NFLX NASDAQ
Netflix, Inc.
1W: -8.5%
1M: -10.2%
3M: -11.7%
YTD: -29.8%
1Y: -42.6%
3Y: +59.0%
5Y: +0.2%
$62.52
-1.38 (-2.16%)
After Hours: $62.55 (+0.03, +0.06%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.0%
$59
$63
$66
$69
$72
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 81% of companies Debt: 5.4% of company value Bonds: $431.4M held by 256 funds, 49 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.33 (down 99.5%), Netflix, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $15.13B against a stock market value of $266.08B.
Distance to default 9.87 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $8.80B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.8%; Altman Z'' 6.31. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.33 (down 99.5%), Netflix, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $15.13B against a stock market value of $266.08B.
Distance to default 9.87 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $8.80B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.8%; Altman Z'' 6.31. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+43.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+49.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+43.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+49.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-31.3%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
67%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+16.2%
Midterm
☀️
+8.7%
70% win
73% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+18.9%
Midterm
☀️
+12.0%
75% win
38% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+22.4%
Midterm
☀️
+10.8%
65% win
42% vol
Apr
20yr
🌫️
+25.4%
Midterm
☀️
+17.8%
45% win
63% vol
May
20yr
💨
+31.1%
Midterm
☀️
+28.0%
60% win
38% vol
Jun
20yr
🌫️
+33.4%
Midterm
☀️
+33.0%
55% win
37% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+32.4%
Midterm
☀️
+18.2%
45% win
52% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+39.7%
Midterm
☀️
+32.7%
65% win
37% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+39.4%
Midterm
☀️
+48.2%
55% win
44% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+44.9%
Midterm
☀️
+45.3%
67% win
67% vol
Now:
-10.2%
Nov
20yr
💨
+53.2%
Midterm
☀️
+56.8%
55% win
44% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+1.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.5%
55% win
39% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -31.3%