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Not Investment Advice

NEX NYSE

NexTier Oilfield Solutions Inc.
1W: +0.5% 1M: -8.5% 3M: +30.0% 1Y: +18.9% 3Y: +321.0% 5Y: -13.0%
$10.61
Last traded 2023-09-06 — delisted
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · $2.4B mcap · 196M float · 1.52% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
48.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 38.8%  ·  5Y Avg: -7.2%
Cost Advantage ★
67
Intangibles
43
Switching Cost
30
Network Effect
62
Scale
47
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. NEX shows a Weak competitive edge (48.0/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 38.8% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 10Hold: 4Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2023-01-04 Morgan Stanley — $12 $12 -0 +41.8% $8.46
2022-05-02 Morgan Stanley — Initiated $12 — +14.4% $10.93
2022-05-02 Barclays — Initiated $15 — +36.0% $11.03

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 75 Grade A+
Profitability
66
Balance Sheet
81
Earnings Quality
77
Growth
84
Value
71
Momentum
95
Safety
100
Cash Flow
54
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NEX scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (54/100). An overall grade of A+ places NEX among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
4.01
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
9/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.67
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.70
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AAA
Score: 96.3/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.10x
Accruals: -3.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NEX scores 4.01, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NEX scores 9/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NEX's score of -2.67 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NEX's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NEX receives an estimated rating of AAA (score: 96.3/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). NEX's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
8.22x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
0.75x
P/B
3.27x
P/FCF
5.67x
P/OCF
2.95x
EV/EBITDA
3.71x
EV/Revenue
0.61x
EV/EBIT
3.91x
EV/FCF
6.06x
Earnings Yield
30.78%
FCF Yield
17.65%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$17.31
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 8.2x earnings, NEX trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 30.8% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $17.31 per share, suggesting a potential 63% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.180
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.952
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.157
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.911
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.153
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
72.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NEX's ROE of 72.4% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.911), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.18 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$105.94
Price/Value
0.08x
Margin of Safety
91.56%
Premium
-91.56%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with NEX's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. At an intrinsic value of $105.94, NEX appears undervalued with a 92% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 8.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1667 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$10.61
Median 1Y
$7.19
5th Pctile
$2.28
95th Pctile
$22.71
Ann. Volatility
75.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
ROE 19.9% 11.9% 9.3% 2.1% -3.5% -15.5% -24.3% -44.8% -68.1% -48.0% -49.7% -41.7% -33.4% -21.6% -10.4% 7.8% 29.9% 47.1% 72.1% 72.4% 72.38%
ROA 9.1% 5.7% 4.3% 0.9% -1.6% -7.8% -11.0% -22.2% -32.6% -24.6% -22.6% -20.3% -14.5% -9.1% -4.2% 3.2% 12.0% 19.8% 31.3% 33.6% 33.62%
ROIC 15.4% 12.1% 8.1% 2.4% 0.8% -6.4% -11.7% -25.1% -39.0% -39.6% -40.3% -31.6% -17.6% -9.5% -4.2% 3.2% 15.0% 20.7% 35.3% 38.8% 38.78%
ROCE 16.2% 12.2% 10.0% 4.9% 0.6% -6.5% -11.1% -21.9% -34.5% -34.6% -34.8% -26.6% -17.6% -9.4% -2.8% 7.2% 19.5% 29.6% 35.8% 37.5% 37.50%
Gross Margin 9.6% 8.7% 3.0% 7.8% 9.4% 7.2% 4.7% -29.5% -36.6% -20.4% -15.4% -6.1% 0.9% 6.5% 8.7% 15.9% 17.5% 20.6% 21.7% 21.7% 21.72%
Operating Margin 4.5% 2.9% -3.8% 0.3% 1.8% -14.6% -10.5% -55.5% -56.5% -29.8% -20.5% -12.6% -9.5% 3.1% 1.7% 4.9% 8.3% 9.3% 17.0% 11.1% 11.11%
Net Margin 5.5% 1.3% -5.2% -1.2% 0.8% -15.7% -11.4% -57.3% -62.6% -28.0% -23.9% -10.9% -11.2% 2.1% 1.4% 8.1% 11.7% 15.3% 27.1% 15.9% 15.88%
EBITDA Margin 19.5% 17.1% 13.3% 16.6% 17.3% 1.0% 3.2% -16.0% -13.9% 5.2% -1.6% 5.2% 2.0% 14.0% 11.3% 11.8% 14.6% 16.0% 17.4% 17.8% 17.83%
FCF Margin 1.5% 3.1% 3.0% 4.2% 5.4% 5.1% 4.8% 4.8% 0.6% -4.6% -13.1% -16.4% -16.7% -16.8% -10.6% -4.5% 2.8% 7.1% 8.6% 10.1% 10.09%
OCF Margin 15.2% 16.4% 18.3% 18.4% 18.2% 16.8% 14.6% 15.3% 10.7% 5.7% -0.4% -5.6% -2.9% -3.6% 0.1% 4.4% 9.7% 14.0% 16.9% 19.4% 19.39%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.00%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -4.57%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.48%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.53%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 32.70%
Cash ROA snapshot only 32.68%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 55.44%
CROIC snapshot only 28.85%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 13.56%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 14.91%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 4.21%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.99%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
P/E Ratio 13.88 14.62 24.85 69.62 -37.30 -11.22 -1.60 -1.99 -1.07 -2.13 -2.43 -4.12 -5.42 -7.20 -40.78 54.07 9.63 7.27 3.36 3.25 8.225
P/S Ratio 0.63 0.41 0.56 0.37 0.36 0.65 0.12 0.29 0.26 0.61 1.00 1.14 0.91 0.60 1.25 1.00 0.64 0.71 0.53 0.57 0.747
P/B Ratio 2.63 1.78 2.42 1.51 1.35 1.34 0.30 0.74 0.65 1.32 1.57 2.13 1.96 1.57 4.05 3.70 2.43 2.90 1.91 1.85 3.269
P/FCF 42.55 13.13 18.71 8.89 6.64 12.78 2.55 6.02 44.27 -13.32 -7.61 -6.96 -5.47 -3.59 -11.80 -22.23 23.24 9.99 6.19 5.67 5.667
P/OCF 4.13 2.48 3.04 2.02 1.96 3.90 0.84 1.91 2.44 10.70 — — — — 2071.31 22.86 6.66 5.04 3.15 2.95 2.949
EV/EBITDA 6.09 3.78 4.11 3.08 3.04 6.42 1.91 8.17 -16.72 -37.02 -19.36 -25970.67 43.30 13.08 15.79 10.57 5.42 5.63 3.97 3.71 3.708
EV/Revenue 0.75 0.53 0.71 0.52 0.49 0.74 0.16 0.32 0.32 0.70 1.12 1.27 1.18 0.84 1.43 1.11 0.70 0.77 0.60 0.61 0.612
EV/EBIT 11.57 11.16 17.23 23.60 163.04 -16.11 -2.48 -2.40 -1.39 -2.59 -2.93 -5.02 -7.95 -12.78 -95.87 35.29 8.98 7.14 4.31 3.91 3.906
EV/FCF 51.03 17.23 23.98 12.40 9.06 14.39 3.39 6.65 53.45 -15.19 -8.59 -7.75 -7.08 -4.98 -13.53 -24.71 25.35 10.84 6.94 6.06 6.064
Earnings Yield 7.2% 6.8% 4.0% 1.4% -2.7% -8.9% -62.7% -50.3% -93.2% -47.1% -41.2% -24.3% -18.4% -13.9% -2.5% 1.8% 10.4% 13.7% 29.7% 30.8% 30.78%
FCF Yield 2.4% 7.6% 5.3% 11.3% 15.1% 7.8% 39.2% 16.6% 2.3% -7.5% -13.1% -14.4% -18.3% -27.8% -8.5% -4.5% 4.3% 10.0% 16.2% 17.6% 17.65%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.005
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.348
EV/OCF snapshot only 3.155
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 2.997
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 5.321
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $17.31
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Current Ratio 1.46 1.51 1.48 1.56 1.79 1.78 1.60 2.48 2.33 2.21 1.99 1.74 1.08 1.08 1.09 1.19 1.30 1.31 1.21 1.37 1.370
Quick Ratio 1.35 1.34 1.33 1.44 1.69 1.62 1.51 2.28 2.18 2.07 1.86 1.63 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.10 1.21 1.19 1.11 1.26 1.255
Debt/Equity 0.69 0.72 0.86 0.85 0.83 0.46 0.70 0.55 0.63 0.68 0.74 0.76 0.83 0.81 0.77 0.66 0.55 0.52 0.45 0.40 0.404
Net Debt/Equity 0.52 0.56 0.68 0.60 0.49 0.17 0.10 0.08 0.13 0.19 0.20 0.24 0.57 0.60 0.59 0.41 0.22 0.25 0.23 0.13 0.129
Debt/Assets 0.32 0.33 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.24 0.32 0.30 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.31 0.30 0.28 0.26 0.23 0.24 0.22 0.21 0.211
Debt/EBITDA 1.33 1.17 1.14 1.24 1.36 1.94 3.30 5.53 -13.53 -16.71 -8.03 -8355.39 14.20 4.85 2.61 1.69 1.12 0.93 0.84 0.76 0.758
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.01 0.90 0.90 0.87 0.81 0.72 0.47 0.78 -2.87 -4.55 -2.21 -2663.66 9.81 3.63 2.01 1.06 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.24 0.243
Interest Coverage 4.04 3.04 2.65 1.80 0.24 -3.81 -5.92 -10.76 -15.21 -15.73 -16.43 -11.87 -8.26 -3.78 -0.99 2.56 7.55 12.26 18.04 21.02 21.024
Equity Multiplier 2.17 2.16 2.26 2.29 2.24 1.88 2.19 1.84 1.97 2.08 2.22 2.36 2.68 2.66 2.71 2.57 2.36 2.19 2.07 1.92 1.916
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.485
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 22.149
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.680
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.806
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1790.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Asset Turnover 2.03 2.04 1.94 1.75 1.64 1.34 1.42 1.51 1.34 0.85 0.55 0.73 0.86 1.09 1.37 1.71 1.79 2.04 1.98 1.91 1.911
Inventory Turnover 56.19 55.56 54.27 52.18 65.52 34.86 46.02 50.01 60.49 29.11 24.23 28.49 35.78 42.24 42.53 48.85 51.04 52.05 49.01 44.45 44.445
Receivables Turnover 9.25 9.53 9.29 8.50 8.04 6.49 7.55 12.57 10.35 5.08 3.18 7.36 6.23 6.71 6.59 7.75 7.74 9.29 8.06 8.10 8.102
Payables Turnover 16.24 19.29 15.42 14.40 14.24 15.28 13.78 22.13 19.74 15.12 7.84 13.15 10.54 11.41 10.70 11.25 10.71 13.81 9.99 9.55 9.553
DSO 39 38 39 43 45 56 48 29 35 72 115 50 59 54 55 47 47 39 45 45 45.0 days
DIO 6 7 7 7 6 10 8 7 6 13 15 13 10 9 9 7 7 7 7 8 8.2 days
DPO 22 19 24 25 26 24 26 16 18 24 47 28 35 32 34 32 34 26 37 38 38.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 23 26 22 25 25 43 30 20 23 60 83 35 34 31 30 22 20 20 16 15 15.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.969
Operating Cycle snapshot only 53.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 11.760
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.593
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Revenue 1.1% 38.6% 12.7% -8.5% -17.3% -14.8% -0.9% -5.2% -14.8% -34.0% -60.4% -49.9% -25.5% 18.4% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 93.7% 53.2% 53.21%
Net Income 2.2% 2.7% 60.2% -85.6% -1.2% -2.8% -4.4% -27.0% -20.6% -2.3% -1.1% 5.6% 48.5% 65.6% 83.0% 1.2% 2.0% 3.6% 11.0% 13.5% 13.55%
EPS 2.3% 2.8% 71.8% -84.7% -1.2% -2.1% -2.7% -13.8% -9.6% -1.7% -1.1% 6.3% 50.8% 69.5% 85.2% 1.2% 1.9% 3.6% 11.4% 14.6% 14.64%
FCF 1.4% 1.8% 3.6% 14.7% 2.0% 41.1% 60.4% 9.7% -90.7% -1.6% -2.1% -2.7% -22.1% -3.3% -84.4% 27.2% 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 4.4% 4.43%
EBITDA 11.2% 13.3% 5.4% 88.7% 8.0% -30.7% -51.2% -77.8% -1.1% -1.1% -1.3% -1.0% 2.1% 5.0% 4.6% 5699.1% 11.1% 3.8% 2.2% 1.4% 1.40%
Op. Income 5.0% 9.6% 20.2% -78.0% -94.1% -1.9% -3.0% -11.0% -48.4% -3.0% -1.3% 1.6% 46.3% 68.2% 84.8% 1.1% 1.8% 3.0% 8.5% 12.9% 12.90%
OCF Growth snapshot only 5.78%
Asset Growth snapshot only 30.79%
Equity Growth snapshot only 75.33%
Debt Growth snapshot only 7.56%
Shares Change snapshot only -7.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — 1.0% 47.2% 13.4% -8.0% -23.8% -24.3% -19.4% -12.7% -3.6% 7.9% 17.4% 21.2% 20.5% 26.6% 26.64%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 50.1% 33.4% 22.6% 16.0% 14.3% 12.0% 11.99%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 22.1% — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 56.1% 34.2% 34.23%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 63.3% — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 81.3% 55.6% 55.57%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -51.2% -32.9% -22.3% -7.7% 9.2% 28.3% 45.5% 1.0% 1.04%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 83.7% 57.2% 28.9% 28.93%
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -25.5% 16.8% 42.9% 61.2% 67.8% 1.4% 1.44%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 58.6% 39.3% 32.6% 27.2% 27.21%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 7.5% 1.7% — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 86.1% 44.7% 30.6% 30.62%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -6.0% 35.0% 46.2% 61.7% 61.73%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — 2.3% -4.7% — — — — -85.7% -33.1% -5.0% 14.2% 26.5% 37.2% 37.17%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.3% 41.6% 30.0% 22.0% 22.04%
Assets 3Y — — — — — — 41.8% 26.8% 6.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.2% 8.4% 11.4% 13.1% 15.8% 19.4% 1.2% 4.6% 18.2% 18.22%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 19.6% 20.8% 12.3% 10.6% 14.3% 14.5% 14.51%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — 34.5% 29.4% 9.7% 2.8% -0.1% -1.6% 1.0% 3.9% 6.4% 11.5% 17.4% -3.8% 6.5% 16.6% 16.64%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — 5.6% 1.5% -11.7% -17.3% -19.6% -21.0% -20.6% -21.1% -20.2% -16.7% -12.1% -13.9% 2.8% 13.3% 13.30%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Revenue Stability — — 0.84 0.65 0.43 0.22 0.69 0.44 0.08 0.19 0.45 0.79 1.00 0.74 0.24 0.38 0.41 0.28 0.21 0.25 0.248
Earnings Stability — — 0.86 0.36 0.12 0.18 0.10 0.28 0.41 0.67 0.52 0.49 0.38 0.36 0.21 0.05 0.00 0.06 0.15 0.23 0.234
Margin Stability — — 0.00 0.04 0.50 0.74 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — 0.54 0.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend — — 0.18 0.08 -0.05 -0.15 -0.27 -0.45 -0.68 -0.62 -0.60 -0.34 -0.04 0.15 0.32 0.51 0.73 0.82 0.94 0.79 0.792
Gross Margin Trend — — 0.07 0.02 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.06 -0.12 -0.20 -0.32 -0.23 -0.10 0.01 0.13 0.17 0.19 0.22 0.29 0.24 0.244
FCF Margin Trend — — 0.16 0.10 0.09 0.06 0.04 0.03 -0.03 -0.09 -0.17 -0.21 -0.20 -0.17 -0.06 0.01 0.11 0.18 0.20 0.21 0.205
Sustainable Growth Rate 19.9% 11.9% 9.3% 2.1% — — — — — — — — — — — 7.8% 29.9% 47.1% 72.1% 72.4% 72.38%
Internal Growth Rate 10.1% 6.0% 4.5% 0.9% — — — — — — — — — — — 3.3% 13.6% 24.7% 45.6% 50.6% 50.65%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 3.36 5.90 8.18 34.47 -18.99 -2.88 -1.89 -1.04 -0.44 -0.20 0.01 0.20 0.17 0.43 -0.02 2.36 1.45 1.44 1.07 1.10 1.102
FCF/OCF 0.10 0.19 0.16 0.23 0.30 0.31 0.33 0.32 0.06 -0.80 37.19 2.94 5.70 4.71 -175.49 -1.03 0.29 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.520
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.573
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.175
CapEx/Revenue 13.7% 13.3% 15.3% 14.2% 12.8% 11.7% 9.8% 10.4% 10.1% 10.3% 12.7% 10.8% 13.8% 13.2% 10.7% 8.9% 6.9% 6.9% 8.3% 9.3% 9.30%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.859
Accruals Ratio -0.22 -0.28 -0.31 -0.31 -0.31 -0.30 -0.32 -0.45 -0.47 -0.29 -0.22 -0.16 -0.12 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.09 -0.02 -0.03 -0.034
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.033
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.085
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 44.7% 0.0% 7.3% 4.3% — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 3.2% 0.0% 0.3% 6.2% 6.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 3.2% 0.0% 0.3% 6.2% 6.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 3.2% 0.0% 0.3% 6.2% 6.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.97 0.93 0.96 0.74 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.02 0.96 0.99 0.99 1.21 1.18 1.180
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.72 0.62 0.57 0.33 -3.18 1.26 1.17 1.09 1.07 1.06 1.06 1.08 1.12 1.26 2.02 0.61 0.87 0.92 0.94 0.95 0.952
EBIT Margin 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.00 -0.05 -0.07 -0.13 -0.23 -0.27 -0.38 -0.25 -0.15 -0.07 -0.01 0.03 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.16 0.157
Asset Turnover 2.03 2.04 1.94 1.75 1.64 1.34 1.42 1.51 1.34 0.85 0.55 0.73 0.86 1.09 1.37 1.71 1.79 2.04 1.98 1.91 1.911
Equity Multiplier 2.17 2.10 2.15 2.23 2.21 1.98 2.21 2.02 2.09 1.95 2.20 2.05 2.30 2.37 2.48 2.48 2.49 2.38 2.30 2.15 2.153
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.89 $0.56 $0.44 $0.10 $-0.16 $-0.60 $-0.73 $-1.23 $-1.73 $-1.62 $-1.53 $-1.16 $-0.85 $-0.49 $-0.23 $0.18 $0.77 $1.27 $2.36 $2.75 $2.75
Book Value/Share $4.70 $4.59 $4.49 $4.44 $4.48 $4.99 $3.84 $3.33 $2.87 $2.60 $2.37 $2.24 $2.35 $2.26 $2.28 $2.57 $3.04 $3.19 $4.17 $4.84 $3.25
Tangible Book/Share $3.00 $2.86 $2.73 $2.69 $2.74 $3.91 $3.09 $2.58 $2.13 $1.88 $1.66 $1.54 $1.19 $1.19 $1.25 $1.57 $2.06 $2.20 $3.15 $3.81 $3.81
Revenue/Share $19.74 $20.16 $19.59 $18.07 $16.91 $10.25 $9.53 $8.40 $7.07 $5.61 $3.73 $4.17 $5.03 $5.88 $7.39 $9.49 $11.50 $13.09 $14.96 $15.64 $13.33
FCF/Share $0.29 $0.62 $0.58 $0.76 $0.91 $0.52 $0.46 $0.41 $0.04 $-0.26 $-0.49 $-0.68 $-0.84 $-0.99 $-0.78 $-0.43 $0.32 $0.92 $1.28 $1.58 $0.94
OCF/Share $2.99 $3.30 $3.59 $3.33 $3.09 $1.72 $1.39 $1.28 $0.76 $0.32 $-0.01 $-0.23 $-0.15 $-0.21 $0.00 $0.42 $1.11 $1.83 $2.53 $3.03 $1.87
Cash/Share $0.76 $0.76 $0.80 $1.12 $1.49 $1.43 $2.30 $1.58 $1.42 $1.29 $1.26 $1.16 $0.60 $0.46 $0.40 $0.63 $1.00 $0.88 $0.92 $1.33 $0.90
EBITDA/Share $2.43 $2.84 $3.40 $3.04 $2.72 $1.18 $0.81 $0.33 $-0.13 $-0.11 $-0.22 $-0.00 $0.14 $0.38 $0.67 $1.00 $1.49 $1.78 $2.25 $2.58 $2.58
Debt/Share $3.23 $3.31 $3.87 $3.77 $3.70 $2.28 $2.68 $1.83 $1.81 $1.77 $1.74 $1.71 $1.95 $1.82 $1.75 $1.69 $1.67 $1.66 $1.89 $1.96 $1.96
Net Debt/Share $2.47 $2.56 $3.07 $2.65 $2.21 $0.85 $0.38 $0.26 $0.38 $0.48 $0.48 $0.54 $1.35 $1.37 $1.35 $1.06 $0.67 $0.78 $0.97 $0.63 $0.63
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.013
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 4.877
Piotroski F-Score 8 6 6 4 4 4 5 4 4 3 2 2 4 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9
Beneish M-Score -3.40 -3.70 -2.95 -3.96 -4.26 -3.03 -3.39 -5.92 -5.70 -5.68 -4.74 -0.54 -22.61 -3.36 -2.44 -1.47 -2.19 -2.75 -2.47 -2.67 -2.666
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.695
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 49.43%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.67
EVA snapshot only $367110428.40
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AAA
Credit Score 73.82 73.66 68.91 63.81 60.56 54.30 34.93 43.92 42.04 38.99 34.18 32.53 17.36 20.00 36.42 56.37 73.13 89.84 92.19 96.31 96.314
Credit Grade snapshot only 1
Credit Trend snapshot only 39.946
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 50.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 95
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 95

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