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Not Investment Advice

MSGN NYSE

MSG Networks Inc.
1W: -2.8% 1M: -9.2% 3M: -11.4% 1Y: +48.8% 3Y: -40.5% 5Y: -5.8%
$14.17
Last traded 2021-07-08 — delisted
NYSE · Communication Services · Entertainment

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
46.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 61.0%
Cost Advantage ★
83
Intangibles
61
Switching Cost
22
Network Effect
19
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. MSGN shows a Weak competitive edge (46.2/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 61.0% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 8Sell: 5Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 64 Grade A
Profitability
77
Balance Sheet
55
Earnings Quality
71
Growth
45
Value
71
Momentum
67
Safety
50
Cash Flow
78
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MSGN scores highest in Cash Flow (78/100) and lowest in Growth (45/100). An overall grade of A places MSGN among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.48
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.99
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.09
Bankruptcy prob: 1.6%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 20.0/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.28x
Accruals: -5.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MSGN scores 2.48, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MSGN scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MSGN's score of -2.99 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MSGN's implied 1.6% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MSGN receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 20.0/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MSGN's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
4.85x
PEG
0.22x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
-1.63x
P/FCF
3.89x
P/OCF
3.83x
EV/EBITDA
5.42x
EV/Revenue
2.54x
EV/EBIT
5.56x
EV/FCF
7.15x
Earnings Yield
20.33%
FCF Yield
25.68%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 4.9x earnings, MSGN trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 20.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.666
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.926
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.456
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.716
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-1.716
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-34.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MSGN's ROE of -34.5% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.716), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
8.16%
Fair P/E
24.83x
Intrinsic Value
$75.90
Price/Value
0.20x
Margin of Safety
80.18%
Premium
-80.18%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MSGN's realized 8.2% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. At an intrinsic value of $75.90, MSGN appears undervalued with a 80% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 24.8x compares to the current market P/E of 4.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1452 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$14.17
Median 1Y
$12.50
5th Pctile
$6.34
95th Pctile
$24.66
Ann. Volatility
39.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
ROE -11.4% -15.5% -15.7% -16.4% -16.2% -17.0% -31.6% -33.7% -36.1% -38.9% -28.0% -31.8% -33.4% -28.5% -30.1% -30.6% -36.6% -30.0% -32.8% -34.5% -34.54%
ROA 15.8% 20.4% 20.0% 21.2% 20.8% 20.5% 32.9% 32.9% 34.9% 36.2% 21.7% 22.4% 21.7% 20.2% 22.1% 20.8% 21.6% 18.7% 20.9% 20.1% 20.12%
ROIC 58.2% 79.8% 84.4% 89.1% 83.5% 87.5% 96.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 61.6% 62.6% 64.5% 2.9% 58.4% 58.7% 63.6% 65.2% 61.7% 61.0% 60.98%
ROCE 33.6% 43.3% 42.7% 44.0% 46.0% 44.8% 42.2% 43.0% 42.8% 45.9% 45.1% 45.5% 43.7% 44.0% 40.4% 39.3% 38.0% 36.3% 34.6% 33.0% 33.01%
Gross Margin 60.7% 60.3% 60.1% 58.7% 60.1% 59.9% 56.5% 56.9% 59.9% 59.5% 57.8% 57.9% 58.4% 57.3% 55.2% 54.7% 69.5% 58.6% 61.0% 58.2% 58.17%
Operating Margin 46.3% 48.5% 45.4% 45.3% 46.6% 48.5% 41.7% 43.2% 47.0% 48.0% 40.6% 42.3% 41.7% 42.4% 37.3% 39.8% 54.6% 43.2% 44.9% 39.3% 39.29%
Net Margin 30.4% 26.2% 24.6% 24.1% 24.4% 26.1% 85.8% 25.2% 26.4% 28.5% 22.7% 27.8% 24.5% 26.8% 21.3% 25.0% 36.8% 22.2% 28.4% 25.6% 25.63%
EBITDA Margin 52.7% 50.5% 47.3% 47.1% 48.6% 50.3% 43.4% 44.8% 48.8% 49.9% 42.1% 43.8% 44.7% 44.5% 37.0% 41.1% 56.1% 44.5% 46.4% 41.2% 41.18%
FCF Margin -5.4% 3.1% 6.2% 26.7% 28.3% 28.7% 28.4% 28.6% 29.7% 30.9% 27.2% 25.4% 28.2% 27.4% 26.2% 28.6% 30.2% 31.9% 37.1% 35.5% 35.51%
OCF Margin -5.0% 3.7% 6.7% 27.2% 29.0% 29.3% 28.9% 29.1% 30.2% 31.4% 27.8% 25.9% 28.6% 27.9% 26.6% 29.0% 30.6% 32.4% 37.7% 36.1% 36.07%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 20.74%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 51.69%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 30.56%
Cash ROA snapshot only 23.52%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 73.04%
CROIC snapshot only 71.90%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 30.11%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 42.21%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 16.43%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 3.09%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
P/E Ratio 9.09 8.38 9.17 10.01 10.16 9.55 5.47 6.06 6.28 6.63 9.76 8.66 8.44 6.71 5.93 3.61 3.08 3.10 4.76 4.92 4.853
P/S Ratio 2.27 2.11 2.42 2.62 2.52 2.37 2.24 2.50 2.60 2.78 2.49 2.28 2.18 1.71 1.49 0.88 0.83 0.80 1.33 1.38 0.000
P/B Ratio -1.03 -1.30 -1.57 -1.79 -1.80 -1.78 -2.06 -2.48 -2.76 -3.20 -3.17 -3.27 -3.43 -1.83 -1.70 -1.01 -1.03 -1.06 -1.82 -2.09 -1.628
P/FCF -42.20 67.72 39.07 9.82 8.89 8.24 7.88 8.74 8.77 9.00 9.17 8.97 7.74 6.22 5.67 3.07 2.75 2.52 3.58 3.89 3.893
P/OCF — 57.70 35.94 9.64 8.67 8.08 7.74 8.58 8.61 8.83 8.96 8.77 7.63 6.12 5.58 3.02 2.72 2.48 3.53 3.83 3.832
EV/EBITDA 10.13 8.33 8.68 8.96 8.80 8.32 8.06 8.52 8.61 8.78 8.13 7.53 7.30 6.26 6.75 5.35 4.81 4.55 5.46 5.42 5.423
EV/Revenue 4.93 4.09 4.31 4.41 4.25 4.02 3.81 3.97 4.02 4.09 3.76 3.46 3.28 2.74 2.86 2.23 2.12 2.01 2.55 2.54 2.537
EV/EBIT 10.79 8.81 9.15 9.45 9.09 8.59 8.32 8.78 8.86 9.03 8.34 7.71 7.47 6.41 6.91 5.48 4.92 4.66 5.60 5.56 5.564
EV/FCF -91.71 131.01 69.50 16.52 15.01 13.99 13.41 13.90 13.53 13.27 13.82 13.62 11.64 9.98 10.92 7.80 7.02 6.29 6.88 7.15 7.146
Earnings Yield 11.0% 11.9% 10.9% 10.0% 9.8% 10.5% 18.3% 16.5% 15.9% 15.1% 10.3% 11.5% 11.8% 14.9% 16.9% 27.7% 32.5% 32.3% 21.0% 20.3% 20.33%
FCF Yield -2.4% 1.5% 2.6% 10.2% 11.3% 12.1% 12.7% 11.4% 11.4% 11.1% 10.9% 11.1% 12.9% 16.1% 17.6% 32.6% 36.3% 39.7% 27.9% 25.7% 25.68%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.225
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.034
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.114
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 5.609
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
Current Ratio 2.50 2.71 2.89 2.31 2.44 2.75 3.11 2.61 3.04 2.67 2.77 2.56 2.52 1.58 4.91 3.93 4.49 4.48 5.22 4.71 4.709
Quick Ratio 2.50 2.71 2.89 2.31 2.44 2.75 3.11 2.61 3.04 2.67 2.77 2.56 2.52 1.58 4.91 3.93 4.49 4.48 5.22 4.71 4.709
Debt/Equity -1.32 -1.36 -1.40 -1.40 -1.39 -1.43 -1.72 -1.74 -1.81 -1.80 -1.92 -2.06 -2.22 -1.65 -1.76 -1.78 -1.96 -2.08 -2.28 -2.52 -2.521
Net Debt/Equity — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Debt/Assets 1.83 1.78 1.70 1.60 1.63 1.58 1.50 1.41 1.40 1.36 1.30 1.23 1.17 1.10 1.39 1.36 1.27 1.20 1.16 1.09 1.087
Debt/EBITDA 5.95 4.50 4.36 4.16 4.02 3.95 3.95 3.77 3.66 3.35 3.26 3.12 3.14 3.51 3.63 3.72 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.56 3.562
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.47 4.02 3.80 3.63 3.59 3.42 3.32 3.16 3.03 2.83 2.74 2.57 2.44 2.36 3.24 3.25 2.92 2.73 2.62 2.47 2.469
Interest Coverage 7.82 7.84 8.01 8.05 7.88 7.71 7.51 7.32 7.29 7.16 7.00 6.94 6.65 6.59 6.59 6.72 8.13 9.56 11.25 13.45 13.453
Equity Multiplier -0.72 -0.76 -0.83 -0.88 -0.85 -0.91 -1.15 -1.23 -1.29 -1.32 -1.48 -1.68 -1.89 -1.50 -1.26 -1.30 -1.54 -1.73 -1.97 -2.32 -2.320
Cash Ratio snapshot only 3.355
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 13.803
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.307
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.213
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1529.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
Asset Turnover 0.63 0.81 0.76 0.81 0.84 0.83 0.80 0.80 0.84 0.87 0.85 0.85 0.84 0.79 0.88 0.85 0.80 0.72 0.75 0.72 0.716
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 4.36 6.37 5.45 5.05 5.65 6.26 5.71 5.05 5.69 6.26 5.65 5.23 5.83 6.45 5.52 5.04 5.62 6.13 5.55 5.08 5.082
Payables Turnover 101.77 269.39 181.52 266.68 165.50 344.97 236.99 345.19 215.54 661.38 294.27 553.15 253.72 847.91 511.96 361.07 187.19 563.57 574.53 322.51 322.506
DSO 84 57 67 72 65 58 64 72 64 58 65 70 63 57 66 72 65 60 66 72 71.8 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 4 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 1.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 80 56 65 71 62 57 62 71 62 58 63 69 61 56 65 71 63 59 65 71 70.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 30.840
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.955
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.534
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
Revenue — — 2.9% 92.5% 32.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 3.2% 3.6% 4.5% 5.2% 3.5% 1.9% -0.4% -3.0% -4.9% -4.9% -10.0% -9.8% -9.75%
Net Income — — 4.2% 1.2% 31.4% 0.4% 58.6% 60.6% 72.6% 75.1% -34.8% -32.9% -35.5% -38.1% -2.4% -10.4% -0.5% -2.8% 0.2% 4.4% 4.43%
EPS — — 4.2% 1.2% 31.0% -0.1% 58.0% 59.9% 72.6% 75.3% -34.8% -32.6% -35.6% -37.9% 21.5% 12.6% 31.4% 27.8% 5.5% 8.2% 8.16%
FCF — — 43.9% 4.7% 8.0% 8.4% 3.7% 9.3% 8.2% 11.3% 0.0% -6.6% -1.8% -9.3% -4.1% 9.3% 2.0% 10.7% 27.4% 12.1% 12.10%
EBITDA — — 3.4% 1.0% 31.3% 0.6% -2.7% -3.3% -0.3% 0.0% 2.2% 3.6% -0.4% -4.4% -8.7% -12.0% -6.6% -4.0% -0.9% 1.4% 1.37%
Op. Income — — 3.3% 98.5% 35.4% 3.0% -0.6% -1.0% -0.0% 0.2% 2.4% 3.9% -1.0% -5.2% -8.6% -11.9% -4.8% -1.6% -0.2% 1.6% 1.59%
OCF Growth snapshot only 12.11%
Asset Growth snapshot only 21.83%
Debt Growth snapshot only -2.92%
Shares Change snapshot only -3.45%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 61.5% 27.5% 12.2% 2.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% -2.2% -2.7% -2.72%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 30.4% 12.6% 12.63%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 75.1% 34.0% 13.4% 2.8% 7.8% 6.6% 13.5% 11.6% -5.8% -6.4% -6.39%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 47.1% 24.0% 24.00%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 75.4% 34.3% 13.5% 2.9% 0.3% -1.1% 3.4% 1.7% -14.0% -14.3% -14.35%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 39.4% 17.8% 17.77%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 62.9% 26.6% 9.2% -1.3% -3.2% -4.1% -2.5% -2.8% -2.6% -2.6% -2.60%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 31.4% 12.6% 12.60%
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 62.0% 27.6% 11.7% 1.7% 0.4% -0.6% -0.1% -0.2% -1.1% -0.8% -0.84%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 31.6% 13.8% 13.81%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 63.4% 26.8% 10.2% -0.7% -2.4% -3.3% -2.0% -2.2% -2.3% -2.4% -2.42%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 31.8% 12.8% 12.79%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 88.9% — — 1.1% 65.0% 3.7% 2.7% 3.7% 6.9% 4.6% 4.60%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 52.4% — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 89.3% — — 1.0% 61.3% 3.6% 2.3% 3.6% 6.8% 4.5% 4.49%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 52.4% — —
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — — — -3.0% 1.8% 2.4% 6.8% -2.8% -2.6% 1.9% 2.9% 2.7% 4.3% 4.34%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.2% 4.0% 3.98%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — 0.77 0.78 0.83 0.98 0.67 0.71 0.78 0.99 0.86 0.54 0.14 0.03 0.59 0.51 0.513
Earnings Stability — — — — — — 0.99 1.00 0.92 0.75 0.49 0.46 0.31 0.13 0.28 0.18 0.13 0.01 0.18 0.10 0.101
Margin Stability — — — — — — 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.967
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.86 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.99 0.96 1.00 0.99 1.00 0.98 0.982
Earnings Smoothness — — 0.00 0.23 0.73 1.00 0.55 0.53 0.47 0.45 0.58 0.61 0.57 0.53 0.98 0.89 0.99 0.97 1.00 0.96 0.957
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.042
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — 0.17 0.22 0.18 0.15 0.10 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.09 0.085
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 18.7% 25.6% 25.1% 26.9% 26.2% 25.8% 49.0% 49.1% 53.6% 56.8% 27.8% 28.8% 27.7% 25.3% 28.4% 26.2% 27.5% 23.0% 26.5% 25.2% 25.19%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.20 0.15 0.26 1.04 1.17 1.18 0.71 0.71 0.73 0.75 1.09 0.99 1.11 1.10 1.06 1.20 1.13 1.25 1.35 1.28 1.284
FCF/OCF 1.07 0.85 0.92 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.984
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.264
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.771
CapEx/Revenue 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.57%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.478
Accruals Ratio 0.19 0.17 0.15 -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.04 -0.03 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.057
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.158
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 63.786
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.63 0.62 0.64 0.64 0.61 0.61 1.03 1.06 1.06 1.07 0.66 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.71 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.666
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.88 0.90 0.91 0.93 0.926
EBIT Margin 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.41 0.41 0.43 0.43 0.46 0.46 0.456
Asset Turnover 0.63 0.81 0.76 0.81 0.84 0.83 0.80 0.80 0.84 0.87 0.85 0.85 0.84 0.79 0.88 0.85 0.80 0.72 0.75 0.72 0.716
Equity Multiplier -0.72 -0.76 -0.79 -0.77 -0.78 -0.83 -0.96 -1.02 -1.03 -1.07 -1.29 -1.42 -1.54 -1.42 -1.36 -1.47 -1.70 -1.60 -1.56 -1.72 -1.716
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.69 $2.22 $2.34 $2.33 $2.21 $2.22 $3.70 $3.73 $3.81 $3.89 $2.42 $2.51 $2.46 $2.42 $2.93 $2.83 $3.23 $3.09 $3.10 $3.06 $3.06
Book Value/Share $-14.84 $-14.32 $-13.70 $-13.05 $-12.47 $-11.91 $-9.81 $-9.12 $-8.68 $-8.06 $-7.42 $-6.65 $-6.06 $-8.84 $-10.24 $-10.15 $-9.64 $-8.99 $-8.11 $-7.19 $-8.70
Tangible Book/Share $-21.05 $-20.53 $-19.89 $-19.21 $-18.61 $-18.04 $-15.93 $-15.21 $-14.78 $-14.15 $-13.49 $-12.71 $-12.10 $-14.90 $-17.75 $-17.70 $-17.57 $-16.90 $-15.95 $-14.96 $-14.96
Revenue/Share $6.76 $8.80 $8.87 $8.90 $8.92 $8.96 $9.04 $9.05 $9.20 $9.30 $9.45 $9.56 $9.51 $9.51 $11.71 $11.64 $11.96 $11.89 $11.10 $10.88 $10.80
FCF/Share $-0.36 $0.27 $0.55 $2.38 $2.53 $2.57 $2.57 $2.59 $2.73 $2.87 $2.57 $2.43 $2.68 $2.61 $3.07 $3.33 $3.61 $3.80 $4.12 $3.86 $3.26
OCF/Share $-0.34 $0.32 $0.60 $2.42 $2.59 $2.62 $2.61 $2.64 $2.78 $2.92 $2.63 $2.48 $2.72 $2.65 $3.12 $3.38 $3.66 $3.85 $4.18 $3.92 $3.31
Cash/Share $1.58 $2.06 $2.45 $2.34 $1.86 $2.28 $2.67 $2.56 $2.71 $2.25 $2.31 $2.41 $2.99 $4.78 $1.91 $2.29 $3.43 $4.43 $4.91 $5.56 $3.10
EBITDA/Share $3.29 $4.32 $4.41 $4.38 $4.31 $4.33 $4.27 $4.22 $4.29 $4.33 $4.36 $4.39 $4.27 $4.15 $4.96 $4.85 $5.28 $5.24 $5.18 $5.09 $5.09
Debt/Share $19.58 $19.46 $19.20 $18.26 $17.34 $17.09 $16.85 $15.90 $15.72 $14.50 $14.25 $13.68 $13.44 $14.58 $17.99 $18.03 $18.85 $18.73 $18.50 $18.13 $18.13
Net Debt/Share $18.00 $17.39 $16.75 $15.92 $15.47 $14.80 $14.19 $13.34 $13.01 $12.25 $11.94 $11.27 $10.45 $9.80 $16.08 $15.74 $15.42 $14.29 $13.59 $12.57 $12.57
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.483
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.147
Piotroski F-Score 2 3 6 7 6 7 6 6 6 6 7 6 5 5 7 5 7 8 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score — — -1.86 -2.48 -2.59 -2.57 -1.94 -2.03 -2.04 -2.06 -2.57 -2.46 -2.62 -2.62 -2.54 -2.66 -2.71 -2.71 -3.02 -2.99 -2.985
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.091
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-16.07
EVA snapshot only $159498241.05
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.000
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.000
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 73
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 62

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