— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

MWTCF OTC

Manila Water Co. Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: +0.0% YTD: +2.9% 1Y: +2.9% 3Y: +154.8% 5Y: +127.2%
$0.72
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Utilities · Regulated Water · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 33 · $1.9B mcap · 528M float · 0.0001% daily turnover · Short 90% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
4
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MWTCF receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 A- B+
2026-07-01 None ADDED
2026-03-28 EXISTED None
2026-03-23 None ADDED
2026-02-28 EXISTED None
2026-02-23 None ADDED
2026-02-15 EXISTED None
2026-02-06 None ADDED

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade C
Profitability
80
Balance Sheet
22
Earnings Quality
43
Growth
65
Value
—
Momentum
57
Safety
—
Cash Flow
35

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.00
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.97
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 47.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: 0.20x
Accruals: 4.8%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MWTCF scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MWTCF's score of -2.00 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MWTCF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MWTCF receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 47.5/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MWTCF's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
8.18x
PEG
0.20x
P/S
2.80x
P/B
1.23x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$72.04
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 8.2x earnings, MWTCF trades at a deep value multiple. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $72.04 per share, suggesting a potential 9906% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.737
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.873
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.601
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.154
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.035
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
18.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MWTCF's ROE of 18.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.03x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$241.56
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MWTCF's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. MWTCF actually compounded EPS at 24.1% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. MWTCF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $241.56, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 8.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.72
Median 1Y
$0.60
5th Pctile
$0.17
95th Pctile
$2.11
Ann. Volatility
77.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 6.5% 5.2% 4.9% 4.9% 6.1% 7.7% 9.4% 10.3% 10.9% 7.4% 8.4% 9.5% 10.3% 13.5% 14.2% 14.3% 15.8% 18.4% 19.7% 18.1% 18.13%
ROA 2.6% 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.6% 3.1% 3.8% 4.2% 4.4% 2.7% 3.1% 3.5% 3.8% 4.6% 4.8% 5.0% 5.5% 5.8% 6.2% 6.0% 5.97%
ROIC 5.2% 3.9% 3.8% 3.9% 4.3% 4.5% 5.3% 5.8% 6.1% 7.0% 7.3% 7.2% 7.5% 7.2% 7.3% 7.6% 8.5% 7.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.19%
ROCE 5.2% 5.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.4% 6.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.6% 6.9% 7.6% 8.1% 8.7% 9.0% 9.5% 9.8% 9.9% 9.9% 9.7% 9.5% 9.48%
Gross Margin 54.3% 44.1% 53.5% 53.4% 49.9% 52.6% 65.0% 69.5% 66.0% 61.3% 67.2% 69.4% 69.8% 65.1% 70.1% 73.7% 70.1% 70.6% 68.7% 70.1% 70.12%
Operating Margin 31.2% 25.8% 35.7% 61.7% 52.2% 39.2% 51.4% 57.9% 52.1% 53.5% 55.7% 54.1% 54.2% 47.5% 57.3% 59.4% 57.0% 56.0% 58.0% 57.5% 57.47%
Net Margin 13.5% 5.2% 18.3% 34.5% 30.2% 25.8% 30.9% 34.5% 28.6% -22.3% 35.6% 39.8% 34.7% 4.4% 37.3% 42.0% 47.1% 31.2% 41.8% 35.2% 35.22%
EBITDA Margin 63.1% 40.6% 58.4% 62.3% 71.8% 51.7% 62.5% 64.5% 64.3% 68.3% 69.9% 75.1% 71.7% 40.1% 74.3% 76.3% 70.2% 68.3% 85.3% 72.6% 72.63%
FCF Margin -8.9% -7.8% -30.0% -11.7% -34.8% -38.8% -15.9% -18.0% 3.3% 1.9% 0.4% -5.4% -7.1% -4.5% -0.7% 0.5% -1.0% 9.5% 5.4% 4.2% 4.17%
OCF Margin -0.5% -0.1% -24.9% -6.9% -29.9% -33.5% -9.2% -10.5% 10.6% 12.2% 9.3% 2.1% -0.7% -1.6% 2.4% 2.6% 1.9% 11.6% 6.5% 7.7% 7.72%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 13.49%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 11.07%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.50%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.16%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 7.09%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.06%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 1.23%
CROIC snapshot only 0.67%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 45.05%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 52.51%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 12.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.28%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 8.177
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.802
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.226
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.198
Graham Number snapshot only $72.04
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.57 0.99 0.78 0.64 0.79 0.63 0.48 0.48 0.42 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.46 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.24 0.39 0.39 0.394
Quick Ratio 1.55 0.96 0.76 0.61 0.76 0.61 0.46 0.46 0.40 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.45 0.37 0.37 0.35 0.23 0.38 0.38 0.380
Debt/Equity 1.10 1.11 1.10 1.13 1.19 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.28 1.55 1.53 1.53 1.46 1.51 1.58 1.48 1.35 1.56 1.93 1.81 1.809
Net Debt/Equity 0.82 0.92 0.99 1.01 1.06 1.19 1.18 1.18 1.19 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.36 1.42 1.49 1.41 1.27 1.48 1.86 1.76 1.761
Debt/Assets 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.53 0.52 0.53 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.52 0.46 0.47 0.57 0.57 0.566
Debt/EBITDA 6.41 6.79 7.06 7.47 7.58 7.77 7.00 6.36 5.99 5.82 5.30 5.06 4.74 5.17 5.13 4.91 4.37 4.92 5.59 5.53 5.535
Net Debt/EBITDA 4.81 5.64 6.32 6.70 6.73 7.09 6.36 5.80 5.57 5.28 4.92 4.72 4.40 4.85 4.85 4.66 4.13 4.68 5.40 5.39 5.388
Interest Coverage 3.99 3.31 2.94 3.15 3.80 3.99 4.25 4.29 4.27 3.56 3.89 4.38 4.75 5.49 5.85 6.23 6.41 7.11 6.19 5.14 5.141
Equity Multiplier 2.32 2.38 2.35 2.36 2.42 2.61 2.59 2.59 2.56 2.93 2.92 2.91 2.82 2.92 2.97 2.85 2.90 3.35 3.35 3.20 3.199
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.119
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.339
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.027
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.010
Defensive Interval snapshot only 832.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.154
Inventory Turnover 22.84 23.67 25.07 21.24 19.79 22.51 23.09 20.23 19.54 25.61 25.48 26.13 27.01 28.39 28.57 27.96 26.00 25.01 26.43 25.78 25.782
Receivables Turnover 4.55 5.65 6.82 6.62 6.27 6.63 7.02 7.69 8.74 9.94 8.84 8.50 9.44 11.53 10.21 8.89 8.50 9.91 9.43 8.34 8.337
Payables Turnover 0.78 1.16 0.85 0.85 0.83 1.04 0.67 0.67 0.68 1.03 0.60 0.60 0.63 1.10 0.61 0.60 0.64 0.96 0.56 0.63 0.626
DSO 80 65 54 55 58 55 52 47 42 37 41 43 39 32 36 41 43 37 39 44 43.8 days
DIO 16 15 15 17 18 16 16 18 19 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 14 15 14 14 14.2 days
DPO 470 314 430 428 437 350 542 547 539 353 606 605 580 331 598 611 568 381 651 583 582.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -374 -234 -361 -356 -361 -278 -474 -482 -478 -302 -551 -548 -528 -287 -550 -557 -511 -330 -598 -525 -524.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.901
Operating Cycle snapshot only 57.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 9.161
Capital Intensity snapshot only 7.256
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue -11.0% -3.8% -0.1% 1.3% 4.5% 6.4% 16.3% 28.6% 37.5% 45.3% 36.9% 28.5% 22.5% 19.4% 16.7% 14.1% 11.5% 9.2% 9.4% 9.5% 9.53%
Net Income 4.5% -16.0% -16.4% -14.7% 9.0% 68.8% 1.2% 1.2% 87.5% -2.8% -9.5% -7.3% -2.6% 87.7% 70.0% 54.7% 54.5% 50.2% 51.5% 40.7% 40.65%
EPS -28.8% -28.0% -16.4% -23.2% 61.0% 68.9% 1.2% 1.9% 88.5% 29.5% 0.5% -22.7% -19.1% 37.6% 69.8% 53.1% 75.3% 71.8% 51.1% 61.4% 61.39%
FCF -37.0% 20.3% -2.3% -18.8% -3.1% -4.3% 38.3% -96.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 61.5% -3.6% -3.8% -3.4% 1.1% 84.0% 3.3% 9.1% 8.3% 8.25%
EBITDA -4.5% -9.8% -11.0% -11.2% -3.4% 8.7% 26.4% 44.0% 44.8% 54.6% 47.5% 42.8% 42.4% 18.4% 14.4% 8.1% 2.6% 22.7% 25.4% 22.9% 22.91%
Op. Income -11.0% -14.9% -20.3% -12.1% 11.1% 30.0% 67.7% 68.7% 59.3% 65.4% 47.1% 35.8% 30.5% 17.4% 13.4% 15.9% 13.8% 18.6% 18.2% 14.2% 14.22%
OCF Growth snapshot only 2.23%
Asset Growth snapshot only 27.24%
Equity Growth snapshot only 13.33%
Debt Growth snapshot only 38.63%
Shares Change snapshot only -12.85%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 25.10%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 1.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% -1.1% 1.4% 5.1% 8.5% 14.2% 16.7% 18.7% 20.7% 22.7% 22.9% 23.5% 23.4% 23.8% 20.5% 17.1% 17.10%
Revenue 5Y 3.1% 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 4.5% 6.4% 8.1% 9.3% 10.1% 10.8% 11.0% 10.9% 10.8% 11.2% 11.8% 14.2% 15.2% 15.9% 15.91%
EPS 3Y -22.7% -23.6% -21.6% -22.2% -9.5% -10.3% -3.5% 18.9% 29.3% 16.4% 22.1% 20.0% 34.9% 44.4% 54.7% 51.0% 38.8% 45.2% 37.1% 24.1% 24.09%
EPS 5Y -12.2% -13.9% -17.3% -14.7% -10.2% -4.4% -0.5% 4.5% 7.0% -0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 2.5% 5.1% 8.9% 14.7% 25.1% 30.1% 36.1% 33.7% 33.70%
Net Income 3Y -11.8% -19.5% -18.5% -14.5% -9.5% 0.2% 7.9% 16.7% 28.8% 11.3% 17.9% 20.2% 25.8% 45.5% 49.3% 46.5% 41.3% 39.9% 32.6% 26.3% 26.33%
Net Income 5Y -7.4% -10.9% -11.5% -9.8% -5.4% -1.3% 2.2% 4.4% 7.0% -3.0% 1.2% 4.9% 6.3% 12.9% 14.1% 17.9% 26.3% 31.2% 33.4% 30.4% 30.43%
EBITDA 3Y 3.8% 0.1% 1.3% -1.2% -1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 7.3% 10.1% 14.9% 18.4% 22.2% 25.8% 25.8% 28.7% 30.5% 28.4% 30.9% 28.4% 23.8% 23.80%
EBITDA 5Y 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 1.7% 3.1% 5.3% 7.5% 9.4% 11.0% 14.1% 14.7% 14.7% 13.8% 12.3% 13.8% 14.3% 17.1% 18.9% 19.4% 19.39%
Gross Profit 3Y -0.6% -4.4% -6.0% -6.5% -8.4% -5.8% -1.2% 4.3% 10.0% 17.5% 20.7% 23.9% 27.3% 32.6% 34.6% 36.9% 37.8% 37.1% 30.2% 22.7% 22.70%
Gross Profit 5Y 2.7% -0.8% -1.1% -1.3% -1.9% -1.2% 2.1% 5.6% 9.5% 10.5% 10.8% 11.8% 11.6% 13.5% 13.5% 13.8% 14.6% 18.1% 19.1% 20.2% 20.22%
Op. Income 3Y -5.4% -9.2% -10.6% -7.8% -4.0% -0.4% 5.5% 11.3% 16.4% 22.3% 25.3% 26.3% 32.2% 36.2% 40.9% 38.5% 33.2% 32.1% 25.4% 21.6% 21.60%
Op. Income 5Y -2.5% -3.7% -5.0% -3.3% -0.5% 1.3% 4.3% 6.1% 8.4% 10.0% 12.0% 12.4% 12.9% 13.9% 14.4% 16.8% 18.5% 20.6% 21.4% 21.7% 21.66%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — 60.0% -21.2% -48.5% — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — 82.3% — — -25.6% — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — 27.0% 2.5% -7.6% -22.2% — — — — 8.0% — — 14.2% 14.18%
Assets 3Y 11.6% 11.7% 11.8% 12.5% 13.2% 13.1% 13.3% 11.9% 9.1% 11.6% 11.6% 9.7% 10.4% 11.0% 11.0% 10.4% 9.0% 15.1% 13.8% 13.5% 13.51%
Assets 5Y 14.5% 15.0% 14.4% 13.8% 12.0% 14.3% 11.9% 12.2% 11.4% 12.1% 11.9% 12.4% 12.3% 11.2% 11.1% 10.0% 8.4% 14.2% 13.8% 12.4% 12.38%
Equity 3Y 11.6% 10.9% 11.4% 11.4% 11.0% 10.8% 11.6% 12.0% 12.3% 7.9% 7.0% 1.9% 3.4% 3.7% 2.7% 3.7% 2.6% 5.9% 4.4% 5.8% 5.77%
Book Value 3Y -2.2% 5.2% 7.2% 1.4% 11.0% -0.9% -0.1% 14.1% 12.7% 12.9% 10.8% 1.8% 10.9% 2.9% 6.3% 6.9% 0.8% 9.8% 8.0% 3.9% 3.89%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — -21.0% -21.0% 23.9% 22.2% 22.7% 21.5% 0.0% 7.4% 16.7% 68.0% 21.2% 15.4% 22.0% -9.3% 1.1% 1.09%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.59 0.42 0.33 0.31 0.32 0.28 0.40 0.44 0.47 0.49 0.60 0.65 0.66 0.63 0.68 0.75 0.80 0.87 0.94 0.98 0.979
Earnings Stability 0.66 0.73 0.79 0.91 0.63 0.31 0.05 0.00 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.25 0.42 0.44 0.54 0.70 0.86 0.80 0.84 0.88 0.878
Margin Stability 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.92 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.918
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.98 0.94 0.93 0.94 0.96 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.99 0.96 0.97 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.837
Earnings Smoothness 0.96 0.83 0.82 0.84 0.91 0.49 0.26 0.25 0.39 0.97 0.90 0.92 0.97 0.39 0.48 0.57 0.57 0.60 0.59 0.66 0.662
ROE Trend -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.00 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.054
Gross Margin Trend -0.06 -0.07 -0.08 -0.09 -0.09 -0.05 0.00 0.06 0.10 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.019
FCF Margin Trend -0.06 -0.01 -0.21 -0.05 -0.27 -0.30 0.04 -0.12 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.09 0.09 0.14 0.07 0.12 0.01 0.11 0.06 0.07 0.066
Sustainable Growth Rate 6.5% 2.3% 2.1% 2.4% 3.7% 6.0% 7.7% 6.0% 6.7% 4.7% 5.7% 5.2% 6.2% 9.2% 2.7% 7.5% 9.2% 12.0% 12.6% 11.5% 11.47%
Internal Growth Rate 2.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 2.5% 3.2% 2.5% 2.8% 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 2.4% 3.2% 0.9% 2.7% 3.3% 4.0% 4.1% 3.9% 3.93%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.02 -0.01 -1.52 -0.38 -1.35 -1.23 -0.30 -0.34 0.35 0.67 0.47 0.09 -0.03 -0.06 0.08 0.09 0.06 0.29 0.16 0.20 0.200
FCF/OCF 17.12 77.39 1.21 1.70 1.16 1.16 1.73 1.72 0.31 0.16 0.04 -2.63 10.48 2.77 -0.31 0.19 -0.54 0.82 0.83 0.54 0.540
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.108
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.104
CapEx/Revenue 8.4% 7.7% 5.2% 4.8% 4.8% 5.2% 6.7% 7.5% 7.2% 10.2% 9.0% 7.4% 6.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 3.3% 3.32%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.237
Accruals Ratio 0.03 0.02 0.05 0.03 0.06 0.07 0.05 0.06 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.048
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.024
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.440
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.72%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.65 $0.65 $0.57 $0.76 $0.45 $0.45 $1.37 $1.37 $0.96 $0.80 $1.15 $1.14 $1.14 $3.40 $1.84 $2.10 $2.12 $2.29 $2.31 $2.13
Payout Ratio 0.0% 54.7% 56.8% 50.8% 40.4% 22.3% 18.1% 41.7% 38.8% 37.1% 32.2% 45.2% 40.0% 32.1% 80.8% 47.4% 42.0% 34.7% 36.0% 36.8% 36.75%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — 3.5% 3.5% 18.4% — — — — 28.9% — 1.4% 2.7% 3.4% 3.41%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 54.7% 56.8% 50.8% 41.4% 23.1% 18.7% 66.7% 62.6% 1.0% 89.1% 1.2% 1.1% 32.1% 80.8% 47.4% 42.0% 34.7% 36.0% 36.8% 36.75%
Div. Increase Streak — 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.71 0.64 0.72 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.74 0.73 0.43 0.45 0.48 0.50 0.70 0.69 0.69 0.71 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.737
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.75 0.70 0.66 0.68 0.74 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.78 1.04 1.02 1.03 1.03 0.81 0.83 0.84 0.91 0.91 0.89 0.87 0.873
EBIT Margin 0.40 0.38 0.35 0.38 0.43 0.50 0.54 0.54 0.53 0.41 0.43 0.45 0.47 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.59 0.62 0.60 0.601
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.154
Equity Multiplier 2.53 2.50 2.45 2.34 2.37 2.50 2.47 2.48 2.49 2.76 2.75 2.74 2.69 2.92 2.95 2.88 2.86 3.15 3.17 3.03 3.035
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.16 $1.18 $1.14 $1.13 $1.87 $2.00 $2.47 $3.28 $3.53 $2.59 $2.48 $2.54 $2.86 $3.56 $4.21 $3.89 $5.01 $6.11 $6.36 $6.27 $6.27
Book Value/Share $20.17 $25.06 $25.46 $23.14 $31.31 $26.64 $27.14 $32.79 $33.41 $34.42 $28.62 $26.27 $27.48 $27.32 $30.59 $28.27 $32.05 $35.30 $34.21 $36.77 $38.52
Tangible Book/Share $-10.11 $-15.17 $-16.69 $-15.22 $-20.93 $-23.04 $-23.89 $-29.54 $-30.31 $-40.60 $-35.13 $-31.75 $-32.15 $-35.07 $-41.75 $-36.52 $-44.60 $-61.98 $-61.67 $-61.43 $-61.43
Revenue/Share $5.46 $6.87 $6.97 $6.24 $8.43 $7.31 $8.12 $10.65 $11.65 $14.16 $12.35 $11.42 $11.86 $12.40 $14.39 $12.90 $15.00 $15.49 $15.70 $16.21 $16.21
FCF/Share $-0.49 $-0.53 $-2.09 $-0.73 $-2.93 $-2.84 $-1.29 $-1.91 $0.39 $0.27 $0.04 $-0.62 $-0.84 $-0.56 $-0.10 $0.06 $-0.15 $1.48 $0.85 $0.68 $0.68
OCF/Share $-0.03 $-0.01 $-1.73 $-0.43 $-2.52 $-2.45 $-0.75 $-1.11 $1.23 $1.72 $1.15 $0.23 $-0.08 $-0.20 $0.34 $0.34 $0.28 $1.79 $1.02 $1.25 $1.21
Cash/Share $5.52 $4.70 $2.95 $2.68 $4.18 $3.06 $3.21 $3.72 $3.04 $4.97 $3.17 $2.73 $2.89 $2.51 $2.66 $2.09 $2.35 $2.67 $2.22 $1.77 $1.77
EBITDA/Share $3.45 $4.10 $3.98 $3.50 $4.92 $4.46 $5.04 $6.68 $7.16 $9.19 $8.25 $7.97 $8.47 $7.98 $9.43 $8.52 $9.87 $11.19 $11.79 $12.02 $12.02
Debt/Share $22.13 $27.85 $28.10 $26.14 $37.32 $34.68 $35.24 $42.51 $42.93 $53.51 $43.77 $40.30 $40.17 $41.22 $48.39 $41.82 $43.14 $55.02 $65.90 $66.53 $66.53
Net Debt/Share $16.62 $23.16 $25.15 $23.47 $33.14 $31.62 $32.03 $38.79 $39.88 $48.54 $40.60 $37.57 $37.28 $38.70 $45.73 $39.73 $40.78 $52.34 $63.67 $64.76 $64.76
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 3 2 3 2 3 4 5 5 6 5 5 3 3 6 5 6 7 6 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.50 -5.70 -1.88 -2.21 -2.24 -2.01 -2.02 -1.97 -2.16 -2.59 -2.52 -2.17 -2.09 -2.15 -2.23 -2.06 -2.22 -4.09 -3.48 -2.00 -1.996
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.968
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-73.24
EVA snapshot only $-7374963132.78
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 53.60 44.07 37.05 40.26 42.97 40.69 40.97 39.76 44.48 42.23 44.34 43.79 43.41 46.13 47.90 49.14 49.74 51.26 47.30 47.46 47.458
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only -1.684
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 50
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 59

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