— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: MTSA4.SA (SAO) · $vol 0M

MTSA3.SA SAO

METISA Metalúrgica Timboense S.A.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: +0.0% YTD: +0.0% 1Y: -0.9% 3Y: +18.4% 5Y: +153.8%
R$76.00 ($14.55)
+3.87 (+5.09%)
 
SAO · Industrials · Agricultural - Machinery · Tech Score Buy · Power 61 · R$507.0M mcap · 349465 float · 0.0017% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 04, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
3
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MTSA3.SA receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-09 None ADDED
2026-09-08 EXISTED None
2026-08-16 None ADDED
2026-07-11 EXISTED None
2026-07-07 None ADDED
2026-07-04 EXISTED None
2026-07-01 None ADDED

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 45 Grade B
Profitability
23
Balance Sheet
87
Earnings Quality
72
Growth
18
Value
75
Momentum
53
Safety
100
Cash Flow
39
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MTSA3.SA scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Growth (18/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
4.10
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-0.52
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.33
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA
Score: 89.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.55x
Accruals: -3.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MTSA3.SA scores 4.10, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MTSA3.SA scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MTSA3.SA's score of -0.52 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MTSA3.SA's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MTSA3.SA receives an estimated rating of AA (score: 89.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MTSA3.SA's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
19.24x
PEG
-1.10x
P/S
1.01x
P/B
1.38x
P/FCF
26.06x
P/OCF
12.23x
EV/EBITDA
10.73x
EV/Revenue
1.00x
EV/EBIT
15.63x
EV/FCF
20.26x
Earnings Yield
5.27%
FCF Yield
3.84%
Shareholder Yield
4.20%
Graham Number
$70.35
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 19.2x earnings, MTSA3.SA trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 5.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $70.35 per share, 8% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.699
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.515
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.064
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.816
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.312
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
7.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MTSA3.SA's ROE of 7.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.816), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$34.04
Price/Value
2.23x
Margin of Safety
-123.29%
Premium
123.29%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MTSA3.SA's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. MTSA3.SA trades at a 123% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $34.04, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 19.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$76.00
Median 1Y
$88.02
5th Pctile
$42.34
95th Pctile
$181.61
Ann. Volatility
43.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 18.9% 17.9% 19.4% 21.0% 24.1% 26.3% 25.9% 24.6% 21.7% 21.1% 16.7% 11.9% 10.2% 6.8% 8.1% 9.3% 8.8% 8.9% 8.4% 7.3% 7.27%
ROA 13.3% 12.9% 13.6% 14.2% 16.0% 18.4% 18.4% 17.3% 15.4% 16.1% 12.8% 9.3% 7.9% 5.5% 6.6% 7.5% 7.1% 7.0% 6.6% 5.5% 5.54%
ROIC 14.3% 17.0% 18.5% 20.9% 24.5% 25.0% 27.6% 26.1% 24.1% 15.4% 9.3% 4.7% 4.5% 6.5% 8.2% 9.0% 8.4% 7.8% 7.0% 5.0% 5.04%
ROCE 16.2% 27.6% 29.2% 33.6% 36.3% 38.0% 37.7% 31.7% 25.8% 26.2% 21.2% 17.7% 16.5% 10.9% 12.5% 13.5% 13.6% 11.0% 9.0% 5.9% 5.91%
Gross Margin 27.5% 27.8% 26.1% 31.2% 31.7% 31.9% 31.1% 28.3% 27.1% 19.5% 18.0% 21.0% 26.3% 23.9% 23.8% 22.9% 23.2% 18.7% 20.8% 19.8% 19.84%
Operating Margin 13.4% 12.9% 11.4% 16.6% 16.9% 15.4% 16.0% 12.5% 11.1% -3.0% 2.1% 4.7% 10.5% 5.5% 6.3% 7.0% 8.5% 1.2% 4.3% 3.2% 3.20%
Net Margin 7.7% 10.2% 9.2% 10.4% 12.1% 14.5% 11.8% 13.9% 14.0% 25.2% 2.7% 3.3% 9.1% 8.0% 7.8% 6.8% 7.9% 8.4% 6.8% 4.3% 4.26%
EBITDA Margin 17.5% 14.6% 15.2% 22.7% 21.6% 20.3% 20.0% 19.2% 19.6% 41.7% 9.1% 12.8% 16.1% 11.2% 15.8% 15.4% 16.8% 4.6% 7.6% 6.0% 6.02%
FCF Margin -7.0% -10.1% -3.5% 1.4% 6.4% 7.5% 10.7% 13.5% 16.4% 21.0% 16.1% 12.3% 10.5% 5.3% 9.2% 8.9% 5.1% 7.8% 6.6% 4.9% 4.94%
OCF Margin -4.0% -6.7% -0.3% 4.3% 9.0% 10.1% 13.8% 17.5% 21.1% 25.7% 20.5% 16.3% 14.1% 9.1% 13.0% 12.5% 9.1% 12.1% 11.4% 10.5% 10.53%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.29%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 14.01%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.27%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.92%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.01%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.14%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 16.35%
CROIC snapshot only 7.67%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 3.25%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 9.71%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 16.29%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 9.61 11.16 9.04 8.64 7.21 6.16 6.50 6.63 7.45 7.70 9.45 12.87 15.60 22.09 17.30 16.23 16.26 15.95 16.70 18.98 19.241
P/S Ratio 1.00 1.02 0.83 0.81 0.77 0.71 0.79 0.86 1.01 1.17 1.31 1.40 1.46 1.33 1.23 1.29 1.23 1.22 1.24 1.29 1.010
P/B Ratio 1.73 1.88 1.64 1.69 1.59 1.47 1.54 1.50 1.50 1.51 1.50 1.47 1.54 1.47 1.37 1.48 1.42 1.42 1.40 1.38 1.383
P/FCF -14.23 -10.07 -23.54 58.82 12.00 9.48 7.37 6.39 6.17 5.58 8.11 11.42 13.89 25.19 13.32 14.51 24.21 15.58 18.71 26.06 26.061
P/OCF — — — 18.72 8.54 6.98 5.67 4.94 4.79 4.56 6.37 8.60 10.38 14.61 9.42 10.26 13.56 10.06 10.90 12.23 12.227
EV/EBITDA 8.65 6.01 4.82 4.41 3.67 3.25 3.23 3.60 4.12 4.02 4.90 5.79 6.12 8.55 6.62 6.90 6.40 6.86 7.83 10.73 10.733
EV/Revenue 0.99 1.03 0.81 0.79 0.70 0.66 0.69 0.73 0.81 0.94 1.05 1.15 1.15 1.09 0.93 1.02 0.96 0.94 0.94 1.00 1.001
EV/EBIT 10.15 6.63 5.29 4.77 3.94 3.47 3.45 3.91 4.56 4.44 5.56 6.72 7.16 10.71 8.16 8.46 7.90 8.77 10.31 15.63 15.631
EV/FCF -14.08 -10.12 -22.78 57.33 11.03 8.79 6.45 5.43 4.98 4.45 6.54 9.42 10.94 20.48 10.14 11.49 18.84 11.97 14.09 20.26 20.258
Earnings Yield 10.4% 9.0% 11.1% 11.6% 13.9% 16.2% 15.4% 15.1% 13.4% 13.0% 10.6% 7.8% 6.4% 4.5% 5.8% 6.2% 6.1% 6.3% 6.0% 5.3% 5.27%
FCF Yield -7.0% -9.9% -4.2% 1.7% 8.3% 10.5% 13.6% 15.7% 16.2% 17.9% 12.3% 8.8% 7.2% 4.0% 7.5% 6.9% 4.1% 6.4% 5.3% 3.8% 3.84%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.384
EV/OCF snapshot only 9.505
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.810
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 21.564
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.20%
Graham Number snapshot only $70.35
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.67 2.58 2.81 2.35 2.46 3.15 3.06 3.60 3.77 4.43 4.52 4.30 3.93 4.94 5.36 4.51 4.96 4.91 4.77 4.71 4.708
Quick Ratio 1.78 1.59 1.71 1.58 1.61 1.89 1.90 2.19 2.34 2.78 2.80 2.81 2.74 3.25 3.40 3.04 3.28 3.37 3.26 3.22 3.219
Debt/Equity 0.18 0.24 0.12 0.23 0.18 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.07 0.10 0.08 0.10 0.03 0.06 0.02 0.18 0.16 0.18 0.181
Net Debt/Equity -0.02 0.01 -0.05 -0.04 -0.13 -0.11 -0.19 -0.22 -0.29 -0.31 -0.29 -0.26 -0.33 -0.27 -0.33 -0.31 -0.31 -0.33 -0.35 -0.31 -0.308
Debt/Assets 0.12 0.16 0.08 0.15 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.130
Debt/EBITDA 0.90 0.77 0.35 0.61 0.44 0.32 0.26 0.24 0.28 0.20 0.27 0.49 0.43 0.72 0.22 0.35 0.12 1.15 1.21 1.81 1.808
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.09 0.03 -0.16 -0.12 -0.32 -0.26 -0.46 -0.64 -0.99 -1.02 -1.17 -1.23 -1.65 -1.97 -2.07 -1.81 -1.83 -2.07 -2.56 -3.07 -3.074
Interest Coverage 3.67 6.16 6.82 5.30 7.02 7.52 7.63 11.37 11.35 12.20 9.93 7.73 7.58 4.85 5.64 7.21 7.20 6.51 5.11 5.06 5.064
Equity Multiplier 1.47 1.48 1.42 1.56 1.53 1.38 1.39 1.31 1.30 1.26 1.24 1.25 1.28 1.21 1.19 1.23 1.21 1.35 1.36 1.39 1.390
Cash Ratio snapshot only 2.165
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 7.376
Cash to Debt snapshot only 2.700
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.293
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1527.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.28 1.41 1.47 1.51 1.51 1.60 1.53 1.33 1.14 1.05 0.92 0.85 0.84 0.91 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.91 0.88 0.82 0.816
Inventory Turnover 4.22 4.05 4.05 4.18 3.91 3.64 3.48 3.24 2.79 2.56 2.36 2.34 2.47 2.57 2.49 2.77 2.90 2.82 2.66 2.63 2.631
Receivables Turnover 4.43 5.96 5.53 4.95 5.21 6.85 6.13 5.07 5.11 6.15 4.98 4.29 4.38 6.13 5.92 4.79 4.52 5.94 5.77 4.41 4.410
Payables Turnover 17.78 30.65 16.69 15.58 13.40 27.67 15.27 13.06 12.34 29.95 14.06 14.16 14.30 38.54 16.52 16.35 15.09 38.49 17.22 14.08 14.083
DSO 82 61 66 74 70 53 60 72 71 59 73 85 83 60 62 76 81 61 63 83 82.8 days
DIO 86 90 90 87 93 100 105 113 131 143 154 156 147 142 146 132 126 129 137 139 138.7 days
DPO 21 12 22 23 27 13 24 28 30 12 26 26 26 9 22 22 24 9 21 26 25.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 148 139 134 138 136 140 141 157 173 190 202 216 205 192 186 186 183 181 179 196 195.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.470
Operating Cycle snapshot only 221.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.195
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.294
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 62.5% 58.2% 60.0% 55.9% 44.2% 37.2% 20.4% 0.0% -17.0% -28.2% -34.6% -34.6% -25.0% -11.8% 1.3% 13.9% 12.5% 5.4% 0.7% -7.3% -7.27%
Net Income 7.4% -12.3% -15.1% 23.5% 47.5% 72.5% 57.7% 38.3% 6.0% -4.9% -25.1% -45.3% -48.1% -65.0% -48.1% -17.1% -9.3% 33.3% 5.8% -20.6% -20.56%
EPS 6.1% -20.2% -15.0% 23.4% 47.4% 99.8% 66.0% 45.5% 11.5% -4.9% -24.7% -45.1% -50.4% -64.7% -50.4% -20.7% -5.0% 35.8% 13.3% -14.5% -14.51%
FCF -1.9% -2.2% -1.6% 2070.0% 2.3% 2.0% 4.6% 8.8% 1.1% 1.0% -1.0% -40.6% -51.7% -77.8% -42.2% -17.7% -45.8% 55.6% -27.3% -48.3% -48.27%
EBITDA -39.3% 15.2% 27.6% 1.3% 1.4% 62.4% 53.3% 13.3% -14.5% -17.3% -34.0% -35.9% -28.5% -51.9% -33.6% -15.7% -10.7% 13.4% -14.6% -41.4% -41.38%
Op. Income -1.1% 22.0% 17.6% 72.3% 80.4% 58.7% 57.1% 11.2% -22.6% -50.5% -71.5% -80.6% -75.8% -48.8% -0.7% 88.4% 75.8% 4.8% -17.6% -42.6% -42.64%
OCF Growth snapshot only -22.06%
Asset Growth snapshot only 11.99%
Equity Growth snapshot only -0.52%
Debt Growth snapshot only 2.01%
Shares Change snapshot only -7.07%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 28.25%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 25.9% 29.0% 32.6% 36.8% 39.7% 40.3% 38.5% 33.3% 24.8% 15.9% 8.0% 0.7% -3.6% -4.6% -7.2% -9.3% -11.2% -12.6% -12.6% -11.6% -11.58%
Revenue 5Y 19.5% 21.7% 24.1% 27.1% 27.7% 27.2% 26.1% 23.0% 19.0% 16.2% 12.9% 10.9% 11.1% 11.8% 12.0% 12.1% 10.4% 7.7% 5.2% 1.5% 1.51%
EPS 3Y 44.6% 42.2% 52.0% 60.2% 72.2% 67.1% 81.3% 33.0% 20.4% 14.9% 2.0% -0.5% -6.6% -12.4% -14.7% -14.1% -19.3% -23.0% -24.9% -28.1% -28.06%
EPS 5Y 32.2% 28.5% 37.9% 40.2% 45.8% 48.2% 47.0% 42.1% 37.8% 40.4% 34.4% 26.9% 23.1% 9.4% 17.4% 0.5% -3.9% -6.1% -9.8% -7.7% -7.74%
Net Income 3Y 45.8% 48.2% 50.8% 59.0% 73.8% 62.4% 77.0% 29.8% 18.8% 12.9% 0.1% -2.3% -6.7% -16.9% -15.0% -14.4% -20.7% -23.7% -25.6% -28.8% -28.85%
Net Income 5Y 32.8% 31.7% 37.2% 40.9% 46.6% 47.5% 44.8% 41.4% 37.1% 39.8% 32.3% 24.9% 23.6% 7.3% 16.6% -0.2% -4.6% -7.7% -11.3% -9.3% -9.26%
EBITDA 3Y 9.7% 65.6% 65.4% 86.0% 94.1% 70.7% 57.9% 18.0% 8.0% 15.7% 8.9% 18.3% 14.0% -13.6% -12.4% -15.1% -18.3% -23.3% -27.9% -31.8% -31.84%
EBITDA 5Y 25.0% 30.5% 27.7% 30.1% 33.2% 43.6% 42.8% 32.0% 22.3% 43.6% 35.6% 36.1% 34.9% 14.6% 11.5% -2.4% -4.3% -3.4% -6.0% -3.9% -3.93%
Gross Profit 3Y 29.7% 35.0% 38.2% 49.2% 55.6% 55.7% 52.0% 39.5% 26.7% 12.1% 0.2% -8.7% -12.0% -11.1% -11.2% -13.9% -17.9% -21.1% -22.8% -22.4% -22.40%
Gross Profit 5Y 25.2% 26.5% 28.3% 32.2% 35.1% 34.2% 32.8% 27.6% 22.0% 18.8% 13.1% 10.9% 11.5% 12.3% 12.0% 9.8% 6.2% 1.4% -1.7% -5.2% -5.24%
Op. Income 3Y 48.7% 69.5% 64.8% 1.0% 1.1% 74.0% 65.5% 26.9% 11.4% -1.4% -19.3% -28.1% -30.4% -26.2% -23.7% -26.0% -31.0% -35.7% -38.5% -40.6% -40.63%
Op. Income 5Y — 42.6% 43.7% 38.6% 41.9% 77.1% 66.9% 47.8% 35.6% 30.8% 14.9% 12.2% 12.4% 6.0% 5.1% -5.7% -10.1% -12.4% -15.5% -16.7% -16.70%
FCF 3Y — — — 1.4% 25.8% 50.3% — 1.2% 35.6% 34.3% 25.4% — — — — 68.4% -17.7% -11.3% -25.3% -36.8% -36.76%
FCF 5Y — — — 7.0% 47.8% 36.7% 38.0% 38.0% — 65.7% 44.9% 43.3% 15.4% 8.8% — 40.9% -8.1% -3.5% -3.7% — —
OCF 3Y — — — 19.0% 25.9% 41.7% 2.1% 87.5% 37.0% 34.9% 25.3% 79.7% — — — 29.0% -10.9% -7.3% -18.1% -25.3% -25.32%
OCF 5Y — — — 15.2% 36.4% 34.2% 37.9% 38.1% 1.8% 54.0% 36.0% 32.8% 14.3% 10.2% 79.0% 28.6% -1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 31.7% 31.72%
Assets 3Y 13.3% 18.7% 16.8% 22.5% 19.8% 19.7% 18.6% 12.8% 13.3% 16.1% 10.1% 10.8% 8.7% 5.9% 5.7% 2.0% 0.1% 5.1% 4.2% 5.8% 5.83%
Assets 5Y 6.7% 8.1% 9.6% 11.6% 15.6% 14.3% 14.7% 13.3% 12.3% 14.8% 13.4% 13.6% 12.1% 12.5% 10.7% 8.7% 8.2% 11.5% 8.8% 9.4% 9.42%
Equity 3Y 10.0% 11.1% 12.0% 14.2% 15.8% 16.6% 18.3% 15.5% 15.6% 16.8% 15.7% 14.6% 13.9% 13.3% 12.1% 10.3% 8.2% 6.0% 5.0% 3.8% 3.81%
Book Value 3Y 9.0% 6.5% 12.9% 15.1% 14.7% 20.0% 21.3% 18.3% 17.1% 18.8% 18.0% 16.7% 14.1% 19.4% 12.5% 10.7% 10.0% 7.0% 6.1% 5.0% 4.96%
Dividend 3Y 30.3% 29.4% 45.6% -13.8% -20.6% 2.9% -1.1% 34.0% 62.4% 30.3% 26.8% 14.0% -13.3% -6.7% -19.3% -17.8% 2.7% -10.6% 13.0% 7.2% 7.20%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.72 0.75 0.75 0.77 0.80 0.83 0.86 0.86 0.78 0.66 0.51 0.37 0.29 0.24 0.17 0.12 0.08 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.002
Earnings Stability 0.75 0.75 0.69 0.92 0.89 0.87 0.83 0.96 0.93 0.88 0.69 0.50 0.33 0.09 0.07 0.00 0.05 0.14 0.38 0.32 0.318
Margin Stability 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.85 0.86 0.87 0.93 0.95 0.91 0.88 0.84 0.84 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.84 0.82 0.825
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.97 0.95 0.94 0.91 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.85 0.98 0.98 0.90 0.82 0.81 0.50 0.81 0.93 0.96 0.87 0.98 0.92 0.918
Earnings Smoothness 0.93 0.87 0.84 0.79 0.62 0.47 0.55 0.68 0.94 0.95 0.71 0.41 0.37 0.04 0.37 0.81 0.90 0.71 0.94 0.77 0.771
ROE Trend 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.02 0.04 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.10 -0.11 -0.15 -0.12 -0.08 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.030
Gross Margin Trend 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.08 -0.08 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.023
FCF Margin Trend -0.18 -0.20 -0.08 -0.00 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.13 0.17 0.22 0.13 0.05 -0.01 -0.09 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.056
Sustainable Growth Rate 13.7% 12.6% 13.1% 17.9% 21.8% 21.7% 21.2% 18.7% 13.5% 13.1% 8.8% 4.6% 5.4% 1.7% 4.2% 5.5% 4.1% 5.4% 3.1% 2.8% 2.84%
Internal Growth Rate 10.6% 10.0% 10.1% 13.8% 16.9% 18.0% 17.7% 15.1% 10.6% 11.1% 7.2% 3.7% 4.3% 1.4% 3.6% 4.7% 3.4% 4.4% 2.5% 2.2% 2.21%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.38 -0.73 -0.03 0.46 0.85 0.88 1.15 1.34 1.56 1.69 1.48 1.50 1.50 1.51 1.84 1.58 1.20 1.59 1.53 1.55 1.552
FCF/OCF 1.76 1.51 11.38 0.32 0.71 0.74 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.82 0.79 0.75 0.75 0.58 0.71 0.71 0.56 0.65 0.58 0.47 0.469
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.728
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.129
CapEx/Revenue 3.0% 3.4% 3.2% 3.0% 2.6% 2.7% 3.2% 4.0% 4.7% 4.7% 4.4% 4.0% 3.6% 3.8% 3.8% 3.7% 4.0% 4.3% 4.8% 5.6% 5.59%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.913
Accruals Ratio 0.18 0.22 0.14 0.08 0.02 0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.09 -0.11 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.06 -0.04 -0.01 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.031
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.048
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.083
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 2.9% 2.7% 3.6% 1.7% 1.3% 2.8% 2.8% 3.6% 5.1% 4.9% 5.0% 4.8% 3.0% 3.4% 2.7% 2.5% 3.3% 2.5% 3.8% 3.2% 4.08%
Dividend/Share $1.68 $1.55 $2.09 $1.09 $0.86 $1.80 $1.98 $2.57 $3.75 $3.77 $3.83 $3.62 $2.33 $2.64 $1.91 $1.90 $2.51 $1.87 $2.86 $2.44 $3.10
Payout Ratio 27.8% 29.7% 32.3% 14.7% 9.7% 17.2% 18.4% 23.9% 37.8% 38.0% 47.3% 61.2% 47.3% 75.3% 47.5% 40.6% 53.6% 39.2% 62.9% 61.0% 60.97%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — 1.0% 16.2% 26.5% 20.9% 23.0% 31.4% 27.5% 40.6% 54.4% 42.1% 85.9% 36.6% 36.3% 79.8% 38.3% 70.4% 83.7% 83.72%
Total Payout Ratio 32.7% 31.7% 33.2% 14.8% 9.7% 17.2% 18.4% 23.9% 37.8% 39.9% 49.7% 64.6% 51.2% 75.3% 47.5% 40.8% 66.2% 54.9% 79.2% 79.7% 79.66%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 1.30 1.48 2.05 -0.36 -0.47 0.03 -0.07 1.28 3.18 1.15 0.98 0.45 -0.32 -0.27 -0.45 -0.42 0.06 -0.28 0.44 0.22 0.224
Buyback Yield 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.98%
Net Buyback Yield 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.98%
Total Shareholder Return 3.4% 2.8% 3.7% 1.7% 1.3% 2.8% 2.8% 3.6% 5.1% 5.2% 5.3% 5.0% 3.3% 3.4% 2.7% 2.5% 4.1% 3.4% 4.7% 4.2% 4.20%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 0.71 0.71 0.70 0.69 0.70 0.70 0.76 0.83 0.79 0.81 0.73 0.64 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.72 0.70 0.699
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.36 0.84 0.85 0.81 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.90 0.87 0.91 0.86 0.88 0.91 0.86 0.97 1.14 1.52 1.515
EBIT Margin 0.10 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.21 0.19 0.17 0.16 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.06 0.064
Asset Turnover 1.28 1.41 1.47 1.51 1.51 1.60 1.53 1.33 1.14 1.05 0.92 0.85 0.84 0.91 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.91 0.88 0.82 0.816
Equity Multiplier 1.43 1.39 1.43 1.48 1.50 1.43 1.41 1.43 1.41 1.31 1.31 1.28 1.29 1.23 1.21 1.24 1.24 1.28 1.28 1.31 1.312
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $6.03 $5.22 $6.48 $7.39 $8.90 $10.44 $10.75 $10.75 $9.92 $9.93 $8.09 $5.91 $4.92 $3.51 $4.02 $4.68 $4.67 $4.76 $4.55 $4.00 $4.00
Book Value/Share $33.58 $31.03 $35.64 $37.88 $40.28 $43.60 $45.47 $47.51 $49.09 $50.51 $51.06 $51.56 $49.83 $52.79 $50.77 $51.32 $53.66 $53.40 $54.23 $54.94 $54.94
Tangible Book/Share $33.52 $30.98 $35.58 $37.83 $40.23 $43.55 $45.43 $47.48 $49.07 $50.48 $51.04 $51.54 $49.82 $52.77 $50.75 $51.30 $53.63 $53.36 $54.19 $54.89 $54.89
Revenue/Share $58.14 $57.15 $70.29 $78.46 $83.79 $90.82 $89.03 $82.59 $73.13 $65.17 $58.50 $54.30 $52.39 $58.04 $56.69 $59.13 $61.78 $62.37 $61.16 $59.00 $59.00
FCF/Share $-4.07 $-5.79 $-2.49 $1.09 $5.35 $6.78 $9.49 $11.16 $11.96 $13.71 $9.43 $6.65 $5.52 $3.08 $5.21 $5.24 $3.14 $4.88 $4.06 $2.92 $2.92
OCF/Share $-2.32 $-3.83 $-0.22 $3.41 $7.52 $9.21 $12.32 $14.44 $15.43 $16.75 $12.01 $8.84 $7.39 $5.30 $7.37 $7.41 $5.61 $7.55 $6.97 $6.22 $6.22
Cash/Share $6.59 $7.19 $6.06 $10.25 $12.29 $10.54 $13.58 $14.75 $18.34 $18.46 $18.17 $18.68 $20.51 $19.79 $18.33 $18.87 $18.01 $27.43 $27.57 $26.87 $26.87
EBITDA/Share $6.63 $9.76 $11.76 $14.11 $16.06 $18.35 $18.97 $16.82 $14.45 $15.18 $12.58 $10.83 $9.87 $7.37 $7.99 $8.73 $9.24 $8.51 $7.31 $5.50 $5.50
Debt/Share $5.97 $7.48 $4.17 $8.62 $7.10 $5.85 $4.86 $4.07 $4.08 $2.96 $3.41 $5.35 $4.21 $5.30 $1.76 $3.07 $1.15 $9.80 $8.83 $9.95 $9.95
Net Debt/Share $-0.63 $0.29 $-1.89 $-1.63 $-5.19 $-4.69 $-8.72 $-10.68 $-14.26 $-15.50 $-14.76 $-13.32 $-16.30 $-14.49 $-16.57 $-15.79 $-16.86 $-17.63 $-18.74 $-16.92 $-16.92
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.104
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 8.748
Piotroski F-Score 3 2 4 5 6 8 9 7 7 6 6 5 4 6 7 7 7 6 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score -1.09 -1.10 -1.40 -1.90 -2.44 -2.43 -2.74 -3.00 -3.23 -2.83 -2.97 -2.90 -2.74 -2.78 -2.63 -2.60 -2.47 -2.29 -0.60 -0.52 -0.519
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.329
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 6.00%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $37.03
EVA snapshot only $-16035352.53
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA
Credit Score 78.70 81.45 82.45 85.65 92.75 92.75 92.75 95.25 95.25 95.25 92.75 92.75 92.75 86.50 90.25 92.75 92.75 90.10 90.10 89.20 89.200
Credit Grade snapshot only 3
Credit Trend snapshot only -3.550
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 80.000

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