7% 4.6% 4.3% 3.9% 3.3% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 2.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 3.7% 3.8% 2.9% 4.0% 2.6% 2.6% 4.8% 1.6% 1.57%
Gross Margin 97.7% 96.6% 89.5% 76.9% 62.8% 63.0% 57.8% 54.4% 49.7% 56.1% 54.7% 54.2% 57.5% 58.7% 54.7% 56.9% 58.0% 61.8% 61.6% 60.7% 60.67%
Operating Margin 34.8% 32.0% 24.4% 21.5% 14.9% 17.7% 13.1% 13.9% 8.7% 17.3% 16.0% 16.0% 18.9% 19.9% 16.4% 20.1% 20.0% 21.1% 21.5% 19.5% 19.47%
Net Margin 26.3% 25.5% 18.4% 16.7% 11.9% 14.0% 10.2% 10.7% 6.3% 13.5% 12.1% 12.1% 14.3% 15.5% 12.6% 15.3% 15.2% 17.0% 16.2% 14.8% 14.75%
EBITDA Margin 43.6% 38.5% 31.2% 27.4% 21.3% 22.1% 17.4% 18.3% 14.5% 21.2% 21.0% 20.9% 25.2% 23.0% 21.1% 24.5% 23.9% 23.3% 24.8% 19.5% 19.47%
FCF Margin 54.8% 8.6% 26.5% 8.6% -15.2% -28.3% -57.3% -39.3% -41.3% -24.4% -10.9% -31.3% -2.0% -28.7% -19.3% -6.0% -15.6% -0.9% -12.4% -0.1% -0.09%
OCF Margin 58.8% 12.9% 31.4% 13.8% -10.2% -23.8% -53.1% -35.4% -37.5% -20.6% -7.3% -27.8% 1.3% -25.5% -16.3% -3.3% -15.6% -0.8% -12.3% -0.0% -0.00%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 14.33%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 13.05%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.10%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 18.04%
Cash ROA snapshot only -0.00%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 15.97%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 20.50%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 31.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.61%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
P/E Ratio 2.64 2.56 2.62 2.77 3.10 3.38 3.50 3.66 3.97 3.84 3.58 3.41 2.87 2.69 2.63 2.46 2.36 2.15 1.96 1.74 14.741
P/S Ratio 0.69 0.66 0.63 0.60 0.55 0.50 0.45 0.43 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.33 0.31 0.28 2.272
P/B Ratio 0.38 0.36 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.34 0.34 0.30 2.464
P/FCF 1.25 7.62 2.38 6.94 -3.61 -1.78 -0.79 -1.09 -0.98 -1.60 -3.51 -1.20 -18.32 -1.27 -1.86 -5.91 -2.23 -37.19 -2.53 -314.02 -314.024
P/OCF 1.17 5.09 2.01 4.36 — — — — — — — — 28.24 — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA -6.50 -7.18 -3.22 -3.28 -6.91 -3.58 -3.01 -2.69 -5.40 -1.71 -0.06 -1.10 -0.12 14.62 10.66 13.38 -0.92 -8.11 -13.16 -2.84 -2.843
EV/Revenue -2.69 -2.93 -1.25 -1.15 -2.00 -0.89 -0.65 -0.53 -0.97 -0.31 -0.01 -0.21 -0.03 3.29 2.40 3.14 -0.21 -1.88 -3.18 -0.65 -0.650
EV/EBIT -7.90 -8.81 -3.98 -4.09 -8.87 -4.66 -3.95 -3.57 -7.35 -2.30 -0.09 -1.47 -0.15 18.56 13.47 16.66 -1.12 -9.67 -15.38 -3.17 -3.169
EV/FCF -4.91 -34.02 -4.71 -13.28 13.18 3.15 1.14 1.35 2.35 1.26 0.11 0.68 1.26 -11.47 -12.41 -52.09 1.37 215.19 25.64 739.46 739.458
Earnings Yield 37.9% 39.1% 38.2% 36.1% 32.3% 29.6% 28.6% 27.3% 25.2% 26.0% 27.9% 29.3% 34.8% 37.1% 38.0% 40.6% 42.3% 46.5% 51.0% 57.3% 57.33%
FCF Yield 79.8% 13.1% 42.0% 14.4% -27.7% -56.3% -1.3% -92.1% -1.0% -62.4% -28.5% -83.0% -5.5% -78.8% -53.9% -16.9% -44.9% -2.7% -39.5% -0.3% -0.32%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.513
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.255
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -1.072
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only -3.164
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 22.06%
Graham Number snapshot only $148.71
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.77 0.74 0.64 0.64 0.72 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.72 0.66 0.64 0.68 0.66 0.22 0.45 0.26 1.17 1.61 1.18 — —
Quick Ratio 0.77 0.74 0.64 0.64 0.72 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.72 0.66 0.64 0.68 0.66 0.22 0.45 0.26 1.17 1.61 1.18 — —
Debt/Equity 2.90 2.90 2.95 2.85 3.08 3.17 3.11 3.36 3.42 3.72 3.55 3.61 3.45 3.72 4.04 3.77 4.26 3.45 4.69 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/Equity -1.85 -1.98 -1.04 -1.00 -1.59 -0.96 -0.85 -0.81 -1.24 -0.66 -0.38 -0.58 -0.39 2.90 2.04 2.83 -0.58 -2.32 -3.80 -1.02 -1.023
Debt/Assets 0.26 0.24 0.26 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.29 0.28 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.30 0.33 0.25 0.33 0.00 0.000
Debt/EBITDA 12.78 12.88 13.74 14.27 17.07 18.51 18.66 20.13 21.10 22.04 19.51 19.01 15.84 16.68 17.92 15.79 17.87 14.12 17.85 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/EBITDA -8.16 -8.79 -4.85 -4.99 -8.80 -5.60 -5.10 -4.86 -7.65 -3.90 -2.10 -3.04 -1.81 13.00 9.06 11.86 -2.42 -9.51 -14.46 -4.05 -4.050
Interest Coverage 14.40 13.60 7.44 2.85 1.15 0.68 0.47 0.37 0.30 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.39 0.41 0.41 0.44 0.45 0.47 0.52 0.52 0.524
Equity Multiplier 11.27 11.88 11.55 11.48 11.79 11.90 11.60 11.78 12.05 12.38 12.04 12.14 11.63 12.17 12.51 12.41 12.72 13.84 14.40 14.41 14.410
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.584
Defensive Interval snapshot only 842.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.085
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 0.60 0.54 0.61 0.62 0.72 0.82 0.97 1.02 1.13 1.20 1.19 1.21 1.24 1.22 1.16 1.10 1.14 1.07 0.59 2.29 2.291
Payables Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 0.16 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.17 0.22 0.47 0.45 0.451
DSO 612 673 597 589 510 444 375 357 323 304 308 302 294 300 315 333 319 341 621 159 159.3 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 60761 55778 33337 14593 6470 4253 2986 2293 1966 1862 1710 1623 1531 1644 1622 1674 2187 1666 771 809 808.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -60149 -55105 -32741 -14004 -5960 -3809 -2611 -1937 -1643 -1558 -1402 -1321 -1237 -1344 -1307 -1341 -1868 -1325 -150 -650 -649.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.080
Capital Intensity snapshot only 13.042
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue 16.2% 5.9% 3.4% 1.3% 8.1% 21.9% 37.6% 45.8% 43.3% 34.9% 26.3% 20.5% 15.2% 12.9% 11.1% 10.6% 11.5% 13.7% 16.7% 15.7% 15.75%
Net Income 36.7% 8.7% -1.2% -15.2% -26.6% -29.1% -26.1% -21.5% -17.6% -8.0% 3.8% 14.1% 47.4% 50.2% 41.7% 44.5% 25.9% 27.2% 37.1% 26.9% 26.87%
EPS 38.0% 12.6% 5.5% -9.4% -22.0% -25.1% -22.8% -18.9% -15.0% -5.3% 6.4% 16.6% 49.1% 51.7% 43.3% 46.0% 27.1% 27.8% 37.1% 29.1% 29.06%
FCF 2.2% 1.2% 7.1% -17.3% -1.3% -5.0% -4.0% -7.6% -2.9% -16.2% 76.0% 4.0% 94.3% -32.9% -97.0% 78.7% -7.5% 96.5% 25.1% 98.3% 98.31%
EBITDA 31.3% 8.1% -1.0% -14.4% -24.3% -25.6% -23.2% -18.0% -11.2% -3.0% 9.5% 19.0% 41.6% 42.2% 32.9% 33.3% 16.9% 17.4% 25.3% 12.9% 12.89%
Op. Income 36.4% 7.4% -0.9% -15.8% -28.4% -29.9% -27.8% -22.7% -16.2% -6.1% 7.5% 18.2% 49.0% 50.6% 40.7% 42.7% 24.8% 24.9% 35.8% 26.3% 26.29%
OCF Growth snapshot only 99.85%
Asset Growth snapshot only 23.99%
Equity Growth snapshot only 6.80%
Debt Growth snapshot only -1.00%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.69%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 5.35%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 6.5% 5.5% 4.6% 5.1% 6.8% 11.9% 15.5% 19.6% 21.7% 20.3% 21.5% 21.2% 21.3% 22.9% 24.5% 24.8% 22.5% 20.1% 17.9% 15.5% 15.54%
Revenue 5Y 9.9% 8.3% 7.3% 7.3% 8.5% 9.8% 11.2% 12.2% 13.4% 14.1% 14.7% 15.3% 15.0% 16.4% 16.7% 17.9% 18.3% 17.5% 18.4% 17.9% 17.89%
EPS 3Y 18.0% 17.9% 16.3% 12.8% 5.2% 5.6% 0.5% -1.7% -2.9% -7.2% -4.7% -5.0% -0.4% 2.4% 5.6% 11.3% 17.2% 22.4% 27.9% 30.0% 29.98%
EPS 5Y 21.2% 17.7% 15.7% 13.4% 14.1% 10.0% 7.1% 5.6% 1.7% 3.0% 5.3% 6.3% 8.1% 11.1% 9.2% 10.1% 11.6% 9.1% 11.2% 10.0% 10.03%
Net Income 3Y 19.8% 19.7% 17.9% 14.4% 6.8% 7.6% 2.5% -0.1% -6.2% -10.8% -8.8% -8.7% -3.8% -0.7% 2.8% 9.0% 15.2% 20.7% 26.3% 27.9% 27.92%
Net Income 5Y 20.3% 16.6% 14.3% 11.9% 12.5% 8.6% 5.9% 4.5% 0.8% 2.3% 4.7% 6.1% 8.2% 11.5% 9.7% 10.4% 8.9% 6.3% 8.1% 6.9% 6.87%
EBITDA 3Y 22.2% 21.6% 19.3% 16.2% 9.1% 9.1% 4.3% 1.7% -4.0% -7.9% -5.9% -5.8% -1.6% 0.9% 3.8% 9.1% 13.7% 17.4% 22.2% 21.4% 21.41%
EBITDA 5Y 17.7% 14.7% 13.0% 11.2% 8.3% 6.3% 4.8% 4.0% 4.2% 5.4% 7.4% 8.9% 10.3% 12.3% 10.6% 10.8% 7.9% 5.4% 6.8% 4.7% 4.67%
Gross Profit 3Y 14.4% 14.4% 13.6% 12.2% 8.7% 9.3% 6.7% 5.5% 3.6% -0.3% -0.1% -0.7% 0.6% 2.4% 4.4% 7.2% 9.5% 12.1% 15.0% 16.4% 16.37%
Gross Profit 5Y 11.5% 9.8% 8.8% 7.9% 6.8% 5.9% 5.5% 5.2% 5.9% 6.6% 7.5% 8.2% 8.1% 9.5% 8.3% 8.5% 7.8% 6.3% 7.5% 7.2% 7.20%
Op. Income 3Y 20.5% 20.6% 18.7% 15.8% 7.6% 8.1% 2.2% -0.6% -6.4% -10.9% -8.4% -8.4% -3.6% -0.3% 3.0% 9.3% 15.9% 20.9% 27.1% 28.7% 28.66%
Op. Income 5Y 17.3% 13.8% 11.9% 9.7% 6.3% 3.8% 2.1% 1.1% 1.0% 2.9% 5.3% 7.2% 9.3% 12.3% 10.1% 10.7% 8.8% 5.9% 8.0% 6.8% 6.76%
FCF 3Y 79.9% -20.4% -23.3% -46.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y 93.4% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 66.9% -14.4% -20.4% -38.2% — — — — — — — — -65.8% — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y 69.2% — — — — — — — — — — — -49.3% — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y 11.7% 11.7% 9.6% 8.7% 9.6% 8.2% 6.1% 6.9% 2.3% 2.0% 1.4% 1.9% 0.7% 2.1% 4.9% 5.6% 6.4% 9.6% 12.9% 13.1% 13.12%
Assets 5Y 7.8% 8.0% 6.9% 6.3% 6.7% 6.9% 5.9% 6.2% 6.9% 7.0% 6.3% 6.9% 6.3% 6.5% 6.8% 7.4% 4.9% 6.4% 7.6% 7.3% 7.29%
Equity 3Y 9.5% 8.4% 7.5% 7.0% 7.1% 5.5% 5.0% 3.9% -0.9% -2.3% -2.0% -0.7% -0.3% 1.3% 2.1% 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 5.0% 5.8% 5.78%
Book Value 3Y 7.9% 6.8% 6.1% 5.5% 5.4% 3.6% 3.0% 2.3% 2.5% 1.6% 2.5% 3.3% 3.2% 4.4% 4.8% 5.1% 5.5% 5.8% 6.3% 7.5% 7.49%
Dividend 3Y 13.3% 17.2% 20.4% 12.6% 7.3% 3.2% -0.2% 0.4% 5.7% 6.2% 6.8% 6.2% 5.7% 5.5% 5.1% 4.7% 4.2% 3.7% 3.3% 2.8% 2.81%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.90 0.97 0.96 0.93 0.93 0.89 0.74 0.69 0.72 0.77 0.78 0.80 0.83 0.90 0.91 0.93 0.95 0.97 0.99 1.00 0.997
Earnings Stability 0.90 0.85 0.87 0.77 0.66 0.50 0.44 0.30 0.07 0.06 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.14 0.17 0.14 0.28 0.33 0.326
Margin Stability 0.90 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.87 0.85 0.83 0.80 0.77 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.725
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.85 0.97 1.00 0.94 0.89 0.88 0.90 0.91 0.93 0.97 0.98 0.94 0.81 0.50 0.83 0.82 0.90 0.89 0.85 0.89 0.893
Earnings Smoothness 0.69 0.92 0.99 0.84 0.69 0.66 0.70 0.76 0.81 0.92 0.96 0.87 0.62 0.60 0.65 0.64 0.77 0.76 0.69 0.76 0.763
ROE Trend 0.03 0.03 0.02 -0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.047
Gross Margin Trend 0.14 0.11 0.06 -0.02 -0.14 -0.25 -0.32 -0.34 -0.33 -0.30 -0.26 -0.21 -0.12 -0.07 -0.03 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.053
FCF Margin Trend 0.44 -0.16 0.10 0.05 -0.16 -0.10 -0.68 -0.49 -0.61 -0.15 0.04 -0.16 0.26 -0.02 0.15 0.29 0.06 0.26 0.03 0.19 0.186
Sustainable Growth Rate 10.5% 9.4% 7.9% 6.9% 5.5% 4.8% 4.4% 4.1% 3.3% 3.7% 4.4% 5.1% 7.1% 7.8% 8.0% 9.1% 9.5% 10.4% 12.0% 12.1% 12.14%
Internal Growth Rate 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.91%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.26 0.50 1.30 0.64 -0.58 -1.60 -4.10 -3.04 -3.69 -2.03 -0.68 -2.52 0.10 -1.89 -1.20 -0.23 -1.06 -0.06 -0.77 -0.00 -0.000
FCF/OCF 0.93 0.67 0.85 0.63 1.48 1.19 1.08 1.11 1.10 1.18 1.49 1.12 -1.54 1.12 1.19 1.83 1.00 1.04 1.01 20.73 20.727
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.006
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -0.000
CapEx/Revenue 4.0% 4.3% 4.8% 5.1% 4.9% 4.5% 4.1% 3.9% 3.8% 3.7% 3.6% 3.5% 3.4% 3.2% 3.0% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.08%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.036
Accruals Ratio -0.02 0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.013
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.485
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.001
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Dividend Yield 10.5% 12.7% 14.9% 15.4% 15.8% 15.7% 15.9% 15.8% 16.0% 16.0% 15.9% 15.8% 16.0% 16.2% 16.4% 16.3% 16.6% 17.1% 17.1% 18.8% 2.22%
Dividend/Share $2.34 $2.70 $3.07 $3.14 $3.22 $3.30 $3.37 $3.45 $3.54 $3.62 $3.69 $3.75 $3.82 $3.91 $4.00 $4.07 $4.14 $4.20 $4.25 $4.29 $4.15
Payout Ratio 27.7% 32.4% 39.0% 42.7% 49.0% 53.1% 55.5% 57.8% 63.4% 61.5% 57.1% 53.9% 45.8% 43.8% 43.2% 40.1% 39.1% 36.8% 33.5% 32.7% 32.75%
FCF Payout Ratio 13.2% 96.6% 35.5% 1.1% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 95.8% 77.2% 75.3% 75.8% 72.0% 39.1% 41.4% 40.9% 38.5% 38.47%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.63 0.81 0.96 0.64 0.45 0.32 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.22 0.223
Buyback Yield 30.4% 35.3% 36.6% 34.6% 31.8% 26.9% 21.8% 18.3% 17.1% 15.6% 14.6% 12.3% 10.9% 11.7% 12.4% 12.9% 0.0% 2.2% 3.7% 3.3% 3.28%
Net Buyback Yield 30.4% 35.3% 36.6% 34.6% 31.8% 26.9% 21.8% 18.3% 17.1% 15.6% 14.6% 12.3% 10.9% 11.7% 12.4% 12.9% 0.0% 2.2% 3.7% 3.3% 3.28%
Total Shareholder Return 40.9% 48.0% 51.5% 50.0% 47.6% 42.6% 37.6% 34.1% 33.1% 31.6% 30.5% 28.1% 26.9% 28.0% 28.8% 29.2% 16.6% 19.2% 20.8% 22.1% 22.06%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.78 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.772
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.34 0.33 0.31 0.28 0.23 0.19 0.17 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.21 0.20 0.205
Asset Turnover 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.085
Equity Multiplier 11.12 11.38 11.20 11.36 11.52 11.89 11.58 11.63 11.92 12.14 11.82 11.96 11.83 12.28 12.29 12.28 12.19 13.03 13.49 13.44 13.444
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $8.42 $8.31 $7.87 $7.36 $6.57 $6.22 $6.08 $5.97 $5.59 $5.89 $6.46 $6.96 $8.33 $8.93 $9.26 $10.16 $10.58 $11.41 $12.70 $13.11 $13.11
Book Value/Share $59.07 $58.63 $58.96 $59.52 $59.64 $60.63 $60.80 $60.38 $60.87 $61.38 $62.52 $64.42 $64.99 $66.76 $67.91 $69.03 $70.08 $71.74 $73.03 $74.99 $1169.07
Tangible Book/Share $44.96 $44.35 $44.57 $45.02 $45.19 $46.12 $46.28 $45.84 $46.27 $46.76 $47.94 $49.90 $50.59 $52.37 $53.52 $54.70 $55.80 $57.26 $58.60 $89.61 $89.61
Revenue/Share $32.37 $32.43 $32.61 $34.00 $37.21 $41.73 $46.82 $51.21 $55.02 $57.92 $60.58 $62.99 $64.14 $66.07 $68.04 $70.37 $72.18 $75.47 $79.43 $82.86 $83.82
FCF/Share $17.74 $2.79 $8.65 $2.94 $-5.64 $-11.81 $-26.82 $-20.11 $-22.71 $-14.12 $-6.60 $-19.70 $-1.31 $-18.96 $-13.15 $-4.24 $-11.23 $-0.66 $-9.85 $-0.07 $-10.02
OCF/Share $19.03 $4.18 $10.23 $4.68 $-3.81 $-9.92 $-24.88 $-18.13 $-20.61 $-11.95 $-4.42 $-17.52 $0.85 $-16.86 $-11.09 $-2.31 $-11.23 $-0.63 $-9.78 $-0.00 $-9.95
Cash/Share $280.31 $286.37 $235.24 $229.31 $278.65 $250.19 $241.14 $251.99 $283.89 $268.63 $246.10 $270.07 $249.74 $54.73 $135.59 $64.69 $338.96 $414.15 $619.64 $76.69 $77.58
EBITDA/Share $13.38 $13.21 $12.65 $11.91 $10.77 $10.38 $10.15 $10.08 $9.88 $10.36 $11.39 $12.25 $14.15 $14.87 $15.30 $16.49 $16.71 $17.53 $19.18 $18.93 $18.93
Debt/Share $171.07 $170.20 $173.88 $169.86 $183.89 $192.03 $189.36 $203.00 $208.38 $228.27 $222.23 $232.85 $224.18 $248.08 $274.32 $260.28 $298.53 $247.48 $342.32 $0.00 $0.00
Net Debt/Share $-109.24 $-116.17 $-61.36 $-59.45 $-94.76 $-58.16 $-51.78 $-48.99 $-75.51 $-40.36 $-23.87 $-37.22 $-25.56 $193.35 $138.72 $195.59 $-40.43 $-166.67 $-277.32 $-76.69 $-76.69
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.147
Piotroski F-Score 7 5 5 5 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 6 5 4 5 6 7 6 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.53 -2.56 -2.53 -2.31 -2.11 -1.99 -1.80 -2.03 -2.06 -2.18 -2.19 -2.13 -2.40 -2.03 -2.13 -2.02 -2.08 -2.34 -0.91 -3.17 -3.174
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -13.390
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 22.15%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $151.68
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 71.40 67.20 65.00 66.20 60.50 60.50 58.25 58.25 56.75 52.95 57.50 60.50 64.10 49.50 52.20 52.00 68.50 74.10 71.50 56.20 56.200
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only 4.200
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000

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