— Know what they know.
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Also trades as: 0017.HK (HKSE) · $vol 4M · NWWDF (OTC) · $vol 0M

NDVLY OTC

New World Development Company Limited
1W: +15.2% 1M: -6.6% 3M: -19.5% YTD: -15.7% 1Y: -17.7% 3Y: -58.5% 5Y: -77.1%
$0.35
+0.07 (+24.82%)
 
OTC · Real Estate · Real Estate - Diversified · Tech Score Neutral · Power 47 · $1.8B mcap · 1.37B float · 0.0002% daily turnover · Short 29% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NDVLY receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B- C+
2026-09-30 C+ B-
2026-09-21 B- C+
2026-09-18 C B-
2026-09-16 B- C
2026-09-15 C+ B-
2026-09-11 B- C+
2026-06-30 None ADDED
2026-06-30 EXISTED None
2026-06-08 None ADDED

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade D
Profitability
14
Balance Sheet
52
Earnings Quality
54
Growth
12
Value
—
Momentum
20
Safety
—
Cash Flow
20

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-4.06
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.56
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 41.9/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.16x
Accruals: -4.5%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NDVLY scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NDVLY's score of -4.06 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NDVLY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NDVLY receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 41.9/100), with a stable trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.75x
PEG
0.02x
P/S
0.67x
P/B
0.10x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. NDVLY currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.567
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
3.788
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.073
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.122
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.625
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-14.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NDVLY's ROE of -14.0% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.122), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.57 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.35
Median 1Y
$0.15
5th Pctile
$0.03
95th Pctile
$0.80
Ann. Volatility
105.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE 17.2% 16.4% 14.8% 9.0% 12.4% 15.7% 18.2% 20.2% 14.5% 9.0% 4.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% -5.3% -8.9% -14.0% -13.98%
ROA 7.2% 7.3% 6.6% 3.9% 5.5% 7.1% 8.4% 8.8% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% -2.1% -3.5% -5.3% -5.33%
ROIC 6.9% 6.3% 5.9% 4.9% 4.4% 5.8% 5.9% 5.9% 5.2% 3.6% 1.8% 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.5% 2.1% 1.3% -1.1% 0.1% -3.5% -3.46%
ROCE 6.3% 6.7% 6.8% 6.6% 6.2% 6.3% 7.1% 6.6% 5.6% 4.6% 3.4% 3.1% 3.2% 3.4% 3.3% 4.0% 4.6% 3.6% 3.0% -1.3% -1.28%
Gross Margin 29.8% 32.8% 35.6% 29.1% 36.5% 31.7% 31.0% 34.4% 36.1% 24.2% 25.2% 28.4% 27.2% 23.3% 22.0% 22.5% 42.5% 29.9% 39.8% 45.5% 45.45%
Operating Margin 20.3% 9.0% 23.5% 10.2% 24.0% 15.5% 20.2% 15.0% 22.8% 5.8% 12.9% 10.8% 14.5% 6.4% 10.6% 10.4% -10.5% -22.9% 4.4% -82.8% -82.76%
Net Margin 9.8% 20.8% 16.3% 11.1% 40.3% 36.8% 22.9% 25.4% 3.1% 0.3% 2.8% 0.5% 4.0% -0.6% 3.0% -0.6% 0.1% -65.8% -34.0% -88.2% -88.21%
EBITDA Margin 23.4% 23.1% 27.1% 19.5% 28.2% 22.9% 22.5% 19.8% 28.7% 13.3% 18.5% 17.6% 20.0% 12.3% 14.5% 14.0% 27.4% -5.0% 15.4% -78.2% -78.21%
FCF Margin -6.2% -0.0% 0.4% -12.0% -8.3% -13.0% -17.2% -4.0% -18.1% -22.4% -21.3% -19.3% -13.1% 3.2% 11.2% 3.4% 12.0% -10.4% -15.4% -21.0% -21.04%
OCF Margin 8.3% 15.5% 16.7% 9.6% 15.5% 9.2% 1.3% 10.7% -2.4% -2.4% 2.2% -0.5% 6.0% 12.4% 19.0% 11.2% 16.8% -1.3% -7.0% -6.8% -6.80%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.92%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 3.11%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.95%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.81%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -3.21%
Cash ROA snapshot only -1.03%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -1.31%
CROIC snapshot only -4.06%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -17.89%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -27.77%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.43%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.754
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.665
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.098
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.021
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 2.38 2.39 2.35 2.25 1.97 1.82 1.54 1.48 1.29 1.19 1.25 1.39 1.11 1.12 1.07 0.97 1.12 1.26 1.28 1.85 1.849
Quick Ratio 1.47 1.30 1.37 1.20 1.08 0.96 0.90 0.90 0.82 0.75 0.73 0.79 0.61 0.63 0.61 0.53 0.46 0.49 0.44 0.70 0.699
Debt/Equity 0.76 0.64 0.76 0.73 0.68 0.60 0.65 0.79 1.03 1.11 1.02 0.82 1.04 0.93 1.21 1.00 0.86 0.74 0.75 0.78 0.783
Net Debt/Equity 0.40 0.32 0.40 0.37 0.38 0.31 0.42 0.51 0.68 0.74 0.73 0.47 0.73 0.57 0.86 0.64 0.66 0.61 0.64 0.65 0.652
Debt/Assets 0.33 0.29 0.34 0.31 0.31 0.27 0.31 0.35 0.38 0.39 0.37 0.29 0.36 0.31 0.39 0.32 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.370
Debt/EBITDA 5.31 4.44 5.36 5.03 5.46 4.56 4.59 5.59 6.70 8.05 9.29 7.23 10.14 8.42 10.70 7.86 7.47 9.26 11.04 -70.64 -70.635
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.78 2.24 2.83 2.54 3.02 2.33 2.99 3.56 4.41 5.38 6.60 4.20 7.13 5.18 7.61 5.05 5.69 7.63 9.47 -58.84 -58.841
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — 19.95 7.11 3.35 2.00 1.88 2.15 2.72 2.26 2.17 1.73 1.15 0.97 -0.43 -0.426
Equity Multiplier 2.30 2.18 2.23 2.35 2.18 2.23 2.10 2.25 2.74 2.82 2.73 2.81 2.84 2.98 3.07 3.14 2.44 2.06 2.05 2.11 2.113
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.451
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -0.202
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.167
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.086
Defensive Interval snapshot only 432.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 0.31 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.25 0.27 0.31 0.29 0.27 0.25 0.22 0.23 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.27 0.26 0.24 0.21 0.12 0.122
Inventory Turnover 1.15 1.08 1.07 0.98 0.99 1.02 1.45 1.29 1.29 1.24 1.20 1.22 1.25 1.34 1.33 1.50 1.31 1.25 1.05 0.54 0.539
Receivables Turnover 22.12 5.19 20.96 5.06 25.51 2.77 34.30 2.73 46.87 2.68 40.21 2.06 49.20 4.76 34.30 2.47 68.58 38.30 11.59 1.53 1.532
Payables Turnover 1.99 6.72 1.58 7.03 1.49 2.63 1.61 7.77 1.74 3.01 1.37 8.42 1.51 8.88 1.89 12.57 2.74 10.03 2.82 4.42 4.420
DSO 16 70 17 72 14 132 11 134 8 136 9 177 7 77 11 148 5 10 32 238 238.3 days
DIO 318 337 342 373 368 358 251 284 283 295 304 300 291 272 274 244 278 292 346 677 677.4 days
DPO 183 54 231 52 245 139 227 47 210 121 266 43 242 41 193 29 133 36 129 83 82.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 151 353 129 393 137 351 35 371 81 310 48 433 57 308 92 363 150 265 248 833 833.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.184
Operating Cycle snapshot only 915.7 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.442
Capital Intensity snapshot only 6.622
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 29.0% 11.2% 8.2% 4.0% -6.7% 2.2% 22.3% 17.9% 28.5% 14.8% -13.3% -7.2% -8.0% 2.1% 16.9% 29.7% 11.9% -4.0% -23.7% -61.5% -61.51%
Net Income 6.8% 16.4% 33.0% -43.3% -11.9% 11.6% 44.6% 1.5% 28.5% -37.9% -76.3% -94.5% -91.4% -87.4% -70.9% -5.2% -72.6% -5.7% -8.0% -13.8% -13.84%
EPS -20.3% 0.4% 22.6% -48.0% -19.6% 2.3% 33.0% 1.4% 23.7% -38.2% -76.3% -94.5% -91.3% -87.3% -70.4% -4.2% -72.5% -5.7% -8.0% -17.4% -17.37%
FCF 1.7% 98.6% 1.1% -5.4% -25.5% -274.1% -58.7% 61.0% -1.8% -97.6% -7.8% -3.5% 33.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 2.0% -4.1% -2.0% -3.4% -3.36%
EBITDA -16.2% -5.4% 4.7% -0.2% 5.5% 9.8% 20.4% 18.3% 23.9% 2.8% -23.3% -20.8% -30.9% -19.1% -7.8% -1.4% -3.0% -26.5% -38.2% -1.1% -1.09%
Op. Income -21.8% -18.8% -6.2% -18.0% -12.8% 11.1% 23.1% 39.3% 44.6% 8.9% -28.6% -33.4% -43.7% -32.3% -14.2% 1.3% -30.6% -74.5% -97.2% -1.8% -1.83%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.23%
Asset Growth snapshot only -31.83%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.45%
Debt Growth snapshot only -20.39%
Shares Change snapshot only -21.56%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -33.72%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 29.7% 28.1% 24.8% 22.6% 18.8% 19.6% 22.3% 18.5% 15.6% 9.3% 4.7% 4.4% 3.3% 6.2% 7.4% 12.4% 9.8% 4.0% -8.2% -22.6% -22.63%
Revenue 5Y 20.3% 20.0% 19.6% 19.7% 17.2% 17.4% 21.3% 20.6% 21.2% 19.8% 15.6% 15.0% 14.7% 15.0% 13.2% 14.9% 9.7% 5.0% 0.5% -10.7% -10.70%
EPS 3Y -5.6% -8.2% -16.1% -33.2% -18.5% -12.2% -8.0% 1.6% -7.4% -14.1% -27.2% -59.0% -55.8% -56.8% -54.7% -49.7% -69.1% — — — —
EPS 5Y 23.4% 12.3% 9.5% -2.8% -0.1% -2.1% -1.1% 1.9% -3.5% -13.4% -28.6% -47.6% -43.4% -44.4% -44.1% -44.0% -54.8% — — — —
Net Income 3Y 16.3% 14.3% 4.4% -16.0% -3.8% 4.6% 7.4% 13.4% 6.5% -6.9% -23.1% -57.2% -54.0% -55.7% -53.6% -49.1% -68.9% — — — —
Net Income 5Y 43.9% 31.8% 27.9% 14.3% 12.6% 10.9% 16.8% 20.3% 12.2% 0.7% -17.2% -39.3% -37.1% -38.3% -38.9% -40.3% -50.9% — — — —
EBITDA 3Y 9.9% 8.0% 2.1% -3.5% -4.2% -3.1% 0.1% 2.3% 3.1% 2.2% -1.1% -2.2% -3.3% -3.0% -5.3% -2.6% -6.0% -15.1% -24.1% — —
EBITDA 5Y 29.1% 24.5% 21.9% 19.0% 11.1% 6.7% 11.0% 12.2% 11.6% 7.3% -0.4% -3.4% -5.5% -5.4% -6.7% -3.5% -6.0% -8.7% -11.3% — —
Gross Profit 3Y 32.6% 27.1% 21.3% 15.8% 12.7% 11.6% 11.6% 9.8% 7.5% 2.1% -2.7% -3.8% -4.6% -1.8% -1.8% 1.9% -0.5% -4.0% -10.4% -18.5% -18.46%
Gross Profit 5Y 29.4% 27.5% 26.3% 24.8% 22.6% 21.9% 24.4% 23.8% 22.5% 18.2% 11.6% 9.0% 5.9% 5.1% 2.1% 2.6% -0.7% -3.0% -4.1% -9.7% -9.74%
Op. Income 3Y 6.7% 0.6% -4.8% -12.9% -13.4% -9.7% -5.4% -0.8% -0.5% -0.6% -6.2% -8.7% -10.8% -6.5% -9.0% -2.0% -17.3% -42.7% -74.3% — —
Op. Income 5Y 48.7% 24.6% 20.6% 14.3% 5.4% 2.3% 7.3% 10.0% 8.9% 4.2% -5.4% -9.3% -12.0% -11.5% -12.3% -8.0% -17.4% -29.9% -54.4% — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.4% — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — 48.3% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — 91.3% 20.9% — — — — — — -25.9% — -7.5% -1.4% 12.1% 18.2% 12.8% — — — —
OCF 5Y 16.4% 32.7% 63.2% — — — — — — — -0.1% — — — — — 53.1% — — — —
Assets 3Y 32.4% 25.2% 26.8% 24.0% 20.1% 18.9% 15.7% 14.9% 18.7% 17.6% 17.7% 16.4% 16.0% 17.5% 13.9% 12.1% 0.1% -2.6% -3.9% -5.8% -5.83%
Assets 5Y 27.6% 28.0% 29.8% 24.8% 26.6% 23.8% 23.8% 23.3% 27.4% 24.6% 24.5% 22.3% 18.8% 17.3% 14.9% 13.2% 5.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 1.10%
Equity 3Y 33.8% 27.6% 26.0% 21.5% 21.8% 20.5% 19.4% 17.2% 14.6% 10.1% 10.7% 7.7% 8.1% 5.9% 2.5% 1.8% -3.5% -0.0% -3.1% -3.9% -3.87%
Book Value 3Y 8.6% 2.5% 1.3% -3.4% 3.1% 1.1% 2.3% 5.0% -0.4% 1.6% 4.7% 3.1% 4.0% 3.1% 0.2% 0.6% -4.1% 0.2% -2.6% 4.8% 4.78%
Dividend 3Y -15.9% -14.0% -23.9% -18.9% -17.1% -20.5% 16.1% 32.9% 51.8% 70.5% 25.0% 16.6% 1.3% -1.8% -2.5% -2.1% -10.7% -0.4% -14.2% -12.4% -12.36%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.85 0.88 0.92 0.94 0.89 0.92 0.97 0.98 0.93 0.93 0.80 0.84 0.80 0.92 0.78 0.89 0.85 0.80 0.04 0.04 0.043
Earnings Stability 0.87 0.79 0.52 0.24 0.58 0.82 0.51 0.27 0.51 0.04 0.05 0.16 0.33 0.48 0.41 0.39 0.59 0.73 0.62 0.65 0.648
Margin Stability 0.79 0.81 0.82 0.82 0.84 0.85 0.85 0.86 0.89 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.86 0.84 0.81 0.79 0.80 0.83 0.86 0.81 0.810
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.97 0.93 0.87 0.83 0.95 0.95 0.82 0.50 0.89 0.85 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.98 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.93 0.85 0.72 0.45 0.87 0.89 0.64 0.13 0.75 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.00 — — — —
ROE Trend -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.10 -0.05 -0.01 0.04 0.06 0.01 -0.06 -0.11 -0.13 -0.12 -0.11 -0.09 -0.09 -0.07 -0.10 -0.11 -0.15 -0.149
Gross Margin Trend -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.05 -0.03 0.02 0.12 0.125
FCF Margin Trend 0.07 0.19 0.17 0.01 -0.01 -0.11 -0.14 0.03 -0.11 -0.16 -0.13 -0.11 0.00 0.21 0.30 0.15 0.28 -0.01 -0.10 -0.13 -0.131
Sustainable Growth Rate 16.1% 15.3% 13.8% 8.0% 11.5% 14.9% 16.0% 17.4% 10.4% 4.3% -0.6% -3.6% -3.5% -3.7% -3.6% -3.8% -3.3% — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 7.2% 7.3% 6.5% 3.6% 5.4% 7.2% 8.0% 8.2% 4.4% 1.7% — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.36 0.64 0.73 0.68 0.70 0.35 0.05 0.35 -0.11 -0.17 0.30 -0.28 2.90 7.06 10.32 8.58 33.42 0.15 0.41 0.16 0.156
FCF/OCF -0.74 -0.00 0.02 -1.25 -0.54 -1.41 -13.71 -0.37 7.44 9.22 -9.49 38.23 -2.19 0.26 0.59 0.31 0.72 8.09 2.21 3.09 3.093
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.484
CapEx/Revenue 14.5% 15.6% 16.4% 21.6% 23.8% 22.3% 18.4% 14.7% 15.7% 20.0% 23.6% 18.8% 19.0% 9.2% 7.9% 7.7% 4.8% 9.1% 8.4% 14.2% 14.24%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 3.691
Accruals Ratio 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.06 0.07 0.04 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.03 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.045
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.099
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.302
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.40 $0.41 $0.39 $0.36 $0.34 $0.32 $0.89 $1.13 $1.74 $1.98 $2.04 $2.05 $2.06 $2.06 $2.06 $2.01 $1.51 $2.03 $1.28 $1.33 $0.00
Payout Ratio 6.5% 6.8% 6.9% 10.8% 6.9% 5.2% 11.9% 13.9% 28.6% 52.5% 1.2% 4.6% 3.9% 4.3% 4.0% 4.7% 10.3% — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — 4.4% — — — — — — — — — — 2.4% 65.2% 1.8% 43.1% — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 6.5% 6.8% 6.9% 65.9% 44.4% 34.6% 36.7% 15.0% 29.7% 57.4% 1.3% 5.0% 4.6% 4.8% 4.4% 5.2% 10.3% — — — —
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.60 0.56 0.54 0.48 0.56 0.64 0.65 0.70 0.63 0.53 0.40 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.12 0.05 -2.02 6.21 1.57 1.567
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 2.21 2.29 2.06 1.43 1.85 1.98 2.13 2.23 1.94 1.75 1.44 1.22 1.26 1.07 1.17 1.02 0.97 0.45 -0.29 3.79 3.788
EBIT Margin 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.09 -0.07 -0.073
Asset Turnover 0.31 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.25 0.27 0.31 0.29 0.27 0.25 0.22 0.23 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.27 0.26 0.24 0.21 0.12 0.122
Equity Multiplier 2.38 2.24 2.25 2.29 2.24 2.21 2.16 2.29 2.46 2.52 2.42 2.53 2.79 2.90 2.89 2.97 2.65 2.52 2.56 2.63 2.625
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $6.14 $5.98 $5.58 $3.36 $4.93 $6.12 $7.43 $8.12 $6.10 $3.78 $1.76 $0.45 $0.53 $0.48 $0.52 $0.43 $0.15 $-2.26 $-3.64 $-6.99 $-6.99
Book Value/Share $39.60 $38.65 $40.04 $38.27 $43.52 $42.64 $44.77 $43.80 $42.25 $41.78 $44.13 $43.92 $44.60 $42.39 $40.23 $38.95 $38.33 $42.94 $41.35 $50.38 $31.18
Tangible Book/Share $35.47 $34.79 $36.42 $34.53 $40.05 $39.00 $41.81 $40.58 $34.78 $34.70 $37.00 $36.89 $37.61 $35.51 $33.57 $32.09 $38.00 $42.47 $41.12 $50.18 $50.18
Revenue/Share $26.30 $24.71 $24.35 $23.90 $22.40 $23.13 $27.37 $26.80 $27.69 $26.42 $23.76 $25.01 $25.82 $27.32 $28.20 $32.76 $29.01 $26.22 $21.53 $16.07 $4.37
FCF/Share $-1.63 $-0.01 $0.09 $-2.86 $-1.86 $-3.02 $-4.70 $-1.06 $-5.01 $-5.93 $-5.07 $-4.84 $-3.38 $0.87 $3.15 $1.13 $3.49 $-2.73 $-3.31 $-3.38 $-0.09
OCF/Share $2.18 $3.84 $4.08 $2.30 $3.46 $2.14 $0.34 $2.87 $-0.67 $-0.64 $0.53 $-0.13 $1.54 $3.40 $5.37 $3.66 $4.87 $-0.34 $-1.50 $-1.09 $0.64
Cash/Share $14.34 $12.26 $14.47 $13.80 $13.28 $12.51 $10.14 $12.63 $14.94 $15.33 $13.06 $14.99 $13.69 $15.21 $14.02 $13.91 $7.88 $5.61 $4.41 $6.58 $3.46
EBITDA/Share $5.67 $5.57 $5.71 $5.54 $5.46 $5.61 $6.33 $6.23 $6.51 $5.74 $4.85 $4.96 $4.56 $4.70 $4.54 $4.94 $4.44 $3.45 $2.80 $-0.56 $-0.56
Debt/Share $30.12 $24.72 $30.61 $27.84 $29.78 $25.55 $29.06 $34.79 $43.62 $46.19 $45.09 $35.84 $46.20 $39.56 $48.55 $38.85 $33.16 $31.98 $30.96 $39.43 $39.43
Net Debt/Share $15.77 $12.46 $16.15 $14.03 $16.50 $13.04 $18.92 $22.16 $28.68 $30.86 $32.03 $20.85 $32.52 $24.35 $34.53 $24.94 $25.27 $26.37 $26.54 $32.85 $32.85
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 4 6 4 3 4 4 5 5 3 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 8 4 5 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.00 1.81 -2.57 2.61 -2.82 -1.87 -1.66 -1.68 -2.22 -1.93 -2.52 -2.21 -2.31 -2.90 -1.49 -2.07 -3.23 -3.32 0.49 -4.06 -4.059
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.561
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -6.76%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-27.09
EVA snapshot only $-44210233000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 61.75 63.95 63.25 61.75 61.00 60.20 60.20 59.10 52.25 42.45 40.65 40.05 39.30 41.70 41.70 41.35 41.40 35.35 32.85 41.90 41.900
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.550
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000

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